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ReutersCodex · 实盘不做把握 7/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 18:26:36时区推断·⟳ 抓取 18:35:13·⚡ 决策 07-17 18:53:57 +18m44s·102.1 天前

中国国航及深航拟购买55架空客飞机

55架空客飞机目录价124亿美元,但交付期在2029-2032年,实际成交价还会大幅低于目录价。

📄 原文Reuters↗ 原文
Air China (601111.SS) and its unit Shenzhen Airlines will buy 55 Airbus (AIR.PA) aircraft for a ​total list price of $1…
不做 中国国航(601111.SH)
买飞机对国航是长期机队更新和资本开支,短线利润方向不明确,不做。
不做 空中客车(AIR.FR)
订单交付期长且目录价非实际成交价,相对空客全球订单簿难构成短线市值级惊喜,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-17 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 medium ↗

关键理由

  • 55架空客飞机目录价124亿美元,但交付期在2029-2032年,实际成交价还会大幅低于目录价。
  • 对中国国航是长期机队更新和资本开支,不是短期利润增厚;对空客为大型订单但相对其全球订单和市值也非单一重大 surprise。

主要风险

  • 航空公司融资和折旧压力增加;飞机交付周期长,需求和汇率变化会影响经济性。

原文全文

展开原文 · 1,481 字
Air China (601111.SS) and its unit Shenzhen Airlines will buy 55 Airbus (AIR.PA) aircraft for a ​total list price of $12.4 billion, as China's flag ‌carrier moves to expand capacity and modernise its fleet with more fuel-efficient aircraft.

Air China agreed to buy 15 A350-900 wide-body jets, while Shenzhen ​Airlines will separately purchase 40 narrow-body A320neo-family aircraft, ​according to a filing by Air China with the ⁠Shanghai stock exchange.

The A350-900 jets, with a list value ​of about $6.09 billion based on Airbus's January 2025 list prices, ​are scheduled for delivery between 2030 and 2032. The 40 A320neo family aircraft, valued at about $6.35 billion based on January 2024 list prices, ​are slated for delivery between 2029 and 2032.

Air China ​said in the filing that the actual transaction prices will be lower ‌than ⁠the listed values, with Airbus offering significant discounts, a standard practice for sizeable aircraft orders. Both airlines will fund the purchases through a mix of their own funds, commercial bank ​loans and ​other financing arrangements.

The ⁠order comes as Chinese carriers continue to rebuild and expand their fleets following the pandemic. ​Air China said the new aircraft would ​help optimise ⁠its fleet structure and route network, improve operational efficiency and reduce costs.

The A320neo family competes with the medium-haul Boeing 737 ⁠MAX (BA.N) , ​while the A350-900 is widely used ​on long-haul international routes.

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