CNBC Top NewsCodex · 实盘不做把握 7/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 22:53:36时区推断·⟳ 抓取 22:56:26·⚡ 决策 07-18 23:01:33 +5m07s·100.8 天前
巴菲特称伯克希尔约310亿美元Alphabet持仓由其本人发起
事件核心是投资归因披露而非Alphabet新增订单、业绩指引或AI商业化增量;对Alphabet超大市值而言不足以构成市值级基本面催化。
📄 原文CNBC Top News↗ 原文
Two unexpected revelations in Warren Buffett's CNBC interview
(This is the Warren Buffett Watch newsletter, news and analysis on all things Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. Yo…
不做 Alphabet(GOOGL.US)
不做:超大市值主标的仅获得巴菲特持仓归因与情绪背书,未披露新增订单、业绩上修或相对市值可量化增量;且伯克希尔投资与持仓事实已在6月文件和7月15日前后采访中广泛传播,当前没有可执行edge。
不做 伯克希尔哈撒韦(BRK.B.US)
不做:新闻仅解释既有Alphabet持仓是谁发起,不改变伯克希尔短期资产净值或经营基本面,且相关事实已传播。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- Alphabet融资文件已披露伯克希尔将以私募方式投资100亿美元,且该投资延续其自2025年三季度以来建立的Alphabet仓位。
- CNBC采访摘录已公开巴菲特称Alphabet投资由其本人发起,并提到伯克希尔持有超过310亿美元Alphabet股份。
- 主流财经媒体已转载解读巴菲特发起伯克希尔Alphabet投资的消息,说明传播已不低。市场反应:报道提到Alphabet近期约涨4%、年内约涨17%,但这不是本条newsletter后的独立反应。
- 本条为周末newsletter汇总采访要点,新增交易信息有限。
关键理由
- 事件核心是投资归因披露而非Alphabet新增订单、业绩指引或AI商业化增量;对Alphabet超大市值而言不足以构成市值级基本面催化。
- 伯克希尔对Alphabet的100亿美元私募投资和大额持仓已在6月Alphabet融资文件及7月15日前后CNBC采访传播中披露,本条周末newsletter更像复述与解读。
主要风险
- 巴菲特背书可能带来短线情绪溢价,但缺少新增资金流、增持节奏或基本面上修,追多容易变成已传播叙事。
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-06-01 · 影响 weakens
伯克希尔参与Alphabet融资及大额持仓不是7月18日新基本面信息,削弱追多edge。
检索:Berkshire Alphabet investment already disclosed June 2026 SEC Buffett initiated CNBC July 2026 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-18 · 影响 weakens
相关报道同时强调市场对Alphabet及大型科技公司AI资本开支回报的担忧,巴菲特背书并未消除资本开支压力。
检索:Alphabet AI capex investor concern Buffett interview July 2026 原文 ↗
原文全文
展开原文 · 8,000 字
(This is the Warren Buffett Watch newsletter, news and analysis on all things Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. You can sign up here to receive it every Friday evening in your inbox.)
Two unexpected revelations in Buffett's CNBC interview
In a nearly one-hour interview with CNBC's Becky Quick on the day he publicly revealed he is cutting off the Gates Foundation from future donations, Warren Buffett downplayed the role Bill Gates' association with Jeffrey Epstein played in that decision.
He also revealed he initiated Berkshire Hathaway's now $30 billion position in Google-parent Alphabet, which many had thought was Greg Abel's first major investment decision as CEO.
Buffett: Gates-Epstein ties 'distasteful' but everyone makes mistakes
While Warren Buffett found Bill Gates' ties to notorious sex-trafficker Jeffrey Epstein "distasteful," he says his decision to end future contributions to the Microsoft co-founder's foundation was driven by his three children demonstrating they are now able to responsibly give away "vast sums of money."
Over the same 20 years he gave the Gates Foundation nearly $48 billion in Berkshire shares, as valued at the time of the donations, he also donated almost $18 billion to Susie Buffett's Sherwood Foundation, the Howard G. Buffett Foundation, Peter Buffett's NoVo Foundation, and the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, named for his late first wife.
He told Becky, "I'm impressed by the fact that my kids really want to give the money away" efficiently, without constructing huge buildings or holding conferences "at esoteric places and all kinds of things."
Buffett said he didn't have that same confidence in his children in 2006 when he started his donations to the Gates Foundation.
In a March interview with CNBC, Becky asked if he would continue his "lifetime" commitment to make annual donation to the Gates Foundation in light of revelations in the Jeffrey Epstein files about his connections to Gates.
At that time, he replied, "I'll wait and see what unfolds ... I don't have to make that decision today. And I haven't made it today."
"I've learned things I didn't know about something for all these years."
Now Buffett says he's read a "great deal" about the matter, including Gates' congressional testimony last month, and presumably, the February Wall Street Journal report that in a meeting with foundation staff members, Gates "acknowledged that he had two affairs with Russian women that Epstein later discovered, but that they didn't involve Epstein's victims."
Buffett's assessment: "While it's distasteful, while he made mistakes, I made mistakes in hiring all kinds of people or choosing friends and then finding out later that they — that one way or another, they weren't what I thought they were. And so, I found nothing in there that that was beyond what I could see — I could picture myself doing."
In March, Buffett said he had not talked with Gates "at all since the whole thing" with the Epstein files "was unveiled."
That's no longer the case. Buffett told Becky that Gates came to Omaha within the last several weeks "and we spent three hours talking together" and "he intends to call me" to maintain contact.
Buffett said that "at some point" he told Gates he is ending his annual donations before announcing the move this week and Gates is "OK" with the decision. "It's been a wonderful friendship."
In a statement emailed to CNBC by a representative, Bill Gates said, "Warren is one of the greatest philanthropists of all time, and a dear friend. His wisdom, generosity, and deep sense of purpose have defined both his life and his philanthropy."
Gates credits Buffett's "unprecedented support" with helping to save millions of lives. "My gratitude to Warren is immeasurable, and I cherish the time we spend together. I hope we have much more of it ahead."
Why Buffett is picking up the pace of his stock donations
At the same time, Buffett is shifting where his philanthropic donations will be directed, he is also speeding up the pace of those gifts.
In his previous philanthropic plans, for both the Gates Foundation and the four family foundations, the number of shares donated each year decreased, although the value of the gifts usually was higher than the year before as the price of Berkshire's stock increased.
Starting now, he is going to give away more shares each year so he can "dispose of all of my Berkshire shares within about eight years," in part because his children, who will be deciding what to do with the money, are "unfortunately growing older."
Buffett does acknowledge his children have a tough job ahead of them:
He also said having Greg Abel at the helm of Berkshire makes him feel comfortable about giving up his, and the family's, control of the company sooner rather than later and explained why the foundation named after his first wife will be getting more shares than the foundations run by his three children:
Berkshire Hathaway shares initially fell on Tuesday's news that Buffett will be accelerating his sales but then recovered to end the week slightly lower.
Buffett 'initiated' big Alphabet investment, with Abel's approval
The biggest surprise in Tuesday's interview was Buffett's revelation he is responsible for Berkshire's big investment in Alphabet, Google's parent.
After purchasing roughly $4.3 billion of shares in last year's third quarter and adding $11.5 billion in this year's first quarter, Berkshire invested another $10 billion in Alphabet by purchasing shares directly from the company as part of its larger plan to fund its AI ambitions.
Given Buffett's long-standing practice of almost always avoiding tech stocks, many observers, including me, thought making Alphabet one of Berkshire biggest stock holdings was the result of new CEO Greg Abel flexing his investing muscles.
Wrong, said Buffett: "I initiated it."
He did go on to say, "I am not doing anything that [Abel] doesn't approve of. He's not doing anything I don't approve of. We talk all the time... but he is the decider."
Even though Alphabet is "putting out huge amounts of money" on AI infrastructure and he doesn't "like [the stock] as well as at least four or five other businesses that we own," Buffett said, "I think they're more likely to be a winner, based on their record, than — than probably 90 percent or — or 95 percent of what gets merchandised through Wall Street, because Wall Street is just interested in whether they can sell something."
Buffett again acknowledged in Tuesday's interview he made a "mistake" by not adding Alphabet to Berkshire's portfolio earlier.
In a 2017 CNBC interview, Buffett admitted he should have known about Google's profit potential because Berkshire's GEICO had been buying a lot of advertising from the company.
Buffett remains bullish on Apple
Buffett is disappointed Tim Cook will be stepping down as the CEO of Apple, Berkshire's largest equity holding at $76 billion, but he's still happy with the stock.
Warsh will 'do the best he can' as new Fed chairman
Buffett thinks Kevin Warsh is a "good choice" to be the new Federal Reserve chairman, although he "can't be perfect at it, just like I know I couldn't be perfect at taking people's money and earning super returns on it."
Still, "I think he will do the best he can at achieving the job he was assigned to do, which is 2% inflation and maintaining maximum employment."
Buffett again sounds alarm on 'gambling' in financial markets
Buffett is still worried there is too much "gambling" in financial markets.
"It's tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling," he said.
"Since humans love to gamble so much, there's more money in — in actually cultivating gamblers than there are cultivating investors."
'I broke a leg'
As the interview was ending, Becky asked Buffett how he was feeling that day.
"I broke a leg ... a few weeks ago," he replied, without elaborating on exactly what happened.
It is his first broken leg "in my life until now" so "I've been very lucky on th
Two unexpected revelations in Buffett's CNBC interview
In a nearly one-hour interview with CNBC's Becky Quick on the day he publicly revealed he is cutting off the Gates Foundation from future donations, Warren Buffett downplayed the role Bill Gates' association with Jeffrey Epstein played in that decision.
He also revealed he initiated Berkshire Hathaway's now $30 billion position in Google-parent Alphabet, which many had thought was Greg Abel's first major investment decision as CEO.
Buffett: Gates-Epstein ties 'distasteful' but everyone makes mistakes
While Warren Buffett found Bill Gates' ties to notorious sex-trafficker Jeffrey Epstein "distasteful," he says his decision to end future contributions to the Microsoft co-founder's foundation was driven by his three children demonstrating they are now able to responsibly give away "vast sums of money."
Over the same 20 years he gave the Gates Foundation nearly $48 billion in Berkshire shares, as valued at the time of the donations, he also donated almost $18 billion to Susie Buffett's Sherwood Foundation, the Howard G. Buffett Foundation, Peter Buffett's NoVo Foundation, and the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, named for his late first wife.
He told Becky, "I'm impressed by the fact that my kids really want to give the money away" efficiently, without constructing huge buildings or holding conferences "at esoteric places and all kinds of things."
Buffett said he didn't have that same confidence in his children in 2006 when he started his donations to the Gates Foundation.
In a March interview with CNBC, Becky asked if he would continue his "lifetime" commitment to make annual donation to the Gates Foundation in light of revelations in the Jeffrey Epstein files about his connections to Gates.
At that time, he replied, "I'll wait and see what unfolds ... I don't have to make that decision today. And I haven't made it today."
"I've learned things I didn't know about something for all these years."
Now Buffett says he's read a "great deal" about the matter, including Gates' congressional testimony last month, and presumably, the February Wall Street Journal report that in a meeting with foundation staff members, Gates "acknowledged that he had two affairs with Russian women that Epstein later discovered, but that they didn't involve Epstein's victims."
Buffett's assessment: "While it's distasteful, while he made mistakes, I made mistakes in hiring all kinds of people or choosing friends and then finding out later that they — that one way or another, they weren't what I thought they were. And so, I found nothing in there that that was beyond what I could see — I could picture myself doing."
In March, Buffett said he had not talked with Gates "at all since the whole thing" with the Epstein files "was unveiled."
That's no longer the case. Buffett told Becky that Gates came to Omaha within the last several weeks "and we spent three hours talking together" and "he intends to call me" to maintain contact.
Buffett said that "at some point" he told Gates he is ending his annual donations before announcing the move this week and Gates is "OK" with the decision. "It's been a wonderful friendship."
In a statement emailed to CNBC by a representative, Bill Gates said, "Warren is one of the greatest philanthropists of all time, and a dear friend. His wisdom, generosity, and deep sense of purpose have defined both his life and his philanthropy."
Gates credits Buffett's "unprecedented support" with helping to save millions of lives. "My gratitude to Warren is immeasurable, and I cherish the time we spend together. I hope we have much more of it ahead."
Why Buffett is picking up the pace of his stock donations
At the same time, Buffett is shifting where his philanthropic donations will be directed, he is also speeding up the pace of those gifts.
In his previous philanthropic plans, for both the Gates Foundation and the four family foundations, the number of shares donated each year decreased, although the value of the gifts usually was higher than the year before as the price of Berkshire's stock increased.
Starting now, he is going to give away more shares each year so he can "dispose of all of my Berkshire shares within about eight years," in part because his children, who will be deciding what to do with the money, are "unfortunately growing older."
Buffett does acknowledge his children have a tough job ahead of them:
He also said having Greg Abel at the helm of Berkshire makes him feel comfortable about giving up his, and the family's, control of the company sooner rather than later and explained why the foundation named after his first wife will be getting more shares than the foundations run by his three children:
Berkshire Hathaway shares initially fell on Tuesday's news that Buffett will be accelerating his sales but then recovered to end the week slightly lower.
Buffett 'initiated' big Alphabet investment, with Abel's approval
The biggest surprise in Tuesday's interview was Buffett's revelation he is responsible for Berkshire's big investment in Alphabet, Google's parent.
After purchasing roughly $4.3 billion of shares in last year's third quarter and adding $11.5 billion in this year's first quarter, Berkshire invested another $10 billion in Alphabet by purchasing shares directly from the company as part of its larger plan to fund its AI ambitions.
Given Buffett's long-standing practice of almost always avoiding tech stocks, many observers, including me, thought making Alphabet one of Berkshire biggest stock holdings was the result of new CEO Greg Abel flexing his investing muscles.
Wrong, said Buffett: "I initiated it."
He did go on to say, "I am not doing anything that [Abel] doesn't approve of. He's not doing anything I don't approve of. We talk all the time... but he is the decider."
Even though Alphabet is "putting out huge amounts of money" on AI infrastructure and he doesn't "like [the stock] as well as at least four or five other businesses that we own," Buffett said, "I think they're more likely to be a winner, based on their record, than — than probably 90 percent or — or 95 percent of what gets merchandised through Wall Street, because Wall Street is just interested in whether they can sell something."
Buffett again acknowledged in Tuesday's interview he made a "mistake" by not adding Alphabet to Berkshire's portfolio earlier.
In a 2017 CNBC interview, Buffett admitted he should have known about Google's profit potential because Berkshire's GEICO had been buying a lot of advertising from the company.
Buffett remains bullish on Apple
Buffett is disappointed Tim Cook will be stepping down as the CEO of Apple, Berkshire's largest equity holding at $76 billion, but he's still happy with the stock.
Warsh will 'do the best he can' as new Fed chairman
Buffett thinks Kevin Warsh is a "good choice" to be the new Federal Reserve chairman, although he "can't be perfect at it, just like I know I couldn't be perfect at taking people's money and earning super returns on it."
Still, "I think he will do the best he can at achieving the job he was assigned to do, which is 2% inflation and maintaining maximum employment."
Buffett again sounds alarm on 'gambling' in financial markets
Buffett is still worried there is too much "gambling" in financial markets.
"It's tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling," he said.
"Since humans love to gamble so much, there's more money in — in actually cultivating gamblers than there are cultivating investors."
'I broke a leg'
As the interview was ending, Becky asked Buffett how he was feeling that day.
"I broke a leg ... a few weeks ago," he replied, without elaborating on exactly what happened.
It is his first broken leg "in my life until now" so "I've been very lucky on th
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