🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘可交易 · 做空市场:美股把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 03-29 15:58:53时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 20:43:01回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 17:33:40·131.9 天前
IREN提交60亿美元ATM增发计划，面临超50%股权稀释风险
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC. That is not noise. This is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capa…
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(做空:价格在入场线下方)、绿底 = 亏
怎么做空 开盘做空 不低于昨收 +15%（低于下限不成交）
怎么平空 止盈 -10%(半仓)/-20%(清仓) · 止损 +15% · 时间止损 5日
失效/反转 公司澄清ATM仅为备用且短期内无发行计划 / 宣布重大并购或NVDA直接注资替代ATM
不做 BKKT.US
仅在推文中作为反面案例被提及，无实际事件催化
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
成交明细
该臂暂无收益数据(没有收益口径表头)。
研究档案
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,914 字
$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC.
That is not noise.
This is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market.
If you want some history on how this turns out:
Look at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and $IREN board of directors history with excessive ATMs. Or his recent company $ASST.
It’s accretive to the company and executives: Because it wipes out all retail shareholders and they can always issue SBC.
So they don’t actually care what stock price it needs to be at to sell.
After they’re finished, they have $6B in new cash to use for scaling without paying interest.
But the reason why convertible notes with interest, and $NVDA funding balance sheets is much better for retail capital:
Is because it doesn’t wipe out retail equity to achieve this. Because at this point $IREN looks like the $AMC of datacenters with a dwindling moat, and looming $6B in shares sold into the open market.
Reason I post about $IREN is because
- people dismiss a $6B ATM as “Noise”
- it’s one of the most popular retail “buy the dip” companies that they’re buying into a $6B dilution machine
- people still don’t understand the risk at all.
- the amount they have now is not enough to finance GPUs/GW capacity monetization.
- they likely will have to use the ATM, it’s not “optionality”
Again: I have zero positions in the company.
I’m just warning retail investors that this ATM structurally wipes out your equity appreciation by how structural mechanics of $6B+ ATMs work.
Because $IREN likely needs to sell new shares at any price to monetize their GW, otherwise there would be zero need to file it.
Executives actually don't need to care because they can make up for stock price dropping by issuing SBC like $SNAP.
If you have to wonder if your equity gets wiped out from an excessive ATM:
There are better longs out there than $IREN.
That is not noise.
This is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market.
If you want some history on how this turns out:
Look at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and $IREN board of directors history with excessive ATMs. Or his recent company $ASST.
It’s accretive to the company and executives: Because it wipes out all retail shareholders and they can always issue SBC.
So they don’t actually care what stock price it needs to be at to sell.
After they’re finished, they have $6B in new cash to use for scaling without paying interest.
But the reason why convertible notes with interest, and $NVDA funding balance sheets is much better for retail capital:
Is because it doesn’t wipe out retail equity to achieve this. Because at this point $IREN looks like the $AMC of datacenters with a dwindling moat, and looming $6B in shares sold into the open market.
Reason I post about $IREN is because
- people dismiss a $6B ATM as “Noise”
- it’s one of the most popular retail “buy the dip” companies that they’re buying into a $6B dilution machine
- people still don’t understand the risk at all.
- the amount they have now is not enough to finance GPUs/GW capacity monetization.
- they likely will have to use the ATM, it’s not “optionality”
Again: I have zero positions in the company.
I’m just warning retail investors that this ATM structurally wipes out your equity appreciation by how structural mechanics of $6B+ ATMs work.
Because $IREN likely needs to sell new shares at any price to monetize their GW, otherwise there would be zero need to file it.
Executives actually don't need to care because they can make up for stock price dropping by issuing SBC like $SNAP.
If you have to wonder if your equity gets wiped out from an excessive ATM:
There are better longs out there than $IREN.
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