🇭🇰 港交所MABWELL-BDoubao · 实盘不做把握 6/10不做原因:已被定价
北京时间·🕒 发布 18:29:00时区推断·⟳ 抓取 18:29:59·⚡ 决策 10-19 18:43:15 +13m16s·8.1 天前
迈威生物预告9MW2821将在2026 ESMO口头报告TNBC II期数据:ORR 30%、mPFS 3.7个月
这是一次会议数据的会前预告而非新状态迁移:核心数据截止2026-04-10,公司7月20日即公告入选ESMO口头报告,10月18日晚PR Newswire/上交所已完整披露ORR 30%等数字,A股10月19日仅+1.21%、成交温和,市场已消化;且TNBC为ADC重度经治人群,30% ORR/3.7个月mPFS属中等疗效、无新增安全性信号,不构成上市申报触发,真正催化是UC/CC III期中期分析。现价时点买入博ESMO无正期望,做空也缺乏强利空(数据为正面且有全球首个标签),故多空均不做。
📄 原文MABWELL-B↗ 原文
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility for the con…
不做 迈威生物(688062.SH)
II期TNBC数据为ESMO会前明牌(7月预告、10月18日完整披露),ORR 30%/mPFS 3.7个月在ADC经治人群中疗效中等且不触发上市申报,A股10月19日已平淡反映+1.21%,无未定价edge;真正催化为UC/CC III期中期分析,等该事件再评估
不做 迈威生物-B(02493.HK)
同一资产H股,无监管/商业化状态迁移,股价13周下行约17%、距52周高-39%、日均成交仅约390万港元;数据已price-in且流动性偏弱,多空均无正期望,不做
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
9MW2821 TNBC II期数据(ORR 30%、mPFS 3.7个月)系ESMO会前预告,数字在10月18日PR/上交所公告中已完整公开、7月已预告入选,疗效在ADC经治人群中中等且不触发申报,A股反应平淡、H股处于下行趋势,事件已被定价且无短期业绩兑现,不构成可交易edge。
消息传播链
- 会前preview通稿完整披露ADC经治TNBC II期ORR等数据,先于港交所英文公告扩散至英文媒体
- H股自愿公告,与上交所A股公告(编号2026-068)同日,内容一致
- A股688062当日收22.56元、+1.21%,成交1.6亿元、换手3.15%,反应平淡,未见抢跑式大涨市场反应:A股+1.21%,量能温和
关键理由
- 全球首个进入该阶段的Nectin-4 ADC TNBC疗法,安全性可控,构成平台长期正面叙事
- 但数据无监管状态迁移,距收入兑现尚远,近期价值驱动仍是UC/CC III期中期分析
主要风险
- ESMO现场若有更细随访或合作/授权消息可能带来短线波动,反之无新增内容则可能sell-the-news
- 创新biotech尚未盈利(H股PE为负),TNBC数据若被解读为疗效平庸可能压制估值
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-19 · 影响 weakens
未检索到针对该数据的卖方下调或证伪;但mPFS仅3.7个月、人群为ADC经治后,疗效平庸的解读构成追多反证
检索:9MW2821 三阴性乳腺癌 ORR 30% 不及预期 利空 下修 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-19 · 影响 weakens
公司真正近期催化为UC单药/联合、CC单药III期2026年中期分析及pre-NDA,TNBC II期非价值主线,降低本事件边际权重
检索:迈威生物 9MW2821 UC 尿路上皮癌 III期 中期分析 2026 突破疗法 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 invalidates
数据为正面且公司有四项III期、突破性疗法标签,无新增利空,不满足做空催化
检索:迈威生物 9MW2821 授权 BD 合作 获批 利好
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不改变结论;避免在数据明牌后追多,也不据模糊解读做空
方向:未构建高相似先例面板;本次为会前预告型II期数据,核心判断(明牌、中等疗效、无状态迁移)已足以决定不做
涨幅量级:样本不足,不用于设定tp/sl
形态:biotech会前完整披露数字、会议仅口头复述的情形常见sell-the-news,但本次未量化先例
工具执行结果 · 成功 7 · 降级 0 · 失败 1 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 13 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`mabwell 9mw2821 nectin-4 adc tnbc orr 30% oral presentation esmo | 迈威生物 9mw2821 esmo 2026 三阴性乳腺癌 ii期 数据 | 邁威生物 02493 2493 esmo nectin-4`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式没有召回候选,不能据此证明消息首发或不是重复;按当前事件继续正常研判 - fetch_decision_experience 成功 stock_tools_inprocess · 2 ms
{ - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,195 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:迈威生物 9MW2821 三阴性乳腺癌 II期 ORR 30% ESMO 2026;API SearchType:web) - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,873 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:9MW2821 Nectin-4 ADC TNBC phase 2 ORR 30% Mabwell ESMO 2026 oral;API SearchType:web) - kb_search 失败 stock_tools HTTP · 55 ms
kb_search 服务暂不可用;这不是一条知识库命中。 - stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 3,544 ms
{ - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,558 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:迈威生物 9MW2821 三阴性乳腺癌 ORR 30% 7月 ESMO 入选 口头报告 数据已公布;API SearchType:web) - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,687 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:Nectin-4 ADC enfortumab vedotin Padcev triple negative breast cancer ORR phase 2 pretreated;API SearchType:web)
原文全文
展开原文 · 6,808 字
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility
for the contents of this announcement, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly
disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the
contents of this announcement.
Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd.
邁威(上海)生物科技股份有限公司
(A joint stock company incorporated in the People ’s Republic of China with limited liability)
(Stock Code: 2493)
VOLUNTARY ANNOUNCEMENT
REGARDING THE ORAL PRESENTATION OF CLINICAL DATA
ON 9MW2821 AT THE 2026 EUROPEAN SOCIETY FOR MEDICAL
ONCOLOGY (ESMO)
This announcement is made by Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd. (the “Company”) on a
voluntary basis. Please also refer to the overseas regulatory announcement of the Company dated
October 19, 2026.
The Company will present the Phase II clinical study data of the innovative Nectin-4-targeted ADC
for patients with locally advanced or metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) previously
treated with topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload ADCs in the form of an oral presentation at the
2026 European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress to be held in Madrid, Spain from
October 23 to October 27, 2026: as of April 10, 2026, among 60 efficacy-evaluable patients, the
objective response rate (ORR) was 30.0%, the disease control rate (DCR) was 80.0%, the median
progression-free survival (mPFS) was 3.7 months, the median duration of response (mDOR) was
8.7 months, and the median overall survival (mOS) was not yet mature. No new safety signals
were observed during this follow-up period.
There remains uncertainty as to whether the clinical trial results can support the submission of
a marketing application for the drug, whether marketing approval will ultimately be granted,
and when such marketing approval may be obtained. Investors are reminded to pay attention to
potential investment risks. The Company will fulfil its information disclosure obligations in a
timely manner in respect of subsequent developments in accordance with relevant regulations.
1
I.
BASIC INFORMATION OF THE DRUG
9MW2821 is Mabwell’s first site-specific conjugation ADC drug targeting Nectin-4. It is an
innovative product developed by the Company using the ADC drug development platform,
which achieves site-specific antibody modification through conjugation technology linker
with independent intellectual property rights and optimized ADC conjugation process.
Following administration of 9MW2821, it binds to Nectin-4 on the surface of tumor
cells and enters the cells. Through enzymolysis, it selectively releases cytotoxin, thereby
achieving precise tumor killing. Multiple clinical studies on 9MW2821 are currently being
conducted for several indications including urothelial carcinoma (UC), cervical cancer (CC),
triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), and esophageal cancer (EC), with a cumulative clinical
enrollment of over 2,200 patients. Currently, the Company is advancing four pivotal Phase
III clinical trials, covering UC monotherapy and combination therapy, CC monotherapy, and
monotherapy for topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload ADC-pretreated TNBC. Among them,
the UC monotherapy and combination therapy have been successively included in the list
of National Breakthrough Therapy Designation, the CC monotherapy is the first co-targeted
drug entering Phase III clinical study globally, and the corresponding TNBC therapy is also
the world's first product for the same indication to enter into such R&D stage, demonstrating
prominent competitive advantages in the industry. The project is simultaneously and rapidly
carrying out multiple Phase I/II clinical trials. The TNBC combination therapy, a combination
therapy in UC in perioperative period, and EC monotherapy are in Phase II clinical trials;
and the EC combination therapy and CC combination therapy are in Phase Ib/II clinical
trials. In terms of overseas expansion, the monotherapy for topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload
ADC-pretreated TNBC has entered into Phase Ib clinical trials in the United States.
According to the Company's R&D planning, the Phase III clinical trials of 9MW2821 for
UC monotherapy, UC combination therapy, and CC monotherapy will undergo interim
analyses in 2026, and the Company is expected to, based on the interim analysis data, submit
applications for pre-NDA meetings to the Center for Drug Evaluation under the National
Medical Products Administration.
II.
CLINICAL STUDY DATA ON 9MW2821 TO BE PRESENTED AT THE 2026 ESMO
CONGRESS
As of April 10, 2026, among 60 efficacy-evaluable patients, the objective response rate
(ORR) was 30.0%, the disease control rate (DCR) was 80.0%, the median progression-free
survival (mPFS) was 3.7 months, the median duration of response (mDOR) was 8.7 months,
and the median overall survival (mOS) was not yet mature. No new safety signals were
observed during this follow-up period. The study results indicate that 9MW2821 has a
manageable safety profile and positive therapeutic effects in patients with triple-negative
breast cancer.
III. RISK WARNING
Given that pharmaceutical products are characterised by high technology, high risks and high
added value, the process from clinical trials, regulatory approval to commercial production
involves lengthy cycles and multiple stages, and is therefore subject to various uncertainties.
Investors are advised to exercise prudence in making investment decisions and to pay due
attention to investment risks.
The Company will actively advance the aforementioned research and development projects
and will strictly adhere to relevant regulations to fulfill its information disclosure obligations
in a timely manner. For information regarding the Company, the announcements published
on the media designated by the Company for disclosure and on the website of the Shanghai
Stock Exchange shall prevail.
2
Cautionary statement required by Rule 18A.05 of the Rules Governing the Listing of
Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited: The Company cannot guarantee
that 9MW2821 will ultimately be successfully developed and marketed. Shareholders of the
Company and potential investors are advised to exercise caution when dealing in the shares
of the Company.
By Order of the Board
Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd.
Dr. Liu Datao
Chairman of the Board and Executive Director
Shanghai, the PRC, October 19, 2026
As at the date of this announcement, the directors of the Company are: (i) Mr. Tang Chunshan,
Dr. Liu Datao (Chairman of the Board), Dr. Wu Hai, Mr. Hua Jun and Dr. Gui Xun as executive
directors; and (ii) Mr. Qin Zhengyu, Mr. Zhou Rui, Ms. Li Fan and Ms. Wang Fang as independent
non-executive directors.
3
for the contents of this announcement, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly
disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the
contents of this announcement.
Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd.
邁威(上海)生物科技股份有限公司
(A joint stock company incorporated in the People ’s Republic of China with limited liability)
(Stock Code: 2493)
VOLUNTARY ANNOUNCEMENT
REGARDING THE ORAL PRESENTATION OF CLINICAL DATA
ON 9MW2821 AT THE 2026 EUROPEAN SOCIETY FOR MEDICAL
ONCOLOGY (ESMO)
This announcement is made by Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd. (the “Company”) on a
voluntary basis. Please also refer to the overseas regulatory announcement of the Company dated
October 19, 2026.
The Company will present the Phase II clinical study data of the innovative Nectin-4-targeted ADC
for patients with locally advanced or metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) previously
treated with topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload ADCs in the form of an oral presentation at the
2026 European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress to be held in Madrid, Spain from
October 23 to October 27, 2026: as of April 10, 2026, among 60 efficacy-evaluable patients, the
objective response rate (ORR) was 30.0%, the disease control rate (DCR) was 80.0%, the median
progression-free survival (mPFS) was 3.7 months, the median duration of response (mDOR) was
8.7 months, and the median overall survival (mOS) was not yet mature. No new safety signals
were observed during this follow-up period.
There remains uncertainty as to whether the clinical trial results can support the submission of
a marketing application for the drug, whether marketing approval will ultimately be granted,
and when such marketing approval may be obtained. Investors are reminded to pay attention to
potential investment risks. The Company will fulfil its information disclosure obligations in a
timely manner in respect of subsequent developments in accordance with relevant regulations.
1
I.
BASIC INFORMATION OF THE DRUG
9MW2821 is Mabwell’s first site-specific conjugation ADC drug targeting Nectin-4. It is an
innovative product developed by the Company using the ADC drug development platform,
which achieves site-specific antibody modification through conjugation technology linker
with independent intellectual property rights and optimized ADC conjugation process.
Following administration of 9MW2821, it binds to Nectin-4 on the surface of tumor
cells and enters the cells. Through enzymolysis, it selectively releases cytotoxin, thereby
achieving precise tumor killing. Multiple clinical studies on 9MW2821 are currently being
conducted for several indications including urothelial carcinoma (UC), cervical cancer (CC),
triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), and esophageal cancer (EC), with a cumulative clinical
enrollment of over 2,200 patients. Currently, the Company is advancing four pivotal Phase
III clinical trials, covering UC monotherapy and combination therapy, CC monotherapy, and
monotherapy for topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload ADC-pretreated TNBC. Among them,
the UC monotherapy and combination therapy have been successively included in the list
of National Breakthrough Therapy Designation, the CC monotherapy is the first co-targeted
drug entering Phase III clinical study globally, and the corresponding TNBC therapy is also
the world's first product for the same indication to enter into such R&D stage, demonstrating
prominent competitive advantages in the industry. The project is simultaneously and rapidly
carrying out multiple Phase I/II clinical trials. The TNBC combination therapy, a combination
therapy in UC in perioperative period, and EC monotherapy are in Phase II clinical trials;
and the EC combination therapy and CC combination therapy are in Phase Ib/II clinical
trials. In terms of overseas expansion, the monotherapy for topoisomerase I inhibitor-payload
ADC-pretreated TNBC has entered into Phase Ib clinical trials in the United States.
According to the Company's R&D planning, the Phase III clinical trials of 9MW2821 for
UC monotherapy, UC combination therapy, and CC monotherapy will undergo interim
analyses in 2026, and the Company is expected to, based on the interim analysis data, submit
applications for pre-NDA meetings to the Center for Drug Evaluation under the National
Medical Products Administration.
II.
CLINICAL STUDY DATA ON 9MW2821 TO BE PRESENTED AT THE 2026 ESMO
CONGRESS
As of April 10, 2026, among 60 efficacy-evaluable patients, the objective response rate
(ORR) was 30.0%, the disease control rate (DCR) was 80.0%, the median progression-free
survival (mPFS) was 3.7 months, the median duration of response (mDOR) was 8.7 months,
and the median overall survival (mOS) was not yet mature. No new safety signals were
observed during this follow-up period. The study results indicate that 9MW2821 has a
manageable safety profile and positive therapeutic effects in patients with triple-negative
breast cancer.
III. RISK WARNING
Given that pharmaceutical products are characterised by high technology, high risks and high
added value, the process from clinical trials, regulatory approval to commercial production
involves lengthy cycles and multiple stages, and is therefore subject to various uncertainties.
Investors are advised to exercise prudence in making investment decisions and to pay due
attention to investment risks.
The Company will actively advance the aforementioned research and development projects
and will strictly adhere to relevant regulations to fulfill its information disclosure obligations
in a timely manner. For information regarding the Company, the announcements published
on the media designated by the Company for disclosure and on the website of the Shanghai
Stock Exchange shall prevail.
2
Cautionary statement required by Rule 18A.05 of the Rules Governing the Listing of
Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited: The Company cannot guarantee
that 9MW2821 will ultimately be successfully developed and marketed. Shareholders of the
Company and potential investors are advised to exercise caution when dealing in the shares
of the Company.
By Order of the Board
Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience Co., Ltd.
Dr. Liu Datao
Chairman of the Board and Executive Director
Shanghai, the PRC, October 19, 2026
As at the date of this announcement, the directors of the Company are: (i) Mr. Tang Chunshan,
Dr. Liu Datao (Chairman of the Board), Dr. Wu Hai, Mr. Hua Jun and Dr. Gui Xun as executive
directors; and (ii) Mr. Qin Zhengyu, Mr. Zhou Rui, Ms. Li Fan and Ms. Wang Fang as independent
non-executive directors.
3
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19382ed11f· 2026-10-19 18:43 · doubao / doubao-seed-evolving-latest-version · 策略包658c0c1e2ba5当前