Seoul Economic Daily EnglishCodex · 实盘不做把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 17:05:17时区推断·⟳ 抓取 17:32:19·⚡ 决策 07-22 17:41:54 +9m35s·97.2 天前
MSCI八月审议预期LG Innotek纳入、HLB等四股剔除,估算被动流入3130亿韩元
LG Innotek被三星证券评估为100%纳入概率,若确认预计3130亿韩元被动资金流入,但正式公告要到下月13日,当前仍是预测而非确认。
📄 原文Seoul Economic Daily English↗ 原文
MSCI August Review Takes Shape: LG Innotek to Join, Four Stocks Including HLB to Exit
The outline of which Korean stocks will be added to or removed from the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) ind…
不做 LG Innotek(011070.KS)
MSCI纳入仍是券商预测不是正式公告,且股价三个月已涨29.4%,3130亿韩元被动流入预期可能已被提前交易,不追。
不做 HLB(028300.KQ)
MSCI剔除仍是预测,未确认且未核可借券,不能开空;等正式名单。
不做 POSCO International(047050.KS)
MSCI剔除仍是预测,未确认且未核可借券,不能开空;等正式名单。
不做 Samsung Epis Holdings(068270.KS)
MSCI剔除仍是预测,未确认且未核可借券,不能开空;等正式名单。
不做 LG Display(034220.KS)
MSCI剔除仍是预测,未确认且未核可借券,不能开空;等正式名单。
不做 SK hynix(000660.KS)
ADR带来的MSCI权重提升更可能在11月而非8月反映,当前不是可执行新增催化。
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研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-22 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 high ↗
关键理由
- LG Innotek被三星证券评估为100%纳入概率,若确认预计3130亿韩元被动资金流入,但正式公告要到下月13日,当前仍是预测而非确认。
- LG Innotek过去三个月已上涨29.4%、市值15.3126万亿韩元,纳入预期大概率已有较多预交易。
- HLB、POSCO International、Samsung Epis Holdings、LG Display被列为可能剔除,但同样未到MSCI正式公告,且不应在未核借券情况下开空。
主要风险
- 若MSCI正式公告与预测一致,LG Innotek仍可能有被动资金交易窗口;若名单变化,当前预判会失效。
原文全文
展开原文 · 2,567 字
The outline of which Korean stocks will be added to or removed from the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) index is emerging ahead of the August regular review. The market expects LG Innotek to have the highest likelihood of inclusion, while HLB, POSCO International, Samsung Epis Holdings, and LG Display are seen as likely to be removed.
According to the financial investment industry on the 22nd, LG Innotek is the most likely candidate for inclusion in the MSCI August regular review, which will be announced on the 13th of next month. Samsung Securities assessed LG Innotek's likelihood of inclusion at 100 percent, estimating that about 313 billion won in passive funds would flow in if inclusion is confirmed. LG Innotek closed at 647,000 won as of that day, up 29.4 percent from three months earlier, recording a market capitalization of 15.3126 trillion won.
Meanwhile, HLB and LG Display were classified as stocks likely to be removed because their market capitalization failed to meet MSCI standards, while POSCO International and Samsung Epis Holdings failed to meet the standards for free-float market capitalization. MSCI is a representative benchmark index referenced by investors worldwide, conducting regular reviews four times a year in February, May, August, and November. Depending on index inclusion, the scale of inflows and outflows of global passive funds tracking the index is determined.
This regular review draws attention as it is the first regular change to which MSCI's recently revised index calculation rules will be applied. MSCI shortened the period during which inclusion restrictions apply to investment-warning and investment-risk stocks, and also partially eased restrictions on stocks whose prices have surged in a short period (EPI).
The timing for reflecting the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) of SK hynix, which recently listed on the U.S. Nasdaq, is also a point of interest. As the ADR issuance increases new shares by about 2.5 percent of the existing number of outstanding shares, the possibility is raised that SK hynix's weighting within the MSCI Korea index and the Emerging Markets (EM) index could expand.
"If the ADR volume is recognized as free-float shares and the foreign investment limit (FIF) is raised from the current 77.5 percent to 80 percent, the index weighting would increase and the scale of passive fund inflows could also grow," said Kim Dong-young, a researcher at Samsung Securities. "It is more likely to be reflected in the November regular review than in this August regular review."
According to the financial investment industry on the 22nd, LG Innotek is the most likely candidate for inclusion in the MSCI August regular review, which will be announced on the 13th of next month. Samsung Securities assessed LG Innotek's likelihood of inclusion at 100 percent, estimating that about 313 billion won in passive funds would flow in if inclusion is confirmed. LG Innotek closed at 647,000 won as of that day, up 29.4 percent from three months earlier, recording a market capitalization of 15.3126 trillion won.
Meanwhile, HLB and LG Display were classified as stocks likely to be removed because their market capitalization failed to meet MSCI standards, while POSCO International and Samsung Epis Holdings failed to meet the standards for free-float market capitalization. MSCI is a representative benchmark index referenced by investors worldwide, conducting regular reviews four times a year in February, May, August, and November. Depending on index inclusion, the scale of inflows and outflows of global passive funds tracking the index is determined.
This regular review draws attention as it is the first regular change to which MSCI's recently revised index calculation rules will be applied. MSCI shortened the period during which inclusion restrictions apply to investment-warning and investment-risk stocks, and also partially eased restrictions on stocks whose prices have surged in a short period (EPI).
The timing for reflecting the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) of SK hynix, which recently listed on the U.S. Nasdaq, is also a point of interest. As the ADR issuance increases new shares by about 2.5 percent of the existing number of outstanding shares, the possibility is raised that SK hynix's weighting within the MSCI Korea index and the Emerging Markets (EM) index could expand.
"If the ADR volume is recognized as free-float shares and the foreign investment limit (FIF) is raised from the current 77.5 percent to 80 percent, the index weighting would increase and the scale of passive fund inflows could also grow," said Kim Dong-young, a researcher at Samsung Securities. "It is more likely to be reflected in the November regular review than in this August regular review."
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