🏢 官网IRCALMCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 18:00:00时区推断·⟳ 抓取 18:05:18·⚡ 决策 07-22 18:07:16 +1m58s·97.0 天前
Cal-Maine Foods第四财季转亏且收入低于预期,蛋价低迷拖累利润
Cal-Maine Foods(CALM.US)第四财季EPS为-0.76美元,明显低于市场预期的0.08美元,收入5.526亿美元也低于约5.64亿至5.75亿美元预期区间。
📄 原文CALM↗ 原文
Cal-Maine Foods Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026 Results
Financial Highlights | (in thousands except per share amounts and percentages) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| | Fourt…
不做 Cal-Maine Foods(CALM.US)
财报方向偏空但盘前未确认下跌且市场预期已明显下修;未能确认可借券,不满足做空红线,当前不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- 公司提前公告将在2026-07-22美东06:00左右发布第四财季和全年业绩,财报本身属于排期内披露。
- 公司发布第四财季财报,披露净销售额5.526亿美元、摊薄每股亏损0.76美元、经营亏损5881万美元。市场反应:美股当时处于盘前。
- MarketBeat显示CALM.US前收87.25美元,盘前87.55美元,约+0.34%,并列出市场预期EPS 0.08美元、收入5.6383亿美元。市场反应:盘前未出现明显同向下跌,削弱直接追空性价比。
关键理由
- Cal-Maine Foods(CALM.US)第四财季EPS为-0.76美元,明显低于市场预期的0.08美元,收入5.526亿美元也低于约5.64亿至5.75亿美元预期区间。
- 公司将业绩下滑归因于供应过剩导致的批发蛋价处于历史低位,传统壳蛋平均售价第四财季同比下降70.9%,经营利润由去年同期4.36亿美元转为亏损5881万美元。
- 虽然Prepared Foods和Specialty Shell Eggs占比提升提供长期转型叙事,但本次财报的短线新增信息仍是利润和价格环境显著弱于去年同期。
主要风险
- 盘前价格仅小幅上涨,说明市场可能已部分预期蛋价下行和盈利回落,直接追空存在财报电话会反转或低预期修复风险。
- 未能通过可借券工具确认CALM.US可卖空数量,因此即使事件方向偏空,也不满足可执行做空红线。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-22 · 影响 weakens
盘前价格未因财报转亏而下跌,反而小幅上涨,提示低预期或财报电话会前不宜直接追空。
检索:CALM stock premarket July 22 2026 earnings reaction 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-16 · 影响 none
近期已有关于DOJ和州检方和解、相关诉讼风险的报道,但属于旧风险背景,不是本次财报新增空头事实。
检索:Cal-Maine Foods DOJ settlement July 2026 egg scandal 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-22 · 影响 weakens
公司披露5400万美元Prepared Foods扩产、预计2028财年上半年开始贡献约30%增量产能,但时间较远,无法抵消当前财季盈利转亏的短线压力。
检索:Cal-Maine Foods prepared foods capacity investment 54 million fiscal 2028 原文 ↗
原文全文
展开原文 · 8,000 字
Cal-Maine Foods Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026 Results
Financial Highlights
| (in thousands except per share amounts and percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | $ Change | % Change | 2026 | 2025 | $ Change | % Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net sales | $ | 552,581 | $ | 1,103,658 | $ | (551,077 | ) | (49.9 | ) | % | $ | 2,911,632 | $ | 4,261,885 | $ | (1,350,253 | ) | (31.7 | ) | % | ||||||||||
| Gross profit | $ | 34,066 | $ | 531,510 | $ | (497,444 | ) | (93.6 | ) | % | $ | 672,049 | $ | 1,850,885 | $ | (1,178,836 | ) | (63.7 | ) | % | ||||||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | (58,811 | ) | $ | 435,851 | $ | (494,662 | ) | (113.5 | ) | % | $ | 350,186 | $ | 1,536,539 | $ | (1,186,353 | ) | (77.2 | ) | % | |||||||||
| Net income attributable to |
$ | (35,876 | ) | $ | 342,475 | $ | (378,351 | ) | (110.5 | ) | % | $ | 316,682 | $ | 1,220,048 | $ | (903,366 | ) | (74.0 | ) | % | |||||||||
| Income (loss) per share - diluted | $ | (0.76 | ) | $ | 7.01 | $ | (7.77 | ) | (110.8 | ) | % | $ | 6.63 | $ | 24.95 | $ | (18.32 | ) | (73.4 | ) | % | |||||||||
Strategic Execution Highlights
- Continued focus on sales diversification and mix shift, expected to strengthen earnings durability and predictability over time
- In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026:
Prepared Foods accounted for 10.9% of net sales- Combined,
Specialty Shell Eggs and Prepared Foods increased to 53.0% of net sales
- In fiscal 2026:
Prepared Foods accounted for 8.4% of net sales- Combined,
Specialty Shell Eggs and Prepared Foods grew to 44.4% of net sales
- In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026:
- Acquired certain assets of
Creighton Brothers LLC and its affiliates, intended to further enhance vertically integrated operating model and strengthen connectivity across shell egg and prepared foods value chain - Acquired the Van’s® brand, aimed at accelerating strategic evolution into value-added, consumer-facing prepared foods and further diversifying earnings profile
- Subsequent to fiscal year-end:
- Acquired additional Eggland’s Best® franchise territory in Northeast, expanding the company's distribution footprint and increasing its specialty shell egg category penetration across one of the nation’s largest, highest-income consumer markets
- Announced new
$54 million investment to further expandPrepared Foods production capacity:- Expected to add approximately 30% incremental production capacity beginning in the first half of fiscal 2028
- Builds on previously announced 30% organic capacity growth and 6% Van’s® acquisition-driven capacity growth
Prepared Foods production capacity projected to increase by over 60% from the end of fiscal 2026 through the first half of fiscal 2028
Commentary
“During the quarter, industry oversupply drove wholesale shell egg prices to historically low inflation-adjusted levels. This dynamic was largely supply-driven rather than demand-driven, and we continue to see favorable long-term demand fundamentals across our end markets. The sustained trough pricing environment in the quarter provides a valuable stress-case reference point, demonstrating the resilience built through our strategic actions to date while highlighting the meaningful upside opportunity as our initiatives continue to mature.
“We are proud of the progress we have made this year executing our strategy. We are advancing our
New Reportable Operating Segments
Cal-Maine Foods’ reportable operating segments now consist of the following:
- Conventional Shell Eggs
- Specialty Shell Eggs
Prepared Foods
Cal-Maine Foods’ remaining operations, which include co-pack shell eggs, egg products, hard-cooked eggs and other business activities, are not reportable segments, as defined by the applicable accounting standard. All prior fiscal year periods have been recast to reflect the new reportable segments, and such recast information is included in the schedules accompanying this release.
Segment Results Summary
| Segment Sales | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | Volume Change | Avg. Price Change | 2026 | 2025 | Volume Change | Avg. Price Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Shell Eggs | $ | 210,765 | $ | 702,069 | 3.1 | % | (70.9 | ) | % | $ | 1,348,076 | $ | 2,755,859 | (0.3 | ) | % | (50.9 | ) | % | |||||||||||
| Specialty Shell Eggs | 239,731 | 305,142 | (5.9 | ) | % | (16.5 | ) | % | 1,070,458 | 1,154,951 | 2.4 | % | (9.5 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||
| 60,403 | 1,565 | N.M. | % | N.M. | % | 244,802 | 4,050 | N.M. | % | N.M. | % | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total Reportable Segments | $ | 510,899 | $ | 1,008,776 | $ | 2,663,336 | $ | 3,914,860 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
N.M. – Not Meaningful
| Operating Income (Loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating Margin | Operating Margin | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Shell Eggs | $ | (40,587 | ) | $ | 370,499 | (19.3 | ) | % | 52.8 | % | $ | 216,641 | $ | 1,290,003 | 16.1 | % | 46.8 | % | ||||||||||||
| Specialty Shell Eggs | 17,538 | 87,129 | 7.3 | % | 28.6 | % | 181,544 | 333,602 | 17.0 | % | 28.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8,820 | (647 | ) | 14.6 | % | (41.3 | ) | % | 33,882 | (2,119 | ) | 13.8 | % | (52.3 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||
| Total Reportable Segments | $ | (14,229 | ) | $ | 456,981 | (2.8 | ) | % | 45.3 | % | $ | 432,067 | $ | 1,621,486 | 16.2 | % | 41.4 | % | ||||||||||||
| Other - Segment Income (Loss) | (7,394 | ) | 25,535 | N/A | N/A | 19,044 | 42,091 | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Unallocated Corporate SG&A | (37,897 | ) | (45,923 | ) | N/A | N/A | (108,353 | ) | (127,141 | ) | N/A | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gain (Loss) on Involuntary Conversion | 851 | — | N/A | N/A | 8,819 | (156 | ) | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Gain (Loss) Disposal of Fixed Assets | (142 | ) | (742 | ) | N/A | N/A | (1,391 | ) | 259 | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||
| Operating Income (Loss) | $ | (58,811 | ) | $ | 435,851 | (10.6 | ) | % | 39.5 | % | $ | 350,186 | $ | 1,536,539 | 12.0 | % | 36.1 | % | ||||||||||||
N/A – Not Applicable
Conventional Shell Eggs
Fourth quarter and full-year performance reflected an egg pricing environment that deteriorated throughout fiscal 2026, with egg prices reaching historically low inflation-adjusted levels in the fourth quarter and remaining well below the record-high prices of the prior fiscal year. Market conditions were driven by elevated supply, resulting in low pricing. During fiscal 2026, supply increased to levels that left the market abundantly supplied, a sharp contrast to the severe shortages experienced in the prior fiscal year. In addition, the fourth and first fiscal quarters are typically the seasonally lowest periods for pricing, even under more normal supply conditions.
These headwinds were partially offset by the benefits of existing grain-based and hybrid pricing arrangements with certain customers and rigorous commercial execution. Volume increased 3.1% in the fourth quarter and was relatively flat for the fiscal year, indicating that lower results were driven by pricing rather than demand. Average selling price per dozen decreased 70.9% in the fourth quarter and 50.9% for the fiscal year. Margins declined due to substantially lower pricing, partially offset by improved price realization relative to both the prior-year fourth quarter and preceding quarter.
Specialty Shell Eggs
Fourth quarter volumes were more consistent with historical seasonal patterns, underlying demand, and typical pricing relationships across adjacent categories. Volumes decreased 5.9% in the fourth quarter primarily due to an unusually strong prior-year compariso
Financial Highlights
| (in thousands except per share amounts and percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | $ Change | % Change | 2026 | 2025 | $ Change | % Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net sales | $ | 552,581 | $ | 1,103,658 | $ | (551,077 | ) | (49.9 | ) | % | $ | 2,911,632 | $ | 4,261,885 | $ | (1,350,253 | ) | (31.7 | ) | % | ||||||||||
| Gross profit | $ | 34,066 | $ | 531,510 | $ | (497,444 | ) | (93.6 | ) | % | $ | 672,049 | $ | 1,850,885 | $ | (1,178,836 | ) | (63.7 | ) | % | ||||||||||
| Operating income (loss) | $ | (58,811 | ) | $ | 435,851 | $ | (494,662 | ) | (113.5 | ) | % | $ | 350,186 | $ | 1,536,539 | $ | (1,186,353 | ) | (77.2 | ) | % | |||||||||
| Net income attributable to |
$ | (35,876 | ) | $ | 342,475 | $ | (378,351 | ) | (110.5 | ) | % | $ | 316,682 | $ | 1,220,048 | $ | (903,366 | ) | (74.0 | ) | % | |||||||||
| Income (loss) per share - diluted | $ | (0.76 | ) | $ | 7.01 | $ | (7.77 | ) | (110.8 | ) | % | $ | 6.63 | $ | 24.95 | $ | (18.32 | ) | (73.4 | ) | % | |||||||||
Strategic Execution Highlights
- Continued focus on sales diversification and mix shift, expected to strengthen earnings durability and predictability over time
- In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026:
Prepared Foods accounted for 10.9% of net sales- Combined,
Specialty Shell Eggs and Prepared Foods increased to 53.0% of net sales
- In fiscal 2026:
Prepared Foods accounted for 8.4% of net sales- Combined,
Specialty Shell Eggs and Prepared Foods grew to 44.4% of net sales
- In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026:
- Acquired certain assets of
Creighton Brothers LLC and its affiliates, intended to further enhance vertically integrated operating model and strengthen connectivity across shell egg and prepared foods value chain - Acquired the Van’s® brand, aimed at accelerating strategic evolution into value-added, consumer-facing prepared foods and further diversifying earnings profile
- Subsequent to fiscal year-end:
- Acquired additional Eggland’s Best® franchise territory in Northeast, expanding the company's distribution footprint and increasing its specialty shell egg category penetration across one of the nation’s largest, highest-income consumer markets
- Announced new
$54 million investment to further expandPrepared Foods production capacity:- Expected to add approximately 30% incremental production capacity beginning in the first half of fiscal 2028
- Builds on previously announced 30% organic capacity growth and 6% Van’s® acquisition-driven capacity growth
Prepared Foods production capacity projected to increase by over 60% from the end of fiscal 2026 through the first half of fiscal 2028
Commentary
“During the quarter, industry oversupply drove wholesale shell egg prices to historically low inflation-adjusted levels. This dynamic was largely supply-driven rather than demand-driven, and we continue to see favorable long-term demand fundamentals across our end markets. The sustained trough pricing environment in the quarter provides a valuable stress-case reference point, demonstrating the resilience built through our strategic actions to date while highlighting the meaningful upside opportunity as our initiatives continue to mature.
“We are proud of the progress we have made this year executing our strategy. We are advancing our
New Reportable Operating Segments
Cal-Maine Foods’ reportable operating segments now consist of the following:
- Conventional Shell Eggs
- Specialty Shell Eggs
Prepared Foods
Cal-Maine Foods’ remaining operations, which include co-pack shell eggs, egg products, hard-cooked eggs and other business activities, are not reportable segments, as defined by the applicable accounting standard. All prior fiscal year periods have been recast to reflect the new reportable segments, and such recast information is included in the schedules accompanying this release.
Segment Results Summary
| Segment Sales | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | Volume Change | Avg. Price Change | 2026 | 2025 | Volume Change | Avg. Price Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Shell Eggs | $ | 210,765 | $ | 702,069 | 3.1 | % | (70.9 | ) | % | $ | 1,348,076 | $ | 2,755,859 | (0.3 | ) | % | (50.9 | ) | % | |||||||||||
| Specialty Shell Eggs | 239,731 | 305,142 | (5.9 | ) | % | (16.5 | ) | % | 1,070,458 | 1,154,951 | 2.4 | % | (9.5 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||
| 60,403 | 1,565 | N.M. | % | N.M. | % | 244,802 | 4,050 | N.M. | % | N.M. | % | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total Reportable Segments | $ | 510,899 | $ | 1,008,776 | $ | 2,663,336 | $ | 3,914,860 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
N.M. – Not Meaningful
| Operating Income (Loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fourth Quarter | Fiscal Year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating Margin | Operating Margin | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Shell Eggs | $ | (40,587 | ) | $ | 370,499 | (19.3 | ) | % | 52.8 | % | $ | 216,641 | $ | 1,290,003 | 16.1 | % | 46.8 | % | ||||||||||||
| Specialty Shell Eggs | 17,538 | 87,129 | 7.3 | % | 28.6 | % | 181,544 | 333,602 | 17.0 | % | 28.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8,820 | (647 | ) | 14.6 | % | (41.3 | ) | % | 33,882 | (2,119 | ) | 13.8 | % | (52.3 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||
| Total Reportable Segments | $ | (14,229 | ) | $ | 456,981 | (2.8 | ) | % | 45.3 | % | $ | 432,067 | $ | 1,621,486 | 16.2 | % | 41.4 | % | ||||||||||||
| Other - Segment Income (Loss) | (7,394 | ) | 25,535 | N/A | N/A | 19,044 | 42,091 | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Unallocated Corporate SG&A | (37,897 | ) | (45,923 | ) | N/A | N/A | (108,353 | ) | (127,141 | ) | N/A | N/A | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gain (Loss) on Involuntary Conversion | 851 | — | N/A | N/A | 8,819 | (156 | ) | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Gain (Loss) Disposal of Fixed Assets | (142 | ) | (742 | ) | N/A | N/A | (1,391 | ) | 259 | N/A | N/A | |||||||||||||||||||
| Operating Income (Loss) | $ | (58,811 | ) | $ | 435,851 | (10.6 | ) | % | 39.5 | % | $ | 350,186 | $ | 1,536,539 | 12.0 | % | 36.1 | % | ||||||||||||
N/A – Not Applicable
Conventional Shell Eggs
Fourth quarter and full-year performance reflected an egg pricing environment that deteriorated throughout fiscal 2026, with egg prices reaching historically low inflation-adjusted levels in the fourth quarter and remaining well below the record-high prices of the prior fiscal year. Market conditions were driven by elevated supply, resulting in low pricing. During fiscal 2026, supply increased to levels that left the market abundantly supplied, a sharp contrast to the severe shortages experienced in the prior fiscal year. In addition, the fourth and first fiscal quarters are typically the seasonally lowest periods for pricing, even under more normal supply conditions.
These headwinds were partially offset by the benefits of existing grain-based and hybrid pricing arrangements with certain customers and rigorous commercial execution. Volume increased 3.1% in the fourth quarter and was relatively flat for the fiscal year, indicating that lower results were driven by pricing rather than demand. Average selling price per dozen decreased 70.9% in the fourth quarter and 50.9% for the fiscal year. Margins declined due to substantially lower pricing, partially offset by improved price realization relative to both the prior-year fourth quarter and preceding quarter.
Specialty Shell Eggs
Fourth quarter volumes were more consistent with historical seasonal patterns, underlying demand, and typical pricing relationships across adjacent categories. Volumes decreased 5.9% in the fourth quarter primarily due to an unusually strong prior-year compariso
决策记录链 · 只追加
每次领取产生一条记录,重新决策追加一条并以 supersedes 指向被替代的记录(ADR 0014)。
这条决策早于决策账本(2026-10-08 起逐条追加),没有追加记录。