CNBC Top NewsCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 21:44:43时区推断·⟳ 抓取 21:45:42·⚡ 决策 07-09 21:47:11 +1m29s·109.9 天前
百事可乐二季度业绩喜忧参半,北美食品和饮料需求疲软但全年指引维持不变
百事可乐二季度收入略超预期但调整后EPS略低于预期,北美饮料销量下降4%、北美食品销量持平,说明美国消费压力确实拖累需求。
📄 原文CNBC Top News↗ 原文
PepsiCo earnings miss estimates as U.S. consumers tighten their budgets
PepsiCo on Thursday reported mixed quarterly results as the struggles of its North American food and beverage divisions…
不做 百事可乐(PEP.US)
EPS仅小幅不及、收入略超且全年指引维持,负面不够强;默认不开空,且没有查询可借券与强下修催化,不满足做空红线。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-09 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗
关键理由
- 百事可乐二季度收入略超预期但调整后EPS略低于预期,北美饮料销量下降4%、北美食品销量持平,说明美国消费压力确实拖累需求。
- 公司同时维持全年有机收入增长2%-4%、核心固定汇率EPS增长4%-6%的指引,事件更像大型消费股的弱需求确认,而不是足以触发强方向交易的新下修。
- 正文已显示PEP.US盘中下跌超过4%,市场已在第一时间消化北美疲软与EPS小幅不及预期,当前缺少额外未反映的交易边际。
主要风险
- 若后续电话会进一步下修北美恢复节奏或毛利预期,PEP.US仍可能继续承压,但本条信号本身尚未构成强做空催化。
- 若油价和便利店渠道压力缓解,维持全年指引可能限制下行空间。
原文全文
展开原文 · 3,077 字
PepsiCo on Thursday reported mixed quarterly results as the struggles of its North American food and beverage divisions offset strong international demand.
"Results were tempered in the quarter as U.S. food and beverage category performance moderated with consumer budgets tightening due to rising inflationary pressures," CEO Ramon Laguarta said in prepared remarks shared on the company's website on Thursday.
During Pepsi's second quarter, global oil prices swung dramatically due to the U.S. war with Iran. In the U.S., the national average gas price hit a four-year high of $4.56 per gallon in late May, leading many shoppers to watch their spending.
Shares of Pepsi were down more than 4% in morning trading.
Here's what the company reported for the quarter ended June 13 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $2.20 adjusted vs. $2.21 expected
- Revenue: $24.18 billion vs. $23.95 billion expected
Pepsi reported second-quarter net income attributable to the company of $2.98 billion, or $2.18 per share, up from $1.26 billion, or 92 cents per share, a year earlier.
Excluding restructuring and impairment charges and other items, the company earned $2.20 per share.
Net sales rose 6.4% to $24.18 billion. Organic revenue, which excludes acquisitions, divestitures and foreign currency, increased 2.4% in the quarter.
Globally, volume for Pepsi's food increased 3%, while volume for its beverages rose 2%. The metric excludes pricing and foreign exchange fluctuations to reflect demand more accurately.
But Pepsi's volume growth came from its international markets. Demand was much weaker domestically. Its North American food business reported flat volume for the quarter, and its North American beverage division saw volume drop 4%.
"I think the consumer is worse than what we had anticipated, and it's driven mainly by gas prices," Laguarta said on the company's earnings conference call.
Demand was particularly weak at convenience stores.
"We need to see some improvement in the in the convenience and gas channel, and hopefully we'll get some tailwinds from gas prices to do that," CFO Steve Schmitt said.
Over the last two years, both North American segments have seen weaker demand as a result of higher prices. In February, Pepsi cut prices on Lay's, Tostitos, Doritos and Cheetos by as much as 15% to try to win back shoppers. The company has also been "restaging" some of its iconic brands, like Gatorade and Lay's, with fresh branding to boost their sales.
Pepsi expects that its North American volumes will recover, but that will take time, particularly after this quarter's setback.
"Our North America business was softer than we anticipated in the second quarter, and we now expect a more gradual improvement in performance trends for the balance of this year," Schmitt said in his prepared remarks.
For the full year, Pepsi reiterated its prior forecast that organic revenue will rise between 2% and 4% and core constant currency earnings per share will increase in a range of 4% to 6%.
"Results were tempered in the quarter as U.S. food and beverage category performance moderated with consumer budgets tightening due to rising inflationary pressures," CEO Ramon Laguarta said in prepared remarks shared on the company's website on Thursday.
During Pepsi's second quarter, global oil prices swung dramatically due to the U.S. war with Iran. In the U.S., the national average gas price hit a four-year high of $4.56 per gallon in late May, leading many shoppers to watch their spending.
Shares of Pepsi were down more than 4% in morning trading.
Here's what the company reported for the quarter ended June 13 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $2.20 adjusted vs. $2.21 expected
- Revenue: $24.18 billion vs. $23.95 billion expected
Pepsi reported second-quarter net income attributable to the company of $2.98 billion, or $2.18 per share, up from $1.26 billion, or 92 cents per share, a year earlier.
Excluding restructuring and impairment charges and other items, the company earned $2.20 per share.
Net sales rose 6.4% to $24.18 billion. Organic revenue, which excludes acquisitions, divestitures and foreign currency, increased 2.4% in the quarter.
Globally, volume for Pepsi's food increased 3%, while volume for its beverages rose 2%. The metric excludes pricing and foreign exchange fluctuations to reflect demand more accurately.
But Pepsi's volume growth came from its international markets. Demand was much weaker domestically. Its North American food business reported flat volume for the quarter, and its North American beverage division saw volume drop 4%.
"I think the consumer is worse than what we had anticipated, and it's driven mainly by gas prices," Laguarta said on the company's earnings conference call.
Demand was particularly weak at convenience stores.
"We need to see some improvement in the in the convenience and gas channel, and hopefully we'll get some tailwinds from gas prices to do that," CFO Steve Schmitt said.
Over the last two years, both North American segments have seen weaker demand as a result of higher prices. In February, Pepsi cut prices on Lay's, Tostitos, Doritos and Cheetos by as much as 15% to try to win back shoppers. The company has also been "restaging" some of its iconic brands, like Gatorade and Lay's, with fresh branding to boost their sales.
Pepsi expects that its North American volumes will recover, but that will take time, particularly after this quarter's setback.
"Our North America business was softer than we anticipated in the second quarter, and we now expect a more gradual improvement in performance trends for the balance of this year," Schmitt said in his prepared remarks.
For the full year, Pepsi reiterated its prior forecast that organic revenue will rise between 2% and 4% and core constant currency earnings per share will increase in a range of 4% to 6%.
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