🐦 推特Wall St EngineCodex · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 19:23:01时区推断·⟳ 抓取 19:23:32·⚡ 决策 08-04 19:26:33 +3m01s·84.2 天前
TransDigm第三财季调整后业绩超预期并上调2026财年指引
收入27.4亿美元高于预期26.8亿美元，调整后EPS 10.87美元高于预期10.30美元，全年销售和调整后EPS指引均上修。
📄 原文Wall St Engine@wallstengine↗ 原文
TRANSDIGM $TDG Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $2.74B (Est. $2.68B) 🟢; +23% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $10.87 (Est. $10.30) 🟢…
不做 TransDigm（TDG.US）
查重命中内部案例库已存在同一具体催化的ENTER LONG决策：TransDigm第三财季业绩超预期并上调2026财年指引；本条为重复转述，不再出新交易。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-04 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗
消息传播链
- 2026-08-04 11:21 UTC其它内部已处理事件库非一手内部先前已处理TransDigm发布2026财年三季度业绩公告和8-K目录，但当时部分条目因缺少正文数据判为不做。
- 社交财经账号汇总TDG三季度收入、调整后EPS、EBITDA超预期以及全年销售和调整后EPS指引上修。市场反应:美股仍处盘前；最近正式收盘价为1285.56美元，8月3日收涨2.49%。
- 2026-08-04其它search_case_library非一手内部案例库已命中同一具体催化：TransDigm第三财季业绩超预期并上调2026财年指引，且已有ENTER LONG TDG.US决策。
关键理由
- 收入27.4亿美元高于预期26.8亿美元，调整后EPS 10.87美元高于预期10.30美元，全年销售和调整后EPS指引均上修。
- 公司称三大市场渠道均实现双位数增长，商业售后市场增长17%，订单超预期支撑全年动能。
- 但查重命中我们已对同一具体财报催化生成过TransDigm（TDG.US）做多决策，本条不应重复出卡。
主要风险
- GAAP净利润和全年净利润指引低于市场预期，说明收购、融资或一次性项目仍可能压制表观利润。
- 8月3日收盘前TDG已上涨2.49%且量比偏高，若开盘大幅跳空，追价性价比会下降。
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
KB检索未命中与本次财报方向相反的TDG特定新增重大利空，主要返回无关结果；但查重命中已处理催化，故不再交易。
检索:TDG TransDigm recent negative DOJ Stellant acquisition debt margin concerns August 2026
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(4 种)
- search_processed_events · 结果未知
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
- search_case_library · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 1,203 字
TRANSDIGM $TDG Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $2.74B (Est. $2.68B) 🟢; +23% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $10.87 (Est. $10.30) 🟢; +13% YoY
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $1.45B (Est. $1.38B) 🟢; +19% YoY
🔹 Net Income: $540M (Est. $595M) 🔴; +10% YoY
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Net Sales: $10.47B-$10.55B (Est. $10.38B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $5.49B-$5.55B (Est. $5.41B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EPS: $40.62-$41.46 (Est. $39.82) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $2.10B-$2.15B (Est. $2.30B) 🔴
🔹 EPS: $35.38-$36.21
Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Adj. EBITDA Margin: 52.8% (Est. 52.2%) 🟢; -160 bps YoY
🔹 Organic Sales Growth: 13%
🔹 Operating Income: $1.23B (Est. $1.24B) 🟡
Capital Return:
🔹 Buybacks: 809,101 shares for $1.0B
🔹 YTD Buybacks: 1,496,383 shares for $1.8B
M&A:
🔹 Prince & Izant Acquisition: ~$1.07B (announced post-quarter)
🔹 Jet Parts Engineering & Victor Sierra: ~$2.2B (completed in Q3)
Comments:
🔸 “All three of our major market channels again delivered double-digit growth compared to the prior year's third quarter. Commercial aftermarket growth of 17% remained strong this quarter.”
🔸 “Our strong third quarter performance is enabling us to increase our guidance for the full year. Bookings have exceeded expectations, and we see the current momentum continuing.”
🔹 Revenue: $2.74B (Est. $2.68B) 🟢; +23% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $10.87 (Est. $10.30) 🟢; +13% YoY
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $1.45B (Est. $1.38B) 🟢; +19% YoY
🔹 Net Income: $540M (Est. $595M) 🔴; +10% YoY
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Net Sales: $10.47B-$10.55B (Est. $10.38B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $5.49B-$5.55B (Est. $5.41B) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EPS: $40.62-$41.46 (Est. $39.82) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $2.10B-$2.15B (Est. $2.30B) 🔴
🔹 EPS: $35.38-$36.21
Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Adj. EBITDA Margin: 52.8% (Est. 52.2%) 🟢; -160 bps YoY
🔹 Organic Sales Growth: 13%
🔹 Operating Income: $1.23B (Est. $1.24B) 🟡
Capital Return:
🔹 Buybacks: 809,101 shares for $1.0B
🔹 YTD Buybacks: 1,496,383 shares for $1.8B
M&A:
🔹 Prince & Izant Acquisition: ~$1.07B (announced post-quarter)
🔹 Jet Parts Engineering & Victor Sierra: ~$2.2B (completed in Q3)
Comments:
🔸 “All three of our major market channels again delivered double-digit growth compared to the prior year's third quarter. Commercial aftermarket growth of 17% remained strong this quarter.”
🔸 “Our strong third quarter performance is enabling us to increase our guidance for the full year. Bookings have exceeded expectations, and we see the current momentum continuing.”
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