🐦 推特SerenityV3 · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 07:01:04时区推断·⟳ 抓取 07:05:47·⚡ 决策 06-30 07:15:03 +9m16s·119.4 天前
推特KOL分享个人人形机器人持仓,对绿的谐波688017持'看好但本人不持有'观点(援引较旧GS报告)
绿的谐波是人形机器人谐波减速器A股龙头,长期主题确有弹性,但本条信号无任何新增一手催化
📄 原文Serenity@aleabitoreddit↗ 原文
For robotics companies, I have a favorable view on Unitree and Agility Robotics, two humanoid players. And I have large…
不做 688017.SH
信号仅为KOL分享个人持仓的观点、且其本人明确不持有688017,援引自述'较旧'的GS报告,无任何新增一手催化;主题已极度拥挤(PE 484x、20日+18%、13周近翻倍)且股价正从高位回落(5日-8%、距60日高-20%),无edge不追;无看空催化且属做空红线范畴,故不开空;组合内未持有该标的,无减仓动作。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗
关键理由
- 绿的谐波是人形机器人谐波减速器A股龙头,长期主题确有弹性,但本条信号无任何新增一手催化
- 信号仅为KOL分享个人持仓观点、且其本人明确表示不持有688017,可执行性/信息增量近乎为零
主要风险
- 主题已极度拥挤:PE 484x、20日+18%、13周近翻倍(100→206),现价较高位回落~20%,追多≈接飞刀
- 近5日-8%且逐日转弱(-5.5/-2.1),动量正在熄火;若误判成'低位反弹'会站在持续回落的错误一侧
原文全文
展开原文 · 1,066 字
For robotics companies, I have a favorable view on Unitree and Agility Robotics, two humanoid players.
And I have largest concentration in Agility Robotics, since I personally prefer US humanoid players.
For upstream component exposure, I currently own:
- Harmonic Drive (6324) given high content BOM on things like harmonic reduction gear.
- Vishay Precision for sensors and a possible candidate for Telsa Optimus.
LeaderDrive (688017) and Schaeffler I have favorable views on but don't own personally.
Many of the other AI DC players, I have indirect exposure to robotics like memory.
Don't recommend anyone to copy, just sharing personal positions/thoughts.
Humanoid sector is large, and as seen with Goldman Sachs report that "Korean companies will command a 30% direct and indirect share of global humanoid robot production".
Lot of players out there globally. This was an older report but just linking it again since you see all of them pop up in GS institutional reports + what they cover.
Agility Robotics is my personal favorite as of now.
And I have largest concentration in Agility Robotics, since I personally prefer US humanoid players.
For upstream component exposure, I currently own:
- Harmonic Drive (6324) given high content BOM on things like harmonic reduction gear.
- Vishay Precision for sensors and a possible candidate for Telsa Optimus.
LeaderDrive (688017) and Schaeffler I have favorable views on but don't own personally.
Many of the other AI DC players, I have indirect exposure to robotics like memory.
Don't recommend anyone to copy, just sharing personal positions/thoughts.
Humanoid sector is large, and as seen with Goldman Sachs report that "Korean companies will command a 30% direct and indirect share of global humanoid robot production".
Lot of players out there globally. This was an older report but just linking it again since you see all of them pop up in GS institutional reports + what they cover.
Agility Robotics is my personal favorite as of now.
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