CNBC Top NewsDoubao · 实盘不做把握 5/10不做原因:SAME_DAY_TICKER_DUPLICATE
北京时间·🕒 发布 19:53:03(美东 07:53)·⟳ 抓取 19:53:12 +9s·⚡ 决策 10-13 19:55:19 +2m07s·14.0 天前
美国四大行Q3财报盘前出炉:高盛营收大超预期,摩根大通EPS小幅miss但上调净利息收入指引,富国营收不及预期
过去24小时同一标的已存在入场,抑制重复下注:GS.US
📄 原文CNBC Top News↗ 原文
Bank earnings live updates: Goldman Sachs posts massive revenue beat, fueled by equities trading
This is CNBC's live coverage of bank earnings reports for JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. Jamie Dim…
不做 JPMorgan Chase(JPM.US)
EPS miss+固收交易弱+费用增速超收入+削减回购,虽上调NII指引但盘前已收复至+0.6%,多空因素互相抵消,无正期望方向
不做 Wells Fargo(WFC.US)
营收与NII均低于预期,仅EPS小幅beat且指引无变化,盘前-0.9%,催化方向不明
不做 Citigroup(C.US)
信号时点实际Q3业绩尚未公布(预期EPS 2.66、营收237.2亿),没有新增事实,不押注财报方向
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
高盛Q3营收186.8亿美元远超预期167.1亿,交易与投行业务景气验证,而股价此前20日累计下跌9.5%、盘前仅+2.9%,重估不充分;EPS含不可比一次性项目故控制为小仓。摩根大通EPS miss+削减回购、富国营收miss,均不做。
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-13 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 low ↗
关键理由
- 营收186.8亿美元对比LSEG预期167.1亿超约11.8%,是本批财报中幅度最大、最干净的营收beat,直接印证其交易+投行佣金强势
- GS近20日-9.5%、距52周高点约22%,盘前仅+2.9%且成交量13.7万股属正常财报盘前水平,利好尚未被充分定价
主要风险
- CNBC明确标注EPS 17.01与预期13.02'may not compare',若大幅beat主要来自一次性投资收益而非经常性交易/投行收入,开盘可能高开低走
- 板块层面10年期美债收益率约5.3%、AI agent存款脱媒担忧及银行业指数Q3下跌5.4%,若电话会指引谨慎可能压制涨幅
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-13 · 影响 weakens
报道原文提示EPS 17.01与预期13.02可能不可直接比较;营收beat本身真实,但经常性盈利质量需电话会确认,构成降仓依据
检索:Goldman Sachs Q3 2026 earnings one-time gains EPS comparability fixed income trading outlook 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-13 · 影响 weakens
10年期美债收益率约5.3%创二十余年新高、银行指数Q3下跌5.4%、市场担忧AI agent加速存款搬家,板块逆风真实存在但属背景而非GS个股证伪
检索:banks Q3 2026 Treasury yields 5.3% deposit AI agent run risk S&P bank index 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不足直接导致仓位从normal下调为small、收紧追高幅度至3%、止损-4.5%
方向:未构建经首发溯源核验的同市场对齐先例面板,无法据此断言大型银行财报beat后的固定涨幅
涨幅量级:缺乏高相似aligned先例,止盈区间仅按大型股财报单日2-4%重估的常识性量级保守设定为5%/9%,并以小仓补偿
形态:大型银行财报常见'beat后盘前冲高、开盘获利了结',故采用限价追高上限3%而非开盘市价追入
工具执行结果 · 成功 6 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 10 ms
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原文全文
展开原文 · 15,959 字
This is CNBC's live coverage of bank earnings reports for JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Citigroup.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Chase, at the Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit at the US Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, on July 15, 2026.
Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images
Four of the largest U.S. banks are reporting third-quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday: JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs are first out of the gates.
The quarter was dominated by headlines around artificial intelligence, IPO uncertainty, high fuel prices and rising borrowing costs.
All four reports on Tuesday are due by 8 a.m. ET, and executives from each of the banks will be addressing those topics and more during earnings calls between 8:30 a.m. and 11 a.m. ET.
JPMorgan raised its net interest income guidance to $106.2 billion for 2026. That compares to a $105.4 billion consensus estimate, per FactSet.
— Leslie Picker
24 Min Ago
Goldman Sachs is out with earnings — here are the numbers
Here's what Goldman Sachs reported, compared with what Wall Street was expecting, according to LSEG:
Earnings per share: $17.01, may not compare with $13.02 per share expected
Revenue: $18.68 billion vs. $16.71 billion expected
— Sara Salinas
24 Min Ago
JPMorgan’s earnings miss reflects weaker fixed income trading and rising expenses
JPMorgan's earnings miss appears to come from lower-than-expected fixed income trading revenue and expenses that grew faster than revenue did.
Fixed income trading of $5.4 billion was about $550 million below the StreetAccount estimate.
Companywide expenses of $27.3 billion were about $90 million worse than expected.
That's not a huge miss, but it shows that costs grew by 12% year over year in a quarter where revenue grew by 8%, a dynamic investors and analysts usually don't love.
That 8% revenue growth rate is a real slowdown compared to the 27% surge of the second quarter, where equities trading and dealmaking exceeded expectations.
Lastly, the securities write-off of $658 million pretax cut EPS by 18 cents, though at least some analysts are likely to exclude that figure from their assessment of the quarter.
— Hugh Son
33 Min Ago
JPMorgan stock turns positive
JPMorgan shares are higher as of about 7:20 a.m. ET after initially falling on an earnings miss. The stock is now up about 1%.
— Sara Salinas
45 Min Ago
Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan Chase cut back on share repurchases in the quarter
A woman exits the JPMorgan Chase & Co., headquarters in New York City, U.S., April 1, 2026.
Eduardo Munoz | Reuters
Investors often jump to JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's written remarks in the earnings release.
Dimon gives few clues as to why his bank missed third-quarter estimates, saying JPMorgan "reported another quarter of strong results."
But there is one sign that corporations and institutional investors may have taken a more "risk off" approach as the quarter progressed: In the firm's Wall Street division, Dimon noted that trading and investment banking activity "did moderate somewhat during the quarter."
Also of note: The bank moderated its share repurchases, Dimon said: "Our capital hierarchy has remained consistent over time, with investing in the franchise and supporting our clients at the top. In line with our hierarchy, we reduced share repurchases this quarter."
Wells Fargo stock is down just over 1% in premarket trading after the bank missed expectations on the top line but beat on the bottom line.
The stock has declined roughly 10% this year.
— Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
JPMorgan's third-quarter EPS misses the mark
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., during a Bloomberg Television interview on the sidelines of the JPMorgan Tech Stars Conference 2026 in London, UK, on Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026.
Jose Sarmento Matos | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan's results appear to be a rare miss for the largest U.S. bank by assets.
The company put up third-quarter net income of $15.31 billion, or $5.57 per share.
Excluding $658 million in net securities losses, EPS would've been higher at $5.75 per share, but that's still below the $5.90 estimate of analysts surveyed by LSEG.
Before this report, JPMorgan had topped EPS estimates 16 of the past 20 quarters, per StreetAccount.
The bank's shares are off about 3.5% in premarket trading.
— Hugh Son
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo maintains guidance
Wells Fargo said on Tuesday that it's maintaining its guidance for net interest income this year. It's also maintaining its guidance for non-interest expenses.
– Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo's net interest income came in slightly below expectations
Analysts had been expecting Wells Fargo to report $12.66 billion in net interest income. The bank actually reported $12.52 billion on Tuesday.
It also said it saw a $1.03 billion provision for credit losses, just under StreetAccount expectations of $1.14 billion.
– Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo reports strength across segment revenues
Wells Fargo said wealth and investment management revenue grew 12% compared with the year-ago period. It also saw consumer banking and lending grow 5%, corporate and investment banking grow 3% and commercial banking rise by 6%.
It also said it opened more than 660,000 new credit card accounts in the quarter.
— Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo says consumer remains resilient
Charles Scharf, chief executive officer of Wells Fargo & Co., during a Bloomberg Television interview in New York, US, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Wells Fargo reported that despite macroeconomic pressures and overall uncertainty, consumers remain resilient.
"Consumers are spending more, loan delinquencies are low, and deposit and investment balances have grown," CEO Scharf said in a statement. "While higher interest rates, higher oil prices and persistent inflation create risks to the economy, strong positive forces such as the investment in AI infrastructure, high employment levels and consistent wage growth continue to outweigh the risks."
Here's what Wells Fargo reported compared with analysts' consensus estimates, according to LSEG:
Earnings per share: $1.87 vs. $1.85 per share expected
Revenue: $21.87 billion vs. $22.3 billion expected
— Sara Salinas
2 Hours Ago
The Muse effect: Do banks face disruption risk from AI agents?
Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of the Facebook parent company Meta, takes the stage at the Meta Connect developer conference.
Andrej Sokolow | Picture Alliance | Getty Images
One likely topic for today's analyst calls will be around whether banks aren't just the beneficiary of AI, but at risk from it.
Specifically, AI agents like Meta's Muse could make it easier for customers to move money from accounts that pay almost nothing to accounts with higher yields. Last month, Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok even outlined a possible bank run scenario caused by AI.
"If every household used AI agents to optimize the return on their cash balances, banks could lose a large share of the cheap deposits they rely on to make loans," Slok wrote. That would "be a problem for the entire financial system."
Some banks faced higher deposit costs last quarter, but that's amid the backdrop of surging Treasury yields, according to StreetAccount.
Bank stocks were hit by concerns over AI agents last month, just as shares of Meta were rising as its Muse app topped the app download charts.
But over the longer term, banks will develop their own agent interfaces, insulating them from the threat, Bank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala said in an Oct. 4 note.
"Investors continue to inquire about the potential for agentic AI to disrupt banking deposits, fees, margins and customer acquisition," Poonawala wrote. "While the timing and magnitude remain uncertain, one implication is becoming clearer: banks may increasingly need to build for the agent, not just the customer."
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
Oura's shelved IPO raises questions about Wall Street's deal outlook
Tom Hale, chief executive officer of Oura Health Oy, wears an Oura Ring during an interview in San Francisco, California, US, on Friday, June 14, 2024.
Those are the questions analysts will have for Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase after a string of high-profile IPOs were put on hold in recent months, including the listing of smart ring maker Oura, which cited uncertain market conditions as its reason for delay.
Global investment banking revenue in the third quarter fell 6.6% from a year earlier to $27.2 billion, thanks to declines in closed mergers and debt issuance, according to Dealogic data.
But the slowdown is far from uniform across Wall Street.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan warned in September that third-quarter investment banking fees were headed for a decline of more than 10%, while trading revenue will be roughly flat.
Citigroup expected to do a bit better: CFO Gonzalo Luchetti told analysts at the same conference that investment banking is tracking for "low-single-digit" revenue growth, while trading revenue was heading for "mid-single-digit" growth.
Meanwhile, JPMorgan co-president Doug Petno told analysts last month that both investment banking and trading revenue were headed for a percentage jump in the mid- to high-teens, showing that the boom continues at some banks.
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
The breakdown of segment revenues expected for Citigroup
According to consensus metrics from StreetAccount, Citigroup is expected to report $4.31 billion in revenue for its fixed income markets division. It's also expected to report $1.76 billion in revenue in equity markets and $1.29 billion in investment banking fees.
Analysts are expecting Citi to report $2.41 billion in net credit losses and $2.62 billion in provisions for credit losses.
– Laya Neelakandan
2 Hours Ago
Jamie Dimon's warning on interest rates is coming into focus
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., during the America Business Forum in Miami, Florida, US, on Thursday, Nov. 6, 2025.
Eva Marie Uzcategui | Bloomberg | Getty Images
For years, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has warned that interest rates could climb higher than investors expect, fueled by persistent inflation and geopolitical conflicts.
Investors may get a fresh read on that outlook as the big banks report third-quarter results.
Bond markets sold off during the period amid renewed inflation concerns, rising oil prices and questions about how the growing wave of debt tied to artificial intelligence is impacting credit markets.
The 10-year Treasury yield — a benchmark that influences borrowing costs across the economy — jumped to about 5.3% by the end of September, the highest level in more than two decades. Bond prices fall as yields rise, pushing up financing costs for businesses and consumers.
For banks, higher rates are a double-edged sword.
Lenders may earn more on new loans, but they also face pressure to pay more to retain deposits as money market funds and Treasuries become enticing to investors. Higher borrowing costs may weigh on loan demand, while tighter financial conditions could complicate mergers and IPOs.
Ultimately, higher rates can strain borrowers' finances, pushing some into default.
Those concerns weighed on bank stocks during the third quarter. The S&P 500 Banks Index fell 5.4%, while the broader S&P 500 gained about 2.3%.
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
Is the clock ticking on Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon's tenure?
John Waldron, chief operating officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon.
This will be the first chance that analysts have to directly ask Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon about reports that he could be replaced by his main deputy, John Waldron, as soon as next year.
If Waldron, who currently serves as Goldman president and chief operating officer, takes over as CEO, Solomon would likely remain as executive chairman for a period of time, an arrangement designed to engineer a smooth handoff.
But it's unclear if Solomon, 64, is ready to release the reins of the top Wall Street investment bank, just as his company has hit its stride.
Solomon has gotten Goldman back on track after an ill-fated foray into consumer banking earlier in his tenure. With help from the artificial intelligence boom and a rebound in deals and trading, Goldman shares have outpaced rivals over the past year.
Goldman spokesman Tony Fratto has said there is "no definitive timeline for succession" at the bank.
Both Solomon and Waldron were awarded $80 bonuses in 2025 to keep them at the bank through 2030.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Wells Fargo is expected to report these segment revenues
Analysts are expecting Wells Fargo to report net interest income of $12.66 billion, according to consensus metrics from StreetAccount.
They're also estimating the company will report a provision for credit losses of $1.14 billion.
Last quarter, CEO Charlie Scharf said the bank was "benefitting from the broad-based economic strength" in the U.S.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Wells Fargo has a streak of beating revenue expectations
According to StreetAccount, Wells Fargo has beaten consensus expectations for revenue in 12 of the past 20 quarters.
The company has also beaten consensus metrics for earnings per share in 16 of the past 20 quarters, with one report in-line with expectations.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Here's what to expect from Citigroup
Dado Ruvic | Reuters
Citigroup is set to report its third-quarter results before the bell on Tuesday. Here's what the company is expected to post, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
Earnings per share: $2.66 expected
Revenue: $23.72 billion expected
Company executives will hold a conference call with analysts at 11 a.m. ET.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Here's what analysts are expecting from Goldman Sachs
David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., speaks during the Qatar Economic Forum in New York, US, on Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Goldman Sachs, led by CEO David Solomon, has benefited from elevated investment banking and trading activity so far this year.
The main question: Will the Wall Street boom continue?
Here's what Wall Street expects:
Earnings per share: $13.02, according to LSEG
Revenue: $16.71 billion, according to LSEG
Trading revenue: fixed income of $3.71 billion, equities of $5.02 billion, according to StreetAccount
Investing banking fees: $2.84 billion, according to StreetAccount
Solomon and CFO Denis Coleman will hold a conference call with analysts at 9:30 a.m. ET.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Here's what Wall Street expects from JPMorgan
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, departs the Capitol in Washington, Feb. 25, 2026.
Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday.
JPMorgan, led by longtime CEO Jamie Dimon, is the biggest U.S. bank by assets and the largest in the world by market capitalization.
Here's what Wall Street expects:
Earnings per share: $5.90 according to LSEG
Revenue: $51.22 billion, according to LSEG
Investment banking fees: $3.02 billion, according to StreetAccount
Trading revenue: Fixed income of $5.95 billion, equities of $4.43 billion, per StreetAccount
Dimon and CFO Jeremy Barnum will hold a conference call with analysts at 8:30 a.m. ET.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Here's what analysts are expecting from Wells Fargo
A Wells Fargo logo is displayed on a sign outside of a bank branch on June 6, 2026 in Washington, DC.
Kevin Carter | Getty Images
Wells Fargo is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the bell on Tuesday. Here's what Wall Street is expecting from the company:
Earnings per share: $1.85 per share expected, according to LSEG
Revenue: $22.3 billion expected, according to LSEG
Company executives will hold a conference call with analysts at 10 a.m. ET.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Chase, at the Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit at the US Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, on July 15, 2026.
Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images
Four of the largest U.S. banks are reporting third-quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday: JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs are first out of the gates.
The quarter was dominated by headlines around artificial intelligence, IPO uncertainty, high fuel prices and rising borrowing costs.
All four reports on Tuesday are due by 8 a.m. ET, and executives from each of the banks will be addressing those topics and more during earnings calls between 8:30 a.m. and 11 a.m. ET.
JPMorgan raised its net interest income guidance to $106.2 billion for 2026. That compares to a $105.4 billion consensus estimate, per FactSet.
— Leslie Picker
24 Min Ago
Goldman Sachs is out with earnings — here are the numbers
Here's what Goldman Sachs reported, compared with what Wall Street was expecting, according to LSEG:
Earnings per share: $17.01, may not compare with $13.02 per share expected
Revenue: $18.68 billion vs. $16.71 billion expected
— Sara Salinas
24 Min Ago
JPMorgan’s earnings miss reflects weaker fixed income trading and rising expenses
JPMorgan's earnings miss appears to come from lower-than-expected fixed income trading revenue and expenses that grew faster than revenue did.
Fixed income trading of $5.4 billion was about $550 million below the StreetAccount estimate.
Companywide expenses of $27.3 billion were about $90 million worse than expected.
That's not a huge miss, but it shows that costs grew by 12% year over year in a quarter where revenue grew by 8%, a dynamic investors and analysts usually don't love.
That 8% revenue growth rate is a real slowdown compared to the 27% surge of the second quarter, where equities trading and dealmaking exceeded expectations.
Lastly, the securities write-off of $658 million pretax cut EPS by 18 cents, though at least some analysts are likely to exclude that figure from their assessment of the quarter.
— Hugh Son
33 Min Ago
JPMorgan stock turns positive
JPMorgan shares are higher as of about 7:20 a.m. ET after initially falling on an earnings miss. The stock is now up about 1%.
— Sara Salinas
45 Min Ago
Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan Chase cut back on share repurchases in the quarter
A woman exits the JPMorgan Chase & Co., headquarters in New York City, U.S., April 1, 2026.
Eduardo Munoz | Reuters
Investors often jump to JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's written remarks in the earnings release.
Dimon gives few clues as to why his bank missed third-quarter estimates, saying JPMorgan "reported another quarter of strong results."
But there is one sign that corporations and institutional investors may have taken a more "risk off" approach as the quarter progressed: In the firm's Wall Street division, Dimon noted that trading and investment banking activity "did moderate somewhat during the quarter."
Also of note: The bank moderated its share repurchases, Dimon said: "Our capital hierarchy has remained consistent over time, with investing in the franchise and supporting our clients at the top. In line with our hierarchy, we reduced share repurchases this quarter."
Wells Fargo stock is down just over 1% in premarket trading after the bank missed expectations on the top line but beat on the bottom line.
The stock has declined roughly 10% this year.
— Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
JPMorgan's third-quarter EPS misses the mark
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., during a Bloomberg Television interview on the sidelines of the JPMorgan Tech Stars Conference 2026 in London, UK, on Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2026.
Jose Sarmento Matos | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan's results appear to be a rare miss for the largest U.S. bank by assets.
The company put up third-quarter net income of $15.31 billion, or $5.57 per share.
Excluding $658 million in net securities losses, EPS would've been higher at $5.75 per share, but that's still below the $5.90 estimate of analysts surveyed by LSEG.
Before this report, JPMorgan had topped EPS estimates 16 of the past 20 quarters, per StreetAccount.
The bank's shares are off about 3.5% in premarket trading.
— Hugh Son
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo maintains guidance
Wells Fargo said on Tuesday that it's maintaining its guidance for net interest income this year. It's also maintaining its guidance for non-interest expenses.
– Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo's net interest income came in slightly below expectations
Analysts had been expecting Wells Fargo to report $12.66 billion in net interest income. The bank actually reported $12.52 billion on Tuesday.
It also said it saw a $1.03 billion provision for credit losses, just under StreetAccount expectations of $1.14 billion.
– Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo reports strength across segment revenues
Wells Fargo said wealth and investment management revenue grew 12% compared with the year-ago period. It also saw consumer banking and lending grow 5%, corporate and investment banking grow 3% and commercial banking rise by 6%.
It also said it opened more than 660,000 new credit card accounts in the quarter.
— Laya Neelakandan
1 Hour Ago
Wells Fargo says consumer remains resilient
Charles Scharf, chief executive officer of Wells Fargo & Co., during a Bloomberg Television interview in New York, US, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Wells Fargo reported that despite macroeconomic pressures and overall uncertainty, consumers remain resilient.
"Consumers are spending more, loan delinquencies are low, and deposit and investment balances have grown," CEO Scharf said in a statement. "While higher interest rates, higher oil prices and persistent inflation create risks to the economy, strong positive forces such as the investment in AI infrastructure, high employment levels and consistent wage growth continue to outweigh the risks."
Here's what Wells Fargo reported compared with analysts' consensus estimates, according to LSEG:
Earnings per share: $1.87 vs. $1.85 per share expected
Revenue: $21.87 billion vs. $22.3 billion expected
— Sara Salinas
2 Hours Ago
The Muse effect: Do banks face disruption risk from AI agents?
Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of the Facebook parent company Meta, takes the stage at the Meta Connect developer conference.
Andrej Sokolow | Picture Alliance | Getty Images
One likely topic for today's analyst calls will be around whether banks aren't just the beneficiary of AI, but at risk from it.
Specifically, AI agents like Meta's Muse could make it easier for customers to move money from accounts that pay almost nothing to accounts with higher yields. Last month, Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok even outlined a possible bank run scenario caused by AI.
"If every household used AI agents to optimize the return on their cash balances, banks could lose a large share of the cheap deposits they rely on to make loans," Slok wrote. That would "be a problem for the entire financial system."
Some banks faced higher deposit costs last quarter, but that's amid the backdrop of surging Treasury yields, according to StreetAccount.
Bank stocks were hit by concerns over AI agents last month, just as shares of Meta were rising as its Muse app topped the app download charts.
But over the longer term, banks will develop their own agent interfaces, insulating them from the threat, Bank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala said in an Oct. 4 note.
"Investors continue to inquire about the potential for agentic AI to disrupt banking deposits, fees, margins and customer acquisition," Poonawala wrote. "While the timing and magnitude remain uncertain, one implication is becoming clearer: banks may increasingly need to build for the agent, not just the customer."
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
Oura's shelved IPO raises questions about Wall Street's deal outlook
Tom Hale, chief executive officer of Oura Health Oy, wears an Oura Ring during an interview in San Francisco, California, US, on Friday, June 14, 2024.
Those are the questions analysts will have for Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase after a string of high-profile IPOs were put on hold in recent months, including the listing of smart ring maker Oura, which cited uncertain market conditions as its reason for delay.
Global investment banking revenue in the third quarter fell 6.6% from a year earlier to $27.2 billion, thanks to declines in closed mergers and debt issuance, according to Dealogic data.
But the slowdown is far from uniform across Wall Street.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan warned in September that third-quarter investment banking fees were headed for a decline of more than 10%, while trading revenue will be roughly flat.
Citigroup expected to do a bit better: CFO Gonzalo Luchetti told analysts at the same conference that investment banking is tracking for "low-single-digit" revenue growth, while trading revenue was heading for "mid-single-digit" growth.
Meanwhile, JPMorgan co-president Doug Petno told analysts last month that both investment banking and trading revenue were headed for a percentage jump in the mid- to high-teens, showing that the boom continues at some banks.
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
The breakdown of segment revenues expected for Citigroup
According to consensus metrics from StreetAccount, Citigroup is expected to report $4.31 billion in revenue for its fixed income markets division. It's also expected to report $1.76 billion in revenue in equity markets and $1.29 billion in investment banking fees.
Analysts are expecting Citi to report $2.41 billion in net credit losses and $2.62 billion in provisions for credit losses.
– Laya Neelakandan
2 Hours Ago
Jamie Dimon's warning on interest rates is coming into focus
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., during the America Business Forum in Miami, Florida, US, on Thursday, Nov. 6, 2025.
Eva Marie Uzcategui | Bloomberg | Getty Images
For years, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has warned that interest rates could climb higher than investors expect, fueled by persistent inflation and geopolitical conflicts.
Investors may get a fresh read on that outlook as the big banks report third-quarter results.
Bond markets sold off during the period amid renewed inflation concerns, rising oil prices and questions about how the growing wave of debt tied to artificial intelligence is impacting credit markets.
The 10-year Treasury yield — a benchmark that influences borrowing costs across the economy — jumped to about 5.3% by the end of September, the highest level in more than two decades. Bond prices fall as yields rise, pushing up financing costs for businesses and consumers.
For banks, higher rates are a double-edged sword.
Lenders may earn more on new loans, but they also face pressure to pay more to retain deposits as money market funds and Treasuries become enticing to investors. Higher borrowing costs may weigh on loan demand, while tighter financial conditions could complicate mergers and IPOs.
Ultimately, higher rates can strain borrowers' finances, pushing some into default.
Those concerns weighed on bank stocks during the third quarter. The S&P 500 Banks Index fell 5.4%, while the broader S&P 500 gained about 2.3%.
— Hugh Son
2 Hours Ago
Is the clock ticking on Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon's tenure?
John Waldron, chief operating officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon.
This will be the first chance that analysts have to directly ask Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon about reports that he could be replaced by his main deputy, John Waldron, as soon as next year.
If Waldron, who currently serves as Goldman president and chief operating officer, takes over as CEO, Solomon would likely remain as executive chairman for a period of time, an arrangement designed to engineer a smooth handoff.
But it's unclear if Solomon, 64, is ready to release the reins of the top Wall Street investment bank, just as his company has hit its stride.
Solomon has gotten Goldman back on track after an ill-fated foray into consumer banking earlier in his tenure. With help from the artificial intelligence boom and a rebound in deals and trading, Goldman shares have outpaced rivals over the past year.
Goldman spokesman Tony Fratto has said there is "no definitive timeline for succession" at the bank.
Both Solomon and Waldron were awarded $80 bonuses in 2025 to keep them at the bank through 2030.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Wells Fargo is expected to report these segment revenues
Analysts are expecting Wells Fargo to report net interest income of $12.66 billion, according to consensus metrics from StreetAccount.
They're also estimating the company will report a provision for credit losses of $1.14 billion.
Last quarter, CEO Charlie Scharf said the bank was "benefitting from the broad-based economic strength" in the U.S.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Wells Fargo has a streak of beating revenue expectations
According to StreetAccount, Wells Fargo has beaten consensus expectations for revenue in 12 of the past 20 quarters.
The company has also beaten consensus metrics for earnings per share in 16 of the past 20 quarters, with one report in-line with expectations.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Here's what to expect from Citigroup
Dado Ruvic | Reuters
Citigroup is set to report its third-quarter results before the bell on Tuesday. Here's what the company is expected to post, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
Earnings per share: $2.66 expected
Revenue: $23.72 billion expected
Company executives will hold a conference call with analysts at 11 a.m. ET.
– Laya Neelakandan
3 Hours Ago
Here's what analysts are expecting from Goldman Sachs
David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., speaks during the Qatar Economic Forum in New York, US, on Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Goldman Sachs, led by CEO David Solomon, has benefited from elevated investment banking and trading activity so far this year.
The main question: Will the Wall Street boom continue?
Here's what Wall Street expects:
Earnings per share: $13.02, according to LSEG
Revenue: $16.71 billion, according to LSEG
Trading revenue: fixed income of $3.71 billion, equities of $5.02 billion, according to StreetAccount
Investing banking fees: $2.84 billion, according to StreetAccount
Solomon and CFO Denis Coleman will hold a conference call with analysts at 9:30 a.m. ET.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Here's what Wall Street expects from JPMorgan
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, departs the Capitol in Washington, Feb. 25, 2026.
Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday.
JPMorgan, led by longtime CEO Jamie Dimon, is the biggest U.S. bank by assets and the largest in the world by market capitalization.
Here's what Wall Street expects:
Earnings per share: $5.90 according to LSEG
Revenue: $51.22 billion, according to LSEG
Investment banking fees: $3.02 billion, according to StreetAccount
Trading revenue: Fixed income of $5.95 billion, equities of $4.43 billion, per StreetAccount
Dimon and CFO Jeremy Barnum will hold a conference call with analysts at 8:30 a.m. ET.
— Hugh Son
3 Hours Ago
Here's what analysts are expecting from Wells Fargo
A Wells Fargo logo is displayed on a sign outside of a bank branch on June 6, 2026 in Washington, DC.
Kevin Carter | Getty Images
Wells Fargo is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the bell on Tuesday. Here's what Wall Street is expecting from the company:
Earnings per share: $1.85 per share expected, according to LSEG
Revenue: $22.3 billion expected, according to LSEG
Company executives will hold a conference call with analysts at 10 a.m. ET.
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