🏢 官网IRVNDADoubao · 实盘可交易 · 做空市场:美股▼ 亏 -2.03% · 已结算把握 7/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 10-14(美东日)仅日期·时区推断·⟳ 抓取 05:03:51回填·⚡ 决策 10-15 05:05:13·12.8 天前
Vanda 的 VQW-765 社交焦虑障碍 III 期研究未达主要终点,项目暂停
这是公司官方确认的后期临床关键终点失败,资产状态从 III 期待读出转为阴性且项目暂停,方向明确;尽管盘后已约 -10%,收盘后成交仍在实时消化,次日仍可能继续重估。
📄 原文VNDA↗ 原文
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Provides Update on VQW-765 Clinical Development Program
October 14, 2026 Phase III clinical study of VQW-765 in adults with social anxiety disorder did not meet its primary en…
▼ 亏 -2.03%入场 10-14 盘后首笔 @3.973 → 离场 10-15 常规开盘 @4.040
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(做空:价格在入场线下方)、绿底 = 亏
💡 交易逻辑III期双终点失败且项目暂停,盘后仅初步消化
怎么做空 开盘做空 不低于昨收 -12%(低于下限不成交)
怎么平空 止盈 -8%(半仓)/-15%(清仓) · 止损 +7% · 时间止损 3日
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
分时走势
做空 VNDA.US Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
5 个交易日均已收盘,数据完整 · 美股含盘前盘后(灰底:美东 04:00 至收盘后 4 小时)
- 抓取 10-15 05:03 北京(美东 10-14 17:03) · 抓取时刻为回填/上界(producer quality=canonical_complete),不是实时观测
- 决策 10-15 05:05 北京(美东 10-14 17:05)
- 入场 10-15 05:07 北京(美东 10-14 17:07) · 盘后首笔 @3.972
- 离场 10-15 21:30 北京(美东 10-15 09:30) · 常规开盘 @4.040
- 发布时间只精确到日期,未画线
时间轴只含交易时段(午休、隔夜已压缩);横轴为北京时间,悬停看当地时间;蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价;建仓日图红线在昨收上方、绿线在下方
成交明细 · 纸面
做空 VNDA.US Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
| 收益状态 | -2.03% 已平仓 |
|---|---|
| 进场成交 | 2026-10-14 · 盘后首笔 · 10-15 05:07 北京 · @3.9725 · 成交 3% |
| 离场成交 | 2026-10-15 · 常规开盘 · @4.04 |
| 毛收益 | -1.70% |
| 成本 | +0.33% |
| 净收益 | -2.03% |
| 计入收益 | -0.06% |
| 建仓日 | 2026-10-14 · 进场不早于新闻时刻 + 2 分钟 |
收益口径 event_time_plus_2min_10min_walk_open_topup_to_next_open_exchange_calendar_fill_model_local_notional_v9 · method_id m8db1cbc8f2d · 截至 2026-10-28 01:19
研究档案
结论摘要
VQW-765 III 期主要和关键次要终点均未达到且项目暂停,直接消除该资产的近期获批期权。VNDA 市值仅约2.55亿美元,盘后跌至3.81美元,适合以小仓短线做空捕捉次日继续重估,但需接受盘后已部分定价和低价股波动。
关键理由
- III 期女性主要终点 p=0.8899、全人群关键次要终点 p=0.6605,疗效信号接近无效,不只是边际未达标。
- 公司已将 VQW-765 项目暂停;在约2.55亿美元小市值公司中,一个后期管线资产失败可能触发次日继续估值下修。
主要风险
- 盘后一度低至3.48美元后回到3.81美元,说明已有约10%的即时重定价,次日可能低开后反弹。
- 若完整数据显示强亚组、公司宣布其他管线交易或现有产品现金流支撑超预期,空头逻辑可能被削弱。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 weakens
当前新闻稿未给出可抵消该失败的积极临床或交易事实;安全性良好不能补偿疗效终点失败。公司其余资产和现金可能缓和长期下行,因此仅支持小仓短线做空。
检索:Vanda VQW-765 Phase III failed positive pipeline cash position Hetlioz Tradjenta 2026 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 none
未在本轮取得独立分析师上调、公司否认、数据反转或其他足以否定临床失败的新增证据。
检索:VNDA stock VQW-765 social anxiety Phase III failure analyst response
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不足使仓位降为 small、止盈区间保守,并允许次日若不大幅低开则放弃追空。
方向:未在本轮形成可核验、首发锚定的可比临床失败先例面板;方向主要由当前官方数据和项目暂停状态直接支持。
涨幅量级:缺少高相似 aligned 先例,不用历史中位数设定过宽止盈;以盘后已实现跌幅和低价临床失败股的隔夜延续风险设置保守区间。
形态:无法从先例确认是否必然隔夜继续下跌或低开高走,因此仅给小仓并设置较紧止损。
工具执行结果 · 成功 3 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 12 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`vanda pharmaceuticals vqw-765 phase iii social anxiety disorder primary endpoint | vnda study 3201 vp-vqw-765-3201 failed endpoint | vqw-765 alpha7 nachr program on hold`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式 - stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 423 ms
{ - fetch_decision_experience 成功 stock_tools_inprocess · 1 ms
{
原文全文
展开原文 · 8,338 字
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Provides Update on VQW-765 Clinical Development Program
October 14, 2026
Phase III clinical study of VQW-765 in adults with social anxiety disorder did not meet its primary endpoint
Consistent with prior studies, VQW-765 was safe and well tolerated
WASHINGTON, Oct. 14, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Vanda) (Nasdaq: VNDA) today provided an update on its clinical
development program for VQW-765, a novel small molecule alpha 7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) partial agonist. Vanda's Phase III
clinical study, VP-VQW-765-3201 (Study 3201), which evaluated VQW-765 for the on-demand treatment of acute anxiety in adults with social anxiety
disorder, did not meet its primary endpoint.
Study 3201 (NCT07221578)1 was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase III study conducted at approximately 30 clinical
sites in the U.S. The study randomized 546 adults 18 to 65 years of age with a current diagnosis of social anxiety disorder and elevated baseline
scores on the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale and Public Speaking Anxiety Scale. Participants received a single oral dose of VQW-765 or placebo in a
1:1 ratio and were then challenged with a psychosocial stress test, the standardized Trier Social Stress Test (TSST). The TSST induces acute stress
by having participants prepare (anticipation phase) and then deliver (performance phase) an interview-style presentation to a panel that gives no
feedback or encouragement.
The primary endpoint was the level of distress during the performance phase of the TSST in the female population, as measured by the Subjective
Units of Distress Scale (SUDS), on which participants rate their nervousness or distress from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating greater distress.
Female participants who received VQW-765 did not show a statistically significant difference from those who received placebo. The study also did not
meet the key secondary endpoint of SUDS during the performance phase of the TSST in the full (male and female) population.
SUDS Performance Phase (Std Err)
Population LS Mean Difference (95% CI) P-value
VQW-765 Placebo
ITT females* 65.6 (1.90) 66.0 (1.96) -0.4 (-5.32, 4.62) 0.8899
ITT males and females** 64.7 (1.50) 63.8 (1.51) 0.9 (-3.00, 4.73) 0.6605
*Primary endpoint **Key secondary endpoint
Study 3201 was designed to confirm the findings of Vanda's earlier Phase II clinical study, VP-VQW-765-2201 (Study 2201), in which participants with
a history of performance anxiety who received VQW-765 reported numerically lower stress levels during the TSST than those who received placebo.
The Phase III results did not confirm those findings.
"We are disappointed that Study 3201 did not confirm the earlier Phase II findings2 for VQW-765 in patients with social anxiety disorder," said Mihael
H. Polymeropoulos, M.D., President, CEO and Chairman of the Board of Vanda Pharmaceuticals. "We thank the participants, investigators and site
staff who made this study possible."
Given these results, the VQW-765 program is on hold pending further analysis of the full dataset.
About VQW-765
VQW-765 is a novel small molecule alpha 7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) partial agonist, with potential use for the treatment of
psychiatric disorders. VQW-765 binds and enhances the activity of one type of nicotinic receptors composed of a pentameric assembly of the alpha 7
subtype. While nicotine can also bind this receptor, the binding affinity of VQW-765 is much higher than that of nicotine, making it a potent and specific
molecule for the alpha 7 receptor. VQW-765, formerly known as AQW-051, was licensed to Vanda from Novartis.
About Performance Anxiety
Over 20% of the U.S. population is estimated to experience debilitating performance anxiety that ranges from public speaking to test taking, writer's
block and musical performance. The most common type of performance anxiety is public speaking anxiety. People with performance anxiety report
that the condition can hinder or even threaten their professional career of choice. Similarly, musicians report that performance anxiety makes them
perform at levels below their capabilities. Currently, there is no FDA-approved drug treatment available for performance anxiety and general
anti-anxiolytic drugs tend to be sedating, which is not preferred in a performance situation.
About Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Vanda is a leading global biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies to address high
unmet medical needs and improve the lives of patients. For more on Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc., please visit www.vandapharma.com and follow us
on X @vandapharma.
References
1. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07221578.
2. He Y, Polymeropoulos CM, Mohrman MA, et al. Efficacy and safety of an alpha 7-nicotinic acetylcholine receptor agonist, VQW-765, in subjects with
performance anxiety: randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Br J Psychiatry. 2025;227(1):473-480. doi:10.1192/bjp.2025.84
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Various statements in this press release, including but not limited to statements regarding Vanda's clinical development plans for VQW-765; Vanda's
clinical development plans for the rest of its late-stage pipeline and the estimated prevalence in the U.S. of performance anxiety are "forward-looking
statements" under the securities laws. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking
statements.Forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations that involve risks, changes in circumstances, assumptions and
uncertainties. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in Vanda's forward-looking statements include,
among others, the outcome of Vanda's analysis of the full dataset from Study 3201; and the accuracy of the estimates of the prevalence in the U.S. of
performance anxiety. Therefore, no assurance can be given that the results or developments anticipated by Vanda will be realized or, even if
substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, Vanda. Forward-looking statements in this press release should
be evaluated together with the various risks and uncertainties that affect Vanda's business and market, particularly those identified in the "Cautionary
Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements", "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations" sections of Vanda's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by Vanda's subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q,
Current Reports on Form 8-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at www.sec.gov.
All written and verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Vanda or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the
cautionary statements contained or referred to herein. Vanda cautions investors not to rely too heavily on the forward-looking statements Vanda
makes or that are made on its behalf. The information in this press release is provided only as of the date of this press release, and Vanda undertakes
no obligation, and specifically declines any obligation, to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
Corporate Contact:
Kevin Moran
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
202-734-3400
pr@vandapharma.com
Jim Golden / Jack Kelleher / Dan Moore
Collected Strategies
VANDA-CS@collectedstrategies.com
Follow us on X @vandapharma
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/vanda-pharmaceuticals-provides-update-on-vqw-
765-clinical-development-program-302909083.html
SOURCE Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
October 14, 2026
Phase III clinical study of VQW-765 in adults with social anxiety disorder did not meet its primary endpoint
Consistent with prior studies, VQW-765 was safe and well tolerated
WASHINGTON, Oct. 14, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Vanda) (Nasdaq: VNDA) today provided an update on its clinical
development program for VQW-765, a novel small molecule alpha 7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) partial agonist. Vanda's Phase III
clinical study, VP-VQW-765-3201 (Study 3201), which evaluated VQW-765 for the on-demand treatment of acute anxiety in adults with social anxiety
disorder, did not meet its primary endpoint.
Study 3201 (NCT07221578)1 was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase III study conducted at approximately 30 clinical
sites in the U.S. The study randomized 546 adults 18 to 65 years of age with a current diagnosis of social anxiety disorder and elevated baseline
scores on the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale and Public Speaking Anxiety Scale. Participants received a single oral dose of VQW-765 or placebo in a
1:1 ratio and were then challenged with a psychosocial stress test, the standardized Trier Social Stress Test (TSST). The TSST induces acute stress
by having participants prepare (anticipation phase) and then deliver (performance phase) an interview-style presentation to a panel that gives no
feedback or encouragement.
The primary endpoint was the level of distress during the performance phase of the TSST in the female population, as measured by the Subjective
Units of Distress Scale (SUDS), on which participants rate their nervousness or distress from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating greater distress.
Female participants who received VQW-765 did not show a statistically significant difference from those who received placebo. The study also did not
meet the key secondary endpoint of SUDS during the performance phase of the TSST in the full (male and female) population.
SUDS Performance Phase (Std Err)
Population LS Mean Difference (95% CI) P-value
VQW-765 Placebo
ITT females* 65.6 (1.90) 66.0 (1.96) -0.4 (-5.32, 4.62) 0.8899
ITT males and females** 64.7 (1.50) 63.8 (1.51) 0.9 (-3.00, 4.73) 0.6605
*Primary endpoint **Key secondary endpoint
Study 3201 was designed to confirm the findings of Vanda's earlier Phase II clinical study, VP-VQW-765-2201 (Study 2201), in which participants with
a history of performance anxiety who received VQW-765 reported numerically lower stress levels during the TSST than those who received placebo.
The Phase III results did not confirm those findings.
"We are disappointed that Study 3201 did not confirm the earlier Phase II findings2 for VQW-765 in patients with social anxiety disorder," said Mihael
H. Polymeropoulos, M.D., President, CEO and Chairman of the Board of Vanda Pharmaceuticals. "We thank the participants, investigators and site
staff who made this study possible."
Given these results, the VQW-765 program is on hold pending further analysis of the full dataset.
About VQW-765
VQW-765 is a novel small molecule alpha 7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) partial agonist, with potential use for the treatment of
psychiatric disorders. VQW-765 binds and enhances the activity of one type of nicotinic receptors composed of a pentameric assembly of the alpha 7
subtype. While nicotine can also bind this receptor, the binding affinity of VQW-765 is much higher than that of nicotine, making it a potent and specific
molecule for the alpha 7 receptor. VQW-765, formerly known as AQW-051, was licensed to Vanda from Novartis.
About Performance Anxiety
Over 20% of the U.S. population is estimated to experience debilitating performance anxiety that ranges from public speaking to test taking, writer's
block and musical performance. The most common type of performance anxiety is public speaking anxiety. People with performance anxiety report
that the condition can hinder or even threaten their professional career of choice. Similarly, musicians report that performance anxiety makes them
perform at levels below their capabilities. Currently, there is no FDA-approved drug treatment available for performance anxiety and general
anti-anxiolytic drugs tend to be sedating, which is not preferred in a performance situation.
About Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Vanda is a leading global biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies to address high
unmet medical needs and improve the lives of patients. For more on Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc., please visit www.vandapharma.com and follow us
on X @vandapharma.
References
1. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT07221578.
2. He Y, Polymeropoulos CM, Mohrman MA, et al. Efficacy and safety of an alpha 7-nicotinic acetylcholine receptor agonist, VQW-765, in subjects with
performance anxiety: randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Br J Psychiatry. 2025;227(1):473-480. doi:10.1192/bjp.2025.84
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Various statements in this press release, including but not limited to statements regarding Vanda's clinical development plans for VQW-765; Vanda's
clinical development plans for the rest of its late-stage pipeline and the estimated prevalence in the U.S. of performance anxiety are "forward-looking
statements" under the securities laws. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking
statements.Forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations that involve risks, changes in circumstances, assumptions and
uncertainties. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in Vanda's forward-looking statements include,
among others, the outcome of Vanda's analysis of the full dataset from Study 3201; and the accuracy of the estimates of the prevalence in the U.S. of
performance anxiety. Therefore, no assurance can be given that the results or developments anticipated by Vanda will be realized or, even if
substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, Vanda. Forward-looking statements in this press release should
be evaluated together with the various risks and uncertainties that affect Vanda's business and market, particularly those identified in the "Cautionary
Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements", "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations" sections of Vanda's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by Vanda's subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q,
Current Reports on Form 8-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available at www.sec.gov.
All written and verbal forward-looking statements attributable to Vanda or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the
cautionary statements contained or referred to herein. Vanda cautions investors not to rely too heavily on the forward-looking statements Vanda
makes or that are made on its behalf. The information in this press release is provided only as of the date of this press release, and Vanda undertakes
no obligation, and specifically declines any obligation, to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
Corporate Contact:
Kevin Moran
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
202-734-3400
pr@vandapharma.com
Jim Golden / Jack Kelleher / Dan Moore
Collected Strategies
VANDA-CS@collectedstrategies.com
Follow us on X @vandapharma
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/vanda-pharmaceuticals-provides-update-on-vqw-
765-clinical-development-program-302909083.html
SOURCE Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.
决策记录链 · 只追加
每次领取产生一条记录,重新决策追加一条并以 supersedes 指向被替代的记录(ADR 0014)。
b12793ce51· 2026-10-15 05:05 · doubao / doubao-seed-evolving-latest-version · 策略包2226518bfdee当前