EIA Weekly Petroleum Status ReportDoubao · 实盘不做把握 5/10不做原因:已被定价
北京时间·🕒 发布 10-15(美东日)仅日期·时区推断·⟳ 抓取 02:13:39回填·⚡ 决策 10-16 02:18:48·11.7 天前
EIA周报抓取内容仅为目录无库存数据；实际当周原油大降855.7万桶但已发布并被市场消化
信号本身为无数据的目录页，不构成增量事实；联网还原的实际库存数据（原油大降855.7万桶）虽偏多，但属官方例行周报，发布时点早于信号且已被Reuters、Dow Jones/Morningstar等广泛传播，美股盘中油价与能源股已完成首轮重定价，追入无正期望；直接标的为商品期货，股票载体弹性间接。
📄 原文EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report↗ 原文
Weekly Petroleum Status Report: October 15, 2026
| Highlights | | | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights | | | | | Tables | | | | 1 | U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet…
不做 United States Oil Fund (USO)（USO.US）
信号正文无任何库存数字（仅目录页），不构成增量事件；实际原油-855.7万桶偏多数据为EIA例行披露，在信号到达（14:16 ET）时已发布并被Reuters、Dow Jones等广泛报道，盘中价格已消化；且去库由出口/产量短期下滑驱动、汽油累库，质量存疑，追多无正期望。
不做 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)（XLE.US）
能源股对单周库存弹性间接，数据已在当日盘中定价，无个股级基本面增量与可执行edge。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
抓到的EIA周报正文只有目录、没有任何库存数字，信号层面无增量信息；实际数据（原油库存-855.7万桶、产量-30万桶/日）虽偏多，但在信号到达时已公开并被媒体充分报道、价格已消化，且无合适股票级可交易载体，故不做。
消息传播链
- 节点
关键理由
- 实际周报显示商业原油库存大降855.7万桶（-2.02%）且产量减少30万桶/日，方向上偏多原油
- 但该数据为例行官方披露、发布早于本信号且已被主流财经媒体广泛报道
主要风险
- 库存大降主要由出口与产量短期下滑驱动，可能含暂时性扰动，不代表持续去库
- 信号抓取缺失全部Highlights数字，若据外部还原数据交易存在口径与时点误差
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-15 · 影响 weakens
库存下降伴随出口大降19.5万桶/日和产量减30万桶/日，且汽油库存反而增加，去库质量存疑、可能为暂时性供给扰动而非需求走强
检索:EIA crude draw October 2026 production exports decline temporary gasoline build 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例与数据性质均指向不做：价格已在盘中消化，ENTER缺乏剩余edge
方向:无可对照先例；EIA周度库存为高频宏观数据，单次意外去库通常在发布当根日内基本定价，股票层面反应弱且噪声大
涨幅量级:未构建先例面板，不用单次库存数据校准个股tp/sl
形态:例行数据行情通常表现为发布瞬间的期货跳变，随后能源股跟随性衰减；无个股级高相似先例支撑追入
工具执行结果 · 成功 3 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 12 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`eia weekly petroleum status report 2026-10-15 crude oil stocks | eia 周度石油库存报告 2026年10月15日 原油库存`；结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时；旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整)，返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式没有召回候选，不能据此证明消息首发或不是重复；按当前事件继续正常研判。"} - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,247 ms
豆包搜索结果（原始查询:EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report October 15 2026 crude oil inventories change barrels；API SearchType:web） - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,196 ms
豆包搜索结果（原始查询:EIA 原油库存 2026年10月15日 当周 变化 汽油 馏分油；API SearchType:web）
原文全文
展开原文 · 3,536 字
| Highlights |
| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights | | | |
| Tables | | |
| 1 | U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet | | CSV | PDF |
| 2 | U.S. Inputs and Production by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 3 | Refiner and Blender Net Production | | CSV | PDF |
| 4 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District, and Stocks of Petroleum Products, U.S. Totals | | CSV | PDF |
| 5 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 5A | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District with Total Gasoline by Sub-PADD | | CSV | |
| 6 | Stocks of Distillate, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, Residual Fuel Oil, and Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 7 | Imports of Crude Oil and Total Products by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 8 | Preliminary Crude Imports by Country of Origin | | CSV | PDF |
| 9 | U.S. and PAD District Weekly Estimates | | CSV | PDF |
| 10 | U.S. World Crude Oil Prices - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |
| 11 | Spot Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and Heating Oil | | CSV | PDF |
| 12 | Spot Prices of Ultra-Low Sulfur Diesel Fuel, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, and Propane | | CSV | PDF |
| 13 | NYMEX Futures Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and No. 2 Heating Oil - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |
| 14 | U.S. Retail Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | CSV | PDF |
| Figures | | |
| 1 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 2 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 3 | Stocks of Distillate Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 4 | Stocks of Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 5 | Stocks of Residual Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 6 | Stocks of Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 7 | Daily Crude Oil and Petroleum Product Spot Prices | | | PDF |
| 8 | Daily Trans-Atlantic Spot Product Price Differentials: New York Harbor less Rotterdam (ARA) - Discontinued | | | PDF |
| 9 | Daily Futures Price Differentials: First Delivery Month Less Second Delivery Month | | | PDF |
| 10 | U.S. Average Retail Regular Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | | PDF |
| Appendices |
| A | Petroleum Supply Summary | | | PDF |
| B | Explanatory Notes | | | PDF |
| C | Northeast Reserves | | | PDF |
| D | Statistical Methodology of Estimating Petroleum Exports Using Data from U.S. Customs and Border Protection | | | PDF |
| E | Errata as of December 22, 2023 | | XLS | PDF |
| Sources and Glossary |
| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Sources | | | PDF |
| | EIA Glossary | | | |
| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights | | | |
| Tables | | |
| 1 | U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet | | CSV | PDF |
| 2 | U.S. Inputs and Production by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 3 | Refiner and Blender Net Production | | CSV | PDF |
| 4 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District, and Stocks of Petroleum Products, U.S. Totals | | CSV | PDF |
| 5 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 5A | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District with Total Gasoline by Sub-PADD | | CSV | |
| 6 | Stocks of Distillate, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, Residual Fuel Oil, and Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 7 | Imports of Crude Oil and Total Products by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |
| 8 | Preliminary Crude Imports by Country of Origin | | CSV | PDF |
| 9 | U.S. and PAD District Weekly Estimates | | CSV | PDF |
| 10 | U.S. World Crude Oil Prices - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |
| 11 | Spot Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and Heating Oil | | CSV | PDF |
| 12 | Spot Prices of Ultra-Low Sulfur Diesel Fuel, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, and Propane | | CSV | PDF |
| 13 | NYMEX Futures Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and No. 2 Heating Oil - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |
| 14 | U.S. Retail Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | CSV | PDF |
| Figures | | |
| 1 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 2 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 3 | Stocks of Distillate Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 4 | Stocks of Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 5 | Stocks of Residual Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 6 | Stocks of Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | | PDF |
| 7 | Daily Crude Oil and Petroleum Product Spot Prices | | | PDF |
| 8 | Daily Trans-Atlantic Spot Product Price Differentials: New York Harbor less Rotterdam (ARA) - Discontinued | | | PDF |
| 9 | Daily Futures Price Differentials: First Delivery Month Less Second Delivery Month | | | PDF |
| 10 | U.S. Average Retail Regular Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | | PDF |
| Appendices |
| A | Petroleum Supply Summary | | | PDF |
| B | Explanatory Notes | | | PDF |
| C | Northeast Reserves | | | PDF |
| D | Statistical Methodology of Estimating Petroleum Exports Using Data from U.S. Customs and Border Protection | | | PDF |
| E | Errata as of December 22, 2023 | | XLS | PDF |
| Sources and Glossary |
| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Sources | | | PDF |
| | EIA Glossary | | | |
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