Seoul Economic Daily EnglishCodex · 实盘可交易 · 做多市场:韩股▼ 亏 -0.10% · 已结算把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 15:10:02时区推断·⟳ 抓取 15:33:35·⚡ 决策 07-30 21:32:36 +5h59m·89.1 天前
Taihan Cable二季度业绩超预期,订单积压首次突破4万亿韩元
二季度营收1.1987万亿韩元、同比增长31%,营业利润608亿韩元、同比增长113%,分别较FnGuide一致预期高13%和44%,属于明确财报超预期。
📄 原文Seoul Economic Daily English↗ 原文
Taihan Cable Tops 4 Trillion Won in Order Backlog for First Time
Taihan Cable & Solution (001440) set a new quarterly record, driven by growth in its extra-high-voltage and subsea cabl…
▼ 亏 -0.10%入场 07-31 开盘 @22,500 → 离场 08-03 开盘 @22,600
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(价格在入场线上方)、绿底 = 亏
💡 交易逻辑业绩超预期且积压创新高,限价参与重估
怎么买 限价买入 不高于 22200、仅下一个交易日,不成交作废
怎么卖 止盈 +8%(半仓)/+15%(清仓) · 止损 -7% · 时间止损 5日
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
分时走势
做多 001440.KS Taihan Cable & Solution
建仓日早于近 30 天,只有日线图
成交明细 · 纸面
做多 001440.KS Taihan Cable & Solution
| 收益状态 | -0.10% 已平仓 |
|---|---|
| 进场成交 | 2026-07-31 · 开盘 · @22500 |
| 离场成交 | 2026-08-03 · 开盘 · @22600 |
| 毛收益 | +0.44% |
| 成本 | +0.54% |
| 净收益 | -0.10% |
| 计入收益 | -0.10% |
| 建仓日 | 2026-07-31 · 进场不早于新闻时刻 + 2 分钟 |
收益口径 event_time_plus_2min_10min_walk_open_topup_to_next_open_exchange_calendar_fill_model_local_notional_v9 · method_id m8db1cbc8f2d · 截至 2026-10-27 23:17
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-30 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 low ↗
消息传播链
- 媒体报道Taihan Cable披露二季度创纪录业绩、营业利润超一致预期44%、订单积压首次超4万亿韩元。市场反应:行情工具显示001440.KS最新价20800韩元、日内-6.31%,事件后尚未出现同向上涨反应。
- 2026-07-30 21:20 CST其它search_processed_events非一手近72小时已处理列表未命中Taihan Cable本次二季度业绩和4万亿韩元订单积压催化。
关键理由
- 二季度营收1.1987万亿韩元、同比增长31%,营业利润608亿韩元、同比增长113%,分别较FnGuide一致预期高13%和44%,属于明确财报超预期。
- 订单积压4.0629万亿韩元,已高于2025年全年收入3.636万亿韩元;新增订单二季度7272亿韩元、上半年1.4611万亿韩元,支撑未来收入可见度。
- 量级句:2025年收入3.636万亿韩元、2026Q2单季收入1.1987万亿韩元;高压及海底电缆分部Q2收入2374亿韩元、同比+58.1%,订单积压超过年收入,足以驱动盈利修模。
主要风险
- 股价近20日下跌约39.7%、5日下跌约28.4%,可能反映韩国电力设备链拥挤交易退潮或未知利空,做多属于逆短期趋势。
- 高相似先例支持方向但多为美股跨市场样本,且强反应常伴随大幅跳空;若韩股次日高开超过前收限价则放弃。
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
内部KB未命中近期足以否定多头的增发、调查或重大经营利空。
检索:Taihan Cable Solution recent negative news share price plunge equity dilution investigation 2026 July - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-30 · 影响 supports
公开报道的核心反而是营业利润大幅超预期和订单积压创新高,支持多头方向。
检索:Taihan Cable Solution 2026 Q2 earnings consensus operating profit order backlog 4 trillion won 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例没有推翻做多方向,但把入场从开盘抢改为前收限价内参与,并把仓位维持small、止盈从16%收至15%。
方向:高相似3条Powell样本3日胜率100%、中位+15.17%,指向“强订单积压+利润超预期”方向偏多;但全部样本相似度加权3日胜率仅约48%。
涨幅量级:仅有跨市场high_similarity_first_print子样本可参考,3日中位+15.17%、5日中位+22.86%;因无KS aligned样本,不把该幅度完整用于韩股目标位。
形态:强样本常出现次日大幅跳空,POWL 2024-04-30次日开盘较事件收盘高约28%后收窄;中相似拥挤样本如VRT/ETN/PWR提示追高开容易被兑现。
历史先例(按相似度)
- 相似度 8/10 POWL 2024-01-30 Powell FY2024 Q1营收+53%,backlog几乎翻倍至13亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 +45.3% · +2日 +42.2% · +3日 +50.6% · +4日 +56.3% · +5日 +54.5%
相似度依据:同属中小市值电力设备公司,财报显著超预期且backlog接近或超过年收入,机制最接近但市场不同。
经验:订单积压突然跃升并伴随利润率改善时,市场会迅速重估盈利周期,不应只按当季业绩看一次性反应。 - 相似度 8/10 POWL 2024-04-30 Powell FY2024 Q2营收+49%、毛利率改善,backlog维持13亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 +18.9% · +2日 +12.3% · +3日 +11.8% · +4日 +13.0% · +5日 +10.3%
相似度依据:同为电力设备订单积压+利润超预期后修模,backlog强但没有首次突破年收入这一层新鲜度。
经验:次日高开约28%后收窄,说明强财报可做但不能用无限价追跳空。 - 相似度 8/10 POWL 2024-07-30 Powell FY2024 Q3营收+50%、新订单3.56亿美元,backlog保持13亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 +37.8% · +2日 +20.9% · +3日 +15.2% · +4日 +14.2% · +5日 +22.9%
相似度依据:同为订单积压支撑的电力设备财报超预期,且发布后从低迷行情中反转,但非电缆同市场。
经验:强订单可见度能覆盖事件日前疲弱走势,但隔日大幅跳空后波动很大,仓位和限价必须克制。 - 相似度 6/10 POWL 2025-02-06 Powell FY2025 Q1营收+24%、EPS+44%、新订单+36%,backlog仍13亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -6.5% · +2日 -10.2% · +3日 -14.1% · +4日 -14.5% · +5日 -12.5%
⚠锚前1-2日已异动5.0%>锚定日0.0% — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同主体同机制但backlog不再创新高、惊喜弱于当前,且锚前已有上涨。
经验:当订单积压只是维持高位而不是新台阶,市场容易把财报当确认兑现,不能按强催化追。 - 相似度 6/10 POWL 2025-05-06 Powell FY2025 Q2收入+9%、净利+38%,backlog持平13亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -8.0% · +2日 -6.4% · +3日 -8.1% · +4日 -1.2% · +5日 +2.5%
相似度依据:盈利改善但订单积压无新增突破,低于Taihan这次“超预期+积压首次超4万亿”的强度。
经验:没有新增积压台阶的业绩改善,短线可能先跌后修复,左侧买点要更低。 - 相似度 6/10 GEV 2024-07-24 GE Vernova 2024Q2利润率和现金流大幅改善,电气化backlog同比+35%,上调全年指引。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -1.8% · +2日 +6.3% · +3日 +5.6% · +4日 -0.1% · +5日 +9.4%
相似度依据:同为电网设备需求、backlog和盈利改善,但GEV市值更大、业务更分散。
经验:大市值电气化龙头的强订单更多体现为温和续涨,说明同机制方向偏正但弹性取决于市值和纯度。 - 相似度 5/10 VRT 2024-07-24 Vertiv 2024Q2有机订单+57%、营业利润+63%,并上调全年展望。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -2.7% · +2日 -1.9% · +3日 -0.8% · +4日 -7.1% · +5日 +0.1%
相似度依据:同为电力/数据中心供配电景气和订单增长,但VRT是大盘成长股且当日受预期/估值影响更大。
经验:好业绩叠加拥挤成长股并不保证上涨,若估值和预期已满,强订单也可能被卖出。 - 相似度 5/10 GEV 2025-01-22 GE Vernova 2024Q4创纪录订单和收入,电气化订单+122%,维持2025指引。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 +2.5% · +2日 -1.6% · +3日 -22.7% · +4日 -16.9% · +5日 -17.3%
⚠锚前1-2日已异动6.4%>锚定日2.7% — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同为订单强劲,但大市值、多业务且锚前涨幅大,后续又受宏观/AI板块冲击。
经验:锚前已经连续抢跑时,即使订单创纪录,财报后也可能被外部风险放大成高开后杀估值。 - 相似度 5/10 ETN 2024-08-01 Eaton 2024Q2创纪录EPS、Electrical backlog继续增长,并上调全年指引。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -5.9% · +2日 -8.2% · +3日 -6.5% · +4日 -6.5% · +5日 -3.2%
⚠锚前1-2日已异动6.1%>锚定日2.3% — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同为电气设备订单/业绩,但Eaton体量大且惊喜相对市值较小。
经验:大盘电气设备股若财报前一天已大涨,正式财报后容易回吐,追开盘不划算。 - 相似度 5/10 PWR 2024-08-01 Quanta Services 2024Q2双位数增长、总backlog创313亿美元纪录,并更新全年预期。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -5.5% · +2日 -6.0% · +3日 -2.7% · +4日 -2.5% · +5日 +3.1%
相似度依据:同为电网投资和backlog可见度,但业务是工程承包,毛利/订单兑现机制弱于电缆制造。
经验:backlog创新高若不是利润率同步上台阶,短线可能先受市场风险拖累,不能只看订单总额。
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(7 种)
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
- search_processed_events · 结果未知
- search_case_library · 结果未知
- normalize_ticker · 结果未知
- event_study · 结果未知
- validate_order · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 3,736 字
Taihan Cable & Solution (001440) set a new quarterly record, driven by growth in its extra-high-voltage and subsea cable businesses. Its order backlog also surpassed 4 trillion won for the first time since the company's founding, providing an ample pipeline of orders to be converted into future revenue.
Taihan Cable & Solution said on the 30th that it recorded consolidated revenue of 1.1987 trillion won and operating profit of 60.8 billion won in the second quarter of this year. The figures represent increases of 31% and 113%, respectively, from the same period last year, marking record quarterly highs for both revenue and operating profit.
According to financial information provider FnGuide, the result exceeded the financial investment industry's consensus (average estimate) of 1.0601 trillion won in revenue by 13%. The operating profit consensus was 42.3 billion won, and the actual operating profit topped that by 44%.
In particular, in the first half alone, the company earned more than 94% of last year's annual operating profit of 128.6 billion won, an achievement seen as raising its earnings capacity a notch. Revenue also stayed above 1 trillion won for three consecutive quarters starting from the fourth quarter of last year.
The engine of the earnings increase was extra-high-voltage and subsea cables. Major power grid projects in Singapore and Korea were fully reflected in revenue, while domestic subsea cable businesses, including the Yeonggwang Nakwol and Sinan Bigeum solar projects, also contributed to the top-line expansion. Revenue from the extra-high-voltage and subsea cable division reached 237.4 billion won in the second quarter, up 58.1% from a year earlier. Revenue from industrial cables supplied to domestic plants and overseas infrastructure also rose 16.9% to 671.8 billion won.
The order backlog also swelled to a record high. Taihan Cable & Solution recorded new orders of 727.2 billion won in the second quarter and cumulative new orders of 1.4611 trillion won in the first half. As a result, the order backlog at the end of the second quarter stood at 4.0629 trillion won, exceeding 4 trillion won for the first time since the company's founding. This is larger than last year's annual revenue of 3.636 trillion won. As power grid investment expands at home and abroad, orders have accumulated centered on extra-high-voltage cables, further improving the visibility of mid- to long-term earnings.
Taihan Cable & Solution plans to raise the quality of its growth by focusing on high-value-added products such as high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission and subsea cables. It recently won the "500 kV HVDC East Coast–East Seoul Construction Project (EP Phase 2)," a national core power grid project.
In the subsea cable business, the company secured an additional 11,000-ton dedicated cable-laying vessel, the "Skandi Connector." Together with its existing cable-laying vessel "Palos," Taihan now operates Korea's only fleet of dedicated subsea cable-laying vessels, strengthening its turnkey system that carries out everything from production to transportation, laying, and construction on its own. The strategy is to expand its stride into a comprehensive operator that wins orders for the entire process of building subsea power grids, rather than merely selling cables.
"With the spread of AI data centers and the expansion of power grid investment, growth in the extra-high-voltage and subsea cable markets is beginning in earnest," a Taihan Cable & Solution official said. "Based on our expanded order backlog, we will continue stable growth while further strengthening our position in the global market centered on high-value-added businesses such as HVDC and subsea cables."
Taihan Cable & Solution said on the 30th that it recorded consolidated revenue of 1.1987 trillion won and operating profit of 60.8 billion won in the second quarter of this year. The figures represent increases of 31% and 113%, respectively, from the same period last year, marking record quarterly highs for both revenue and operating profit.
According to financial information provider FnGuide, the result exceeded the financial investment industry's consensus (average estimate) of 1.0601 trillion won in revenue by 13%. The operating profit consensus was 42.3 billion won, and the actual operating profit topped that by 44%.
In particular, in the first half alone, the company earned more than 94% of last year's annual operating profit of 128.6 billion won, an achievement seen as raising its earnings capacity a notch. Revenue also stayed above 1 trillion won for three consecutive quarters starting from the fourth quarter of last year.
The engine of the earnings increase was extra-high-voltage and subsea cables. Major power grid projects in Singapore and Korea were fully reflected in revenue, while domestic subsea cable businesses, including the Yeonggwang Nakwol and Sinan Bigeum solar projects, also contributed to the top-line expansion. Revenue from the extra-high-voltage and subsea cable division reached 237.4 billion won in the second quarter, up 58.1% from a year earlier. Revenue from industrial cables supplied to domestic plants and overseas infrastructure also rose 16.9% to 671.8 billion won.
The order backlog also swelled to a record high. Taihan Cable & Solution recorded new orders of 727.2 billion won in the second quarter and cumulative new orders of 1.4611 trillion won in the first half. As a result, the order backlog at the end of the second quarter stood at 4.0629 trillion won, exceeding 4 trillion won for the first time since the company's founding. This is larger than last year's annual revenue of 3.636 trillion won. As power grid investment expands at home and abroad, orders have accumulated centered on extra-high-voltage cables, further improving the visibility of mid- to long-term earnings.
Taihan Cable & Solution plans to raise the quality of its growth by focusing on high-value-added products such as high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission and subsea cables. It recently won the "500 kV HVDC East Coast–East Seoul Construction Project (EP Phase 2)," a national core power grid project.
In the subsea cable business, the company secured an additional 11,000-ton dedicated cable-laying vessel, the "Skandi Connector." Together with its existing cable-laying vessel "Palos," Taihan now operates Korea's only fleet of dedicated subsea cable-laying vessels, strengthening its turnkey system that carries out everything from production to transportation, laying, and construction on its own. The strategy is to expand its stride into a comprehensive operator that wins orders for the entire process of building subsea power grids, rather than merely selling cables.
"With the spread of AI data centers and the expansion of power grid investment, growth in the extra-high-voltage and subsea cable markets is beginning in earnest," a Taihan Cable & Solution official said. "Based on our expanded order backlog, we will continue stable growth while further strengthening our position in the global market centered on high-value-added businesses such as HVDC and subsea cables."
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