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北京时间·🕒 发布 10-14 18:50:00(美东 06:50)·⟳ 抓取 10-14 18:53:46回填·⚡ 决策 10-15 04:25:21·12.6 天前
Fastenal 9月销售数据：日销同比+14.4%并较8月(10.2%)加速，但同日Q3财报营收低于预期、毛利率下滑，股价已在当日完成深V重定价
该PDF为10月14日盘前与Q3财报同日发布的9月月度销售稿。市场当日已对混合信息（月度强劲 vs 季度营收miss、毛利率下滑）完成极端重定价：盘前一度-8%，随后全天反转收涨+1.11%至$52.00，放量3.57倍，盘后再回落约1%。事件已被充分消化，此刻盘后无正期望入场点；数据本身MIXED，也不构成做空强催化。
📄 原文FAST↗ 原文
September 2026 Sales Information
SEPTEMBER 2026 INFORMATION WEB RELEASE Release date: 10/14/26 Fastenal Company and Subsidiaries (Dollar amounts in thou…
不做 Fastenal Company（FAST.US）
9月销售数据虽强劲并加速，但与同日Q3财报(营收miss、毛利率下滑)混合，市场当日已放量深V完成重定价(收+1.11%、盘后-1%)，催化充分price-in；追多无剩余edge，做空又有月度需求强劲的反证，双向均不满足入场条件。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
9月日销+14.4%、较8月加速且重型制造/合同客户强劲，是真实正面增量；但同日Q3营收不及预期、毛利率下滑，股价盘前-8%后被买至收涨、盘后回落，说明好与坏均已在同一交易日定价，追多无edge、做空无强催化。
消息传播链
- 公司官方发布9月销售数据，与Q3财报同一交易日盘前落地
- Q3日销+15.5%，EPS超预期但营收低于一致预期、毛利率下滑市场反应:盘前一度约-8%
- 2026-10-14市场反应交易所行情(Futu)开盘$47.51、最低$47.30后全天反转，收$52.00(+1.11%)，量比3.57；盘后$51.47约-1.0%市场反应:深V收涨、盘后小幅回落
关键理由
- 9月日销同比+14.4%，较8月10.2%明显加速，合同客户(+18%)与重型制造(+20.3%)显示工业需求与大客户份额仍强
- 但当日同时落地Q3营收miss与毛利率下滑，$52股价经3.57倍放量深V已price-in混合信息，盘后-1%表明短线动能衰减
主要风险
- 公司PE(TTM)约47.7倍、处于52周高位附近，月度波动数据不改季度营收miss与毛利压力，后续若工业需求回落估值脆弱
- 若次日开盘延续盘后弱势或有更多分析师就营收miss/毛利下调，强势反转可能被回吐
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-14 · 影响 weakens
季度营收低于一致预期、毛利率同比下滑，削弱单月强劲销售的做多edge
检索:Fastenal Q3 2026 sales miss gross margin decline analyst 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-14 · 影响 invalidates
9月日销加速至14.4%、合同客户+18%、需求面强，不满足做空强催化
检索:Fastenal September daily sales growth acceleration heavy manufacturing contract customers 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:在缺乏干净锚点且事件已当日充分定价的情况下，支持AVOID而非用泛化月度销售先例定tp/sl
方向:未构建同口径先例面板
涨幅量级:无足够aligned先例校准幅度
形态:本案当日已出现典型'利空低开-买盘拉回'走势，剩余窗口见光风险高于延续收益
工具执行结果 · 成功 3 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 12 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`fast september 2026 sales numbers release net sales 825 million | fastenal 9月 月度销售 2026 | fastenal september 2026 monthly sales daily sales 14.4%`；结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时；旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整)，返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式没有召回候选，不能据此证明消息首发或不是重复；按 - stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 166 ms
{ - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 3,273 ms
豆包搜索结果（原始查询:Fastenal September 2026 monthly sales daily sales growth 14.4% stock reaction；API SearchType:web）
原文全文
展开原文 · 7,679 字
SEPTEMBER 2026 INFORMATION WEB RELEASE
Release date: 10/14/26
Fastenal Company and Subsidiaries
(Dollar amounts in thousands) 2026 2025 Change
Daily sales - Net sales divided by the number of business
Net sales $825,380 $721,647 14.4%
days in the US.
Business days 21 21 0.0%
Daily sales $39,304 $34,364 14.4%
Impact of currency fluctuations (0.1%) (0.1%)
Historical
Historical figures are an average from 2021 - 2025.
Daily sales in January $33,194 29,647
Change in daily sales since January 18.4% 15.9% 10.7%
Daily sales last month $38,670 $33,177
Change in daily sales since last month 1.6% 3.6% 4.0%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by geography % of Sales
Calculated using US days and US dollars.
United States 13.1% 10.8% 82.2%
Canada/Mexico 21.5% 4.5% 14.2%
All other foreign countries 17.2% 20.5% 3.6%
Total company 14.4% 10.2%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by end market % of Sales
Heavy manufacturing 20.3% 11.8% 45.0%
Other manufacturing 12.9% 11.8% 32.0%
Non-residential construction 9.6% 5.7% 8.0%
Other end markets 8.4% 5.1% 15.0%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by customer usage % of Sales
Direct fasteners/hardware 13.6% 15.9% 21.1%
Direct cutting tools and abrasives 17.4% 14.2% 5.4%
Direct non-fasteners/hardware 20.2% 11.0% 13.4%
Total direct materials (production related) 16.2% 14.0% 39.9%
Indirect fasteners/hardware 7.5% 14.1% 9.3%
Indirect safety 15.3% 9.0% 20.9%
Indirect non-fasteners/hardware and non-safety 15.9% 5.3% 29.9%
Total indirect materials (MRO related) 14.3% 7.9% 60.1%
Growth metrics by customer/channel type
Daily sales growth rates are rounded to whole percentage
% of top 100 national accounts growing 71.0% 64.0% rates.
% of in-market locations growing 67.3% 62.9%
Daily sales growth - contract customers 18.0% 11.0% Contract sales include sales realized under national
Daily sales growth - non-contract customers 5.0% 8.0% account, government, and local contracts.
Daily sales growth - eBusiness 14.0% 5.0%
Daily sales growth - FMI 14.0% 17.0% FMI – Fastenal Managed Inventory
Employee headcount at month end Sep-26 Sep-25 Change Aug-26 Change
Selling personnel - FTE* 15,332 15,414 (0.5%) 15,514 (1.2%)
Distribution/Transportation personnel - FTE 3,162 3,057 3.4% 3,179 (0.5%)
Manufacturing personnel - FTE 1,016 973 4.4% 1,023 (0.7%)
Organizational support personnel - FTE* 2,239 2,124 5.4% 2,273 (1.5%)
Total personnel - FTE 21,749 21,568 0.8% 21,989 (1.1%)
Total personnel - absolute 24,679 24,438 1.0% 24,608 0.3%
FTE - Full-time equivalent headcount.
* Of our Selling personnel, 80%-85% are attached to a specific in-market location. Organizational support personnel consists of: (1) Sales Support personnel (37%-42% of
category), which includes sourcing, purchasing, supply chain, product development, etc.; (2) Information Technology personnel (34%-39% of category); and (3)
Administrative Support personnel (22%-27% of category), which includes human resources, Fastenal School of Business, accounting and finance, senior management, etc.
Next monthly sales release date: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM (central time)
Next earnings release date: Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 6:00 AM (central time)
Contact Information:
Fastenal Investor Relations
investorrelations@fastenal.com
507-453-8775
Release date: 10/14/26
Fastenal Company and Subsidiaries
(Dollar amounts in thousands) 2026 2025 Change
Daily sales - Net sales divided by the number of business
Net sales $825,380 $721,647 14.4%
days in the US.
Business days 21 21 0.0%
Daily sales $39,304 $34,364 14.4%
Impact of currency fluctuations (0.1%) (0.1%)
Historical
Historical figures are an average from 2021 - 2025.
Daily sales in January $33,194 29,647
Change in daily sales since January 18.4% 15.9% 10.7%
Daily sales last month $38,670 $33,177
Change in daily sales since last month 1.6% 3.6% 4.0%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by geography % of Sales
Calculated using US days and US dollars.
United States 13.1% 10.8% 82.2%
Canada/Mexico 21.5% 4.5% 14.2%
All other foreign countries 17.2% 20.5% 3.6%
Total company 14.4% 10.2%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by end market % of Sales
Heavy manufacturing 20.3% 11.8% 45.0%
Other manufacturing 12.9% 11.8% 32.0%
Non-residential construction 9.6% 5.7% 8.0%
Other end markets 8.4% 5.1% 15.0%
Current Month
Daily sales growth by customer usage % of Sales
Direct fasteners/hardware 13.6% 15.9% 21.1%
Direct cutting tools and abrasives 17.4% 14.2% 5.4%
Direct non-fasteners/hardware 20.2% 11.0% 13.4%
Total direct materials (production related) 16.2% 14.0% 39.9%
Indirect fasteners/hardware 7.5% 14.1% 9.3%
Indirect safety 15.3% 9.0% 20.9%
Indirect non-fasteners/hardware and non-safety 15.9% 5.3% 29.9%
Total indirect materials (MRO related) 14.3% 7.9% 60.1%
Growth metrics by customer/channel type
Daily sales growth rates are rounded to whole percentage
% of top 100 national accounts growing 71.0% 64.0% rates.
% of in-market locations growing 67.3% 62.9%
Daily sales growth - contract customers 18.0% 11.0% Contract sales include sales realized under national
Daily sales growth - non-contract customers 5.0% 8.0% account, government, and local contracts.
Daily sales growth - eBusiness 14.0% 5.0%
Daily sales growth - FMI 14.0% 17.0% FMI – Fastenal Managed Inventory
Employee headcount at month end Sep-26 Sep-25 Change Aug-26 Change
Selling personnel - FTE* 15,332 15,414 (0.5%) 15,514 (1.2%)
Distribution/Transportation personnel - FTE 3,162 3,057 3.4% 3,179 (0.5%)
Manufacturing personnel - FTE 1,016 973 4.4% 1,023 (0.7%)
Organizational support personnel - FTE* 2,239 2,124 5.4% 2,273 (1.5%)
Total personnel - FTE 21,749 21,568 0.8% 21,989 (1.1%)
Total personnel - absolute 24,679 24,438 1.0% 24,608 0.3%
FTE - Full-time equivalent headcount.
* Of our Selling personnel, 80%-85% are attached to a specific in-market location. Organizational support personnel consists of: (1) Sales Support personnel (37%-42% of
category), which includes sourcing, purchasing, supply chain, product development, etc.; (2) Information Technology personnel (34%-39% of category); and (3)
Administrative Support personnel (22%-27% of category), which includes human resources, Fastenal School of Business, accounting and finance, senior management, etc.
Next monthly sales release date: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM (central time)
Next earnings release date: Tuesday, January 19, 2027 at 6:00 AM (central time)
Contact Information:
Fastenal Investor Relations
investorrelations@fastenal.com
507-453-8775
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