🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘可交易 · 做多市场:美股把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 05-08 01:09:40时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-03 18:59:41回填·⚡ 决策 06-17 04:12:26·132.9 天前
KOL看多FLNC：预期未来数月落地两项超大规模客户(如GOOGL/MSFT)储能订单
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Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. Very rare…
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
怎么买 限价买入 不高于消息价 +3%、当日有效，不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +15%(半仓)/+30%(清仓) · 止损 -10% · 时间止损 60日
失效/反转 公司澄清无超大规模客户订单 / 框架协议取消或大幅延期
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,218 字
Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look.
Very rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...
The $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT.
The hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert "soon" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers.
Once that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players.
Citi Analyst: "The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement"
I'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2)
Also, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027.
The current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).
Very rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...
The $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT.
The hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert "soon" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers.
Once that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players.
Citi Analyst: "The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement"
I'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2)
Also, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027.
The current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).
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