🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-28 23:32:25时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 20:43:08回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 17:37:56·132.0 天前
KOL Serenity 发布 AI 算力及宏观持仓清单，包含夸张营收预期
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
Faster compounds: $AAOI - 10x revenue ramp from optical transcivers h2 2027 $NBIS - 10x revenue ramp Q4 2026 $ARM - 5x…
不做 AAOI.US
KOL清单帖无新催化剂，10x revenue预期极度夸张脱离现实，底层逻辑为市场已知旧闻，无交易edge
不做 MRVL.US
KOL持仓分享，MSFT Maia ramp为市场已知旧逻辑，无新事件驱动，不具备信息优势
不做 AVGO.US
KOL清单帖，Hyperscaler ASIC逻辑已被市场充分定价，无新催化剂，纯情绪输出
不做 LITE.US
KOL观点汇总，Google TPU与OCS逻辑为旧闻，无新订单或产品发布证实，无交易edge
不做 ARM.US
KOL清单帖，5x revenue growth预期缺乏短期催化剂支撑，属长期主观预测，无事件驱动
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,324 字
Faster compounds:
$AAOI - 10x revenue ramp from optical transcivers h2 2027
$NBIS - 10x revenue ramp Q4 2026
$ARM - 5x revenue growth from their new AI CPU
$MRVL - 2-3x revenue growth from $MSFT Maia Ramp.
$AVGO - Long hyperscaler ASIC
$LITE - Long OCS / Google TPU
Win Semi - Foundry exposure to frontier industries
$TSEM - Long photonics, backlogged
SK Hynix - Memory exposure, extreme operating income ramp
With some barbell exposure away from Hyperscaler capex aside from Amazon:
$VNP - Long term rare earths for Western Supply chains
$NEO (TCX) - Robotics Supply chains
$AMZN - Robotics/AI cutting opex
$CRCL - Stablecoin long
$RDDT - Ridiculously high profit
$GLD - Safe Hedge
$IBIT - Halving 2028
$CVX Calls - Oil Hedge
And maybe long term (you know it's coming):
$INTC / $AMKR- Made in America supply chains
$SOI - Silicon Photonics / CPO substrates.
$RKLB - Long term call on Space industry
Then pick one or two small cap moonshots:
$SIVE - CW Laser Chokepoints or $IQE for Landmark rerating on restructuring were my two favorites.
There's others I've mentioned like $AEHR for testing or $VPG for Optimus.
How I actively manage my own stuff from $AXTI and others is a lot different risk profile than what others should do.
Going full port into high-beta in this macro environment is not the best idea.
$AAOI - 10x revenue ramp from optical transcivers h2 2027
$NBIS - 10x revenue ramp Q4 2026
$ARM - 5x revenue growth from their new AI CPU
$MRVL - 2-3x revenue growth from $MSFT Maia Ramp.
$AVGO - Long hyperscaler ASIC
$LITE - Long OCS / Google TPU
Win Semi - Foundry exposure to frontier industries
$TSEM - Long photonics, backlogged
SK Hynix - Memory exposure, extreme operating income ramp
With some barbell exposure away from Hyperscaler capex aside from Amazon:
$VNP - Long term rare earths for Western Supply chains
$NEO (TCX) - Robotics Supply chains
$AMZN - Robotics/AI cutting opex
$CRCL - Stablecoin long
$RDDT - Ridiculously high profit
$GLD - Safe Hedge
$IBIT - Halving 2028
$CVX Calls - Oil Hedge
And maybe long term (you know it's coming):
$INTC / $AMKR- Made in America supply chains
$SOI - Silicon Photonics / CPO substrates.
$RKLB - Long term call on Space industry
Then pick one or two small cap moonshots:
$SIVE - CW Laser Chokepoints or $IQE for Landmark rerating on restructuring were my two favorites.
There's others I've mentioned like $AEHR for testing or $VPG for Optimus.
How I actively manage my own stuff from $AXTI and others is a lot different risk profile than what others should do.
Going full port into high-beta in this macro environment is not the best idea.
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