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📰 The InformationThe InformationCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 09-01 22:01:09时区推断·⟳ 抓取 09-01 22:01:58·⚡ 决策 09-02 04:16:49 +6h14m·55.4 天前

Wafer称用AMD等非英伟达芯片做AI推理优化并获2亿美元以上估值收购邀约

核心催化是私有公司Wafer的技术和融资/并购兴趣,对AMD/NVDA只有叙事读穿且量级不足;缺少可交易标的的强基本面增量和经行情验证的执行价,因此不做。

📄 原文The Information↗ 原文
Wafer differs from other inference providers by running its AI on chips from both **Nvidia** and **Advanced Micro Devic…
不做 Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US)
Wafer读穿偏利好但量级太小且核心技术点已在7月传播;缺少真实报价和先例量化,不给新多。
不做 Nvidia(NVDA.US)
非Nvidia推理优化是边际竞争叙事,不是直接、实质、强看空催化;不做空。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

Wafer的报道强化了AMD MI355X在AI推理中可被软件优化、降低成本的叙事,但公开可核实的量级仍是私有初创约800万美元年化收入和单一模型基准,不能推导为AMD短期收入或份额的可交易增量;对Nvidia也不足以形成核心逻辑证伪。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-01 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-07-03官方确认/否认Wafer非一手原文 ↗
    可见转述显示Wafer在7月已发布GLM-5.2跑在AMD MI355X上的性能和成本结果,说明技术点并非9月1日首次出现。
  2. 2026-09-01 10:01 ET首发The Information一手源原文 ↗
    The Information报道Wafer收入、客户和2亿美元以上估值收购邀约,是本次新增催化来源。
  3. 2026-08-31财经媒体扩散Reuters非一手原文 ↗
    同一AI硬件生态背景下,Nvidia投资MediaTek可转债已由Reuters传播,但属于另一独立催化。

关键理由

  • Wafer案例说明非Nvidia推理生态正在改善,对AMD长期叙事偏正面。
  • Wafer约800万美元ARR和2亿美元以上估值邀约相对AMD/Nvidia市值与收入基数极小,短线弹性不足。
  • 7月AMD MI355X运行GLM-5.2的技术结果已有行业传播,本次增量主要是Wafer收入和收购兴趣。

主要风险

  • 若后续云厂商或大模型公司正式大规模采用AMD MI355X推理,AMD读穿会显著增强。
  • The Information为高影响力行业媒体,但当前报道仍包含私有公司口径和未具名收购邀约,官方可验证性有限。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-03 · 影响 weakens
    核心技术基准在7月已有传播,削弱9月1日对AMD的新增预期差。
    检索:AMD MI355X Wafer GLM-5.2 already reported July 2026 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-09-01 · 影响 none
    市场同时关注Nvidia生态融资循环风险,但这不是Wafer导致的直接基本面利空,不能单独构成强空。
    检索:Nvidia AI circular financing concerns September 2026 MediaTek Anthropic Lambda 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例不足进一步压低交易置信度,最终选择AVOID而非小仓追AMD或做空Nvidia。

方向:缺少足够相似的公开可交易先例;私有推理服务商技术基准对AMD/NVDA超大市值股票的短线传导难直接外推。

涨幅量级:未能用事件研究工具量化外部先例,不能据此设置可执行止盈止损。

形态:同类AI芯片生态新闻常被纳入既有AMD/Nvidia叙事,但本轮没有足够高相似、首发锚点干净的样本。

工具执行结果 · 成功 1 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
  1. web_search 成功 ? · 0 ms

原文全文

展开原文 · 12,277 字
Wafer differs from other inference providers by running its AI on chips from both **Nvidia** and **Advanced Micro Devices**. It also hopes to eventually apply its AI agents to a host of other non-Nvidia chips, such as those from **Google**, **Sambanova** and **Cerebras**.

What Wafer is offering may be especially helpful for businesses wanting to run AI models on non-Nvidia chips, which are more readily available but lack the shared knowledge and software optimizations developers have built up over years of using Nvidia chips for AI, Andere said.

In July, for example, Wafer said that it was able to optimize **Z.ai’s** popular **GLM-5.2**model to run on AMD’s**Instinct MI355X**. In doing so, the model was able to process requests around 80% as fast as an Nvidia**B200** chip but at less than half the cost, the company said.

That sort of technology is valuable. Wafer’s revenue has grown to around $8 million in annualized revenue—or $666,000 a month—in the span of 12 weeks, according to Andere. That reflects businesses’ growing concern with the costs and speed of running AI.

Moreover, the startup has received multiple acquisition offers from companies including larger inference providers and cloud providers, which it turned down, according to a person with knowledge of the offers. (Andere also declined to comment on those offers.) You can imagine why such companies would be interested in buying a startup that would help to unlock underutilized sources of compute, given the ongoing compute crunch.

Currently, Wafer serves startup customers including **Vercel**, which uses its tech to serve ultra-fast coding models, and voice AI startup **Inworld AI**, Andere said. Like other inference providers, Wafer has gross margins of around 50%, which are lower than the typical software business, due to the costs of having to rent chips, he said.

*Here’s what else is going on…*

### Big Number

**OpenAI’s** advertising business [has reached $1 billion](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/openais-advertising-business-hits-1-billion-annualized-revenue-run-rate) in annualized revenue run rate, the company said Monday, suggesting it is likely to fall well short of the $2.4 billion in ad revenue it had projected for 2026. The **ChatGPT** creator launched ad sales in the chatbot in February, as a way to generate money from the hundreds of millions of people who use ChatGPT without paying.

### Overheard

Communities that don’t want data centers will end up being “backwards and poor,” **President Donald Trump** [said Monday on TruthSocial](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/trump-condemns-communities-opposed-data-centers), signaling his backing of the politically-charged industry ahead of the upcoming midterm elections.

“If we kill the Golden Goose, you will only have yourselves to blame,” Trump added in a social media post. Last week, the **National Republican Senatorial Committee** warned that Democrats were using voter opposition to data centers successfully in a campaign against a sitting Ohio Senator, Axios reported.

### People on the Move

After 15 years leading **Apple**, **Tim Cook** [stepped down as chief executive](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/tim-cooks-last-day-changes-happening-apple) on Monday. And while he is committed to a smooth transition and continuity to the tenure of **John Ternus**—senior vice president of hardware engineering, who takes over on Tuesday—changes are already happening. Notably, long-time Apple executive **Phil Schiller** is stepping down as head of **App Store** and product events, Bloomberg reported. The App Store team will be moved under services lead **Eddy Cue**, while events will be switched to public relations lead **Kristin Huguet Quayle**.

### Court Watch

**Apple** [filed](https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.474095/gov.uscourts.cand.474095.94.1.pdf) new “shocking evidence” in its lawsuit against **OpenAI** alleging that former employees had stolen trade secrets for the ChatGPT-maker. Apple alleged that former employee **Chang Liu**, who now works at OpenAI, used a confidential Apple circuit schematic in his work at OpenAI, as well as a tool that shares a name with an internal Apple engineering application.

**ChangXin Memory Technologies** (CXMT), China’s leading memory chipmaker, [is suing the U.S. Department of Defense](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/cxmt-sues-u-s-inclusion-military-linked-blacklist) as it seeks a removal from a **Pentagon** blacklist identifying it as a Chinese military-linked entity. CXMT denied any affiliations with the military and said it produces its DRAM chips for civilian and commercial uses. Its lawsuit, filed in the **U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia**, also names **Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth** among the defendants.

The **Federal Trade Commission** and attorneys general from 22 states [sued](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/ftc-sues-amazon-alleging-ad-price-manipulation) **Amazon** for overcharging its advertising customers by allegedly manipulating ad auctions. Advertisers promoting their products on Amazon’s marketplace buy ad spots where the price is set in auctions. In the complaint, the FTC and the states allege Amazon added an extra charge to bids in order to raise the price that advertisers paid above what one employee said could be achieved by “advertiser competition” alone.

### Deals and Debuts

*See The Information’s [Generative AI Database](https://www.theinformation.com/projects/generative-ai) for an exclusive list of private companies and their investors.*

**Anthropic** has signed a cloud-computing deal worth $35 billion with **Lambda**, the **Nvidia**-backed company that rents out AI chips, the Wall Street Journal reported.

**Clay**, whose software helps sales and marketing teams find and research potential customers, is raising a funding round led by **Wellington** at a $7 billion pre-money valuation, up from $5 billion in an employee share sale in January, Axios reported.

**Nvidia** [invested $3.5 billion in convertible bonds](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/nvidia-invests-mediatek) issued by Taiwanese chipmaker **MediaTek**, Nvidia said, the latest sign of collaboration between the two companies.

**SLB** has agreed to acquire **Kelvion**, a century-old maker of the heat exchangers and cooling equipment that keep data centers from overheating, for $3.4 billion in cash plus the assumption of about $700 million of debt—a total transaction value of roughly $4.1 billion.

**Andreessen Horowitz** [said Monday it had raised](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/andreessen-horowitz-raises-additional-1-75-billion-fifth-growth-fund) an additional $1.75 billion for its fifth growth fund, bringing the total raised to $8.5 billion. Andreessen Horowitz raised $6.75 billion for that fund back in January.

**Enflame Technology**, a company that designs AI chips and is backed by **Tencent**, priced its initial public offering on Shanghai's **STAR Market** at 142.18 yuan (about $21.16) a share, selling 43.04 million shares to raise about 6.12 billion yuan (roughly $911 million).

**Carrick Capital Partners** put $255 million of new money into **Saviynt**, whose software controls who is allowed to touch a company‘s systems, as part of the final close of Saviynt’s $700 million Series B funding round.

Chinese AI firm **Z.ai’s** revenue in the first half [jumped](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/chinese-ai-model-firm-z-ais-api-sales-surge-first-half) nearly fivefold from a year earlier to 954 million yuan ($142 million), boosted by skyrocketing sales of cloud-based AI model services.

**Physical Super Intelligence**, which is using AI for physics research, raised $58 million in seed funding led by **Breakthrough Energy Ventures** with participation from **Dragon Global**.

**Adaptyv Biosystems**, which develops AI for protein design, raised $40 million in a Series A funding round led by **Highland Europe**.

**Easy Aerial**, a company that makes drones which stay tethered to a base station so they can hover over a site for long stretches watching it, raised $20 million in a Series B funding round from **Insight Partners**, **Entrée Capital** and other investors.

**Clipto**, which indexes videos, audio, images, meetings and other files on a user’s computer, raised $15 million at a $250 million post-money valuation from investors including **HSG** (formerly **Sequoia China**), **GL Ventures**, **EnvisionX** **Capital**, **Palm Drive Capital**, **Hans Tung**, **Lu Zhang** and **522 Ventures**.

**Blue Voice**, a Boston-based AI startup that provides real-time policy guidance to officers in the field, raised $6 million in funding led by **SignalFire** and **Las Olas VC**.

**Aila**, a Riyadh company whose software works out where a student's understanding has gaps and then develops practice around them, raised $3 million in a pre-Series A funding round led by **Rua Growth** **Fund**.

**Humain**, the Saudi state-owned AI company founded last year, [announced a series of partnerships with U.S. startups](https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/saudi-ai-firm-humain-partners-together-ai-minio-data-centers) on Monday tied to data centers in Riyadh and Dammam. **Together AI**, which rents out computing power to developers who train and run AI models, will share a portion of the revenue from each customer with Humain, which plans to provide the startup with 250 megawatts of electricity and 120,000 **Nvidia**, **AMD** and **Qualcomm** chips.

The **Pentagon** launched versions of **OpenAI’s ChatGPT** and **xAI’s Grok** called **“ChatGPT Mil”** and **“Grok for Government,”** to its civilian and military personnel.

**Deloitte** has acquired substantially all of the assets of **Wavicle Data Solutions**, a data engineering firm whose specialty is developing the clean, organized data foundations a company needs before its AI will work. Terms were not disclosed.

**Athena Agentic**, which sells software that runs a company's security operations largely without human staff, bought the **Omni Cyber Solutions Agentic Platform**, an AI security product, in an asset purchase. Terms were not disclosed.

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## What We’re Reading

#### [Social Media and the Myth of the Big Tobacco Moment](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/28/technology/meta-social-media-big-tobacco.html)

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