CNBC Top NewsDoubao · 实盘不做把握 6/10不做原因:已被定价
北京时间·🕒 发布 16:04:11(美东 04:04)·⟳ 抓取 17:22:37 +1h18m·⚡ 决策 10-08 17:27:04 +4m27s·18.9 天前
CNBC复盘华为消费业务:Mate 90搭载自研LogicFolding芯片、鸿蒙智行9月交付同比下滑29%,并提及华为与赛力斯续签五年
该文是CNBC综述与专访,手机发布(10/1)和赛力斯续约(9/30)均为旧消息;H股10/2已大涨、A股10/8开盘已高开定价续约利好,而9月交付-29%亦为已披露数据,净方向多空交织,当前A股已收盘、美股盘前,无新增可交易edge。
📄 原文CNBC Top News↗ 原文
Huawei doubles down on smartphones as EV sales slow
BEIJING — Faced with a slowdown in the smartphone and car markets, Huawei's consumer business is choosing to focus on p…
不做 赛力斯集团(601127.SH)
续约利好已在H股10/2和A股10/8开盘定价,9月交付-29%为已公开利空,多空交织且CNBC文为盘后综述无新增edge;A股已收盘、美股盘前,无可执行窗口
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
CNBC复盘华为手机与汽车业务,对赛力斯而言续约利多与9月交付同比-29%利空并存,且两者分别已在H股10月2日和A股10月8日被定价,文章发表于A股盘后,缺乏新增事实,不做。
消息传播链
- 10月1日华为发布Mate 90并宣布与赛力斯续签五年,正值内地国庆假期休市
- 续约后首个港股交易日,赛力斯H股(09927.HK)早盘涨超7%,盘中最高较9月30日收盘涨约16.6%
- 节后首日赛力斯A股开盘大涨6.75%报50.11元,续约利好被定价
- CNBC发布余承东专访及业务综述,时点为A股盘后,属对已公开事实的汇总,无新增交易信息
关键理由
- 赛力斯续约利好与交付下滑利空均已公开,相关股价已完成反应,无预期差
- 华为本身未上市,文中无其他直接、可交易且有新增敞口的标的
主要风险
- 若后续四季度鸿蒙智行交付继续大幅下滑,可能对赛力斯形成新的利空
- 续约落地后问界转向赛力斯主导,华为赋能边际变化存在不确定性
反向证据
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:支持以已price-in为由AVOID,不开新仓
方向:无可用对齐先例;但同一续约事件在H股(10/2)与A股(10/8)的实际反应已直接证明利多出尽
涨幅量级:不据先例设定幅度,因结论为不做
形态:利好公布后H股单日冲高、A股节后高开,呈现典型消息落地后定价特征
工具执行结果 · 成功 2 · 降级 1 · 失败 1 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 11 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`华为 余承东 mate 90 logicfolding 自研芯片 海外市场 | 华为 赛力斯 续约五年 aito 问界 | 鸿蒙智行 hima 9月交付量 同比下降29%`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式没有召回候选,不能据此证明消息首发或不是重复;按当前事件继续正常研判。"} - stock_quote 失败 stock_tools HTTP · 108 ms
行情服务暂不可用;本次无法核验该标的价格和可执行条件。请基于其余证据继续判断并明确标注行情降级;不得仅因工具故障自动给出 AVOID 或 ENTER,也不得编造价位。 - price_snapshot 降级 stock_tools HTTP · 338 ms
{ - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,087 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:赛力斯 华为 续约五年 鸿蒙智行 9月交付 股价 10月8日;API SearchType:web)
原文全文
展开原文 · 4,051 字
BEIJING — Faced with a slowdown in the smartphone and car markets, Huawei's consumer business is choosing to focus on phones with homegrown chips.
The Chinese tech giant worked overtime to release its first smartphone — the Mate 90 series — using its own "LogicFolding" chip on Oct. 1, the country's "National Day" and a public holiday,
Ahead of the event, Huawei Executive Director Richard Yu told reporters the company aimed to recover its overseas market share, after U.S. restrictions in 2019 knocked the China-based company from a brief first place. Yu said that at the time, Huawei shipped more than 240 million smartphones in China and elsewhere — with a goal of 300 million units in 2019.
But now Huawei only sells several million smartphones outside China each year, Yu said. He added the company plans to expand its HarmonyOS operating system to overseas markets in the next one to three years, and hopes China's chip manufacturing capacity will one day enable overseas sales of devices with self-developed chips.
Yu, chairman of Huawei's consumer business, has long been the on-stage presenter for the company's smartphone and car events.
The media roundtable ahead of the Mate 90 series launch marked Yu's first time speaking with foreign press since 2019. That year, U.S. restrictions blocked Huawei's access to Google's Android operating system and TSMC-made semiconductors.
As the impact of the sanctions kicked in, Huawei's consumer business — once the company's largest by revenue — halved to about $34 billion in 2021 from the year before. Since then, the consumer business has grown to around $51 billion in 2025, or 39% of total revenue, according to CNBC calculations.
Huawei's push into the smartphone market comes as sales in China have slumped this year, with a double-digit decline year-on-year in August and September, according to Counterpoint Research.
Huawei's Chinese EV business
Meanwhile, Huawei got into the electric car business by working with several Chinese car manufacturers, and has built a business unit with revenues of at least $6.7 billion in 2025, according to the tech giant's annual report. Unlike other Chinese electric cars' rapid growth in exports, the Huawei-powered vehicles are so far concentrated in China. Huawei has emphasized it does not manufacture the cars, but provides the software interface and driver-assist system.
But China's auto market is on track for its worst year since 2021, with sales down by more than 20% over roughly the first three quarters of the year, according to China Passenger Car Association data as of Sept. 27. New energy vehicles, which include battery electric and hybrid-powered cars, have seen sales tumble 13% during that time, the data showed.
In September, Huawei-powered vehicles saw deliveries drop for a third-straight month, down by 29% from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of publicly available figures from Harmony Intelligent Mobility Alliance, or HIMA, Huawei's auto tech software system.
That contrasted with double-digit gains for market leader BYD in each of the past three months, with sales well above 400,000 units a month, company data showed. Leapmotor, meanwhile, maintained rapid growth, with deliveries topping 100,000 cars a month since July.
HIMA, whose five lines of vehicles reflect partnerships with manufacturers such as Chery and Seres, in contrast delivered just under 37,500 vehicles in September. More than 1.56 million units were sold since the first Huawei-powered car was launched in late 2021. Tesla China had yet to report September deliveries as of Wednesday afternoon.
In December 2021, Yu showed off the first car with Huawei's tech installed, the Aito M5.
But Seres Group, which makes the Aito EV line, has seen its Shanghai-listed shares drop by more than 60% so far this year.
On Oct. 1, Huawei announced it had signed with Seres to cooperate for another five years, including the joint establishment of an Aito business team. Mainland China markets are set to reopen Thursday after being closed since Oct. 1.
The Chinese tech giant worked overtime to release its first smartphone — the Mate 90 series — using its own "LogicFolding" chip on Oct. 1, the country's "National Day" and a public holiday,
Ahead of the event, Huawei Executive Director Richard Yu told reporters the company aimed to recover its overseas market share, after U.S. restrictions in 2019 knocked the China-based company from a brief first place. Yu said that at the time, Huawei shipped more than 240 million smartphones in China and elsewhere — with a goal of 300 million units in 2019.
But now Huawei only sells several million smartphones outside China each year, Yu said. He added the company plans to expand its HarmonyOS operating system to overseas markets in the next one to three years, and hopes China's chip manufacturing capacity will one day enable overseas sales of devices with self-developed chips.
Yu, chairman of Huawei's consumer business, has long been the on-stage presenter for the company's smartphone and car events.
The media roundtable ahead of the Mate 90 series launch marked Yu's first time speaking with foreign press since 2019. That year, U.S. restrictions blocked Huawei's access to Google's Android operating system and TSMC-made semiconductors.
As the impact of the sanctions kicked in, Huawei's consumer business — once the company's largest by revenue — halved to about $34 billion in 2021 from the year before. Since then, the consumer business has grown to around $51 billion in 2025, or 39% of total revenue, according to CNBC calculations.
Huawei's push into the smartphone market comes as sales in China have slumped this year, with a double-digit decline year-on-year in August and September, according to Counterpoint Research.
Huawei's Chinese EV business
Meanwhile, Huawei got into the electric car business by working with several Chinese car manufacturers, and has built a business unit with revenues of at least $6.7 billion in 2025, according to the tech giant's annual report. Unlike other Chinese electric cars' rapid growth in exports, the Huawei-powered vehicles are so far concentrated in China. Huawei has emphasized it does not manufacture the cars, but provides the software interface and driver-assist system.
But China's auto market is on track for its worst year since 2021, with sales down by more than 20% over roughly the first three quarters of the year, according to China Passenger Car Association data as of Sept. 27. New energy vehicles, which include battery electric and hybrid-powered cars, have seen sales tumble 13% during that time, the data showed.
In September, Huawei-powered vehicles saw deliveries drop for a third-straight month, down by 29% from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of publicly available figures from Harmony Intelligent Mobility Alliance, or HIMA, Huawei's auto tech software system.
That contrasted with double-digit gains for market leader BYD in each of the past three months, with sales well above 400,000 units a month, company data showed. Leapmotor, meanwhile, maintained rapid growth, with deliveries topping 100,000 cars a month since July.
HIMA, whose five lines of vehicles reflect partnerships with manufacturers such as Chery and Seres, in contrast delivered just under 37,500 vehicles in September. More than 1.56 million units were sold since the first Huawei-powered car was launched in late 2021. Tesla China had yet to report September deliveries as of Wednesday afternoon.
In December 2021, Yu showed off the first car with Huawei's tech installed, the Aito M5.
But Seres Group, which makes the Aito EV line, has seen its Shanghai-listed shares drop by more than 60% so far this year.
On Oct. 1, Huawei announced it had signed with Seres to cooperate for another five years, including the joint establishment of an Aito business team. Mainland China markets are set to reopen Thursday after being closed since Oct. 1.
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