🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘可交易 · 做多市场:美股把握 3/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-27 16:11:47时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 20:43:43回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 23:30:02·131.8 天前
KOL 梳理 Ayar Labs 下一代光子架构供应链，看好小市值光源供应商 SIVE
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You cant spell Winner without Win. Because of that: I’m bullish on $SIVE supply chain. $SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar…
决策后走势暂无图(这条腿还没有复盘打分的日线切片)
怎么买 限价买入 不高于消息价 +5%、仅下一个交易日，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +10%(半仓)/+20%(清仓) · 止损 -8% · 时间止损 3日
失效/反转 公司澄清未进入 Ayar Labs 供应链 / 流动性枯竭导致无法平仓
不做 JBL.US
大盘股，光模块封装代工仅占其业务极小部分，KOL 喊单对其股价缺乏弹性催化
不做 LITE.US
帖中作为估值过高的对比标的被提及，并非 KOL 推荐的做多方向
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成交明细
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,246 字
You cant spell Winner without Win.
Because of that: I’m bullish on $SIVE supply chain.
$SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar SuperNova -> $JBL -> Hyperscalers, as one flow.
If you compare to $LITE and others that’s also in the same CPO CW WDM space.
There’s a reason why:
-> $POET / $MRVL Celestial.
-> Ayar / $JBL and O-Net use $SIVE.
It’s designed in as the light source for the next-gen photonics architecture for hyperscalers.
At a ~$300M valuation.
And I do think WDM DFB arrays are the superior architecture for scale up. And are incredibly hard to develop.
It's not a zero-sum architectural game and will likely be split with how you handle scale out with single emitters like $LITE and $COHR.
As well as captive suppliers like $MRVL and how they design their architectures.
But if you look at the MC difference (~$300m with $SIVE, $55B with $LITE).
Anyone can see how clear how valuable the $330M incoming disruptor in $SIVE is to the photonics space.
And especially with the $4B foundry in Win Semi that captures fabless laser production from $SIVE, $AVGO, $MTSI and other players at scale.
It’s highly asymmetrical to long both the supply chain as exposure to where photonics and hyperscalers architecture are heading.
Because of that: I’m bullish on $SIVE supply chain.
$SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar SuperNova -> $JBL -> Hyperscalers, as one flow.
If you compare to $LITE and others that’s also in the same CPO CW WDM space.
There’s a reason why:
-> $POET / $MRVL Celestial.
-> Ayar / $JBL and O-Net use $SIVE.
It’s designed in as the light source for the next-gen photonics architecture for hyperscalers.
At a ~$300M valuation.
And I do think WDM DFB arrays are the superior architecture for scale up. And are incredibly hard to develop.
It's not a zero-sum architectural game and will likely be split with how you handle scale out with single emitters like $LITE and $COHR.
As well as captive suppliers like $MRVL and how they design their architectures.
But if you look at the MC difference (~$300m with $SIVE, $55B with $LITE).
Anyone can see how clear how valuable the $330M incoming disruptor in $SIVE is to the photonics space.
And especially with the $4B foundry in Win Semi that captures fabless laser production from $SIVE, $AVGO, $MTSI and other players at scale.
It’s highly asymmetrical to long both the supply chain as exposure to where photonics and hyperscalers architecture are heading.
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