🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-28 10:17:36时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 20:43:21回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 17:38:48·131.9 天前
KOL晒527%收益并分享AI光通信持仓清单(AAOI/LITE/AXTI)
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
My portfolio has drawdowns from Macro as well. YTD is now 527%. After the index crashed -7%. - $AAOI “crashed” from $30…
不做 AAOI.US
KOL晒收益清单帖，无新催化剂；标的已从低点上涨数倍，底层AI光通信逻辑已充分price-in，情绪高潮追高期望值为负
不做 LITE.US
KOL晒收益清单帖，无新催化剂；标的已大幅上涨，EML产能售罄等逻辑已充分price-in，追高风险大
不做 AXTI.US
KOL晒收益清单帖，无新催化剂；标的已大幅上涨，材料供应链逻辑已充分price-in，追高风险大
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原文全文
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My portfolio has drawdowns from Macro as well.
YTD is now 527%.
After the index crashed -7%.
- $AAOI “crashed” from $30 -> $100 -> $96…
- $LITE “crashed” from $330-> $800 -> $702…
- $AXTI “crashed” from $15 -> $70 -> $60…
I’m not underestimating the War in Iran.
This has serious consequences to liquidity/energy, so I’ve winded down margin.
But if a company is going from $134m quarterly revenue to projected $1.54B a quarter from Made in America optical transceiver ramps...
or if the tiny $3.6B company owns the materials supply chain for the hyperscaler photonics buildout...
or a tiny laser supplier at $290m in $SIVE feeds to $MRVL CPO programs or Jabil transcivers...
or a optical giant like $LITE is sold out of EML capacity until 2028...
or a small European company in $SOI provides all the substrates required for silicon photonics / CPO.
or a small European company in $IQE has latent reactor capacity multiple times what their valued at…
or a memory company like SK Hynix is projected to make more than what their current market cap is in 3 years…
There’s going to be tons of volatility on the way up, as markets realize their importance to supply chains
But if you can’t bypass them to scale AI. Or they’re designed into the supply chains of $AMZN or $MSFT.
Maybe they tend to outperform the market?
YTD is now 527%.
After the index crashed -7%.
- $AAOI “crashed” from $30 -> $100 -> $96…
- $LITE “crashed” from $330-> $800 -> $702…
- $AXTI “crashed” from $15 -> $70 -> $60…
I’m not underestimating the War in Iran.
This has serious consequences to liquidity/energy, so I’ve winded down margin.
But if a company is going from $134m quarterly revenue to projected $1.54B a quarter from Made in America optical transceiver ramps...
or if the tiny $3.6B company owns the materials supply chain for the hyperscaler photonics buildout...
or a tiny laser supplier at $290m in $SIVE feeds to $MRVL CPO programs or Jabil transcivers...
or a optical giant like $LITE is sold out of EML capacity until 2028...
or a small European company in $SOI provides all the substrates required for silicon photonics / CPO.
or a small European company in $IQE has latent reactor capacity multiple times what their valued at…
or a memory company like SK Hynix is projected to make more than what their current market cap is in 3 years…
There’s going to be tons of volatility on the way up, as markets realize their importance to supply chains
But if you can’t bypass them to scale AI. Or they’re designed into the supply chains of $AMZN or $MSFT.
Maybe they tend to outperform the market?
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