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🏢 官网IRHOGCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 19:00:00·⟳ 抓取 08-04 19:06:44·⚡ 决策 07-23 19:13:44 −11d23h·96.1 天前

哈雷戴维森二季度业绩超预期并上调全年经营指引

二季度EPS 0.75美元高于市场约0.58-0.63美元预期,收入12.3亿美元也高于约11.7亿美元预期。

📄 原文HOG↗ 原文
Harley-Davidson Delivers Second Quarter Financial Results and Raises Full-Year Guidance
07/23/2026 Download (opens in new window) MILWAUKEE , July 23, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Harley-Davidson, Inc. ("Harley-Davi…
不做 哈雷戴维森(HOG.US)
业绩和指引上修方向偏正,但整体收入、净利和EPS仍同比下滑,HDFS拖累明显;披露前股价已涨一段且最新价格未正向确认,开盘追多没有足够edge,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-23 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-07-07官方确认Harley-Davidson IR一手源原文 ↗
    公司提前确认将于2026-07-23盘前披露二季度业绩,因此事件日历本身不是突发。
  2. 2026-07-23 07:00 ET首发Harley-Davidson IR / PRNewswire一手源原文 ↗
    公司一手披露二季度业绩并上调全年销量、出货和经营利润指引。
    市场反应:stock_quote显示HOG.US最新价27.62美元、较基准下跌2.92%,未形成盘前正向确认。

关键理由

  • 二季度EPS 0.75美元高于市场约0.58-0.63美元预期,收入12.3亿美元也高于约11.7亿美元预期。
  • 公司将2026年HDMC零售销量和批发出货指引从13.0万-13.5万辆上调至13.35万-13.85万辆,并把HDMC经营利润指引从亏损4000万至盈利1000万美元上调为盈利1000万至5000万美元。
  • 量级上,指引上修主要修复此前低预期,但HDMC全年经营利润中点约3000万美元,相对约29亿美元市值仍偏小,且HDFS收入和经营利润同比大幅下滑削弱质量。

主要风险

  • HOG.US事件前5日已涨7.48%、20日涨9.03%,且财报日历早已明确,盘前追开盘容易遇到卖事实。
  • 综合收入同比仍降6%、净利润同比降26%、EPS同比降15%,市场可能更关注HDFS收缩和整体盈利仍弱。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
    内部KB未命中足以推翻本次利好方向的新增反向证据。
    检索:HOG.US recent bearish risk tariffs dealer inventory motorcycle demand 2026
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 stock_quote · 日期 2026-07-23 · 影响 weakens
    HOG.US近5日涨7.48%、20日涨9.03%,且最新价较基准为负,说明开盘追多承接未被价格确认。
    检索:HOG.US stock_quote full
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(6 种)
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  • normalize_ticker · 结果未知
  • kb_search · 结果未知
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原文全文

展开原文 · 7,948 字
Harley-Davidson Delivers Second Quarter Financial Results and Raises Full-Year Guidance

07/23/2026

Download
(opens in new window)

MILWAUKEE , July 23, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Harley-Davidson, Inc. ("Harley-Davidson," "HDI," or the "Company") (NYSE: HOG) today reported second quarter 2026 results and raised full-year guidance.
"Our second-quarter performance reflects strength in our domestic retail business, continued focus on healthy dealer inventory levels and the exceptional commitment of our dealer network. We also made meaningful progress against our Back to the Bricks strategic initiatives, strengthening execution across the business and driving improved profitability. Given this progress, our first-half results, and our market share gains, we are raising our full-year guidance and remain confident in our ability to create long-term value for shareholders," said Artie Starrs, President and CEO, Harley-Davidson.
Second Quarter 2026 Highlights
North American retail motorcycle sales of 29,751 units, up 3% vs. prior year
Global dealer inventory of new motorcycles ended Q2 '26 down 17% vs. end Q2 '25
Introduced 2026 Super Glide ®  in June
HDMC global motorcycle shipments of 39,209, up 9% vs. prior year
Net Income attributable to HDI of $80 million, down 26% from prior year primarily due to HDFS shift to capital light model, partially offset by HDMC improvement
HDMC revenue of $1.1 billion, up 6% vs. prior year
HDMC Adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.4%, up from 9.3% in Q2 '25
HDFS operating income margin of 18.5%, down from 27.1% in Q2 '25
Delivered diluted EPS of $0.75, down 15% vs. prior year
Q2 performance enabled raising FY 2026 guidance for retail sales and wholesale shipments as well as HDMC & HDFS operating income
Second Quarter 2026 Results
Harley-Davidson, Inc. Consolidated Financial Results
$ in millions (except EPS)
2nd quarter

2026
2025
Change

Revenue
$1,230
$1,307
-6 %

Operating Income
$76
$112
-32 %

Net Income Attributable to HDI
$80
$108
-26 %

Diluted EPS
$0.75
$0.88
-15 %

Consolidated revenue in the second quarter was down 6 percent, driven largely by an HDFS revenue decrease of 55 percent.
Consolidated operating income in the second quarter was down 32 percent, driven largely by a decline of 69 percent at HDFS, partially offset by an increase of 18 percent at HDMC. At the LiveWire segment, the operating loss improved by $1 million and was 4 percent lower than the prior year loss. Consolidated operating income margin in the second quarter was 6.2 percent relative to 8.6 percent in the second quarter a year ago.
Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC) – Results
$ in millions
2nd quarter

2026
2025
Change

Motorcycle Shipments (thousands)
39.2
35.8
9 %

Revenue
$1,104
$1,044
6 %

Motorcycles
$848
$778
9 %

Parts & Accessories
$177
$187
-5 %

Apparel & Licensing
$62
$61
2 %

Other
$17
$18
-4 %

Gross Margin
27.5 %
28.6 %
-1.1 pts.

Operating Income
$72
$61
18 %

Operating Margin
6.6 %
5.9 %
0.7 pts.

Adjusted EBITDA 1
$115
$97
18 %

Adjusted EBITDA Margin % 1
10.4 %
9.3 %
1.1 pts

1
"Adjusted EBITDA" and "Adjusted EBITDA Margin %" are non-GAAP terms. Please see below for full reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.

Second quarter global motorcycle shipments increased 9 percent, while wholesale unit shipments were lower than retail unit sales. This is aligned with Company plans as dealer inventory management remains a top priority. Revenue was up 6 percent driven by increased shipments and favorable foreign exchange effects, partially offset by net pricing. Parts & Accessories revenue was down 5 percent and Apparel & Licensing revenue was up 2 percent.
Second quarter gross margin came in at 27.5 percent, which was down 108 basis points versus prior year. Gross profit was impacted favorably by manufacturing and other costs, including a tariff recovery that benefited gross profit. The favorability was offset by unfavorable product mix, net pricing, raw materials, and foreign exchange effects. Operating expenses came in $6 million lower than a year ago, at $232 million, including a restructuring expense of $3 million. Second quarter operating income margin was 6.6 percent compared to 5.9 percent in the prior year quarter.
Harley-Davidson Retail Motorcycle Sales
Motorcycles (thousands)
2nd quarter

2026
2025
Change

North America
29.8
28.9
3 %

EMEA
7.0
7.6
-9 %

Asia Pacific
5.0
5.0
0 %

Latin America
0.8
0.7
4 %

Worldwide Total
42.5
42.3
1 %

Global retail motorcycle sales in the second quarter were up 1 percent versus prior year, reflecting North American growth and soft international results. North American retail was up 3 percent, driven by continued strength in the Touring and Sport categories and a positive response to the new '26 motorcycle line-up. EMEA retail performance, down 9 percent, was characterized by positive results in the Touring and Sport categories, while the German region 2  experienced a decline. APAC retail performance was slightly positive in the quarter, where Australia & New Zealand led the region from a growth standpoint. Latin America retail was characterized by strong gains in Mexico and a modest decline in Brazil.
2
The German region includes Germany, Austria, and Switzerland

Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) – Results
$ in millions
2nd quarter

2026
2025
Change

Revenue
$117
$257
-55 %

Operating Income
$22
$70
-69 %

In the second quarter, HDFS revenue was down 55 percent from prior year, driven by lower retail finance receivables. The decline in retail receivables was due to the sale of loan assets that took place in the second half of 2025. Other income within HDFS revenue was favorable year-over-year due to new servicing fees.
HDFS operating income came in at $22 million in the second quarter, a decrease of $48 million or 69 percent from the prior year period. On the expense side, both interest expense and the provision for credit loss expense were significantly lower, which was due to the decreased size of the retail loan portfolio and related debt on a year-over-year basis. Operating expenses increased by $3 million versus prior year. Total quarter-end net finance receivables, including both retail and wholesale loans, were $2.6 billion, a 64 percent decline compared to the prior year primarily due to the sale of loan assets that took place in the second half of 2025.
LiveWire – Results
$ in millions
2nd quarter

2026
2025
Change

Revenue
$9
$6
52 %

Operating Loss
($18)
($19)
4 %

Adjusted EBITDA
($15)
($16)
5 %

LiveWire revenue for the second quarter increased by 52 percent. The revenue increase was due to higher electric motorcycle unit sales and higher STACYC electric balance bike sales. LiveWire's operating loss of $18 million in the second quarter compared to a loss of $19 million in the prior year period.
Harley-Davidson, Inc. Other Results – Six Months ended June 30, 2026
Net cash use of $60 million from operating activities
Effective tax rate was 25%
Paid cash dividends of $41 million
Repurchased $158 million of shares (7.9 million shares) on a discretionary basis
Cash and cash equivalents of $1.9 billion as of June 30
2026 Financial Outlook
For the full year 2026, the Company is revising its financial guidance and now expects:
HDMC global motorcycle retail sales of 133,500 to 138,500 units from a previously expected range of 130,000 to 135,000 units
HDMC global motorcycle wholesale shipments of 133,500 to 138,500 units from a previously expected range of 130,000 to 135,000 units
HDMC operating income of $10 million to $50 million from a previously expected range of a $40 million loss to a $10 million profit
HDFS operating income of $55 million to $65 million from a previously expected range of $45 million to $60 million
For the full year 2026, the Company continues to expect:
LiveWire operating loss of $70 to $80 million
Harley-Davidson, Inc. capital investments of $175 million to $200 million
Company

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