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北京时间·🕒 发布 20:00:00时区推断·⟳ 抓取 20:02:43·⚡ 决策 07-23 20:03:55 +1m12s·95.8 天前

Zillow发布6月美国租赁市场报告:租金温和上涨但优惠比例仍高

这是一份Zillow月度租赁市场统计报告,核心是美国租金、租赁优惠和区域供需变化,属于行业背景数据而非公司级催化。

📄 原文Z↗ 原文
Rent is ticking up, but so are the deals
Although rent growth has accelerated, the share of listings offering an incentive remains elevated The typical U.S. ask…
不做 Zillow Group(Z.US)
不做:这是Zillow发布的美国租赁市场月度统计与行业评论,没有披露公司级订单、收入、利润或指引变化,无法形成对Zillow Group(Z.US)或其它标的的短周期同向交易。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-23 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 medium ↗

关键理由

  • 这是一份Zillow月度租赁市场统计报告,核心是美国租金、租赁优惠和区域供需变化,属于行业背景数据而非公司级催化。
  • 报告没有披露Zillow自身订单、收入、利润、指引或商业模式变化,也无法对单一上市标的形成短周期可量化传导。
  • 租金上涨与优惠率高企同时存在,方向对地产平台、REITs、建筑商或租赁相关公司均不够明确。

主要风险

  • 若后续出现REITs、房屋租赁平台或建筑商的公司级指引变化,应由新的公司级事件重新研判。

原文全文

展开原文 · 7,999 字
Although rent growth has accelerated, the share of listings offering an incentive remains elevated
The typical U.S. asking rent rose to $1,965 in June, up 2.2% annually, according to the Zillow Observed Rent Index.
39.7% of rentals on Zillow offered a concession in June, up from 35.2% a year ago.
Sun Belt renters have more options and more deals than the rest of the country, the direct result of a years-long building boom.
SEATTLE , July 23, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Fewer apartments are sitting empty, rents are climbing, and yet the deals keep coming. According to the Zillow® June Rental Report , the typical U.S. asking rent rose to $1,965, up 2.2% compared to a year ago, and nearly 2 in 5 rental listings came with a concession attached. For property managers, that means pricing power isn't back yet.

A concession is a move-in discount, commonly a free month's rent, waived fees or free parking. For renters who land a freebie, the real cost of renting can be softer than the asking price suggests. The 2.2% annual rent growth in June is a slight acceleration from the previous month. Yet the increase in concessions — 39.7% of rental listings on Zillow offered one in June, up from 35.2% a year ago — softens the blow for renters.
The backdrop is a rental market that has added significant new inventory over the past few years, giving renters more choices. Meanwhile, the cost of buying a home remains high, keeping many in the rental market longer. That combination is driving both trends: enough demand to keep absorption elevated and sufficient supply to keep the rental vacancy rate elevated.
"The payoff from the construction boom is showing up clearly for renters right now," said Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow. "Supply is the most direct lever to keep rents in check over the long term. Markets that invested in new housing are rewarding renters with more choices, more concessions and more competitive pricing. Renters in areas that did not are feeling it, as rents continue to increase fast and affordability is slow to improve."
The rental market is expected to tighten
Rent growth has been consistent this spring: April, May and June all posted stronger month-over-month gains than the same months in 2025.
The rapid climb in the number of available rental units is slowing, in large part because the apartment construction wave that flooded the market is finally receding: building completions fell further in the second quarter, while net absorption continued to increase.
With demand holding steady and the flow of new apartments slowing, conditions are expected to tighten gradually across the country. That means the elevated concession rates renters are seeing today reflect a market still working through its inventory. As that process plays out, deals are expected to become less common even as rent growth stays measured.
Where deals are most common
The markets with the highest concession rates are where the most new apartments were built and where renters have the most options today. Charlotte (67.1%), Denver (65.9%) and Dallas (64.6%) top the list. Rents have declined in San Antonio (-1.8% to $1,416), Austin (-1.7% to $1,653) and Denver (-1.3% to $1,930) over the past year. In these markets, renters are seeing the direct benefit of the new supply that has come online.
Where the market is tightest, rents are rising fastest. San Francisco leads the nation in rent growth, up 8.2% annually to $3,301, with just 24.9% of listings offering a concession. San Jose rents rose 6.2% to $3,729, while Chicago rents climbed 5.2% to $2,275. For renters in these markets, the window to negotiate is considerably narrower.
Single-family rents increase twice as much as apartment rents
Single-family rents rose 3% year over year to $2,320, roughly double the 1.5% gain for multifamily units, now at $1,789. A disproportionately larger increase in the number of apartment units gave renters in that segment more options to choose from, also pulling down rent growth when compared to single-family rentals.
Looking ahead, rent growth is expected to remain moderate. Zillow forecasts single-family rents to rise 3.1%, and multifamily rents to increase 2% for 2026, roughly in line with 2025. For renters, that means the deals available today are unlikely to disappear overnight, but as new supply is absorbed, conditions could begin to gradually tighten.
Metro
Concession
Share
Concession
Year over Year
(YoY)
Typical Rent,
Zillow Observed
Rent Index
(ZORI)
Rent YoY
Income
Needed

United States
39.7 %
4.5 %
$1,965
2.2 %
$78,600

New York, NY
17.2 %
1.3 %
$3,573
4.5 %
$142,933

Los Angeles, CA
32.5 %
2.9 %
$2,927
1.5 %
$117,090

Chicago, IL
23.3 %
2.6 %
$2,275
5.2 %
$91,014

Dallas, TX
64.6 %
9.2 %
$1,673
0 %
$66,938

Houston, TX
54.0 %
7.2 %
$1,648
-0.1 %
$65,918

Washington, DC
54.8 %
4.2 %
$2,448
0.1 %
$97,916

Philadelphia, PA
31.8 %
3.0 %
$1,928
3.6 %
$77,128

Miami, FL
27.8 %
2.7 %
$2,695
1.2 %
$107,784

Atlanta, GA
58.2 %
5.3 %
$1,854
1.9 %
$74,159

Boston, MA
29.5 %
4.8 %
$3,210
2.6 %
$128,416

Phoenix, AZ
61.0 %
6.0 %
$1,733
0 %
$69,339

San Francisco, CA
24.9 %
8.9 %
$3,301
8.2 %
$132,059

Riverside, CA
29.9 %
3.1 %
$2,539
2.3 %
$101,570

Detroit, MI
25.3 %
2.8 %
$1,518
3.2 %
$60,713

Seattle, WA
52.4 %
6.7 %
$2,269
1.4 %
$90,763

Minneapolis, MN
40.0 %
0.4 %
$1,727
3.4 %
$69,061

San Diego, CA
37.4 %
4.1 %
$2,991
1.7 %
$119,620

Tampa, FL
52.5 %
11.3 %
$2,020
-0.7 %
$80,812

Denver, CO
65.9 %
4.4 %
$1,930
-1.3 %
$77,188

Baltimore, MD
37.7 %
1.0 %
$1,936
2.2 %
$77,433

St. Louis, MO
28.9 %
6.5 %
$1,459
4.0 %
$58,369

Orlando, FL
55.2 %
5.7 %
$1,972
0.7 %
$78,874

Charlotte, NC
67.1 %
6.0 %
$1,750
0.5 %
$69,989

San Antonio, TX
56.9 %
6.1 %
$1,416
-1.8 %
$56,633

Portland, OR
48.0 %
6.2 %
$1,805
0.4 %
$72,214

Sacramento, CA
31.8 %
2.8 %
$2,308
2.0 %
$92,327

Pittsburgh, PA
25.8 %
5.1 %
$1,523
3.6 %
$60,921

Cincinnati, OH
32.6 %
12.6 %
$1,583
2.8 %
$63,306

Austin, TX
64.3 %
3.6 %
$1,653
-1.7 %
$66,132

Las Vegas, NV
57.1 %
15.5 %
$1,748
0.3 %
$69,910

Kansas City, MO
34.8 %
7.7 %
$1,545
3.4 %
$61,803

Columbus, OH
48.8 %
11.0 %
$1,528
1.5 %
$61,100

Indianapolis, IN
46.9 %
9.0 %
$1,558
2.5 %
$62,327

Cleveland, OH
24.7 %
2.0 %
$1,474
4.0 %
$58,967

San Jose, CA
23.7 %
-13.2 %
$3,729
6.2 %
$149,179

Nashville, TN
64.0 %
6.4 %
$1,810
0.4 %
$72,418

Virginia Beach, VA
21.8 %
-4.9 %
$1,878
5.5 %
$75,104

Providence, RI
11.4 %
-0.1 %
$2,172
3.5 %
$86,872

Jacksonville, FL
50.2 %
3.1 %
$1,708
1.2 %
$68,316

Milwaukee, WI
18.3 %
-4.5 %
$1,552
4.2 %
$62,085

Oklahoma City, OK
29.7 %
3.3 %
$1,393
2.8 %
$55,708

Raleigh, NC
64.1 %
4.6 %
$1,689
0.3 %
$67,559

Memphis, TN
43.3 %
8.4 %
$1,435
0.7 %
$57,386

Richmond, VA
47.4 %
7.7 %
$1,772
3.3 %
$70,863

Louisville, KY
44.5 %
11.1 %
$1,385
2.3 %
$55,404

New Orleans, LA
19.3 %
7.2 %
$1,617
0.8 %
$64,679

Salt Lake City, UT
64.2 %
8.2 %
$1,638
0.6 %
$65,513

Hartford, CT
20.7 %
0.6 %
$2,013
3.1 %
$80,518

Buffalo, NY
10.1 %
2.9 %
$1,461
3.1 %
$58,435

Birmingham, AL
39.2 %
14.8 %
$1,462
1.2 %
$58,497

*Table ordered by market size

About Zillow Group
Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people.
As the most visited real estate app and website in the United States, Zillow connects hundreds of millions of consumers with innovative technology, trusted agents and loan officers, and seamless digital solutions. With industry-leading tools and resources, Zillow supercharges real estate professionals so they can grow their businesses and deliver exceptional client experiences. For renters and housing providers, Zillow offers not only a robust marketplace but a set of end-to-end products and services to streamline applications, leases, payments and more.
Zillow's ecosystem spans the entire home journey — from dreaming and shopping to renting, buying, selling and financing.
Zillow Group's affiliates, subsidiaries and brands include Zillow ® , Zillow Premier Agent ® , Zillow Home Loans ® ,

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