🐦 推特SerenityV3 · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 06-27 16:42:45时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06-27 16:44:24·⚡ 决策 06-29 13:46:34 +1d21h·120.6 天前
a16z系KOL发推称『机器人是下一个风口』,点名AMZN/TSLA仅作大厂内部项目举例
这是一条宏观主题随笔(引用a16z/PitchBook三月旧数据),无具体催化、无新增信息,不构成可交易事件。
📄 原文Serenity@aleabitoreddit↗ 原文
Robotics is next. Both deal count and investment amounts are skyrocketing per pitchbook March data (source: a16z) Good…
不做 AMZN.US
纯主题性KOL评论,无具体催化;机器人项目对$2.5T巨头无实质影响,近20日-15%处下行趋势,无edge,不做
不做 TSLA.US
机器人是TSLA已知长期叙事,本推文无新增信息;$1.43T市值+PE348估值偏高,近20日-14%下行,无具体催化与edge,不做
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗
关键理由
- 这是一条宏观主题随笔(引用a16z/PitchBook三月旧数据),无具体催化、无新增信息,不构成可交易事件。
- 对AMZN($2.5T)/TSLA($1.43T)这种巨头,泛化的机器人主题推文体量上无实质影响,且推文自承二者只是『大厂内部项目』而非纯标的。
- 真正的标的(纯人形/机器人公司)尚未上市(推文称H2 2026→2027才IPO季),当前无唯一可交易受益代码。
主要风险
- 若后续出现AMZN/TSLA机器人业务的具体硬催化(订单/量产/拆分),需另行重判,届时方向才可能成立。
原文全文
展开原文 · 523 字
Robotics is next.
Both deal count and investment amounts are skyrocketing per pitchbook March data (source: a16z)
Good thing is: the same AI DC exposure often has cross-exposure to humanoid ramp.
Like DRAM/NAND with memory (on humanoid inference/storage) or DFB lasers with photonics (FMCW LiDAR vision/sensing).
Right now most exposure is upstream component parts… or programs within large players like $AMZN or $TSLA.
So global IPO season H2 into 2027 for pure play humanoids/robotics companies is going to be fun.
Both deal count and investment amounts are skyrocketing per pitchbook March data (source: a16z)
Good thing is: the same AI DC exposure often has cross-exposure to humanoid ramp.
Like DRAM/NAND with memory (on humanoid inference/storage) or DFB lasers with photonics (FMCW LiDAR vision/sensing).
Right now most exposure is upstream component parts… or programs within large players like $AMZN or $TSLA.
So global IPO season H2 into 2027 for pure play humanoids/robotics companies is going to be fun.
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