📰 ReutersReutersCodex · 实盘不做把握 8/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 07-31 04:31:14时区推断·⟳ 抓取 07-31 04:31:53·⚡ 决策 08-01 05:27:49 +1d00h·87.6 天前
苹果三季度营收盈利超预期但供应约束和后续预期压力已被市场重定价
苹果三季度营收1094.2亿美元、EPS 2.02美元均高于预期,iPhone与Mac销售强劲,但部分利润来自一次性关税退款。
📄 原文Reuters↗ 原文
Apple (AAPL.O) on Thursday reported sales and profits that beat Wall Street expectations, fueled by its customers snapp…
不做 苹果(AAPL.US)
同一具体财报催化已在已处理消息库命中AAPL.US公司新闻源;且美股已完成7月31日首个交易日重定价,当前不重复出卡、不追余波。
不做 台积电(2330.TW)
苹果先进制程需求验证属正向外溢,但台积电7月31日已涨9.98%,且本事件不是台积电新增订单或上调指引,当前无剩余追多edge。
不做 鸿海精密(2317.TW)
苹果产品需求强劲对组装链偏利好,但鸿海7月31日已涨9.15%,本事件未披露新增订单、份额或利润弹性,周末后不追。
不做 立讯精密(002475.SZ)
苹果链映射存在但未被本财报坐实新增订单或份额变化,A股首个交易日收跌且无同向确认,不做弱二阶联想。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- Reuters盘后报道苹果三季度营收、EPS、iPhone和Mac销售超预期,同时披露先进制程和存储供应紧张。市场反应:盘后已开始消化财报分项。
- Apple官方举行FY26第三财季业绩电话会,确认财报和业务更新。
- 主流媒体报道苹果财报后股价下跌,市场更关注后续收入预期、供应约束和利润率压力。市场反应:AP称苹果7月31日收跌约7.4%;亚洲相关半导体与组装股同日已有大幅反应。
- 2026-08-01 05:17 CST其它search_processed_events非一手已处理消息库命中同一具体财报催化:AAPL.US,标题为“苹果公布2026财年第三季度业绩,强劲当季表现被后续指引和供应约束抵消”。市场反应:按去重纪律不重复出卡。
关键理由
- 苹果三季度营收1094.2亿美元、EPS 2.02美元均高于预期,iPhone与Mac销售强劲,但部分利润来自一次性关税退款。
- 服务和iPad收入低于预期,先进制程与存储供应紧张压制后续交付和利润率,事件净影响已从单纯利好转为财报后重估。
- 已处理消息库命中同一财报催化,且美股与亚洲核心供应链已完成首个交易日反应,当前不重复出卡也不追剩余余波。
主要风险
- 如果后续苹果正式上修iPhone价格或供应商给出新增订单/产能指引,需由新事件重新评估供应链腿。
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-31 · 影响 weakens
主流报道显示财报后股价下跌,强销售数据被供应约束和后续预期压力抵消。
检索:Apple stock reaction July 31 2026 earnings iPhone Mac sales 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-31 · 影响 weakens
报道指出市场担忧存储成本、供应链约束和未来毛利率,削弱财报超预期的追多边际。
检索:Apple heads for worst post-earnings drop supply constraints margin pressure July 31 2026 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
内部KB检索服务HTTP 504,未取得可改变方向的内部反证。
检索:Apple 2026 fiscal third quarter earnings supply constraints services miss guidance Apple suppliers
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(6 种)
- search_processed_events · 结果未知
- supply_chain_lookup · 结果未知
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- price_snapshot · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
- query_modeling_kb · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 4,483 字
Apple (AAPL.O) on Thursday reported sales and profits that beat Wall Street expectations, fueled by its customers snapping up iPhones and MacBooks amid price increases across the consumer electronics sector.
Apple said sales for its fiscal third quarter ended June 27 were up 16.4% to $109.42 billion, compared with analyst estimates of a 15.5% rise to $108.65 billion, according to LSEG data, and Apple's own forecast of 14% to 17% sales growth.
Apple's third-quarter profits were $2.02 per share, with 11 cents attributable to tariff refunds from the U.S. government.
Even excluding the tariff refunds, Apple's profits were still above Wall Street estimates of $1.89 per share.
Driving Apple's results was a 21.7% increase in iPhone sales to $54.25 billion, above analyst estimates of $53.86 billion, according to LSEG data. Those iPhone sales were Apple's best-ever for a third quarter, when phone sales typically begin to slow as customers anticipate new models during the fall.
But this year, Apple customers are racing to snap up iPhones after a global crunch in memory chip supplies prompted Apple to raise prices of Macs and iPads. Apple has so far spared its signature product, with Wall Street analysts increasingly expecting that Apple will hike iPhone prices around its annual fall launch event in September.
In an interview with Reuters, Apple CEO Tim Cook said that the main supply constraint that Apple had during the third quarter was an industry shortage of advanced chipmaking technology used to produce the Apple Silicon chips at the heart of its devices. Cook said that was particularly true for the company's Mac lineup, whose sales grew 29% on the strength of the entry-level MacBook Neo and the high-end MacBook Pro despite price increases for those models.
"If you look at the root causes behind those, it's that we're having an incredibly strong product cycle beyond our expectations, and the (advanced chipmaking) supply chain just fundamentally has less flexibility in it to meet the high levels of demand," Cook told Reuters.
The results come as Apple, whose shares have risen more than 22% this year, has reclaimed its throne as the world's most valuable company from AI chip leader Nvidia (NVDA.O). With help from Alphabet's (GOOGL.O) Google, Apple earlier this year unveiled a revamped version of its Siri virtual assistant with a raft of new AI-driven features, and consumers and software developers alike have been gravitating toward its Mac products to handle AI tasks on device rather than paying monthly fees.
Apple is also grappling with a supply chain strained by hundreds of billions of dollars of spending to build out AI data centers, leading to a thinly concealed conflict with longtime memory supplier Micron (MU.O). Cook has previously noted shortages of both memory chips and the main processor of iPhones supplied by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (2330.TW).
Apple said its gross margins, which it had warned would come under pressure due to memory costs, were 50.1%, with Apple saying that tariff refunds contributed two points of that margin. Excluding the refunds, gross margins were 48.1%, which was above the midpoint of Apple's guidance and above estimates of 47.92%, according to LSEG data.
Unlike its Big Tech rivals, Apple has been more cautious with its spending, declining to plow hundreds of billions of dollars into its own data centers. By comparison, Google has invested heavily in data centers and stunned investors with negative free cash flow. But Apple has also signaled that it may have upcoming capital needs of its own by ending its longtime goal of returning all of its cash to shareholders.
Apple on Thursday said that sales of Macs were up 28.7% to $10.35 billion, beating analyst estimates of $8.74 billion, according to LSEG data. Sales of iPads were down 5.9% to $6.19 billion, below analyst expectations of $6.92 billion, according to LSEG data.
Cook attributed the iPad decline to a "tough compare" to the same quarter a year ago when Apple introduced the budget-minded A16 iPad.
Apple's services business, which includes its App Store, iCloud and content businesses, was up 12.1% to $30.74 billion, missing estimates of $31.22 billion, according to LSEG data. Wearable sales were up 6.5% to $7.88 billion, slightly above expectations of $7.82 billion, according to LSEG.
Sales rose in all parts of the globe, with Greater China revenue up 22.4% to $18.82 billion.
Apple said sales for its fiscal third quarter ended June 27 were up 16.4% to $109.42 billion, compared with analyst estimates of a 15.5% rise to $108.65 billion, according to LSEG data, and Apple's own forecast of 14% to 17% sales growth.
Apple's third-quarter profits were $2.02 per share, with 11 cents attributable to tariff refunds from the U.S. government.
Even excluding the tariff refunds, Apple's profits were still above Wall Street estimates of $1.89 per share.
Driving Apple's results was a 21.7% increase in iPhone sales to $54.25 billion, above analyst estimates of $53.86 billion, according to LSEG data. Those iPhone sales were Apple's best-ever for a third quarter, when phone sales typically begin to slow as customers anticipate new models during the fall.
But this year, Apple customers are racing to snap up iPhones after a global crunch in memory chip supplies prompted Apple to raise prices of Macs and iPads. Apple has so far spared its signature product, with Wall Street analysts increasingly expecting that Apple will hike iPhone prices around its annual fall launch event in September.
In an interview with Reuters, Apple CEO Tim Cook said that the main supply constraint that Apple had during the third quarter was an industry shortage of advanced chipmaking technology used to produce the Apple Silicon chips at the heart of its devices. Cook said that was particularly true for the company's Mac lineup, whose sales grew 29% on the strength of the entry-level MacBook Neo and the high-end MacBook Pro despite price increases for those models.
"If you look at the root causes behind those, it's that we're having an incredibly strong product cycle beyond our expectations, and the (advanced chipmaking) supply chain just fundamentally has less flexibility in it to meet the high levels of demand," Cook told Reuters.
The results come as Apple, whose shares have risen more than 22% this year, has reclaimed its throne as the world's most valuable company from AI chip leader Nvidia (NVDA.O). With help from Alphabet's (GOOGL.O) Google, Apple earlier this year unveiled a revamped version of its Siri virtual assistant with a raft of new AI-driven features, and consumers and software developers alike have been gravitating toward its Mac products to handle AI tasks on device rather than paying monthly fees.
Apple is also grappling with a supply chain strained by hundreds of billions of dollars of spending to build out AI data centers, leading to a thinly concealed conflict with longtime memory supplier Micron (MU.O). Cook has previously noted shortages of both memory chips and the main processor of iPhones supplied by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (2330.TW).
Apple said its gross margins, which it had warned would come under pressure due to memory costs, were 50.1%, with Apple saying that tariff refunds contributed two points of that margin. Excluding the refunds, gross margins were 48.1%, which was above the midpoint of Apple's guidance and above estimates of 47.92%, according to LSEG data.
Unlike its Big Tech rivals, Apple has been more cautious with its spending, declining to plow hundreds of billions of dollars into its own data centers. By comparison, Google has invested heavily in data centers and stunned investors with negative free cash flow. But Apple has also signaled that it may have upcoming capital needs of its own by ending its longtime goal of returning all of its cash to shareholders.
Apple on Thursday said that sales of Macs were up 28.7% to $10.35 billion, beating analyst estimates of $8.74 billion, according to LSEG data. Sales of iPads were down 5.9% to $6.19 billion, below analyst expectations of $6.92 billion, according to LSEG data.
Cook attributed the iPad decline to a "tough compare" to the same quarter a year ago when Apple introduced the budget-minded A16 iPad.
Apple's services business, which includes its App Store, iCloud and content businesses, was up 12.1% to $30.74 billion, missing estimates of $31.22 billion, according to LSEG data. Wearable sales were up 6.5% to $7.88 billion, slightly above expectations of $7.82 billion, according to LSEG.
Sales rose in all parts of the globe, with Greater China revenue up 22.4% to $18.82 billion.
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