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Stagwell发布7月Harvard CAPS/Harris民调，内容为美国政治、通胀、医保与AI态度调查
这是一份民调结果发布，主要反映选民对政治、通胀、医保、AI和数据中心的态度，不构成对某个上市公司收入、利润、订单或监管状态的直接催化。
📄 原文STGW↗ 原文
Originally Released On ACCESS Newswire Contact: Carrie Hsu pr@stagwellglobal.com CONGRESSIONAL HORSERACE TIED AT 50-50…
不做 Stagwell（STGW.US）
公司发布月度政治与社会议题民调，内容不直接改变Stagwell收入、利润或订单，也无法映射到明确同向可执行标的；按宏观/舆情背景处理，不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-14 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 low ↗
关键理由
- 这是一份民调结果发布，主要反映选民对政治、通胀、医保、AI和数据中心的态度，不构成对某个上市公司收入、利润、订单或监管状态的直接催化。
主要风险
- 民调中AI放缓和数据中心反对情绪可作为长期政策背景，但没有具体法案、监管动作或公司级影响链，无法形成短周期同向交易。
原文全文
展开原文 · 8,000 字
Originally Released On
ACCESS Newswire
Contact: Carrie Hsu pr@stagwellglobal.com
CONGRESSIONAL HORSERACE TIED AT 50-50
73% OF VOTERS SUPPORT U.S. MILITARY AND ECONOMIC FORCE IF IRAN DOES NOT GIVE UP CONTROL OF THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
78% OF VOTERS FAVOR FREE ENTERPRISE OVER SOCIALISM BUT A MAJORITY HOLDS THE MISCONCEPTION THAT RIGHTS, BUSINESS, AND HOME OWNERSHIP ARE GUARANTEED UNDER SOCIALISM
50% OF VOTERS BELIEVE PRICE INCREASES CAUSED BY TENSIONS WITH IRAN WILL BE SHORT-TERM, AN 8-PT. IMPROVEMENT FROM MAY
69% OF VOTERS SUPPORT MEDICARE FOR ALL
82% OF VOTERS SAY AI HAS SOCIAL DANGERS, CITING JOB LOSS AND POWER USAGE AS TOP CONCERNS
TWO-THIRDS OF VOTERS SAY THE U.S. SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AI DEVELOPMENT, WITH 53% MORE LIEKLY TO SUPPORT CANDIDATES WHO FAVOR A SLOWDOWN
74% OF VOTERS ARE PROUD TO BE AN AMERICAN TODAY, WITH THREE-QUARTERS OF AMERICANS SAYING THEY ARE LIVING OR WILL ACHIEVE THE AMERICAN DREAM
NEW YORK AND CAMBRIDGE, MA / ACCESS Newswire / July 14, 2026 / Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) today released the results of the July Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at 42%. His job approval is highest on immigration (49%) and fighting crime (47%); and lowest on handling inflation (35%) and managing the Iran conflict (38%). This month’s poll also covered public opinion on the economy, midterms, socialism, healthcare, AI, the Supreme Court, sentiments toward America and American identity, and conflicts in the Middle East. Download the key results here.
“Trump’s approval continues to be flat as voters want to see an end to inflation,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Meanwhile, on the country’s 250 th anniversary, most voters are proud to be American, see freedom as a defining value, and favor free enterprise – but they hold misconceptions that those rights are guaranteed under socialism.”
ECONOMY AND INFLATION REMAIN TOP PRIORITIES FOR VOTERS
35% of voters say the U.S. is on the right track, and 33% say the same about the U.S. economy.
Of key institutions, voters have the most favorable view of the U.S. military (+58 net favorable) and the United States (+56), and the least favorable view of communism (-55), and Iran (-51).
Inflation and the economy remain voters’ top concerns, though inflation ticked down in salience (-4 pts., May 2026) as did the U.S.-Iran conflict (-4) and the federal budget deficit (-3). Race relations ticked up in salience (+3).
MORE VOTERS BELIEVE IRAN-INDUCED INFLATION IS TEMPORARY BUT STILL THINK IT IS ABOVE 3 PERCENT
50% of voters say the economy is better today than it was when Biden was president (+6).
50% of voters believe price increases caused by tensions with Iran will be short-term and come back down quickly (+8).
67% of voters say the U.S. should prioritize energy independence to avoid global price shocks (-6).
58% of voters believe the economy is shrinking, while 77% of voters think inflation is above 3 percent a year.
MAJORITY OF TRUMP POLICIES CONTINUE TO SEE STRONG SUPPORT INCLUDING VOTER ID REQUIREMENTS AMONG THE MOST SUPPORTED
11 out of 13 key Trump policy positions continue to see majority support. His most popular policies are lowering prescription drug prices (86% support), deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (79%), and requiring proof of citizenship to vote (70%).
Trump’s least popular policy positions include placing a 15% tariff on imports from all countries (39%), eliminating mail-in voting (49%), and deporting all illegal immigrants (55%).
CONGRESSIONAL HORSERACE AT A TIE WITH HARRIS AND VANCE LOSING GROUND BUT STILL THE FRONTRUNNERS FOR 2028 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
70% of voters say they are planning to vote in the upcoming 2026 Congressional midterm elections (-3, May 2026; Democrats: 63%; Republicans: 59%; Independents: 37%)
The horserace is split 50-50 among general voters, with Democrats holding a 2-pt. lead among likely midterm voters.
68% of voters have thought about the upcoming 2028 presidential election.
Kamala Harris (-7) and J.D. Vance (-3) remain the most favored candidates for president among voters from their respective parties.
MOST VOTERS FAVOR FREE ENTERPRISE OVER SOCIALISM AND DID NOT BELIEVE GRAHAM PLATNER WAS A QUALIFIED CANDIDATE
78% of voters say we are better off with free enterprise instead of socialism. 83% say the future of the country should continue to be a mix of capitalism with social welfare programs rather than a fully socialist system, including a majority across political parties.
Large majorities of voters prefer a system of government where people can start their own businesses (88%), own homes (88%), earn money based on merit and work (88%), and practice their freedom of speech and religion rights as citizens without them being taken away (77%).
79% of voters personally feel they live in a country that rewards hard work with opportunity.
A majority of voters believe that under socialism, people can own homes (60%), businesses (57%), and practice freedom of religion and speech rights (59%).
62% of voters think socialism in other countries has mostly devolved into harsh dictatorships (Democrats: 51%; Republicans: 68%; Independents: 65%).
66% of voters believe Graham Platner was an unqualified candidate for the U.S. Senate, including a majority across political parties.
74% of voters believe supporting candidates with Nazi tattoos is evidence of antisemitism.
MAJORITY OF VOTERS SUPPORT MEDICARE FOR ALL DESPITE BEING SATISFIED WITH THEIR OWN COVERAGE RIGHT NOW
69% of voters support Medicare for All, including a majority across political parties.
58% of voters believe all healthcare is paid for by the government under Medicare for All but 57% believe private insurers would still exist.
42% of voters believe medical care will get worse if the government pays for health insurance, while 38% say it will improve.
58% of voters say the current Medicare system is working, and 55% say the same about Medicaid.
78% of voters approve of Medicare Advantage accounts.
72% of voters say they are personally happy with their coverage, including a majority across political parties.
MORE THAN HALF OF AMERICANS USE AI DAILY BUT MANY ARE CONCERNED ABOUT NEGATIVE SOCIAL IMPACTS, CALLING FOR A SLOWDOWN IN AI DEVELOPMENT
57% of voters say they personally use AI, with 56% of AI users using it daily.
Voters are split 50-50 on whether they find AI amazing, but 67% say we need to slow down the rush on AI, including a majority across political parties. 68% of voters say the U.S. should slow down AI development until there are stronger safeguards in place.
60% of voters say AI is a huge advancement.
57% say it is more likely AI will degrade society and create mass unemployment than create added value and productivity. Job loss (41%) and power usage (30%) are viewed as the primary dangers.
56% of employed voters believe their employment is currently not at risk from AI and automation.
62% of voters say data centers use too much energy and water and provide too few benefits to local communities, including a majority across political parties.
53% of voters say they would oppose a data center in their own neighborhood (Support: 25%), and the same share say such a facility should not be allowed near them even if the company provides local jobs, benefits, and protections.
53% of voters, a plurality, say they are more likely to support a candidate who supports slowing down on AI development (No impact: 31%; Less likely: 15%).
VOTERS TRUST SUPREME COURT TO UPHOLD THE CONSTITUTION EVEN WHEN THEY DON’T FAVOR ITS DECISIONS
79% of voters say the Supreme Court should defend the Constitution regardless of public opinion.
66% of voters favor the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold birthright citizenship (Democrats: 83
ACCESS Newswire
Contact: Carrie Hsu pr@stagwellglobal.com
CONGRESSIONAL HORSERACE TIED AT 50-50
73% OF VOTERS SUPPORT U.S. MILITARY AND ECONOMIC FORCE IF IRAN DOES NOT GIVE UP CONTROL OF THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
78% OF VOTERS FAVOR FREE ENTERPRISE OVER SOCIALISM BUT A MAJORITY HOLDS THE MISCONCEPTION THAT RIGHTS, BUSINESS, AND HOME OWNERSHIP ARE GUARANTEED UNDER SOCIALISM
50% OF VOTERS BELIEVE PRICE INCREASES CAUSED BY TENSIONS WITH IRAN WILL BE SHORT-TERM, AN 8-PT. IMPROVEMENT FROM MAY
69% OF VOTERS SUPPORT MEDICARE FOR ALL
82% OF VOTERS SAY AI HAS SOCIAL DANGERS, CITING JOB LOSS AND POWER USAGE AS TOP CONCERNS
TWO-THIRDS OF VOTERS SAY THE U.S. SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AI DEVELOPMENT, WITH 53% MORE LIEKLY TO SUPPORT CANDIDATES WHO FAVOR A SLOWDOWN
74% OF VOTERS ARE PROUD TO BE AN AMERICAN TODAY, WITH THREE-QUARTERS OF AMERICANS SAYING THEY ARE LIVING OR WILL ACHIEVE THE AMERICAN DREAM
NEW YORK AND CAMBRIDGE, MA / ACCESS Newswire / July 14, 2026 / Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) today released the results of the July Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at 42%. His job approval is highest on immigration (49%) and fighting crime (47%); and lowest on handling inflation (35%) and managing the Iran conflict (38%). This month’s poll also covered public opinion on the economy, midterms, socialism, healthcare, AI, the Supreme Court, sentiments toward America and American identity, and conflicts in the Middle East. Download the key results here.
“Trump’s approval continues to be flat as voters want to see an end to inflation,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Meanwhile, on the country’s 250 th anniversary, most voters are proud to be American, see freedom as a defining value, and favor free enterprise – but they hold misconceptions that those rights are guaranteed under socialism.”
ECONOMY AND INFLATION REMAIN TOP PRIORITIES FOR VOTERS
35% of voters say the U.S. is on the right track, and 33% say the same about the U.S. economy.
Of key institutions, voters have the most favorable view of the U.S. military (+58 net favorable) and the United States (+56), and the least favorable view of communism (-55), and Iran (-51).
Inflation and the economy remain voters’ top concerns, though inflation ticked down in salience (-4 pts., May 2026) as did the U.S.-Iran conflict (-4) and the federal budget deficit (-3). Race relations ticked up in salience (+3).
MORE VOTERS BELIEVE IRAN-INDUCED INFLATION IS TEMPORARY BUT STILL THINK IT IS ABOVE 3 PERCENT
50% of voters say the economy is better today than it was when Biden was president (+6).
50% of voters believe price increases caused by tensions with Iran will be short-term and come back down quickly (+8).
67% of voters say the U.S. should prioritize energy independence to avoid global price shocks (-6).
58% of voters believe the economy is shrinking, while 77% of voters think inflation is above 3 percent a year.
MAJORITY OF TRUMP POLICIES CONTINUE TO SEE STRONG SUPPORT INCLUDING VOTER ID REQUIREMENTS AMONG THE MOST SUPPORTED
11 out of 13 key Trump policy positions continue to see majority support. His most popular policies are lowering prescription drug prices (86% support), deporting illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (79%), and requiring proof of citizenship to vote (70%).
Trump’s least popular policy positions include placing a 15% tariff on imports from all countries (39%), eliminating mail-in voting (49%), and deporting all illegal immigrants (55%).
CONGRESSIONAL HORSERACE AT A TIE WITH HARRIS AND VANCE LOSING GROUND BUT STILL THE FRONTRUNNERS FOR 2028 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
70% of voters say they are planning to vote in the upcoming 2026 Congressional midterm elections (-3, May 2026; Democrats: 63%; Republicans: 59%; Independents: 37%)
The horserace is split 50-50 among general voters, with Democrats holding a 2-pt. lead among likely midterm voters.
68% of voters have thought about the upcoming 2028 presidential election.
Kamala Harris (-7) and J.D. Vance (-3) remain the most favored candidates for president among voters from their respective parties.
MOST VOTERS FAVOR FREE ENTERPRISE OVER SOCIALISM AND DID NOT BELIEVE GRAHAM PLATNER WAS A QUALIFIED CANDIDATE
78% of voters say we are better off with free enterprise instead of socialism. 83% say the future of the country should continue to be a mix of capitalism with social welfare programs rather than a fully socialist system, including a majority across political parties.
Large majorities of voters prefer a system of government where people can start their own businesses (88%), own homes (88%), earn money based on merit and work (88%), and practice their freedom of speech and religion rights as citizens without them being taken away (77%).
79% of voters personally feel they live in a country that rewards hard work with opportunity.
A majority of voters believe that under socialism, people can own homes (60%), businesses (57%), and practice freedom of religion and speech rights (59%).
62% of voters think socialism in other countries has mostly devolved into harsh dictatorships (Democrats: 51%; Republicans: 68%; Independents: 65%).
66% of voters believe Graham Platner was an unqualified candidate for the U.S. Senate, including a majority across political parties.
74% of voters believe supporting candidates with Nazi tattoos is evidence of antisemitism.
MAJORITY OF VOTERS SUPPORT MEDICARE FOR ALL DESPITE BEING SATISFIED WITH THEIR OWN COVERAGE RIGHT NOW
69% of voters support Medicare for All, including a majority across political parties.
58% of voters believe all healthcare is paid for by the government under Medicare for All but 57% believe private insurers would still exist.
42% of voters believe medical care will get worse if the government pays for health insurance, while 38% say it will improve.
58% of voters say the current Medicare system is working, and 55% say the same about Medicaid.
78% of voters approve of Medicare Advantage accounts.
72% of voters say they are personally happy with their coverage, including a majority across political parties.
MORE THAN HALF OF AMERICANS USE AI DAILY BUT MANY ARE CONCERNED ABOUT NEGATIVE SOCIAL IMPACTS, CALLING FOR A SLOWDOWN IN AI DEVELOPMENT
57% of voters say they personally use AI, with 56% of AI users using it daily.
Voters are split 50-50 on whether they find AI amazing, but 67% say we need to slow down the rush on AI, including a majority across political parties. 68% of voters say the U.S. should slow down AI development until there are stronger safeguards in place.
60% of voters say AI is a huge advancement.
57% say it is more likely AI will degrade society and create mass unemployment than create added value and productivity. Job loss (41%) and power usage (30%) are viewed as the primary dangers.
56% of employed voters believe their employment is currently not at risk from AI and automation.
62% of voters say data centers use too much energy and water and provide too few benefits to local communities, including a majority across political parties.
53% of voters say they would oppose a data center in their own neighborhood (Support: 25%), and the same share say such a facility should not be allowed near them even if the company provides local jobs, benefits, and protections.
53% of voters, a plurality, say they are more likely to support a candidate who supports slowing down on AI development (No impact: 31%; Less likely: 15%).
VOTERS TRUST SUPREME COURT TO UPHOLD THE CONSTITUTION EVEN WHEN THEY DON’T FAVOR ITS DECISIONS
79% of voters say the Supreme Court should defend the Constitution regardless of public opinion.
66% of voters favor the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold birthright citizenship (Democrats: 83
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