🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-27 10:13:44时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 23:02:38回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 23:34:16·131.9 天前
KOL大跌日晒单心理按摩，光通信与半导体持仓已涨100%-680%
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
This crash today is a good reason why it's good to stay invested. -> $AAOI is still up 233%? -> $IQE is still up ~100%?…
不做 AAOI.US
KOL大跌日心理按摩晒单，无新基本面催化剂，标的已涨幅巨大(+233%)，高位回调接飞刀风险大，纯情绪噪音
不做 AXTI.US
KOL大跌日心理按摩晒单，无新基本面催化剂，标的已涨幅巨大(+680%)，高位回调接飞刀风险大，纯情绪噪音
不做 LITE.US
KOL大跌日心理按摩晒单，无新基本面催化剂，标的已涨幅巨大(+88%)，高位回调接飞刀风险大，纯情绪噪音
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,261 字
This crash today is a good reason why it's good to stay invested.
-> $AAOI is still up 233%?
-> $IQE is still up ~100%?
-> $SIVE is still up 100%+?
-> $LITE is still up ~88%?
-> $TSEM is up ~48%?
-> $SOI is still up 36%?
Even after today my $AXTI positions are still up ~680% after the drop today?
Yes, red days look rough if something drops 13% or 20% and especially so if you're later to enter.
But if you keep thinking it's going to:
-> drop from $500m and sit out
-> drop from $1b and sit out
-> drop from $2b and sit out
-> drop from $3b and sit out
By the time it's $4B and there's finally a correction 15%, you missed out on the entire rise.
People can say "hindsight bias, you're posting after it went up". No, I've posted these are the returns after my original thesis, and I'm just riding the wave up.
I keep getting trolls like these in my comments sections, but hope it doesn't make others panic.
Not everything moves in a green line up, same applies to other sectors and stocks if there’s no material change.
Risk exists. And portfolio sizing is very important.
But if you’re going to enter higher beta names in bottlenecks especially with a clear thesis in mind.
Need to learn to embrace the volatility for your thesis to play out.
-> $AAOI is still up 233%?
-> $IQE is still up ~100%?
-> $SIVE is still up 100%+?
-> $LITE is still up ~88%?
-> $TSEM is up ~48%?
-> $SOI is still up 36%?
Even after today my $AXTI positions are still up ~680% after the drop today?
Yes, red days look rough if something drops 13% or 20% and especially so if you're later to enter.
But if you keep thinking it's going to:
-> drop from $500m and sit out
-> drop from $1b and sit out
-> drop from $2b and sit out
-> drop from $3b and sit out
By the time it's $4B and there's finally a correction 15%, you missed out on the entire rise.
People can say "hindsight bias, you're posting after it went up". No, I've posted these are the returns after my original thesis, and I'm just riding the wave up.
I keep getting trolls like these in my comments sections, but hope it doesn't make others panic.
Not everything moves in a green line up, same applies to other sectors and stocks if there’s no material change.
Risk exists. And portfolio sizing is very important.
But if you’re going to enter higher beta names in bottlenecks especially with a clear thesis in mind.
Need to learn to embrace the volatility for your thesis to play out.
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