🐦 推特SerenityV1 · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 22:56:05时区推断·⟳ 抓取 22:59:27·⚡ 决策 06-15 23:03:30 +4m03s·133.9 天前
KOL发布欧洲光子学/半导体多头持仓回顾清单
📄 原文Serenity↗ 原文
Just as a recap, these were all my core European longs: 1. $SIVE 2. $LPK 3. $SOI 4. $RPI 5. $IQE 6. $ALRIB 7. $XFAB Siv…
不做 SIVE.US
KOL持仓回顾帖(recap)无新催化剂，迟到的清单多为出货信号；标的实为欧洲小盘股，.US后缀多为OTC流动性极差
不做 LPK.US
KOL回顾帖无新催化剂；实为德国LPKF，.US后缀OTC流动性差
不做 SOI.US
KOL回顾帖无新催化剂，且KOL自认已充分re-rated；实为法国Soitec，.US后缀OTC流动性差
不做 RPI.US
Raspberry Pi 未上市，无公开交易代码
不做 IQE.US
KOL回顾帖无新催化剂；实为英国IQE，.US后缀OTC流动性差
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原文全文
展开原文 · 1,999 字
Just as a recap, these were all my core European longs:
1. $SIVE
2. $LPK
3. $SOI
4. $RPI
5. $IQE
6. $ALRIB
7. $XFAB
Sivers: As you know by now, core laser chokepoint over next generation photonics, from 1.6T pluggables to CPO.
Embedded in many hyperscaler suppliers from Jabil to Ayar. Should go brrr 2027 but markets are forward looking, so ramps + qualifications should get priced in now.
LPK Laser - Glass core substrate "monopoly" with LIDE.
"More than 80% of major global players have selected our equipment for process validation, learning and scaling to mass production"
Soitec - Silicon photonics SoI substrate pure monopoly while coming out of legacy drag segments.
Raspberry Pi - Was my fun idea around Raspberry Pis being used for AI hardware deployments.
Previously this thing was mainly educational or hobby boards, but now used for edge/local AI. Just thought revenue increase would be extremely material and it played out well.
IQE - Critical epiwafer player for your Western photonics like Macom, Tower, Lumentum, and others.
Was kinda going under, but thought their latent capacity relative to Landmark was undervalued.
Also given how important it was, I thought that your downstream players + Govs wouldn't let it go under, so it was more of a moonshot idea earlier in the year.
Lot more derisked now, very important.
Riber - Kinda monopoly in the MBE space, exposure to Quantum / quantum dot + silicon photonics.
Found out from OSINT help from a friend latentvalue that Microsoft Quantum was buying their machines, so this was direct hyperscaler validation + kinda de-risked at current MCs.
XFab - SiC foundry backed by EU/US CHIPS Act with power semi upside. (152% Y/Y growth for their sic vertical).
Main growth was their silicon photonics foundry past 2027 that's getting evaled by nvidia. And that they're leading Europe's value chain efforts in photonics, kinda like an early tower semi.
We'll see how this plays out, thought power semi exposure
1. $SIVE
2. $LPK
3. $SOI
4. $RPI
5. $IQE
6. $ALRIB
7. $XFAB
Sivers: As you know by now, core laser chokepoint over next generation photonics, from 1.6T pluggables to CPO.
Embedded in many hyperscaler suppliers from Jabil to Ayar. Should go brrr 2027 but markets are forward looking, so ramps + qualifications should get priced in now.
LPK Laser - Glass core substrate "monopoly" with LIDE.
"More than 80% of major global players have selected our equipment for process validation, learning and scaling to mass production"
Soitec - Silicon photonics SoI substrate pure monopoly while coming out of legacy drag segments.
Raspberry Pi - Was my fun idea around Raspberry Pis being used for AI hardware deployments.
Previously this thing was mainly educational or hobby boards, but now used for edge/local AI. Just thought revenue increase would be extremely material and it played out well.
IQE - Critical epiwafer player for your Western photonics like Macom, Tower, Lumentum, and others.
Was kinda going under, but thought their latent capacity relative to Landmark was undervalued.
Also given how important it was, I thought that your downstream players + Govs wouldn't let it go under, so it was more of a moonshot idea earlier in the year.
Lot more derisked now, very important.
Riber - Kinda monopoly in the MBE space, exposure to Quantum / quantum dot + silicon photonics.
Found out from OSINT help from a friend latentvalue that Microsoft Quantum was buying their machines, so this was direct hyperscaler validation + kinda de-risked at current MCs.
XFab - SiC foundry backed by EU/US CHIPS Act with power semi upside. (152% Y/Y growth for their sic vertical).
Main growth was their silicon photonics foundry past 2027 that's getting evaled by nvidia. And that they're leading Europe's value chain efforts in photonics, kinda like an early tower semi.
We'll see how this plays out, thought power semi exposure
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