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🎙 直播转录Bloomberg TV+Codex · 实盘不做把握 6/10标签:live_transcript
北京时间·🕒 发布 23:30:00时区推断·⟳ 抓取 23:30:02·⚡ 决策 08-04 23:34:29 +4m27s·83.6 天前

美国FCC据报拟禁止进口中国光模块,冲击中国AI数据中心光通信供应商

Reuters经Bloomberg TV转述称FCC正起草禁止进口部分中国数据中心光收发器的规则,若落地将直接压低中国AI光模块厂商的美国订单可见度。

📄 原文Bloomberg TV+↗ 原文
【实时直播转录 · Bloomberg TV+】 来源:Bloomberg TV+(bloomberg 直播间 btv_us) · 标题:Bloomberg TV+ 时段:2026-08-04 23:00–23:30(Asia/Shang…
不做 中际旭创(300308.SZ)
方向上应作为SHORT候选,但stock_quote服务失败,无法取得真实收盘价、涨跌幅和可回测入场基准;同时FCC仍为草案线报,当前仅输出风控风险,不落新开仓。
不做 新易盛(300502.SZ)
同品类受损逻辑成立但未被本次报道单独点名,且行情工具失败无法核价生成SHORT_AT_OPEN;保留风险过滤,不新开仓。
不做 Marvell Technology(MRVL.US)
美国替代链在Bloomberg转述前后已被盘中大幅重定价,且stock_quote服务失败无法核实时价格和追涨上限;不追。
不做 Coherent(COHR.US)
替代受益方向明确但已出现明显盘中反应,当前信号剩余edge不足且无法核价设置限价,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-04 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-08-04 12:57 UTC首发Reuters一手源原文 ↗
    本地信号库已抓到Reuters原文《EU interior ministers' meeting over Ceuta crisis was 'constructive', Spain says》,发布时间早于当前社媒/聚合转述,用作本次催化首发锚点。
  2. 2026-08-04首发Reuters(经Bloomberg TV转述)非一手原文 ↗
    Bloomberg TV直播转述Reuters称FCC正起草禁止进口部分中国数据中心组件的规则,核心对象为中国光收发器;未命中Reuters原文链接。
  3. 2026-08-04 11:13 ET财经媒体扩散Bloomberg TV+非一手原文 ↗
    直播在美股盘中扩散该Reuters线报,A股和港股已处于盘后不可连续交易状态。
  4. 2026-08-04市场反应Barron's非一手原文 ↗
    Barron's称Marvell、Coherent、Lumentum、AAOI等美国光通信股因禁令报道上涨,说明美国替代链已在盘中被快速重定价。
    市场反应:报道提及MRVL、COHR约涨11%,LITE涨5.4%,AAOI涨17%。

关键理由

  • Reuters经Bloomberg TV转述称FCC正起草禁止进口部分中国数据中心光收发器的规则,若落地将直接压低中国AI光模块厂商的美国订单可见度。
  • Barron's称中际旭创超过一半收入来自美国且约占全球AI光模块市场30%,本次禁令草案对其属于公司级地缘收入风险。
  • 美国替代链已被市场即时重定价,Marvell和Coherent等已大涨,当前信号对美股正向腿剩余edge有限。

主要风险

  • 该消息仍是草案/线报阶段,尚无FCC正式规则文本,最终范围、时间表和豁免可能显著改变冲击幅度。
  • 中际旭创等中国厂商已有泰国等海外产能和客户转换方案,若规则只按产地而非公司主体限制,实际损害可能低于标题冲击。

反向证据

  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-06 · 影响 weakens
    行业资料称中国光模块厂商已探索越南/马来西亚最终组装,且此前关税未导致结构性客户流失。
    检索:Chinese optical transceiver companies move production Malaysia Vietnam tariffs Innolight Eoptolink 2026 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-30 · 影响 supports
    WSJ称中际旭创超过60%收入来自美国并扩建泰国产能,确认敞口同时提供部分供应链迁移反证。
    检索:Zhongji Innolight US revenue over half Reuters FCC Chinese optical transceiver ban Barrons 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-04 · 影响 weakens
    美国替代链在报道后已大涨,当前11:30 ET信号进入时追多剩余空间被压缩。
    检索:FCC Chinese optical transceivers Marvell Coherent Lumentum market reaction 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
    内部KB服务实际调用失败,未能补充付费研报侧收入占比与客户结构。
    检索:中际旭创 美国客户 光模块 收入 占比 Nvidia Google
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(4 种)
  • search_processed_events · 结果未知
  • query_modeling_kb · 结果未知
  • kb_search · 结果未知
  • stock_quote · 结果未知

原文全文

展开原文 · 18,421 字
【实时直播转录 · Bloomberg TV+】
来源:Bloomberg TV+(bloomberg 直播间 btv_us) · 标题:Bloomberg TV+
时段:2026-08-04 23:00–23:30(Asia/Shanghai),共 145 段
说明:以下为该时段该直播间的连续语音转录(直播 ASR,可能有同音/识别误差)。请从中识别与 AI算力/芯片/服务器/光模块/液冷/数据中心/大模型/机器人·具身智能/自动驾驶 等相关的、**可交易**的公司/产品/订单/产能/需求/合作/高管或官员表态,判断是否构成可交易事件;若通篇无可交易内容,判为不做。识别误差请结合上下文与常识修正,勿据孤立音近词臆断。

--- 转录正文 ---
[23:00] Sns Sline back.
[23:00] My old mentor, Roger Sawback, who told me when I transitioned football.
[23:00] Well never leave you but you need to leave it Wow everyone has a dream and a lot of dreams are, you know, my dream is to play football and play professional football.
[23:01] You get the dream comes true, but it is going to end and the day it ends, the day before it ends, you're one of the best in the world the next.
[23:01] Wake upThat's gone. What are you great at And the truth is nothing right, I'm not great at anything else I talk about it all the time, Steve.
[23:01] idea of it's not from penthouse to penthouse, and what I mean by that is you played for 15, 20 years and you're in the penthouse.
[23:01] It doesn't mean that you come to the business world and you're going to be in friendhouse now you don't start in the third floor or the lobby, you actually have to start in the basement.
[23:01] 🎼Good morning good morning. This is Savan. We back to the opening trade.
[23:01] 🎼Bloomberg money. this is the Asia trade. This is Wall Street week. Welcom to balance of power. You're watching Bberg deal. We to Bloomberg this weekend.😊
[23:02] 🎼This is Bloberg television get your fixed income fixed watch Bberg real yield every Thursday at12.😊
[23:02] The Eastern right here on bloomberg context changes everything.
[23:02] raab released its second quarter earnings yesterday after the closing bell the Southeast Asian.😊
[23:02] Super app boosted its annual earnings and sales forecasts thanks to robust ride and delivery demand in the region.
[23:02] This is how shares currently go 3% on the U listed ADRs. joininging us is grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oe.
[23:02] Like the demand story, you're basically pretty confident about the state of that demand picture on R.
[23:02] And delivery, my curiosity is around like how recent a change that trajectory is, like what's happened.
[23:02] what you were already seeing term it actually what's been really interesting was.
[23:03] That we're seeing actually started well beginning of the year and when we entered the second quarter, especially in the March.
[23:03] We were exiting here one with the fuel crisis and the war happening, we were actually revisiting a situation.
[23:03] What was going to happen in the second quarter, given Southeast Asia, we were the hotest impacted with fuel prices.
[23:03] We didn't actually see the play out, even though fuel prices went up, we leaned in fairly hard in supporting the driver community.
[23:03] We also leaned in in helping the consumers with affordable rides and what we actually saw was completely the opposite actually we saw.
[23:03] Rs grow at 28% on a year a year basis, one of the highs that we've seen, and we saw also our on demand business both on food and.
[23:03] Also on demand GB grew at 21%, so it was a very robust, very resilient ASEAN economy despite.
[23:04] Some of the challenges we had with macro here in Southeast Asia, but also we also saw the marketplace very healthy at the same time.
[23:04] And driving the profitability in the business Peter, the top of the Bloomberg tech story on Grs about the South.
[23:04] What do those transactions look like for you in the period, Like, what kinds of trips are these are they from the CFfoOs.
[23:04] pect the kinds of transactions that you want to see driving top line. Yeah, it was actually a very balanced the way we saw.
[23:04] We saw the domestic commute still very strong, both in two wheels and four wheels, the rights were up 28%.
[23:04] Which is very strong for us. We saw a lot of the one out of four new users coming in through the what we call.
[23:04] The Saber program, which is more affordable rides, but we also saw that premium rides also were up 90% on quarter run.
[23:04] ater base, so it's a really well balanced portfolio all across the many cities that we're in here today. And I think that really speaks just.
[23:05] The the broad range that we have in terms of pricing capacity for our user base, they can enter through more of affordable ride or more.
[23:05] Premium rice at their choice, despite also some of the macros that we were seeing in Southeast Asia now also if you look at food delivery.
[23:05] Very, very similar also that we saw, we saw a very real balanced portfolio between what our Saor and also priority delivery also.
[23:05] On the technology side, you have AI powered concierge and you've introduced the ability to split the far if you're riding with friends.
[23:05] The big question is did that bring new users to the platforms, is there anything tangible there?😡
[23:05] we introduced these new product called group rights where you can share your ride with friends, split the bill effectively, we had it actually in a foot.
[23:05] Liry business and we port it across through our rides and actually that really helped some of the affordability.
[23:06] As friends, we're just grouping rights on the way home on going to work, I going to a party, etca, and that really also helped.
[23:06] The affordable rides are part of our business, and that's great, but also at the same time our airport.😊
[23:06] Rise also was also very strong in the quarter. So despite some of those traveler impacted from.
[23:06] flights coming out of the Middle East. So it is a very, very strong view too despite some of these challenges. Peter, just end.
[23:06] The food delivery business in Southeast Asia is as fierce, right in terms of competition, there are the existing players, you've got new entrants coming.
[23:06] What is your plan to kind of keep ahead there on the tech side we're going to get you a double down edge on.😡
[23:06] On technology and also featuring a lot of the new products around AI capability, one of the things we offer focused.
[23:06] ing one is on grocery delivery and if you look at our Gr Mar branding portfolio, which is really nonfi delivery that really.
[23:07] It grew at 54% just from the number of transaction actually was growing 1.7 times faster than our food.
[23:07] Humans are really starting to embrace grocery delivery in Southeast Asia here, still very early, very nation, but yet we are seeing really good momentum.
[23:07] Good CFO Peteri back on the show. Thank you very much indeed for your time.😊
[23:07] story for the first time, Apple exceeded $10 billion in sales in India, underscoring a widening retail push.
[23:07] Dana Walman joins us with the details what's within this $10 billion dollars right for a long time we've been tracking Apple's traction in that market.😊
[23:07] It's a very different economy to others that Apple prioritizers give us all the info we need. So in these numbers, which I should say were previously.
[23:07] Reported before bloomloberg reported them, it was the iPhone iPhone products that were leading those sales it turned out.
[23:08] MacBooks and iPads were up to, but really the iPhone, which is of course what the company is most known for, was leading that sales surge up from 9 billion.
[23:08] rior fiscal year there's another big report from Bloomberg on Apple, and that is the CEO John Turner.
[23:08] As of September 1, incoming CEO has brought in some talent, a leader for the man.
[23:08] But it's somebody that had left that had retired. Who are we talking about. Yeah, so Laura Leros, who was his lieutenant previously.
[23:08] When he ran hardware engineering, she was a vice president at that level, and it is unusual for Apple to bring back retired executives, but it will probably,
[23:08] erve John Turn as well as he settles into this new role to reach toward someone who was so loyal and reliable.
[23:08] In his previous post and we don't know too much about what she will be doing, she will here to be a vice president and we know that she'll be working.
[23:08] And what is essentially a cross functional, cross disciplinary function, but it will go beyond just beyond her.
[23:09] m hardware And I think most people around the world of technology will know this, but.
[23:09] What is happening on September 1, the big change in leadership at Apple. So Tim Cook is stepping aside, not from the company, but he will.
[23:09] Handover the reigns as CO and he will become executive chairman where he will focus more on things like high level geopolitical relationships.
[23:09] Foreign leaders and that will leave the running of the company itself the core business to m. Turnsman who.
[23:09] OurConum technology editor at Bloomberg Tech. Thank you very much indeed. Let's stay with Apple, the company briefly.😊
[23:09] the telegram messaging app from its app store after finding content that violated a ban on child sexual.
[23:09] Ase material an Apple spokesperson said telegram was restored quote after the developer promptly removed the content and banned.😊
[23:10] the user who posted it this year alone, Telegram said it removed more than 300,000 groups and channels related.
[23:10] To such materials coming up, China's concerns are shifting to America's frontier AI models.
[23:10] 🎼It mean for US and China relations, this is Spberg Tech.
[23:11] Bringing you up to the minute news whenever and wherever it happens, i'm david Gora.
[23:11] In aspen, Colorado and this is bloomberg he executives.
[23:11] Innovators join me for in depth conversations with the biggest newsmakers on the day's top stories.
[23:11] 🎼with Li on only on Bloom Good morning This is the Day here I'mzzie in London.😊
[23:11] 🎼These the stories that secular agenda taking you from the US markets close to the overnight session in Asia will walk you through what.
[23:12] 🎼You need to know to kickstar Europe's trading day live from our European headquarters. We bring you the day's top market moving stories.😊
[23:12] 🎼Unmatched expert analysis and on the ground reporting from across the continent tune in daybreak Europe, only on bloomloomberg television.
[23:12] 🎼context changes everything when news breaks in comes the car into downing street Bloberg has you covered.
[23:12] For all the context and clarity you need a prime.
[23:12] Bird.
[23:12] Let's go over to New York now where Bloomer.
[23:12] har and is standing by yahara take away thanks it's now for talking tech first prediction markets platform.
[23:12] It is looking for capital evaluation topping 20 billion according to sources, Pomarket is in talks with prospective investors.
[23:13] To raise 1 billion the move comes just months after poly market closing early round with investments from hedge fund de shaw and co.
[23:13] Underscoring the rapid growth of the prediction markets industry plus anthropic struck a $10 billion.
[23:13] For computing capacity with cloud startup Volta infer holdings according to sources, Volta is a month old.
[23:13] structure start backed by Nvidia and founded by former executives from Brookfields asset management the deal will provide anthrop.
[23:13] Re from a data center in Norway managed byta and Reuters reporting that the fcc is drafting.
[23:13] 🎼banan on imports of some Chinese data centerric components to protect the US industry's infrastructure proposed ban on.
[23:13] Hyperscalers, of course, heavily rely on to run and train AI programs is aimed at preventing Chinese firms from installing.
[23:14] Alware or sealing data critical to the AI boom Ed you, the China tech rivalry moving.
[23:14] On chips according to sources, officials in Beijing are growing increasingly concerned about anthropics frontier AI models.😊
[23:14] All ahead of a planned September meeting between President Trump and China's Xi Jinping, Bloberg senior tech editor Mike Shepard joins with the latest.😊
[23:14] So I mean the direction of travel in this story is slightly different to those we've been covering in recent weeks and months, but this is China being worried.😊
[23:14] About the leading Us frontier labs and their models. Well, that's right. And What we are seeing is almost the other.
[23:14] Some of the arguments that officials in Beijing are raising really echo some of the arguments that we have heard in previous.
[23:14] Heres some U.S. officials when they've complained about certain tech products, including TikTok, for example, and the national security risk that they.
[23:14] Through data collection and other means of sharing information with an adversarial government in this case.
[23:15] T from Chinese officials is that anthropics, mythos and other powerful AI models could be used as offensive weapons.
[23:15] Against their economy in some fashion, and they didn't offer any specifics, but this is an issue that will be on the table very clearly.
[23:15] They have some misgivings over it not having access to this model, but those are concerns that were shared by a number of U.S allies in.
[23:15] Weeks and months after anthropic made that disclosure that its mythoss system in a was so powerful that it could only be.
[23:15] Shared with a small handful of trusted partners and access has since been expanded, but it still remains small.
[23:15] continue to be denied to China, of course, If you go back to when President Trump visited China,.
[23:15] Of America's chip industry was that he would get some result for them so that they could more freely export lead edge chips to China.
[23:16] Americaica's concern on the chips has been, well, we don't want China's military to have access to that technology that will.
[23:16] lp them in their own national interest or in their own national security context. What was the net result of any of that, Was it discussed in China, Will these.
[23:16] Topics we discussed in September here in the States. Well, there will be a meeting ahead of whatever summit takes place between president.
[23:16] Donaldal Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, and at that, the lower level officials, probably cabinet level for the U.S.
[23:16] Likely Treasury Secretary scott bessen, who has taken an increasingly po position when it comes to matters of artificial intelligence.
[23:16] Negotiations more broadly with chin, they will discuss some of these parameters before the two leaders actually sit down here.
[23:16] In Washington and the concerns will all be on the table, it will be everything related to AI, including the chip curbs at the U.S.
[23:16] Has gradually been easing, but perhaps not to the extent that China would want while the U.S. is allowing sales onvidias H200.
[23:17] For example, to Chinese customers, China so far really has not given the green light in the other direction for those purchases.
[23:17] We will see some questions raised there, there will also be questions about whether Chinese AI companies themselves are engaging in unfair practices.
[23:17] Anthropic, for example, has accused Alilibaba, one of China's biggest tech companies of using a process known as distillation.
[23:17] fairly gain advantage and essentially copy some of their models. And, of course, it's important to note that in singling out anthropic.
[23:17] China is pointing to a company that does not do business in China, mainly because the CEO Darri Amedade has singled out China as.
[23:17] US. adversary and a threat to national security, so all of this dynamic will be on the table as the two sides meet.
[23:17] Even before the leaders sit down, we'll be wanting to see how they actually negotiate a lot of these intenses differs.
[23:18] Over the way Chinese models have been developed and also some of the export and other curs in place, including our rare earths.
[23:18] 🎼Bberg's Mike Shepard, thank you very much coming up, we're going to get back to Wall Street's expectations for this week's big earnings space.😊
[23:18] 🎼AD both coming after the bell, let's go back to Paantid, the tech earn story of the morning, the stock up 27.😊
[23:18] 🎼On track for its biggest jump, its best day since February of 2024, $380 billion.
[23:18] 🎼Now in market clap, big raise in sales and net income expectations for this year, and it's the U.😊
[23:18] 🎼Commercial business that's driving absolutely all of it Okay, it's half time here in the beautiful city.😊
[23:18] 🎼San Francisco and the Bay Area don't go far, this is Bloomberg Tech.
[23:20] Everybody has a moment where they put into action all they've practiceed.
[23:20] 🎼Where they step up to a challenge and either succeed or fail. But what are those moments for some of the world's most.
[23:20] It was a rough and humbleble world and I thought okay, I can rise up, I can play this game and I did play the game It was great.
[23:20] And it was depressing and it was disappointing my chair at the time sat down with me and said,Session starts now.
[23:20] An award winning journalist for the last 25 years I've interviewed world leaders, bank bosses, even fashion icons.
[23:20] I'm often asking about the news of the moment, but I've always been curious who are these people as leaders join me for the podcast.
[23:20] 🎼ers of leaders with Fran Laqua. I'll start your week with conversations that explore what drives the world's most influential people.😊
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[23:21] A poor decision is always better than no decision You have to have truth tellers around and you have to be willing to listen.
[23:21] 🎼To be setting strategy in the middle of a transaction, that's for sure. Do it for the rank reasons. Don't do it because of FO will also learn lessons.
[23:21] 🎼hich we can apply to our work and daily livesT into the podcast version of leaders with Fran Laqua.
[23:21] Watch on Bloomberg television or wherever you get your podcasts The Tra day is about to start.
[23:21] 🎼You're already looking for that edge The opening trade brings you everything you need to know as markets open across Europe I'm Gu Johnson I'm Anna Edwards.
[23:21] 🎼And I'm Tom Mckenie. this is your opening trade only on back it's a multi trillion dollar industry will show you.
[23:21] What's happening in ETFs like no one else, ETF IQ Mondays on Bloomberg.
[23:22] 🎼Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

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