🐦 推特SerenityV3 · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 06-26 13:06:59时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-26 13:07:40·⚡ 决策 06-30 02:52:27 +3d13h·119.8 天前
软银因OpenAI IPO或推迟至2027大跌——消息属实但已跌透(5日-18.6%)
看空催化(OpenAI IPO或延至2027、削弱软银$65B持股近期变现预期)真实且已被彭博/SeekingAlpha等多源证实,但已是3-4天前旧闻、市场充分反应
📄 原文Serenity@aleabitoreddit↗ 原文
“What matters is not the eggs, it is the Goose itself” SoftBank probably down -13.5% today after markets saw this inves…
不做 9984.JP
看空催化真实但已充分price-in:6/26当天即-12.5%、近5日-18.6%、20日-31%,推文所指-13.5%是3-4天前旧行情。做空红线:无新鲜强催化(同一旧消息消化中)、且yfinance无法确认日股可借券→不裸开空;负催化+持续阴跌(path 240→166)亦不接飞刀做多;账户空仓无多头可减。无剩余edge,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
关键理由
- 看空催化(OpenAI IPO或延至2027、削弱软银$65B持股近期变现预期)真实且已被彭博/SeekingAlpha等多源证实,但已是3-4天前旧闻、市场充分反应
主要风险
- 弱势仍可能继续阴跌(6/29又-5.3%),但那是同一催化在消化、无新鲜edge;若OpenAI给出更激进降估值/续期方案则可能反弹打脸追空者
原文全文
展开原文 · 251 字
“What matters is not the eggs, it is the Goose itself”
SoftBank probably down -13.5% today
after markets saw this investor presentation today.
Also the OpenAI IPO possible 2027 delay cause Altman wanted a $1T valuation might have been a small cause…
SoftBank probably down -13.5% today
after markets saw this investor presentation today.
Also the OpenAI IPO possible 2027 delay cause Altman wanted a $1T valuation might have been a small cause…
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