🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘可交易 · 做多市场:美股把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-27 00:12:55时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 23:03:32回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 23:43:54·131.7 天前
光子学板块遭宏观流动性杀跌集体大跌，龙头及基板标的错杀
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
Photonics are not having a fun time. Laser Companies from: $LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down. Substrate, Found…
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
怎么买 限价买入 不高于昨收 -10%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +10%(半仓)/+20%(清仓) · 止损 -8% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 公司基本面恶化或AI光互连需求被证伪
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
怎么买 限价买入 不高于昨收 -10%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +10%(半仓)/+20%(清仓) · 止损 -8% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 公司基本面恶化或AI光互连需求被证伪
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
怎么买 限价买入 不高于昨收 -15%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +15%(半仓)/+25%(清仓) · 止损 -10% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 基板瓶颈逻辑被证伪或产能扩张不及预期
决策后走势暂无图(这条腿还没有复盘打分的日线切片)
怎么买 限价买入 不高于昨收 -15%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +15%(半仓)/+25%(清仓) · 止损 -10% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 CW激光器进展不及预期或宏观杀跌演变为基本面恶化
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
成交明细
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研究档案
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原文全文
展开原文 · 774 字
Photonics are not having a fun time.
Laser Companies from:
$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.
Substrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:
$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down.
Almost everything is red.
From 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%.
Good lesson to learn:
Embrace the volatility and don't use leverage.
If a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today.
Macro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings.
However, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028...
Or if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates.
Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.
Laser Companies from:
$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.
Substrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:
$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down.
Almost everything is red.
From 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%.
Good lesson to learn:
Embrace the volatility and don't use leverage.
If a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today.
Macro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings.
However, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028...
Or if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates.
Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.
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