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📰 The InformationThe InformationDoubao · 实盘不做把握 7/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 09-14 21:00:55时区推断·⟳ 抓取 08:54:44·⚡ 决策 09-15 09:01:12 +6m28s·42.6 天前

数据留存担忧致英伟达、Palantir、博思艾伦限制使用Anthropic旗舰模型,微软借机抢客

核心受影响方Anthropic、OpenAI均为非上市公司无法直接交易;被点名的公开公司多为超大市值,事件仅为竞争性叙事和客户使用偏好,无订单金额、指引变化或可量化的收入/利润增量,软催化不支撑正期望交易;亦无任何公开公司受到直接实质净损害,不满足做空红线。

📄 原文The Information↗ 原文
Anthropic Data Fears Prompt Nvidia, Palantir and Booz Allen to Restrict Model Use
Anthropic is facing pushback over a June policy change for its flagship Fable model that gave it the right to retain cu…
不做 Palantir Technologies(PLTR.US)
软叙事利好且为自我营销,无合同/收入增量,4160亿美元市值上无materiality,9月14日已上涨3.64%,追高风险收益比差
不做 Microsoft(MSFT.US)
抢客努力尚处报价阶段、客户仍在考虑,相对超大市值无量化业绩弹性
不做 Nvidia(NVDA.US)
限制使用Anthropic模型既非其盈利利好也非实质利空,Nemotron替代影响微小,无明确方向
不做 Anthropic/OpenAI(N/A)
事件核心受损方均为非上市公司,无直接可交易证券,亦无合格单股杠杆产品
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

这是一篇关于AI企业客户数据隐私的行业叙事报道:Anthropic/OpenAI的ZDR政策引发大企业防范,微软、Palantir借机营销中介与隔离云方案。但真正的主角未上市,上市相关方均无硬性财务增量,软催化在超大市值标的上不构成可交易edge。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-14 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-09-14首发The Information一手源原文 ↗
    独家深度报道,引用英伟达、Palantir、博思艾伦高管及匿名客户,美东9月14日交易时段内发布
  2. 2026-09-14 10:36财经媒体扩散TipRanks非一手原文 ↗
    当日上午即有英文聚合媒体跟进转述,说明消息在美股盘中已开始传播
    市场反应:Palantir 9月14日收涨3.64%至173.31美元
  3. 2026-09-15社交扩散新智元/韩媒等非一手原文 ↗
    9月15日亚洲时段中文、韩文媒体广泛转载,标题强化为英伟达封杀Claude,扩散面扩大

关键理由

  • 受益方Palantir、微软的诉求均为自我营销性表态,报道未给出任何已签合同或收入指引,相对其市值弹性可忽略
  • 受损方Anthropic、OpenAI为私有公司,且文中明确两家收入仍快速增长、模型性能领先使客户难以替代

主要风险

  • 若后续出现大型企业公开的大规模合同迁移或Anthropic企业收入指引下修,叙事可能演化为实质事件
  • 若Anthropic迅速给予不可撤销ZDR保证,Palantir等中介的差异化卖点将消失

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-09-15 · 影响 weakens
    未见任何已签署的客户迁移合同或Palantir因此获得新订单的证据,做多受益方缺乏基本面抓手
    检索:Anthropic ZDR agreement Palantir Fable irrevocable guarantee contract win 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-09-15 · 影响 invalidates
    报道明确两家公司收入仍快速增长、模型领先使客户难以替代,且无上市标的盈利下修,不构成做空依据
    检索:Anthropic OpenAI enterprise revenue growth guidance data retention impact 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例空白加上事件无硬财务数据,直接导向AVOID而非小仓试探

方向:未找到可对齐的、因数据留存政策导致上市中介或云厂商股价出现统计显著反应的先例

涨幅量级:缺乏同市场同机制的价格先例,无法校准止盈幅度,这本身支持不做

形态:无证据支持该类软叙事存在稳定的隔日或数日收益模式

工具执行结果 · 成功 3 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
  1. search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 38 ms
    {"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`anthropic fable zero data retention zdr policy customer pushback | microsoft lure openai anthropic clients isolated cloud data privacy | nvidia palantir booz allen restrict anthrop`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agen
  2. web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,413 ms
    豆包搜索结果(原始查询:Anthropic Fable zero data retention Palantir Nvidia Booz Allen The Information;API SearchType:web)
  3. stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 1,116 ms
    {

原文全文

展开原文 · 10,590 字
Anthropic is facing pushback over a June policy change for its flagship Fable model that gave it the right to retain customer data to ensure the model isn’t used in malicious ways. Changes related to the policy this month have left some customers unsatisfied. At the same time, OpenAI is defending itself against [claims that it may have trained its model with a user’s data](https://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/ai-agenda/openai-math-result-stokes-data-sharing-concerns?rc=c48ukx) to help it achieve a major mathematical breakthrough.

Microsoft is already leveraging the fears to try to lure OpenAI and Anthropic clients to its own AI offerings, according to people involved in the effort. It also has aggressively pitched its own isolated cloud environments for customers worried about privacy; it recently offered one large client a system that would run AI models on privately managed servers that don’t send data to any external AI provider, costing millions of dollars over multiple years, an option the customer is still considering.

OpenAI and Anthropic say that by default, they don’t train their models on the information companies with enterprise contracts feed to the models or the information the models produce—unless customers opt in to such sharing. (Individual users must manually opt out of such data sharing.) Still, both OpenAI and Anthropic collect some metadata from corporate customers.

It isn’t clear what the metadata are, though corporate customers say OpenAI’s terms of service imply that they include anonymized data about how customers’ employees are using the software. OpenAI says the metadata are “de-identified,” meaning they don’t include information that identifies the customer. And while OpenAI says it collects such metadata “to better understand how our services are used,” an OpenAI spokesperson clarified such metadata is not used to improve the company’s models.

While OpenAI Chief Research Officer Mark Chen said in an X post Tuesday that the company uses such data in a de-identified way to improve its models, including for the AI that solved the Navier-Stokes math problem, an OpenAI spokesperson said on Sunday that Chen was referring to data customers voluntarily shared with OpenAI. The spokesperson said that, after investigating, OpenAI determined that no data from the researchers working on the Navier-Stokes problem in the past two years was used to improve its models.

Anthropic uses aggregated, anonymized data about how customers use its products, such as what features they rely on and which ones work better or worse than others, to improve the products. But it says it doesn’t use the metadata to train its models.

**‘Blank Spot in Our Radar’**

Some customers say the AI companies’ disclosures around these policies aren’t clear enough, and they are seeking more detailed explanations.

Telecommunications operator C Spire, for instance, maintains strict agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic not to train new models on its data, but its contracts permit both labs to collect technical usage data. C Spire interpreted that term as data about what applications the models connected with to automate tasks, how often the company used the models, and possibly what work the models were doing behind the scenes between generating responses. However, an OpenAI official said the company does not train on the “chains of thought” models produce as they work on the answers.

C Spire Chief AI Officer Fernando Higuera said he’s trying to understand more about what data the AI labs are collecting. “I wouldn’t say it’s a red flag for OpenAI and Anthropic to capture that; it’s more of a blank spot in our radar,” Higuera said.

Corporate concerns about giving away proprietary information to Anthropic and OpenAI aren’t new, and their revenue has still grown rapidly. The two firms offer the best-performing models for automating white-collar work and research, according to a variety of evaluations, making them hard to ignore for businesses that want to automate customer service, legal work and other tasks—or to develop and sell AI apps that perform such work.

But Anthropic and OpenAI are now selling their own applications and features that also target such work, and they say they want to help develop drugs and other real-world products, [potentially threatening the businesses of some of their biggest customers in the process](https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-blindsides-business-partners?rc=c48ukx).

Palantir has led the public charge to warn businesses not to work with Anthropic and OpenAI directly, though its warnings are self-serving: It wants businesses to use its own AI-related services as a buffer to protect their intellectual property from Anthropic. The leaders of Microsoft, Salesforce and other firms that compete with Anthropic and OpenAI in selling AI applications to businesses have made similar public comments, saying customers should access the leading AI models through them instead of buying directly from the model providers.

Anthropic historically had given some business customers guarantees around zero data retention, ensuring the company didn’t store their data and use it to improve new AI models. But when Anthropic launched Fable in June, it changed course, stating that it needed to retain logs of how customers were using the model on a rolling 30-day basis to “help us defend against complex and novel attacks.”

OpenAI similarly said it would retain some logs from customers using its GPT-5.6-Cyber models for safety reasons, but in August it gave customers the option to store such logs on their own servers.

Following customer blowback, and OpenAI’s announcement of the self-storage option, Anthropic this month introduced a similar program, which will begin rolling out in phases this fall, allowing eligible firms to store data related to their use of Fable within their own servers. Anthropic said it had developed the new system in collaboration with more than 100 customers, but others had to request access to it, and it retained a provision stating that the company can eliminate such an option at any time.

> "We worry a little bit that [Fable] might be learning from some of our code," said Chief Technology Officer Bill Vass. “So when we're concerned about intellectual property in a very small number of cases, we're not using Anthropic in those cases.”

That’s a problem for Palantir, which provides Anthropic’s models to customers through its software for building customer AI applications. In what became a laborious process, Palantir executives convinced Anthropic to agree to make irrevocable ZDR guarantees across all models, according to a person familiar with the discussions.

**Palantir’s Spicy Booklet**

The June policy shift reignited those negotiations, and Palantir won’t make Fable available through its own software to clients until Anthropic provides ZDR assurances it can’t later revoke, a person familiar with the situation said. (Palantir customers who want to buy Fable directly from Anthropic can still do so.)

Palantir CEO Alex Karp said during a customer event last week that enterprises are tired of AI labs “abusing” them, and the company produced a booklet given to every attendee of the event, titled: “How to Avoid Transferring Your Alpha to a Hosted Model Provider.” The booklet advises Palantir customers how to negotiate ZDR with providers. (Palantir and some other OpenAI customers say they have gotten access to its GPT-6 Astra model with zero data retention, so Palantir is providing that model to customers.)

Nvidia, meanwhile, is only using Fable for tasks that involve less sensitive business data, such as those related to open-source software projects, because Anthropic hasn’t provided irrevocable ZDR-related guarantees.

“As a company, you know, we believe ZDR should be on by default,” said Justin Boitano, Nvidia’s vice president of enterprise AI.

For sensitive internal projects, such as AI-driven supply chain monitoring, Nvidia uses its proprietary Nemotron models. (Nvidia has invested in Anthropic, which is also a major user of Nvidia hardware to develop models.)

Defense contractor Booz Allen Hamilton has a similar point of view. Though it was one of the earliest users of Anthropic’s Mythos, which it used to examine its systems for potential cybersecurity vulnerabilities, the company has barred its employees from using the commercially available version of the model, Fable, in work involving the proprietary cybersecurity software it provides customers, due to Fable’s data retention policies.

“We worry a little bit that [Fable] might be learning from some of our code,” said Chief Technology Officer Bill Vass. “So when we’re concerned about intellectual property in a very small number of cases, we’re not using Anthropic in those cases.” He added that the company isn’t worried about the issue in a majority of cases.

**Air-Gapped Servers**

Meanwhile, an executive of a large U.S. utility said their organization abandoned plans to test Fable for running core power infrastructure serving millions of American households, after Anthropic refused to guarantee a nonrevocable ZDR contract. The utility still uses Anthropic for tasks related to finance and human resources, such as employee onboarding, this person said.

Some customers, such as Novo Nordisk, a global pharmaceutical leader, have long used Anthropic’s Claude to analyze public documentation and draft generic materials but enforce a strict ban against feeding proprietary data to such a model.

Similarly, aerospace giant Northrop Grumman has long opted to run open-source AI models on its own air-gapped servers (which don’t connect to the internet) for tasks like AI coding, rather than trust OpenAI and Anthropic, according to someone with knowledge of the situation.

Some teams within Northrop have used models from providers like Poolside and Luminary on the company’s own servers, turning to open-source AI models from Nvidia on air-gapped servers for internal tasks like generating and editing software code or aiding scientific research, this person said. The company has been hiring AI researchers from other firms to help with the effort, including former Microsoft AI researchers Fahad Khan and Praveen Palanisamy, who now help lead Northrop’s internal AI efforts.

A Northrop Grumman spokesperson said in a statement that “each AI use case is assessed for potential risk,” and that the company secures its AI use through “a robust security framework, monitoring, and even our infrastructure.”

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