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北京时间·🕒 发布 03-20 22:00:12时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 23:15:53回填·⚡ 决策 06-18 00:30:56·131.7 天前
KOL看多Sivers Semiconductors(SIVE)作为超大规模云厂商CW激光光源供应商
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My thoughts today on $SIVE, at a ~$250M MC: Sivers is the future likely CW + laser array light source powering hypersca…
决策后走势暂无图(这条腿还没有复盘打分的日线切片)
怎么买 限价买入 不高于消息价 +5%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +15%(半仓)/+30%(清仓) · 止损 -12% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 公司澄清未进入AMZN/META等超大规模云厂商供应链 / 核心产品未通过验证
不做 JBL.US
SIVE的潜在订单对Jabil这种大型EMS厂商的业绩弹性为0，无交易价值
不做 INTC.US
提及Intel前SiPh业务，对INTC当前基本面和估值无实质影响
不做 AMZN.US
作为下游客户，SIVE的供应对AMZN业绩弹性为0
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成交明细
该臂暂无收益数据(没有收益口径表头)。
研究档案
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原文全文
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My thoughts today on $SIVE, at a ~$250M MC:
Sivers is the future likely CW + laser array light source powering hyperscalers from $AMZN, $META, and $MSFT.
At ~$250m...
From confirmed clients, est. mapping:
1. Jabil ( $JBL ) LRO Transceivers (Former SiPH $INTC) -> $AMZN, $META, and other Hyperscalers.
2. Ayar -> AIChip/GUC -> $AMZN and other hyperscalers.
3. Enablence -> O-Net -> Asian Hyperscalers
4. And other unconfirmed customers.
People have been asking me endless questions about today's volatility:
If a stock can go up 20% it can do up 20% too.
$AXTI had those +30%, -30% movements all the time (eg. Earnings -30% to $20, now at $60).
And like AXT as you've seen, what matters is it has the likely potential to outperform long term.
That's why it's important to develop your own conviction before entering any trade, so you don't need to ask me questions every day if you take it yourself.
I personally have a long position and I do think Sivers has the potential to be a $5B+ company with Win qualification.
Especially amid some analysts post today telling people to take profits on $SIVE:
- If you just look at $COHR, $LITE and other light source valuations today, they're $40B+.
- $SIVE pre-revenue advanced packaging counterparties are all $1B-$4B+.
- And we have $SIVE as the future light source for hyperscaler supply chains and Jabil transceivers:
At ~$250M.
Just my personal opinion, but it's better to anchor conviction to the marketcap ($250M) as the light source for hyperscaler supply chains, than price fluctuations...
Especially when institutions (~14.1% owned) are able to to shake the tree of a majority owned stock to build a position.
This is why I've shared my thoughts about $AXTI or $SIVE early since I think it's possible for retail investors to frontrun institutions for the up and coming chokepoints in AI supply chains.
And why I've shared hyperscaler supply chain mapping for $SIVE so people can build their own conviction on futur
Sivers is the future likely CW + laser array light source powering hyperscalers from $AMZN, $META, and $MSFT.
At ~$250m...
From confirmed clients, est. mapping:
1. Jabil ( $JBL ) LRO Transceivers (Former SiPH $INTC) -> $AMZN, $META, and other Hyperscalers.
2. Ayar -> AIChip/GUC -> $AMZN and other hyperscalers.
3. Enablence -> O-Net -> Asian Hyperscalers
4. And other unconfirmed customers.
People have been asking me endless questions about today's volatility:
If a stock can go up 20% it can do up 20% too.
$AXTI had those +30%, -30% movements all the time (eg. Earnings -30% to $20, now at $60).
And like AXT as you've seen, what matters is it has the likely potential to outperform long term.
That's why it's important to develop your own conviction before entering any trade, so you don't need to ask me questions every day if you take it yourself.
I personally have a long position and I do think Sivers has the potential to be a $5B+ company with Win qualification.
Especially amid some analysts post today telling people to take profits on $SIVE:
- If you just look at $COHR, $LITE and other light source valuations today, they're $40B+.
- $SIVE pre-revenue advanced packaging counterparties are all $1B-$4B+.
- And we have $SIVE as the future light source for hyperscaler supply chains and Jabil transceivers:
At ~$250M.
Just my personal opinion, but it's better to anchor conviction to the marketcap ($250M) as the light source for hyperscaler supply chains, than price fluctuations...
Especially when institutions (~14.1% owned) are able to to shake the tree of a majority owned stock to build a position.
This is why I've shared my thoughts about $AXTI or $SIVE early since I think it's possible for retail investors to frontrun institutions for the up and coming chokepoints in AI supply chains.
And why I've shared hyperscaler supply chain mapping for $SIVE so people can build their own conviction on futur
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