CNBC Top NewsCodex · 实盘不做把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 22:48:15时区推断·⟳ 抓取 22:48:39·⚡ 决策 07-28 22:49:25 +46s·90.8 天前
UPS二季度盈利和收入超预期并上调全年指引,但三季度美国国内收入预计持平
UPS二季度调整后EPS为1.76美元、高于预期1.66美元,收入228亿美元、高于预期218.1亿美元,并上调全年收入和EPS指引。
📄 原文CNBC Top News↗ 原文
United Parcel Service on Tuesday posted second-quarter earnings results that beat Wall Street expectations and raised i…
不做 United Parcel Service(UPS.US)
财报正负混合:二季度和全年指引偏正面,但三季度美国国内量和收入展望偏弱且股价盘中已快速下跌;不满足追多条件,空头催化也不够强,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-28 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗
关键理由
- UPS二季度调整后EPS为1.76美元、高于预期1.66美元,收入228亿美元、高于预期218.1亿美元,并上调全年收入和EPS指引。
- 但公司同时提示三季度美国国内日均件量将中个位数下滑、国内收入同比持平,市场盘中已用约8%下跌反映对短期量增和Amazon业务退出的担忧。
- 这是排期内财报披露,正负信息并存,不满足追多条件,也不是足够明确的强空催化。
主要风险
- Amazon低质量件量退出虽然改善成本结构,但三季度量和收入指引偏弱,短线可能继续压制估值。
- 全年指引上调和医疗物流收入增长提供反证,使该事件不适合直接开空。
原文全文
展开原文 · 3,679 字
United Parcel Service on Tuesday posted second-quarter earnings results that beat Wall Street expectations and raised its full-year outlook, but said it expects domestic third-quarter revenue to be flat.
Shares of the delivery giant fell roughly 8% in early trading.
Here's how the company performed in its second quarter, compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $1.76 adjusted vs. $1.66 expected
- Revenue: $22.8 billion vs. $21.81 billion expected
For the quarter ended June 30, UPS reported net income of $604 million, or 71 cents per share, down significantly from $1.28 billion, or $1.51 per share, in the year-ago period. Adjusting for one-time items, the company reported a profit of $1.5 billion, or $1.76 per share.
Tune in at 10:30 a.m. ET as UPS CEO Carol Tomé joins CNBC TV to discuss earnings. Watch in real time on CNBC+ or the CNBC Pro stream.
The company also raised its full-year 2026 guidance, now expecting consolidated revenue of $91.2 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of roughly $7.22 per share.
CEO Carol Tomé said on a call with analysts on Tuesday that it was the "fourth straight quarter of delivering results that exceeded our expectations."
"Going forward, our No. 1 priority remains moving the right packages and the right mix of volume through our network," she added.
Company executives said on the call that they expect the third quarter to see domestic average daily volume fall in the mid-single digits, due to a seasonal decline and the impact of the company gliding down its operations with Amazon. UPS also expects revenue to be flat year over year.
"If you ignore Amazon and the volume that we intentionally made available to the market, we actually grew our volume in the second quarter," Tomé said.
UPS is in the midst of a turnaround strategy aimed at positioning the company for long-term and sustainable growth. The company is focused on enhancing automation in its networks and tapping into growing markets, including healthcare logistics.
Tomé said on the call with analysts that healthcare generated more than $3 billion in revenue for the second consecutive quarter.
"We are the only carrier that provides end-to-end solutions for complex healthcare with our own assets, ensuring complete control, visibility and best-in-class service," she said.
For the second quarter, UPS reported a 6% rise in domestic revenue, driven by an increase in revenue per piece, and a 12.5% jump in international revenue. Supply chain solutions revenue rose 7.8%, in part due to growth in healthcare logistics.
The company added that it has achieved roughly $1.2 billion of program benefits from its network reconfiguration program, expecting to reach $3 billion by the end of the year.
On the call with analysts, Tomé said the company has successfully completed its glide-down with Amazon, eliminating about 2 million pieces per day of "lower-quality Amazon volume" and removing roughly $4.5 billion of related expenses so far.
"We now have a leaner, more automated, more agile network that will deliver operating leverage as volume grows," she said.
The company is also investing in radio-frequency identification and artificial intelligence to enhance its tracking capabilities, she added, which she said is "the most significant package visibility advancement in a decade."
Tomé said UPS is "seeing momentum" on the China to U.S. lane, which she said returned to year-over-year growth beginning in May.
"As we enter the second half of the year, we've got momentum, even in the face of external factors that could influence our results, like war and fuel price volatility," she said.
Shares of the delivery giant fell roughly 8% in early trading.
Here's how the company performed in its second quarter, compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $1.76 adjusted vs. $1.66 expected
- Revenue: $22.8 billion vs. $21.81 billion expected
For the quarter ended June 30, UPS reported net income of $604 million, or 71 cents per share, down significantly from $1.28 billion, or $1.51 per share, in the year-ago period. Adjusting for one-time items, the company reported a profit of $1.5 billion, or $1.76 per share.
Tune in at 10:30 a.m. ET as UPS CEO Carol Tomé joins CNBC TV to discuss earnings. Watch in real time on CNBC+ or the CNBC Pro stream.
The company also raised its full-year 2026 guidance, now expecting consolidated revenue of $91.2 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of roughly $7.22 per share.
CEO Carol Tomé said on a call with analysts on Tuesday that it was the "fourth straight quarter of delivering results that exceeded our expectations."
"Going forward, our No. 1 priority remains moving the right packages and the right mix of volume through our network," she added.
Company executives said on the call that they expect the third quarter to see domestic average daily volume fall in the mid-single digits, due to a seasonal decline and the impact of the company gliding down its operations with Amazon. UPS also expects revenue to be flat year over year.
"If you ignore Amazon and the volume that we intentionally made available to the market, we actually grew our volume in the second quarter," Tomé said.
UPS is in the midst of a turnaround strategy aimed at positioning the company for long-term and sustainable growth. The company is focused on enhancing automation in its networks and tapping into growing markets, including healthcare logistics.
Tomé said on the call with analysts that healthcare generated more than $3 billion in revenue for the second consecutive quarter.
"We are the only carrier that provides end-to-end solutions for complex healthcare with our own assets, ensuring complete control, visibility and best-in-class service," she said.
For the second quarter, UPS reported a 6% rise in domestic revenue, driven by an increase in revenue per piece, and a 12.5% jump in international revenue. Supply chain solutions revenue rose 7.8%, in part due to growth in healthcare logistics.
The company added that it has achieved roughly $1.2 billion of program benefits from its network reconfiguration program, expecting to reach $3 billion by the end of the year.
On the call with analysts, Tomé said the company has successfully completed its glide-down with Amazon, eliminating about 2 million pieces per day of "lower-quality Amazon volume" and removing roughly $4.5 billion of related expenses so far.
"We now have a leaner, more automated, more agile network that will deliver operating leverage as volume grows," she said.
The company is also investing in radio-frequency identification and artificial intelligence to enhance its tracking capabilities, she added, which she said is "the most significant package visibility advancement in a decade."
Tomé said UPS is "seeing momentum" on the China to U.S. lane, which she said returned to year-over-year growth beginning in May.
"As we enter the second half of the year, we've got momentum, even in the face of external factors that could influence our results, like war and fuel price volatility," she said.
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