🐦 推特Wall St EngineCodex · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 07-30 19:05:50时区推断·⟳ 抓取 07-30 19:06:17·⚡ 决策 07-31 22:57:33 +1d03h·87.9 天前
法拉利二季度业绩超预期并小幅上调全年指引
本条财报核心事实为收入、EPS和自由现金流超预期,并上调全年收入、EBIT、EBITDA和自由现金流指引。
📄 原文Wall St Engine@wallstengine↗ 原文
FERRARI $RACE Q2’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: €1,938M (Est. €1.88B) 🟢; +8% YoY 🔹 EPS: €2.62 (Est. €2.50) 🟢; +10% Y…
不做 法拉利(RACE.US)
已处理消息库多次命中同一法拉利二季度业绩超预期并小幅上调全年指引催化,本条为重复社媒转述且已过主要交易窗口,不再开新仓。
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研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-30 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗
关键理由
- 本条财报核心事实为收入、EPS和自由现金流超预期,并上调全年收入、EBIT、EBITDA和自由现金流指引。
- 已处理消息库在过去49.5小时内多次命中同一具体催化,且结论均为不做,当前社媒转述没有新增关键财务事实。
- 事件已从2026-07-30美股盘前进入市场,到当前2026-07-31美股盘中已超过一个完整交易日,剩余短线edge不足。
主要风险
- 若公司后续披露明显高于本次指引的订单或利润增量,应作为新催化重新研判。
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原文全文
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FERRARI $RACE Q2’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: €1,938M (Est. €1.88B) 🟢; +8% YoY
🔹 EPS: €2.62 (Est. €2.50) 🟢; +10% YoY
🔹 EBIT Margin: 31.2%; +30 bps YoY
🔹 Industrial FCF: €276M; +39% YoY
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: ~€7.60 (Est. €7.57B) 🟢; from ~7.50
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: ≥2.97, ≥39.0% margin; from ≥2.93
🔹 Adj. EBIT: ≥2.26, ≥29.5% margin; from ≥2.22
🔹 Adj. EPS: ≥9.68 (Est. €9.71) 🟡; from ≥9.45
🔹 Industrial FCF: ≥1.55; from ≥1.50
Segment Net Revenue:
🔹 Cars & Spare Parts: €1,629M; +8% YoY
🔹 Sponsorship & Brand: €209M; +2% YoY
Other Q2 Metrics:
🔹 EBITDA: €755M; +7% YoY
🔹 EBITDA Margin: 39.0%; -70 bps YoY
🔹 Net Profit: €463M; +9% YoY
Comments:
🔸 “The robust results achieved in the second quarter reflect our disciplined execution and the continued strength of our strategy. A sustained trend in personalizations allows us to raise the guidance for the year”
🔸 “In a single quarter, we introduced the Ferrari Luce and the Ferrari 12Cilindri Manuale: two very different sports cars that embody the same Ferrari DNA and demonstrate how we blend tradition and innovation in unique ways. Today we have the most complete line-up in Ferrari history and we continue to experience healthy demand, with an order book that entirely covers 2027”
🔹 Revenue: €1,938M (Est. €1.88B) 🟢; +8% YoY
🔹 EPS: €2.62 (Est. €2.50) 🟢; +10% YoY
🔹 EBIT Margin: 31.2%; +30 bps YoY
🔹 Industrial FCF: €276M; +39% YoY
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: ~€7.60 (Est. €7.57B) 🟢; from ~7.50
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: ≥2.97, ≥39.0% margin; from ≥2.93
🔹 Adj. EBIT: ≥2.26, ≥29.5% margin; from ≥2.22
🔹 Adj. EPS: ≥9.68 (Est. €9.71) 🟡; from ≥9.45
🔹 Industrial FCF: ≥1.55; from ≥1.50
Segment Net Revenue:
🔹 Cars & Spare Parts: €1,629M; +8% YoY
🔹 Sponsorship & Brand: €209M; +2% YoY
Other Q2 Metrics:
🔹 EBITDA: €755M; +7% YoY
🔹 EBITDA Margin: 39.0%; -70 bps YoY
🔹 Net Profit: €463M; +9% YoY
Comments:
🔸 “The robust results achieved in the second quarter reflect our disciplined execution and the continued strength of our strategy. A sustained trend in personalizations allows us to raise the guidance for the year”
🔸 “In a single quarter, we introduced the Ferrari Luce and the Ferrari 12Cilindri Manuale: two very different sports cars that embody the same Ferrari DNA and demonstrate how we blend tradition and innovation in unique ways. Today we have the most complete line-up in Ferrari history and we continue to experience healthy demand, with an order book that entirely covers 2027”
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