event-trade登录编辑
IRS Tax GuidanceQwen · 实盘不做把握 6/10不做原因:无增量信息
北京时间·🕒 发布 09-08(美东日)仅日期·时区推断·⟳ 抓取 09-09 04:02:45·⚡ 决策 09-13 22:52:38 +4d18h·44.1 天前

IRS/Treasury 发布 Notice 2026-53:给出 §45Z 清洁燃料生产抵免 2026 年度排放率表,并落地 OBBBA 关于畜禽粪便燃料单独排放率、剔除 ILUC、原料限 USMCA 等既有法定修正

本通知是对 2025-07-04 已签署、自 2026-01-01 已适用的 OBBBA §70521 修正的执行口径说明,加上法规本就要求每年发布的 2026 年度排放率表,属程序性/例行落地,而非新的政策方向变化。通知未点名任何上市主体,且决定 materiality 的关键要素——表中各路径的具体排放率数值、再生农业安全港细则——在档案正文中被截断,本轮三次联网检索后端返回词典与 IRS 首页等无关结果,无法核实数值变化,因此无法把该通知穿透到任一公司的每加仑抵免、收入或利润增量,也无法建立方向与量级。同时该文件于 2026-09-08 公开发布,至今已过 9/9、9/10、9/11 三个完整美股交易日,现在是周日(美股、A 股、港股全部闭市),最早只能在 9/14 开盘执行,直接受益方有充分窗口完成重定价;可见日线中也没有可归因于本通知的公司级异动(OPAL 当日反而 -4.48% 且处下行轨迹,VLO 上行与其自身趋势一致)。在既无公司级可量化增量、又无可核实的意外性、且时点已过三个交易日的组合下,任何 LONG/SHORT 腿都缺少正期望,故整体不做。

📄 原文IRS Tax Guidance↗ 原文
n-26-53.pdf
- 1 - Part III - Administrative, Procedural, and Miscellaneous Section 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit; Emissions Rate…
不做 OPAL Fuels(OPAL.US)
名义上最贴近畜禽粪便 RNG 单独排放率条目,但通知未点名公司,2026 表中具体排放率数值在档案中被截断且联网未能核实,无法量化抵免增量;同时 9/8 发布已过三个完整交易日、现为周末闭市,可见日线中 OPAL 当日 -4.48%、20 日 -26%、13 周轨迹持续下行,既无未消化的利好 edge,也不满足做空红线(无公司级强空催化)。
不做 Green Plains(GPRE.US)
玉米乙醇路径与 ILUC 剔除均为 2025 年已生效的法定条款,本通知只是执行口径确认,无公司级新增事实;价格 5 日 +6% 无证据归因于本通知,且通知发布后已过三个交易日、周末闭市,缺乏可执行的时点 edge。
不做 Darling Ingredients(DAR.US)
非 USMCA 进口油脂原料的限制自 2026-01-01 起已适用大半年,本次通知无增量;且日线 stale 至 2026-09-01,无法确认事件后的价格与流动性状态,不具备下单条件。
不做 Valero Energy(VLO.US)
超大市值炼油主体,例行年度排放率表对其整体利润的边际增量过小,属软催化;9/8–9/11 的上行与其自身 13 周强趋势一致,无法归因于本通知,短线无正期望。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

事实:IRS 于 2026-09-08 发布 Notice 2026-53,公布 §45Z 的 2026 年度排放率表,并明确 OBBBA §70521 已生效修正(畜禽粪便燃料单独排放率、排除 ILUC、原料限 USMCA、非粪便燃料排放率下限为零、再生农业安全港)的执行方式。影响链:这些条款决定清洁燃料生产商每加仑抵免额,理论上影响 RNG(奶牛/猪粪)、乙醇、生物柴油/可再生柴油、SAF 及油脂原料供应方。证据:通知未点名公司;决定量级的排放率数值列在档案正文中被截断,三次联网检索返回无关结果无法核实,内部 KB 仅命中 Green Plains 10-Q 对 45Z 的一般性描述与 5 月券商 45Z teach-in,未见 9 月 8 日后针对本通知的公司级解读;行情侧 OPAL 日线 stale 至 9/8(当日 -4.48%、20 日 -26%、13 周轨迹回落)、GPRE stale 至 9/9、DAR stale 至 9/1、VLO 至 9/11 收 390.42 且处自身强上行趋势,均无可归因于本通知的重定价特征。结论:程序性/例行落地 + 无公司级可量化增量 + 已过三个完整交易日 + 周末全市场闭市 → 不开多、不开空,输出 RESEARCHED_AVOID,且不构成本事件新增的公司级净利空,risk_signals 为空。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-08 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 medium ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-09-08首发IRS / U.S. Department of the Treasury(Notice 2026-53 官方 PDF)一手源原文 ↗
    一手官方披露,仅能确认到日期级;档案给出的 2026-09-08 20:02 UTC 是采集钟而非 IRS 发布钟,故不据此做分钟级新鲜度精算。
    市场反应:美股 9/9、9/10、9/11 三个交易日内,可见日线中 OPAL(数据 stale 至 9/8,当日 -4.48%)、GPRE(stale 至 9/9,-0.89%)、DAR(stale 至 9/1)、VLO(9/11 收 390.42,+1.29%,处自身 13 周上行趋势)均无可归因于本通知的异常放量或跳空。
  2. 其它未检索到非一手
    三次联网检索(Notice 2026-53、45Z 2026 排放率表、9 月 45Z 指引与生产商反应)均返回词典条目、IRS 首页与无关站点,未能定位任何行业媒体转载、券商点评或公司回应,因此传播链第二节点及以后为空。

关键理由

  • 不建立多头论点:通知只是既有法定修正的执行口径与法定年度排放率表,缺少新的政策方向变化。
  • 不建立多头论点:未点名公司且关键排放率数值无法读取/核实,无法把事件穿透到任一主体的抵免金额、收入或利润增量。
  • 不建立空头论点:条款整体对国内清洁燃料生产偏中性至支持性(保留粪便燃料可为负排放率、剔除 ILUC),没有任何上市主体出现可确认的净损害。

主要风险

  • 若后续读到 2026 排放率表全文,发现某些路径(如玉米乙醇、豆油 HEFA、进口 UCO)排放率显著恶化,则相关生产商的抵免经济性会被实质下修,本结论需重新评估。
  • 本轮联网检索后端异常,未能完成传播链与先例查证,存在遗漏市场已有公司级解读的可能。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 none
    搜索后端返回无关结果,未能找到任何把本通知与具体上市公司业绩增量挂钩的一手或研报级证据;未命中不等于不存在,但意味着本轮无法坐实多头传导。
    检索:45Z 2026 emissions rate table animal manure dairy swine SAF producers stock reaction
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-08-06 · 影响 weakens
    内部库仅命中 Green Plains 10-Q(2026-06-30 季度,一般性描述 45Z 为 §38 一般商业抵免)与 2026 年 5 月两份券商 45Z teach-in,未见 9 月 8 日通知后的公司级解读,说明该通知尚未在研究层面形成新的公司级增量叙事。
    检索:45Z 清洁燃料生产税收抵免 SAF 可持续航空燃料 美国政策 排放率 生产商影响 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-09-11 · 影响 weakens
    price_snapshot 显示:OPAL 日线 stale 至 9/8(当日 -4.48%、20 日 -26%、13 周指数轨迹 136→101 下行、量比 2.03 但价跌),GPRE stale 至 9/9(5 日 +6.03%、20 日 +0.51%,无跳空),DAR stale 至 9/1,VLO 至 9/11 收 390.42(5 日 +5.32%、13 周 100→161 的既有强趋势);无一呈现「事件后放量同向重定价」特征,多头无未消化 edge。
    检索:OPAL/GPRE/DAR/VLO 9 月 8–11 日是否出现可归因于 45Z 通知的跳空或放量

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例缺失直接压低了本条信号的置信度与可执行性,但因结论已是 AVOID(不依赖幅度参数),先例缺失未改变标的或方向,只是使『即便未来读到排放率数值也不宜立即重仓』的判断更保守。

方向:无可采信先例:未获得任何经首发溯源的同类事件样本,因此不对其后价格方向做基率判断。

涨幅量级:无高相似、锚点干净的先例,未据此设定任何 tp/sl 幅度。

形态:无样本,无法判断是否存在见光死或高开低走模式。

工具执行结果 · 成功 7 · 降级 1 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
  1. search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 70 ms
    {"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`45z clean fuel production credit emissions rate table | animal manure emissions rate 45z obbba | indirect land use change exclusion 45z | irs notice 2026-53 | sustainable aviation `;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agen
  2. web_search 成功 Bing RSS · 257 ms
    Bing RSS 搜索结果(原始查询:IRS Notice 2026-53 45Z clean fuel production credit emissions rate table 2026)
  3. web_search 成功 Bing RSS · 261 ms
    Bing RSS 搜索结果(原始查询:45Z 2026 emissions rate table animal manure dairy swine SAF producers stock reaction)
  4. kb_search 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 3,520 ms
    {
  5. fetch_decision_experience 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 14 ms
    {
  6. web_search 成功 Bing RSS · 235 ms
    Bing RSS 搜索结果(原始查询:"Notice 2026-53" IRS 45Z clean fuel)
  7. web_search 成功 Bing RSS · 257 ms
    Bing RSS 搜索结果(原始查询:IRS 45Z guidance September 2026 renewable diesel SAF RNG producers credit emissions rates manure)
  8. price_snapshot 降级 stock_tools HTTP · 110 ms
    {

原文全文

展开原文 · 35,744 字
- 1 -





Part III - Administrative, Procedural, and Miscellaneous




Section 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit; Emissions Rates





Notice 2026-53


SECTION 1. PURPOSE
This notice provides guidance on the establishment of emissions rates under
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B) of the Internal Revenue Code (Code)1 for the clean fuel production credit
determined under § 45Z (§ 45Z credit) and clarifies the application of certain
amendments to § 45Z made by § 70521 of Public Law 119-21, 139 Stat. 72, 276 (July
4, 2025), commonly known as the One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Specifically,
this notice addresses the establishment of emissions rates for transportation fuel
derived from animal manure. This notice also describes how certain regenerative
agricultural feedstock practices may be taken into account for purposes of § 45Z. The
Appendix to this notice provides the annual emissions rate table for calendar year 2026
for purposes of § 45Z.
The Department of the Treasury (Treasury Department) and the Internal
Revenue Service (IRS) developed this notice in consultation with the Department of

1 Unless otherwise specified, all references to “section” or “§” are references to sections of the Code or
the Income Tax Regulations (26 CFR part 1).


- 2 -
Energy (DOE), the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), the Federal
Aviation Administration (FAA), and other federal agencies.
SECTION 2. BACKGROUND
.01 In general.

Section 45Z, as amended by § 70521 of the OBBBA, provides an income tax
credit for clean transportation fuel produced domestically after December 31, 2024, and
sold by December 31, 2029. Among other requirements to qualify for the § 45Z credit, a
taxpayer must produce a “transportation fuel” that meets certain suitability, emissions
rate, anti-coprocessing, and anti-double-crediting requirements. See § 45Z(a)(1) and
(d)(5)(A). Under § 45Z(d)(5)(A)(ii), the emissions rate requirement is met if a
transportation fuel has an emissions rate2 that is not greater than a statutory baseline of
50 kilograms (kg) of carbon dioxide equivalent based on relative global warming
potential (CO2e) per million British thermal units (mmBTU).
A taxpayer calculates the amount of the § 45Z credit by multiplying the applicable
amount per gallon or gallon equivalent with respect to a transportation fuel produced by
the taxpayer and sold in a qualified sale by the emissions factor for such fuel. See
§ 45Z(a)(1). Per § 45Z(a)(5), the credit amount is rounded to the nearest cent. A
taxpayer’s total § 45Z credit for a taxable year is the sum of the § 45Z credit for each
transportation fuel sold during the taxable year.
.02 Establishment of emissions rates.

Under § 45Z(b)(1)(A), a transportation fuel’s emissions factor measures the

2 Section 45Z(b)(1)(B)(i) provides that a transportation fuel’s emissions rate is based on the amount of
lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (as described in § 211(o)(1)(H) of the Clean Air Act (42 U.S.C.
7545(o)(1)(H)), as in effect on August 16, 2022) for such fuel, expressed as kg of CO2e per mmBTU. See
also § 45Z(d)(1)–(3).


- 3 -
reduction in the fuel’s emissions rate relative to the statutory baseline emissions rate of
50 kg of CO2e per mmBTU, expressed as a fraction of the statutory baseline. Under
§ 45Z(b)(2), any emissions factor must be rounded to the nearest multiple of 0.1.
Generally, a taxpayer must determine a transportation fuel’s emissions rate by
using the annual emissions rate table published by the Secretary of the Treasury or the
Secretary’s delegate (Secretary). See § 45Z(b)(1)(B). However, a taxpayer producing
a transportation fuel for which an emissions rate has not been established in the annual
emissions rate table may file a petition with the Secretary for determination of a
provisional emissions rate (PER) with respect to such fuel. See § 45Z(b)(1)(D).
Section 45Z(b)(1)(B)(i) directs the Secretary, subject to § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii) through
(v), to annually publish a table setting forth the emissions rates for similar types and
categories of transportation fuels. Section 2.03 of this notice describes
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B)(iv) and (v), added by the OBBBA. The Appendix to this notice provides
the calendar year 2026 emissions rate table.
Section 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii) provides that for transportation fuel other than
sustainable aviation fuel (non-SAF transportation fuel), the lifecycle GHG emissions of
such fuel must be based on the most recent determinations under the Greenhouse
gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Transportation (GREET) model
developed by Argonne National Laboratory, or a successor model as determined by the
Secretary. See section 2.04(3) of this notice.
Section 45Z(b)(1)(B)(iii) provides that for transportation fuel that is sustainable
aviation fuel (SAF transportation fuel), the lifecycle GHG emissions of such fuel must be
determined in accordance with: (i) the most recent Carbon Offsetting and Reduction


- 4 -
Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) methodologies that have been adopted by
the International Civil Aviation Organization with the agreement of the United States; or
(ii) any methodology similar to the most recent CORSIA methodologies that satisfies the
criteria under § 211(o)(1)(H) of the Clean Air Act, as in effect on August 16, 2022.
Section 2.04(3) of this notice discusses the use of the 45ZCF-GREET model
pursuant to § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii) and (iii). All publicly available versions of the 45ZCF-
GREET model, the accompanying user manual, additional information including FAQs,
and the log of changes to the model are available at https://www.energy.gov/cmei/greet.
.03 OBBBA amendments.

Section 70521 of the OBBBA made several amendments to § 45Z affecting the
establishment of emissions rates and credit eligibility that apply only to transportation
fuel produced after December 31, 2025. Transportation fuel produced before
January 1, 2026, even if sold after December 31, 2025, is not subject to these
amendments. These statutory amendments include:
(1) The requirement in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(iv) that the emissions rate of transportation
fuel produced after December 31, 2025, must be adjusted, based on regulations or
methodologies determined by the Secretary, to exclude any emissions attributed to
indirect land use change (ILUC).
(2) The requirement in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(I) for the Secretary to provide a distinct
emissions rate with respect to any transportation fuel derived from animal manure and
produced after December 31, 2025, that is based on the specific animal manure
feedstock. Such feedstocks may include dairy manure, swine manure, poultry manure,
or any other sources as are determined appropriate by the Secretary. See


- 5 -
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(I).
(3) The requirement in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(II) and (b)(1)(E) that the emissions rate
cannot be less than zero for any transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025,
except for any transportation fuel derived from animal manure.
(4) The requirement in § 45Z(f)(1)(A)(iii) that transportation fuel produced after
December 31, 2025, must be exclusively derived from a feedstock that was produced or
grown in the United States, Mexico, or Canada.
Section 4 of this notice clarifies how a taxpayer using an allowed methodology
that does not reflect these amendments should apply those amendments to determine
the emissions rate of transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025. See
generally section 2.04 of this notice.
.04 Current guidance on emissions rates.

(1) In general.
On February 4, 2026, the Treasury Department and the IRS published proposed
regulations under § 45Z (REG-121244-23) in the Federal Register at 91 F.R. 5160
(§ 45Z NPRM), which provide guidance for determining the § 45Z credit, including the
establishment of emissions rates for transportation fuels under proposed § 1.45Z-2(d).3
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(d)(1) would implement the general rules for determining the
emissions rate of a transportation fuel in § 45Z(b)(1)(B) and (D): a taxpayer would either
use the applicable emissions rate table published by the Secretary or, if the applicable
emissions rate table does not establish an emissions rate for the taxpayer’s fuel, a PER
determined by the Secretary.

3 Terms used in this notice have the same meaning as provided in § 45Z and the § 45Z NPRM.


- 6 -
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e) would incorporate the rules in § 45Z(b)(1)(B) regarding
the annual publication of a table of emissions rates for similar types and categories of
transportation fuels, including the requirement in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(i) that the emissions
rate table be published “[s]ubject to” the requirements in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii) through (v).
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(g) would provide that when an emissions rate is first
established for a type and category of fuel, whether in an applicable emissions rate
table or by a PER determination, that emissions rate will relate back to January 1, 2025.
(2) Applicable emissions rate table.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(2) would provide rules for identifying the “applicable
emissions rate table” that a taxpayer must use in a given taxable year. Proposed
§ 1.45Z-2(e)(2)(i) would clarify that the applicable emissions rate table for a taxpayer is
the emissions rate table that is in effect on the first day of the taxpayer’s taxable year of
production.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(2)(ii) would clarify that if a taxpayer produces a fuel for
which the applicable emissions rate table establishes an emissions rate, the taxpayer
must use the corresponding allowed methodologies, as specified in proposed § 1.45Z-
2(e)(3), as provided in such table to determine the emissions rate for all such fuel
produced during the taxpayer’s taxable year.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(2)(iii)(A) would clarify that the applicable emissions rate
table establishes the emissions rate for a fuel if the emissions rate table includes both
the “type of transportation fuel” and “category of transportation fuel” (that is, the fuel’s
unique primary feedstock and pathway used to produce a type of transportation fuel), as
defined in proposed § 1.45Z-1(b)(35). Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(2)(iii)(B) would clarify that


- 7 -
if an emissions rate table does not initially include a type or category of fuel, but an
allowed methodology is updated to add such type or category of fuel during the
calendar year, then that type or category of fuel is considered included in such
emissions rate table.
(3) Allowed methodologies.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(i) would provide that a taxpayer producing a fuel for
which an emissions rate is established by the applicable emissions rate table must
determine the fuel’s emissions rate using the allowed methodologies described in
proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(iv) and (v), as directed by the applicable emissions rate table.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(ii) would require a taxpayer to use the first version of
an allowed methodology that is publicly available in the taxable year of production and
that includes the type and category of the taxpayer’s fuel. However, if an updated
version of an allowed methodology becomes publicly available after the first day of the
taxable year of production (but still within such taxable year), then the taxpayer could
choose to treat such updated version as the most recent version of such methodology.
The preamble to the § 45Z NPRM discusses how the phrase “most recent
determinations under the Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in
Transportation model” in § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii) is best understood as referring to the most
recent determinations under the 45ZCF-GREET model. To address any potential
uncertainty given the continued existence of other GREET models, proposed § 1.45Z-
2(e)(3)(iii) would designate the 45ZCF-GREET model as a successor model under
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B)(ii). Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(v) would clarify that the SAF portion of the
45ZCF-GREET model is a “similar methodology” to CORSIA under


- 8 -
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B)(iii)(II).
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(iv) and (v) would identify the allowed methodologies for
determining emissions rates for purposes of the emissions rate table described in
§ 45Z(b)(1)(B)(i). If the applicable emissions rate table establishes the emissions rate
for a non-SAF transportation fuel, a taxpayer producing such fuel would determine the
fuel’s emissions rate using the 45ZCF-GREET model, as directed by the applicable
emissions rate table. If the applicable emissions rate table establishes the emissions
rate for a SAF transportation fuel, a taxpayer producing such fuel would determine the
fuel’s emissions rate using the most recent version of the CORSIA Default Life Cycle
Emissions Values for CORSIA Eligible Fuels lifecycle approach (CORSIA Default) or
the CORSIA Methodology for Calculating Actual Life Cycle Emissions Values lifecycle
approach (CORSIA Actual), with the agreement of the United States, or the 45ZCF-
GREET model, as directed by the applicable emissions rate table. The proposed
regulations would also clarify that, for a given type and category of SAF transportation
fuel, a taxpayer must use the same methodology to calculate lifecycle GHG emissions
associated with all stages of SAF transportation fuel production, from fuel feedstock
production through distribution.
Proposed § 1.45Z-2(e)(3)(iii)(B) would provide that in the 45ZCF-GREET model,
for purposes of accounting for emissions associated with natural gas alternatives (as a
production input or as the transportation fuel produced), rules similar to the rules under
§ 45V apply, unless otherwise specified by the 45ZCF-GREET model with respect to
technical modeling issues that are subsequently identified by the DOE or technical
differences arising from the application of the § 45V rules to the 45ZCF-GREET model.


- 9 -
Section 1.45V-4(f)(3)(v) provides generally that for purposes of determining the
lifecycle GHG emissions rate of a process that uses methane derived from biogas
sourced from animal waste, the associated emissions must use an alternative fate
derived from the national average of all animal waste management practices.4 That
approach is incompatible with § 70521(c) of the OBBBA, requiring distinct emissions
rates, based on the specific animal manure feedstock, for transportation fuels derived
from animal manure. Section 3.02 of this notice provides guidance on the emissions
associated with natural gas alternatives derived from animal manure for § 45Z
purposes, implementing this OBBBA amendment.
SECTION 3. CERTAIN EMISSIONS ACCOUNTING
.01 Regenerative agriculture practices; safe harbor.

The USDA published a beta version of the USDA Feedstock Carbon Intensity
Calculator (USDA FD-CIC) in January 2025. The preamble to the § 45Z NPRM
explains that, following publication of the final version of USDA FD-CIC, the Treasury
Department and the IRS anticipate that a § 45Z-specific version of the Feedstock
Carbon Intensity Calculator (FD-CIC) module would be included as an input to the
DOE’s 45ZCF-GREET model (45ZCF FD-CIC) used for calculating carbon intensity
adjustments under § 45Z for feedstocks that are produced using certain low-carbon
agricultural practices. The preamble also notes that the Treasury Department and the
IRS anticipate that 45ZCF FD-CIC may be used for fuel produced and sold in 2025
even though 45ZCF FD-CIC likely would be published in 2026.
In June 2026, the USDA published an updated version of USDA FD-CIC,

4 The term “alternative fate” has the same meaning as in § 1.45V-4(f)(2)(i).


- 10 -
available at https://www.usda.gov/usda-fdcic, alongside related final Technical
Guidelines for the Production of Regenerative Agricultural Biofuel Feedstocks (91 F.R.
39334, June 29, 2026) (USDA technical guidelines). A 2026 version of 45ZCF FD-CIC
is forthcoming as part of the 45ZCF-GREET model.
For fuel produced in 2025, a taxpayer may use the 2026 version of 45ZCF FD-
CIC to determine the emissions associated with feedstocks produced using low-carbon
agricultural practices, provided the taxpayer satisfies all requirements for such practices
under the USDA technical guidelines in 7 CFR part 2100, including the chain of custody
standards in 7 CFR 2100.030 through 2100.035 and the audit and verification standards
in 7 CFR 2100.040 and 2100.041. The Treasury Department and the IRS are aware
that for fuel produced in 2025 and 2026, the primary feedstock produced using low-
carbon agricultural practices was likely planted before the publication of the final USDA
technical guidelines. As such, for fuel produced in 2025 and 2026, the requirements
under 7 CFR 2100.060, regarding the pre-application development of a nutrient budget,
are deemed satisfied for purposes of § 45Z. However, a taxpayer must be able to
substantiate the application of any nutrients (such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and
potassium) and measurable nutrient sources and removals that the taxpayer inputs into
45ZCF FD-CIC. A taxpayer must also keep records sufficient to substantiate its claim
for the § 45Z credit. See proposed § 1.45Z-4(g)(1)–(2).
.02 Distinct emissions rates for specific animal manure feedstocks.

As discussed in sections 2.03 and 2.04(3) of this notice, § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(I)
directs the Secretary to provide, for transportation fuels derived from animal manure,
distinct emissions rates based on the specific animal manure feedstock.


- 11 -
(1) Specific animal manure feedstocks.
Section 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(I) provides that specific animal manure feedstocks may
include dairy manure, swine manure, and poultry manure (listed manures). Section
45Z(b)(1)(B)(v)(I) contemplates specific animal manure feedstocks other than the listed
manures (unlisted manures), as are determined appropriate by the Secretary. The
Treasury Department and the IRS may provide future guidance for determining the
emissions rate of fuels derived from unlisted manures, including specific alternative
fates. However, the Treasury Department and the IRS anticipate that some unlisted
manures will lack technical data to determine an alternative fate for a specific animal
manure feedstock.
The Treasury Department and the IRS anticipate that an update to the 45ZCF-
GREET model including dairy manure and swine manure as distinct primary feedstocks
is forthcoming. As such, dairy manure and swine manure are included as primary
feedstocks in the 2026 emissions rate table in the Appendix to this notice.
A taxpayer producing a transportation fuel derived from an animal manure not
included in the 2026 emissions rate table may submit a PER petition with the Secretary
as provided by § 45Z(b)(1)(D) and in accordance with proposed § 1.45Z-2(f). However,
the Treasury Department and the IRS anticipate that the 45ZCF-GREET model will be
further updated in 2026 to include poultry manure and beef manure as primary
feedstocks. Accordingly, producers of fuels derived from poultry manure and beef
manure are encouraged to await this subsequent 45ZCF-GREET model update and to
postpone potential submission of any PER petition for such fuels.
(2) Alternative fate.


- 12 -
The Treasury Department and the IRS, in consultation with the DOE and the
USDA, have determined that in certain instances a distinct emissions rate for a
transportation fuel derived from animal manure may be determined within the 45ZCF-
GREET model on the basis of the farm-specific prior manure management practices
applied to each specific animal manure feedstock, as described below.
A taxpayer producing a transportation fuel derived from animal manure may use
an alternative fate reflecting farm-specific prior manure management practices for the
animal manure from which the taxpayer derived its transportation fuel. For purposes of
determining such alternative fate, a “farm” is any animal feeding operation, with or
without a nutrient management plan, or other animal operation with a nutrient
management plan. Farm-specific prior manure management practices depend on the
animal manure, and may include manure storage in uncovered lagoons, deep pits,
liquid/slurry, pasture/range/paddock, dry lot, and solid storage.
A taxpayer producing a fuel derived from an animal manure determines a distinct
emissions rate by inputting into the 45ZCF-GREET model the number of animals by
type and share of manure managed using each prior practice in place immediately
preceding the earlier of: (i) the commencement date of any anaerobic digester
operation5 or (ii) September 8, 2026. If a farm diverted manure to an off-farm anaerobic
digester, the commencement date is the date the farm first began diverting manure to
any off-site anaerobic digester. A taxpayer will provide the number of animals by type
and the share of manure managed using each practice, including the quantity routed to

5 For purposes of this determination, an anaerobic digester is considered operational on the date at which
the system begins capturing, productively using, and/or destroying biogas after an initial start-up period.
The initial start-up period must not exceed nine months.


- 13 -
an anaerobic digester, in the taxable year of production. This information is collectively
used to calculate the avoided emissions in the 45ZCF-GREET model for prior manure
management practices based on the specific animal manure feedstock.
A taxpayer must be able to substantiate such farm-specific prior manure
management practices for all collected manure if such data are used to establish an
alternative fate. A taxpayer that cannot substantiate the farm-specific prior manure
management practices of a given farm will not have avoided emissions included in the
45ZCF-GREET model for such farm’s portion of the taxpayer’s manure inputs. For
more information regarding substantiation of emissions rates and the related safe
harbor, see proposed § 1.45Z-4(g)(1)–(2).
The 45ZCF-GREET model will not provide a farm-specific alternative fate with
respect to animal manure sourced from a new farm (a farm that begins operations after
September 8, 2026) until the Treasury Department and the IRS issue further guidance
on this issue. As previously explained, the farm-specific alternative fate for a specific
animal manure feedstock reflects the avoided emissions from utilizing an anaerobic
digester as compared to the prior manure management practices for a given animal
manure on the farm. Given how the farm-specific alternative fate is calculated, a new
farm, which necessarily has no existing manure management practices, could be
incentivized to select the highest emitting practices on startup. Such intentional inflation
of avoided emissions, and in turn the § 45Z credit amount, is contrary to the language of
§ 45Z and its incentivization of cleaner fuel production. The Treasury Department and
the IRS are studying how a distinct emissions rate for transportation fuel derived from
animal manures sourced from a new farm may be determined in a manner that


- 14 -
mitigates these concerns.
SECTION 4. TRANSITION GUIDANCE FOR OBBBA AMENDMENTS
.01 In general.

The Treasury Department and the IRS are aware of the need for guidance on
how to apply the OBBBA amendments discussed in section 2.03 of this notice by
taxpayers using a version of an allowed methodology that does not reflect these
OBBBA amendments. This section 4 provides transition guidance on how to apply
these OBBBA amendments in such cases.
The first version of the 45ZCF-GREET model to incorporate some of these
OBBBA amendments was released on June 12, 2026 (June 2026 version of the 45ZCF-
GREET model). Generally, a taxpayer using a pre-June 2026 version of the 45ZCF-
GREET model must generate one result for transportation fuel produced on or before
December 31, 2025, and another result, modified as specified in section 4.02 of this
notice, for transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025. Utilizing separate
results implements the OBBBA’s amendments and effective dates.
.02 Application of OBBBA amendments in prior model versions.

(1) ILUC exclusion.
Pursuant to § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(iv), a taxpayer producing a transportation fuel after
December 31, 2025, must determine an emissions rate that does not include ILUC
emissions. For taxpayers using a version of the 45ZCF-GREET model that includes
ILUC emissions to determine the emissions rate for a transportation fuel produced after
December 31, 2025, the ILUC value published in the 45ZCF-GREET model must be
subtracted from the Total Life Cycle Analysis Results (Total LCA Results). To make this


- 15 -
adjustment, a taxpayer must subtract the ILUC value in the calculated results table from
the Total LCA Results, expressed in grams of CO2e per megajoule. The adjusted Total
LCA Results must then be multiplied by a factor of 1.055 to convert the Total LCA
Results into kg of CO2e per mmBTU.
Taxpayers that use CORSIA Default to determine the emissions rate for a SAF
transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025, must exclude the relevant
Default ILUC value listed in CORSIA Default.
Taxpayers that use CORSIA Actual to determine the emissions rate for a SAF
transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025, must exclude any ILUC value
included as part of the CORSIA Actual verification process. See section 2.04(3) of this
notice for more information on identifying which version of CORSIA Default or CORSIA
Actual a taxpayer must use.
(2) Foreign feedstock limitation.
Versions of the 45ZCF-GREET model have included pathways for transportation
fuel derived from primary feedstocks produced or grown outside the United States,
Mexico, or Canada. However, pursuant to § 45Z(f)(1)(A)(iii), a taxpayer may not claim a
§ 45Z credit for any such fuel produced after December 31, 2025. See section 2.03 of
this notice. The § 45Z NPRM also discusses how, after the OBBBA, prohibited foreign
feedstocks would be those that originate from a source and/or are purchased from an
aggregator located outside the United States, Canada, or Mexico (imported non-
Canadian/Mexican).
As discussed in the preamble to the § 45Z NPRM, the Treasury Department and
the IRS remain concerned about the ability to reliably distinguish between imported


- 16 -
used cooking oil (UCO) and palm oil, and the resulting risk of crediting ineligible fuels.
The preamble to the § 45Z NPRM also states that, as a result, pathways that use
imported non-Canadian/Mexican UCO will not be available in the 45ZCF-GREET model
until the Treasury Department and the IRS publish further guidance. This section
4.02(2) contains that guidance.
Pre-June 2026 versions of the 45ZCF-GREET model included United States
UCO as a primary feedstock for certain pathways. The OBBBA’s restriction on imported
non-Canadian/Mexican feedstocks permits a § 45Z credit for transportation fuel
produced from Canadian and Mexican UCO. Accordingly, the June 2026 version of the
45ZCF-GREET model added Canadian and Mexican UCO as another primary
feedstock for pathways that include United States UCO as a primary feedstock. The
calendar year 2026 emissions rate table in the Appendix to this notice also does so. A
taxpayer producing a transportation fuel from Mexican or Canadian UCO must use a
version of the 45ZCF-GREET model that includes such primary feedstocks to determine
the emissions rate of such fuel. The first emissions rate for such fuel, established in the
June 2026 version of the 45ZCF-GREET model, relates back for such fuel produced
since January 1, 2025. See section 2.04(1) of this notice.
Transportation fuel produced after December 31, 2025, from imported non-
Canadian/Mexican UCO, is not eligible for the § 45Z credit. However, for fuel produced
in 2025 only, a taxpayer producing a transportation fuel from imported non-
Canadian/Mexican UCO must use the applicable pathway in a forthcoming version of
the 45ZCF-GREET model for imported non-Canadian/Mexican UCO. Although
concerns about the reliability and substantiation of imported non-Canadian/Mexican


- 17 -
UCO persist, they are limited in scope, and partly mitigated, by the OBBBA’s prohibition
on imported non-Canadian/Mexican UCO as a feedstock for transportation fuel
produced after December 31, 2025. Further, because any producer using such
imported non-Canadian/Mexican UCO would have already produced the fuel before
these pathways were available, and would likely have access to contemporaneous
records for 2025 production, the potential for fraud or falsified records is lower.
The § 45Z NPRM requested comments on appropriate substantiation and
recordkeeping requirements for feedstocks imported from Canada and Mexico,
including UCO, to ensure such feedstocks meet the statutory sourcing requirement. A
taxpayer producing a transportation fuel from UCO must keep records sufficient to
substantiate its claim for the § 45Z credit, including any specific requirements for UCO
in the final § 45Z regulations. See proposed § 1.45Z-4(g)(1)–(2).
(3) Animal manure.

Distinct emissions rates based on the specific animal manure feedstock are
applicable for all transportation fuel derived from animal manure produced after
December 31, 2025, as provided by § 45Z(b)(1)(B)(v) and sections 2.03 and 3.02 of this
notice. As discussed in section 3.02(1) of this notice, versions of the 45ZCF-GREET
model providing such distinct emissions rates are anticipated. A taxpayer producing a
transportation fuel derived from animal manure after December 31, 2025, must use
such a version of the 45ZCF-GREET model to determine the emissions rate of such fuel
produced after December 31, 2025. See section 2.04 of this notice. A taxpayer must
use a version of the 45ZCF-GREET model reflecting an alternative fate derived from the
national average of all animal waste management practices to determine the emissions


- 18 -
rate of a transportation fuel derived from animal manure produced on or before
December 31, 2025. See section 2.04 of this notice.
(4) Negative emissions rates.
Negative emissions rates are prohibited for transportation fuel produced after
December 31, 2025, unless derived from animal manure. Section 4.02(3) of this notice
discusses transportation fuel derived from animal manure produced in 2026. A
taxpayer using a pre-June 2026 version of the 45ZCF-GREET model to determine the
emissions rate of any other transportation fuel produced in 2026 must adjust any
negative result up to zero.
SECTION 5. EFFECTIVE DATE
This notice is effective on and after September 8, 2026. For additional guidance
regarding the application of the calendar year 2026 emissions rate table, see proposed
§ 1.45Z-2(e)(2) and sections 2.04 and 4 of this notice.
SECTION 6. DRAFTING INFORMATION
The principal author of this notice is Andrew Clark of the Office of Associate
Chief Counsel (Energy, Credits, and Excise Tax). For further information regarding this
notice contact Mr. Clark at (202) 317-6855 (not a toll-free number).



- 1 -
Appendix

Section 45Z Emissions Rate Table for Calendar Year 2026

Type of Fuel
Category of Fuel
Allowed
Methodology for
Determination of
Emissions Rate*
Pathway
Primary Feedstock
Ethanol
Fermentation
U.S. corn starch
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S. sorghum grain
Brazilian sugarcane (for use as a
feedstock for SAF Alcohol-to-Jet
(ATJ) pathway only)1
U.S. corn stover
Biodiesel
Transesterification
U.S. soybean oil
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S./Canadian canola
oil/rapeseed oil
U.S./Canadian/Mexican used
cooking oil (UCO)
Other imported UCO (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S./Canadian/Mexican tallow
Other imported tallow (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S. distillers corn oil (DCO)
U.S. distillers sorghum oil (DSO)
U.S. carinata oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. camelina oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. pennycress oil (intermediate
crop)











Renewable Diesel








Hydroprocessed
esters and fatty
acids (HEFA)
U.S. soybean oil
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S./Canadian canola
oil/rapeseed oil
U.S./Canadian/Mexican UCO
Other imported UCO (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S./Canadian/Mexican tallow
Other imported tallow (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S. DCO
U.S. DSO
U.S. carinata oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. camelina oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. pennycress oil (intermediate
crop)
ATJ
Ethanol (from fermentation
pathways listed above)3


- 2 -


Gasification &
Fischer-Tropsch
U.S. corn stover
Renewable Natural
Gas
Anaerobic
Digestion and
Biogas Upgrading
U.S. wastewater sludge
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S. animal manures (generic
alternative fate)1
U.S. dairy manure2
U.S. swine manure2
U.S. landfill gas
U.S. food scraps
U.S. corn stover
U.S. grain stillage
U.S. fats, oils, and greases (FOG)
and septage
U.S. DCO
U.S. DSO
U.S. mixed high-moisture organic
wastes
Alternative Natural
Gas
Coal Mine
Methane Capture
and Upgrading
U.S. coal mine methane
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
Propane
HEFA
U.S. soybean oil
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S./Canadian canola
oil/rapeseed oil
U.S./Canadian/Mexican UCO
Other imported UCO (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S./Canadian/Mexican tallow
Other imported tallow (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S. DCO
U.S. DSO
U.S. carinata oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. camelina oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. pennycress oil (intermediate
crop)
Naphtha
HEFA
U.S. soybean oil
Most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model
U.S./Canadian canola
oil/rapeseed oil
U.S./Canadian/Mexican UCO
Other imported UCO (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S./Canadian/Mexican tallow
Other imported tallow (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S. DCO
U.S. DSO
U.S. carinata oil (intermediate


- 3 -
1 For fuels produced before January 1, 2026, only
2 For fuels produced after December 31, 2025, only
3 Subject to the limitation in § 45Z(d)(5)(A)(iv)
* See section 2.04(3) of this notice
** The 45VH2-GREET model and the 45VH2-GREET User Manual are available at
https://www.energy.gov/cmei/greet
crop)
U.S. camelina oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. pennycress oil (intermediate
crop)
Hydrogen
Various, as
defined in the
user manual for
the most recent
45VH2-GREET
model**
Various, as defined in the user
manual for the most recent
45VH2-GREET model3
Calculate well-to-gate
emissions using the
45VH2-GREET
model; then calculate
the full well-to-wheel
emissions using the
most recent version of
the 45ZCF-GREET
model. See the
45ZCF-GREET User
Manual for additional
instructions.
Sustainable Aviation
Fuel (SAF)
HEFA
U.S. soybean oil
Most recent version of
one of the following:
1) the 45ZCF-GREET
model or 2) CORSIA
Default or CORSIA
Actual
U.S./Canadian canola
oil/rapeseed oil
U.S./Canadian/Mexican UCO
Other imported UCO (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S./Canadian/Mexican tallow
Other imported tallow (non-
Canadian/Mexican)1
U.S. DCO
U.S. DSO
U.S. carinata oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. camelina oil (intermediate
crop)
U.S. pennycress oil (intermediate
crop)
ATJ
Ethanol (from fermentation
pathways listed above)3
Gasification &
Fischer-Tropsch
U.S. corn stover
Any SAF pathway
that is not
represented
above and is
established in
CORSIA Default
or CORSIA Actual
Any feedstock for such a
pathway3
Most recent version of
CORSIA Default or
CORSIA Actual

决策记录链 · 只追加

每次领取产生一条记录,重新决策追加一条并以 supersedes 指向被替代的记录(ADR 0014)。

这条决策早于决策账本(2026-10-08 起逐条追加),没有追加记录。