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🏢 官网IRMEDCodex · 实盘可交易 · 做多市场:美股▲ 赚 +3.09% · 已结算把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 04:05:00(美东 08-03 16:05)·⟳ 抓取 08-27 12:14:10 +23d08h·⚡ 决策 08-04 04:14:37 −23d07h·84.9 天前

Medifast公布二季度业绩,亏损小于预期并改善全年亏损指引

二季度EPS为-0.28美元,明显好于市场约-0.68美元预期及公司此前-0.50至-1.00美元的Q2亏损指引,收入7640万美元也略高于约7500万美元预期。

📄 原文MED↗ 原文
Medifast Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
BALTIMORE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Medifast (NYSE: MED), the health and wellness company known for its science-backed compreh…
▲ 做多MedifastMED.US🇺🇸小仓
▲ 赚 +3.09%入场 08-03 盘后首笔 @10.11 → 离场 08-04 常规开盘 @10.45
12.0010.11做多 08-03离场 08-0407-1009-15
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
💡 交易逻辑亏损显著窄于预期且全年亏损指引改善
怎么买 限价买入 不高于 10.13、仅下一个交易日,不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +8%(半仓)/+15%(清仓) · 止损 -6% · 时间止损 3日
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

分时走势

做多 MED.US Medifast

建仓日早于近 30 天,只有日线图

成交明细 · 纸面

做多 MED.US Medifast

收益状态+3.09% 已平仓
进场成交2026-08-03 · 盘后首笔 · 08-04 04:11 北京 · @10.11 · 成交 0%
离场成交2026-08-04 · 常规开盘 · @10.4549
毛收益+3.41%
成本+0.32%
净收益+3.09%
计入收益+0.00%
建仓日2026-08-03 · 进场不早于新闻时刻 + 2 分钟

收益口径 event_time_plus_2min_10min_walk_open_topup_to_next_open_exchange_calendar_fill_model_local_notional_v9 · method_id m8db1cbc8f2d · 截至 2026-10-28 02:10

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-03 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 low ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-07-31其它已处理消息库非一手
    系统此前只处理过Medifast将于8月3日盘后发布二季度业绩的日历预告,不包含本次实际业绩和指引新信息。
  2. 2026-08-03 16:05 ET官方确认/否认Medifast IR一手源原文 ↗
    公司正式发布二季度业绩、三季度和全年2026展望,并披露Q4恢复盈利目标。
  3. 2026-08-03 20:12 UTC市场反应stock_quote/Futu非一手
    行情工具显示MED最新价9.74美元,常规盘收跌约0.92%,未观察到公告后已充分重定价的可用连续成交反应。
    市场反应:MED.US 最新价9.74美元,20日跌幅约11.78%。

关键理由

  • 二季度EPS为-0.28美元,明显好于市场约-0.68美元预期及公司此前-0.50至-1.00美元的Q2亏损指引,收入7640万美元也略高于约7500万美元预期。
  • 全年2026亏损指引改善至每股-0.25至-1.75美元,并称目标四季度恢复盈利;在约1.08亿美元市值、1.698亿美元现金及无债务背景下,亏损收窄对股权价值弹性较大。
  • 高相似先例3条的3日中位反应为+19.38%、胜率67%,但同业中相似样本偏弱,适合用小仓限价参与而非开盘无条件追高。

主要风险

  • 核心经营仍承压:二季度收入同比下降27.6%,活跃盈利教练数同比下降48.7%,公司仍提示GLP-1减肥药冲击客户获取。
  • MED为小市值低流动性股票,20日平均成交额约166万美元;先例显示同业财报上修也可能高开低走或直接下跌,若开盘跳空超过限价则放弃。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-08-03 · 影响 weakens
    公司同时披露活跃盈利教练数同比下降48.7%,并称GLP-1减肥药快速普及继续压制客户获取。
    检索:Medifast Q2 2026 GLP-1 active coaches revenue decline risk 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
    内部KB检索调用超时,未能提供额外付费库反证;方向判断主要依赖公司一手稿、公开预期口径和真实行情。
    检索:Medifast Q2 2026 revenue EPS guidance turnaround profitability GLP-1 active coaches
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 event_study · 影响 weakens
    8条首发锚点干净先例中,中相似样本3日中位-3.68%,USNA和HLF样本出现高开低走或次日大跌,削弱无条件追高。
    检索:direct selling health nutrition earnings guidance raise precedent high open low close

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例没有推翻首轮做多,但把执行从开盘追买压成BUY_LIMIT小仓,超过约3%跳空就放弃,并保留较紧-6%止损。

方向:高相似样本3条的3日胜率67%、中位+19.38%,方向支持做多;但相似度加权全样本3日胜率约51%,说明同业分化很大。

涨幅量级:涨幅量级只参考high_similarity_first_print:3日中位+19.38%、5日中位+16.65%;因样本刚好3条且一条为负,目标仍取保守的+8%/+15%。

形态:见光死风险主要来自USNA 2025-07-22次日大幅高开后低走、HLF 2026-05-06次日开高收低;MED 2026-05-04则低开后拉升,说明低开/小幅高开更适合参与。

历史先例(按相似度)

  • 相似度 9/10 MED 2026-05-04 Medifast Q1 2026业绩:EPS亏损0.19美元、现金约1.689亿美元无债,给出Q2及全年亏损指引。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +22.5% · +2日 +19.4% · +3日 +19.4% · +4日 +18.4% · +5日 +16.6%
    相似度依据:同一公司、同一转型年度、盘后财报后亏损低于差预期且现金净额支撑股权弹性,最接近当前。
    经验:MED自身Q1在无抢跑低位后次日先低开再大幅收高,说明该票对亏损收窄有弹性但不宜用过高限价追。
  • 相似度 8/10 MED 2025-08-04 Medifast Q2 2025业绩:收入同比降但亏损转为盈利、运营亏损明显收窄,现金无债务。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 -3.3% · +2日 -4.1% · +3日 -5.7% · +4日 -4.9% · +5日 -5.0%
    相似度依据:同一公司同为Q2财报且强调亏损/盈利修复,但当时没有本次全年亏损指引大幅改善。
    经验:同一MED的好转叙事若收入继续萎缩,市场可能把反弹窗口缩得很短,不能无条件追高。
  • 相似度 8/10 NUS 2025-08-07 Nu Skin Q2 2025业绩:收入在指引高端、EPS超指引,并上调全年EPS指引。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +8.9% · +2日 +29.0% · +3日 +36.0% · +4日 +40.7% · +5日 +39.5%
    相似度依据:同为美股健康直销公司Q2收入在高端、EPS超指引并上修全年EPS,机制与当前相近。
    经验:小盘直销股在EPS和全年指引同时超预期时可连续数日重估,低开或小幅高开后仍有趋势空间。
  • 相似度 7/10 HLF 2025-08-06 Herbalife Q2 2025业绩:调整后EBITDA超指引,并上调全年净销售和调整后EBITDA指引。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 -6.8% · +2日 -3.8% · +3日 -3.7% · +4日 -1.0% · +5日 +5.4%
    相似度依据:同为直销健康消费股Q2改善并上调指引,但HLF体量和杠杆结构不同,当前MED现金净额更高。
    经验:同业即使上调指引,若收入端只是接近指引中点而非明显扭转,次日可能先下跌,买点要留安全边际。
  • 相似度 7/10 HLF 2026-05-06 Herbalife Q1 2026业绩:净销售增长和调整后EBITDA高于指引,并上调全年常汇净销售和EBITDA中点。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 -11.9% · +2日 -13.0% · +3日 -17.8% · +4日 -17.1% · +5日 -20.9%
    相似度依据:同业正式财报和上修全年中点,但此前已有4月初步预告,正式发布新鲜度弱于当前MED。
    经验:若核心好消息已被提前预告,正式财报可能变成卖点;当前要警惕财报电话会削弱新鲜度。
  • 相似度 6/10 HLF 2026-04-14 Herbalife盘前预告Q1 2026净销售高于指引、调整后EBITDA在或高于指引高端。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +1.3% · +2日 -3.0% · +3日 +2.1% · +4日 +1.9% · +5日 -1.1%
    相似度依据:同业正面预期差但只是初步预告,缺少完整财报和全年亏损区间改善。
    经验:初步超预期能给方向确认,但若此前股价已有一周上涨,后续3日空间有限。
  • 相似度 5/10 NUS 2026-02-12 Nu Skin Q4/FY 2025业绩在指引内,称2026年底恢复收入增长。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 -18.1% · +2日 -15.7% · +3日 -16.8% · +4日 -15.2% · +5日 -14.7%
    相似度依据:同业转型恢复叙事,但只是落在指引内且没有明确上修,弱于当前事件。
    经验:恢复增长的口号若没有当期超预期或指引上修支撑,市场会快速惩罚。
  • 相似度 5/10 USNA 2025-07-22 USANA Q2 2025销售增长、调整后EPS增长,维持全年展望。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +12.4% · +2日 +1.8% · +3日 +1.3% · +4日 -0.3% · +5日 -4.0%
    相似度依据:同业财报但仅维持指引、公司经营更稳,类似度主要在健康直销行业而非预期差。
    经验:维持指引的同业好财报常见次日高开低走,追高容易把首日跳空还回去。
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(6 种)
  • search_processed_events · 结果未知
  • stock_quote · 结果未知
  • kb_search · 结果未知
  • search_case_library · 结果未知
  • validate_order · 结果未知
  • event_study · 结果未知

原文全文

展开原文 · 14,173 字
BALTIMORE--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
Medifast (NYSE: MED), the health and wellness company known for its science-backed comprehensive metabolic health system, Trilivy, today reported results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Second Quarter 2026
Revenue: $76.4 million, with revenue per active earning coach of $6,529
Independent active earning
coaches of 11,700
Net loss of $3.1 million or $0.28 loss per diluted share ("EPS")
Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Investment Securities of $169.8 million with no debt
Nick Johnson, Chief Executive Officer, commented, “In the second quarter, we continued to see signs of a turnaround in our business. Revenue remained sequentially stable, supported by steady growth in coach productivity and positive coach leadership trends. Combined with the energy and engagement demonstrated at our recent National Coach Convention, these leading indicators have historically been precursors of future growth.
“We're building on that progress by putting new tools in our coaches' hands, with our new brand, Trilivy, our new Reset Fuelings, and our new Medifast Metabolic Health Institute. Each of these is a meaningful step in our 3.0 strategy. Backed by our Metabolic Synchronization science and coach-led model, we believe we are on track to return to profitability in the fourth quarter and have created a foundation that supports our vision for consistent, long-term growth.“
Second Quarter 2026 Results
Second quarter 2026 revenue decreased 27.6% to $76.4 million from $105.6 million for the second quarter of 2025, primarily driven by a decrease in the number of active earning coaches. The total number of active earning coaches decreased 48.7% to 11,700 compared to 22,800 for the second quarter of 2025, primarily driven by continued pressure with client acquisition reflecting broader challenges in the operating environment, including rapid adoption of GLP-1 medications for weight loss. While the company continues its transformation to focus on metabolic health, it expects the number of active earning coaches to continue to decline in 2026. The average revenue per active earning coach was $6,529, compared to $4,630 for the second quarter last year, an increase of 41.0% which was driven by greater alignment of the company's network of coaches, prioritizing productive coaches and more efficient coach network structures.
Gross profit decreased 30.3% to $53.4 million from $76.6 million for the second quarter of 2025. The decrease in gross profit was due to lower sales volumes. The company's gross profit margin was 69.9% compared to 72.6% in the second quarter of 2025. The decrease in gross profit as a percentage of revenue was primarily driven by the loss of leverage on fixed costs.
Selling, general, and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) decreased 25.7% to $57.7 million compared to $77.7 million for the second quarter of 2025. The decrease in SG&A was primarily due to a $12.6 million decrease in coach compensation on lower volume and fewer active earning coaches, a $2.3 million decrease in employee salary and benefit expenses, and a $2.0 million decrease in company-led marketing costs. As a percentage of revenue, SG&A increased 200 basis points year-over-year to 75.6% of revenue, as compared to 73.6% for the second quarter of 2025. The increase in SG&A as a percentage of revenue was primarily due to approximately 290 basis points associated with the loss of leverage on fixed costs and 60 basis points associated with the launch of the company's new Trilivy Reset product line, partially offset by a 190 basis point reduction related to company-led marketing expenses. During Q2 the company launched its Catalyst program with the majority of the execution expected to take place in Q3. The Catalyst program is designed to drive additional cost savings through facility rationalization, AI-related efficiencies and other means.
The company's loss from operations for the period was $4.3 million compared to $1.1 million in the prior year comparable period. As a percentage of revenue, loss from operations was 5.7% for the second quarter of 2026 compared to 1.0% in the prior-year comparable period due to the factors described above impacting revenue and SG&A expenses.
Other income decreased $2.6 million to $1.3 million compared to $3.9 million for the second quarter of 2025 primarily due to gains on the company's investment in LifeMD, Inc. common stock in the prior year period. The company sold its investment in LifeMD during the quarter ended June 30, 2025.
Income tax expense for the period was $0.1 million, an effective rate of negative 3.6%, as compared to $0.4 million for the second quarter of 2025, an effective rate of 13.7%. Due to the existence of a full valuation allowance against its deferred tax assets recorded as of December 31, 2025, the company calculated income tax expense for the current period based on actual results for the quarter. The decrease in the effective tax rate was primarily driven by the increased loss incurred in the June 30, 2026 period and the valuation allowance on the net deferred tax assets.
In the second quarter of 2026, the company's net loss was $3.1 million, or $0.28 per share, based on approximately 11.1 million shares of common stock outstanding compared to a net income of $2.5 million, or $0.22 per share, based on approximately 11.1 million shares of common stock outstanding in the prior year comparable period.
Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet
During the second quarter of 2026, the company executed an amendment to extend the lease and reduce the square footage for the company's Havre de Grace distribution facility, and remeasured its right-of-use asset and corresponding lease liability by $12.5 million and $12.7 million, respectively. This action is in addition to the commencement of the company's new headquarters office space during the first quarter, where the company recorded an initial right-of-use asset and corresponding lease liability of $6.8 million.
The company’s balance sheet remains strong with cash, cash equivalents and investment securities of $169.8 million and no debt as of June 30, 2026, compared to $167.3 million in cash, cash equivalents and investment securities and no debt at December 31, 2025. Working capital as defined as current assets less current liabilities as of June 30, 2026 was $160.5 million, compared to $158.7 million of working capital at December 31, 2025.
Outlook
The company expects third quarter 2026 revenue to be in the range of $60 million to $80 million and third quarter 2026 loss per share to be in the range of $0.15 to $0.65. This excludes any one-time costs associated with the execution of the company's Catalyst initiatives. The company expects full year 2026 revenue to be in the range of $270 million to $300 million and full year 2026 loss per share to range from $0.25 to $1.75.
Conference Call Information
The conference call is scheduled for today, Monday, August 3, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET. The call will be broadcast live over the Internet, hosted on the Investor Relations section of Medifast’s website at
www.MedifastInc.com
or directly at
https://viavid.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1768081&tp_key=644d7ae69f
and will be archived online and available through November 3, 2026. In addition, listeners may dial (201) 389-0879 to join via telephone.
A telephonic playback will be available from 8:30 p.m. ET, August 3, 2026, through August 10, 2026. Participants can dial (412) 317-6671 and enter passcode 13761321 to hear the playback.
About Medifast
®
:
Medifast
(NYSE: MED) is the metabolic health and wellness company known for its science-backed comprehensive metabolic health system, Trilivy. Designed to help address the challenges of metabolic dysfunction, the company’s holistic approach integrates science-backed plans and products, personal 1:1 coaching, a supportive community, and behavioral science support to develop healthy habits.
Driven to improve metabolic health through advanced science and comprehensive behavioral support, Medifast has introduced Metabolic Synchronization®, a breakthrough science that targets metabolic dysfunction through a comprehensive system focused on fat loss, lean mass preservation, and long-term health. Trilivy's comprehensive three-part metabolic health system is designed to help people reset their metabolism, refine their health, and renew their lives. By integrating science, coaching, and healthy habits into a single approach, Trilivy helps people look, feel, and live better.
Backed by more than 45 years of clinical heritage, Medifast continues to advance its mission of lifelong transformation through metabolic science and human connection
TM
. For more information, visit
Trilivyhealth.com
and
Medifastinc.com
.
MED-F
Forward Looking Statements
Please Note: This release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of phrases or terminology such as “intend,” “anticipate,” “expect” or other similar words or the negative of such terminology. Similarly, descriptions of Medifast’s objectives, strategies, plans, goals, outlook or targets contained herein are also considered forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current expectations of the management of Medifast and are subject to certain events, risks, uncertainties and other factors. Some of these factors include, among others, Medifast's inability to maintain and grow the network of independent coaches; industry competition and new weight loss products, including weight loss medications such as GLP-1s, or services; Medifast’s health or advertising related claims by clients; Medifast's inability to continue to develop new products; effectiveness of Medifast's advertising and marketing programs, including use of social media by coaches; effectiveness of the company's strategic pivot towards metabolic health; the departure of one or more key personnel; Medifast's inability to protect against online security risks and cyberattacks; competitors use of artificial intelligence to make their offer more competitive; risks associated with Medifast's direct-to-consumer business model; disruptions in Medifast's supply chain; product liability claims; Medifast's planned growth into domestic markets including through its collaboration with LifeMD, Inc.; adverse publicity associated with Medifast's products; the impact of existing and future laws and regulations on Medifast’s business; fluctuations of Medifast's common stock market price; increases in litigation; actions of activist investors; the consequences of other geopolitical events, overall economic and market conditions and the resulting impact on consumer sentiment and spending patterns; and Medifast's ability to prevent or detect a failure of internal control over financial reporting. Although Medifast believes that the expectations, statements and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, it cautions readers to always consider all of the risk factors and any other cautionary statements carefully in evaluating each forward-looking statement in this release, as well as those set forth in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and other filings filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including its quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K. All of the forward-looking statements contained herein speak only as of the date of this release.
MEDIFAST, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)
(U.S. dollars in thousands, except per share amounts & dividend data)
Three months ended June 30,
Six months ended June 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Revenue
$
76,384
$
105,555
$
152,428
$
221,283
Cost of sales
22,988
28,911
47,276
60,395
Gross profit
53,396
76,644
105,152
160,888
Selling, general, and administrative
57,723
77,710
112,774
163,217
Loss from operations
(4,327
)
(1,066
)
(7,622
)
(2,329
)
Other income
Interest income
1,347
1,369
2,726
2,671
Other income (expense)
(11
)
2,572
(36
)
3,059
1,336
3,941
2,690
5,730
Income (loss) before provision for income taxes
(2,991
)
2,875
(4,932
)
3,401
Provision for income taxes
109
395
290
1,693
Net income (loss)
$
(3,100
)
$
2,480
$
(5,222
)
$
1,708
Earnings (loss) per share - basic
$
(0.28
)
$
0.23
$
(0.47
)
$
0.16
Earnings (loss) per share - diluted
$
(0.28
)
$
0.22
$
(0.47
)
$
0.15
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic
11,135
10,991
11,071
10,970
Diluted
11,135
11,060
11,071
11,045
MEDIFAST, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (UNAUDITED)
(U.S. dollars in thousands, except par value)
June 30,
2026
December 31,
2025
ASSETS
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents
$
71,910
$
89,303
Inventories, net
21,181
20,228
Investments
97,911
77,970
Income taxes, prepaid
5,258
5,116
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
5,774
9,066
Total current assets
202,034
201,683
Property, plant and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation
27,980
31,230
Right-of-use assets
24,314
7,232
Other assets
6,073
7,828
TOTAL ASSETS
$
260,401
$
247,973
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
$
36,406
$
38,359
Current lease obligations
5,158
4,603
Total current liabilities
41,564
42,962
Lease obligations, net of current lease obligations
22,460
6,091
Total liabilities
64,024
49,053
Stockholders' Equity
Common stock, par value $.001 per share: 20,000 shares authorized; 11,181 and 10,991 issued and outstanding at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively
11
11
Additional paid-in capital
43,306
40,406
Accumulated other comprehensive income
11
234
Retained earnings
153,049
158,269
Total stockholders' equity
196,377
198,920
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
$
260,401
$
247,973
Investor Contact:
Medifast, Inc.
Steven Zenker
InvestorRelations@medifastinc.com
(443) 379-5256
Source: Medifast

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