播客讨论伊朗战争升级与油路风险，未形成TROO公司级催化

The War everyone assumed was over may be about to become something far worse than we could have expected. Professor Robert Pape explains exactly why the deadliest phase of this war is still ahead, and how this could trigger a wave of terror across the world.
Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. A renowned political scientist, he has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of the upcoming book “Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism”.
He explains:
■ Why the US bombing campaign failed to topple Iran’s regime, even after killing its top leaders
■ How Iran seized control of 20% of the world’s oil supply within days of the war starting
■ Why the failed agreement handed Iran a path to becoming the most powerful country in the region
■ Why both China and Russia gain from America staying stuck in the Middle East
■ Why he thinks US ground troops could be next
■ Why he thinks there will be a clash between Congress and the president over who really controls the power to go to war
Chapters

00:00:00 Intro
00:02:22 Why Robert Pape Isn't Surprised
00:04:04 Why the US Blocked the Strait of Hormuz
00:05:23 The Secret JD Vance Peace Deal (MOU)
00:08:13 Iran as Regional Hegemon, Explained
00:09:40 How Do We Know This Is the Real Document?
00:21:05 Did the War Actually Make Iran Stronger?
00:22:06 The Viral Tweet: How Is Iran Still Hitting US Bases?
00:24:37 Trump Says Iran Is Destroyed — So How?
00:25:39 Where Iran Hides Its Drones ("A Truck in California")
00:29:04 Iran Is Building New Drones the Whole Time
00:32:17 Are We on the Verge of a Global Economic Crisis?
00:36:27 What "Owning the L" Would Actually Look Like
00:38:37 Trump: The US Runs Out of Oil in 4 Weeks
00:40:32 The Midterm Elections Time Bomb
00:52:13 The Vietnam Parallel: LBJ's Trap
00:55:06 Can the US Force the Strait of Hormuz Open?
01:03:07 A 70% Chance of Boots on the Ground in Iran
01:14:39 Why Invading (Not Bombing) Sparks Suicide Attacks
01:24:05 When the Two Crises Collide: A New 1960s?
01:25:01 Will Trump Lose the Midterms?
01:26:40 Is the US Running Out of Weapons?
01:28:40 What Is Trump's Real Objective?
01:34:19 Pape's Prediction for the Next Few Months

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You can pre-order Robert's new book, ‘Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism’ here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/9XIQBJ9 
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