AP TechnologyCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·源无时间·以抓取为准·⟳ 抓取 16:58:49·⚡ 决策 07-29 17:06:39 +7m50s·90.0 天前
美国FCC禁止进口新型外国制造人形机器人、四足机器人和联网电力逆变器,矛头指向中国供应链
FCC禁令把外国制造联网电力逆变器纳入限制范围,对中国逆变器厂商未来新型号美国准入构成新增负面约束。
📄 原文AP Technology↗ 原文
US bans foreign-made humanoid robots, targeting China over national security
1 of 3 | A worker reacts near a line of humanoid robots displayed at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Friday, July…
不做 阳光电源(300274.SZ)
事件方向偏空但A股不能裸空;同时规则主要限制新品授权、存量和豁免削弱冲击,不做反手多。
不做 锦浪科技(300763.SZ)
逆变器美国新品准入受损方向清楚,但A股无法执行同向做空,且6月底已有草案传播,不做。
不做 固德威(688390.SH)
负面催化成立但同向交易不可执行;存量型号不直接受限且缺少美国收入占比硬数字,不做。
不做 德业股份(605117.SH)
逆变器出口链受政策压制但A股不可裸空,且公司当日仍上涨、无法判断本条后续剩余edge足以做空替代,不做。
不做 优必选(09880.HK)
机器人禁令偏空中国厂商,但AP核心出货数据点名Unitree和AGIBOT,优必选美国收入敞口未坐实,且未核到可借券做空。
不做 特斯拉(TSLA.US)
美国竞品受保护只是长期背景,人形机器人尚未形成相对特斯拉市值可量化的短线收入增量。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- 内部专家访谈显示6月30日路透已报道FCC拟以电网安全为由限制中国光伏储能逆变器进入美国市场,说明本主题不是完全首次出现。
- 内部券商点评称FCC于当地时间7月28日发布Public Notice,将外国生产联网电力逆变器列入Covered List,正式把草案风险落地。
- AP报道FCC禁止进口新型外国制造人形机器人、四足机器人和电力逆变器,并明确该措施目标包括中国供应链。市场反应:A股此时已收盘,阳光电源、锦浪科技、固德威、德业股份当日收盘涨跌主要不含AP报道后的连续交易反应。
关键理由
- FCC禁令把外国制造联网电力逆变器纳入限制范围,对中国逆变器厂商未来新型号美国准入构成新增负面约束。
- 内部库显示本次规则主要限制新增FCC设备授权,已获授权存量型号和消费者已购设备不直接受限,且存在豁免通道,因此不是全面封杀。
- 机器人端中国核心出货主体Unitree、AGIBOT多为非上市或非纯可交易标的,优必选(09880.HK)虽相关但美国收入敞口和量级未坐实。
主要风险
- 若后续FCC或美国国土安全部把限制扩展到存量型号、软件更新或项目采购,逆变器出口链风险会显著上修。
- 该议题6月底已有路透草案和机构讨论,A股逆变器链近20日已大幅下跌,剩余交易窗口可能被旧闻和板块预期稀释。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-07-29 · 影响 weakens
命中东吴证券点评称禁令不影响老品,已获授权现有型号可继续销售且新产品存在豁免通道,削弱做空强度。
检索:阳光电源 美国 逆变器 收入 占比 FCC 禁令 2026 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-07-29 · 影响 weakens
命中行业点评称限制对象为外国生产联网逆变器新增授权,欧洲品牌也受限且美国本土品牌市占不足10%,说明竞争替代并不只打击中国厂商。
检索:锦浪科技 美国 业务 收入占比 逆变器 禁令 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-07-29 · 影响 weakens
未找到足以量化固德威美国收入占比的公司级硬数字,但命中行业解读认为存量影响有限、新品准入趋严。
检索:固德威 美国 业务 逆变器 禁令 出口占比 原文 ↗ - 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 none
美国开发者竞争压力下降只构成长期产业背景,未发现对特斯拉或其他美股机器人标的的短期订单、收入或指引增量。
检索:US ban Chinese humanoid robots beneficiaries Tesla Figure AI robotics stocks July 2026
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(3 种)
- search_processed_events · 结果未知
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 5,118 字
US bans foreign-made humanoid robots, targeting China over national security
1 of 3
|
A worker reacts near a line of humanoid robots displayed at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Friday, July 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
Read More
2 of 3
A variety of robots are displayed at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Friday, July 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
3 of 3
A humanoid robot waves Chinese national flags at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Saturday, July 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
By
CHAN HO-HIM
Leer en español
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HONG KONG (AP) — The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters, citing national security risks, in a move that targets China.
The measures are likely to
test relations
with Beijing ahead of a planned
U.S. visit
by Chinese leader Xi Jinping to meet with U.S. President Donald Trump in September. China dominates the global market for
humanoid robots
with an estimated market share of roughly 85%.
The FCC’s ban also includes new imports of quadruped robots – often referred to as four-legged robot dogs. The agency said imports of advanced robots pose cybersecurity and other national security risks. Offshore production of such equipment also leaves U.S. supply chains vulnerable to disruptions.
The ban on power inverters, which are used to convert direct current (DC) electricity into alternating current (AC) electricity and are used in renewable energy systems, data centers and household appliances, could have sweeping ramifications.
FCC chairperson Brendan Carr said Tuesday that the move was to “secure America’s critical supply chains.” He said the bans apply to “new versions” of such imports.
The FCC’s bans follow a slew of U.S. restrictions on imports of Chinese products, including
drones
, and on exports of U.S. advanced technology to China.
Related Stories
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The U.S. is also weighing controls on use of Chinese open-source artificial intelligence models at a time when
Chinese AI is rapidly gaining ground
.
“It’s a steady drumbeat of potential flashpoints heading into (the) Trump-Xi summit planned for September,” said Samm Sacks, a senior fellow at the New America think tank focused on Chinese technology policies.
China has been rapidly expanding use of robots, with policies supporting its technology sector. Morgan Stanley analysts forecast its market for humanoids could reach $15 billion by 2030.
“Chinese manufacturers have been scaling production and reducing costs faster than most overseas competitors,” said analyst Kangyuxiao Li at Morningstar.
“Restricting their access to the U.S. removes an important future market and protects U.S. developers from potential price competition,” he said. “However, it will not materially slow China’s overall humanoid development, given the size of its domestic manufacturing base and opportunities in other export markets.”
Sign up for Morning Wire:
Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day.
Email address
Sign up
By checking this box, you agree to AP's
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and acknowledge that AP may collect and use your data pursuant to our
Privacy Policy
Of the around 15,000 humanoid robots shipped globally in 2025, Unitree and AGIBOT, two of China’s largest advanced robotics companies, each shipped more than 5,000. Their U.S. counterparts, like Tesla and Figure AI, each shipped a few hundred or less, according to the technology research and advisory group Omdia.
China’s Foreign Ministry hit back at the U.S. move, accusing Washington of overstretching the concept of national security to suppress Chinese companies.
China will take “all measures necessary” to defend the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese businesses, it said.
“Protectionism does not make the U.S. more competitive, and it will only hurt the interests of U.S. companies and consumers,” Mao Ning, a ministry spokesperson, told reporters at a regular press conference Wednesday in Beijing.
The new bans could also potentially interfere with collaborations between U.S. and Chinese technology companies, said Lian Jye Su, a chief analyst at Omdia.
Nvidia, for example, in June
revealed
a humanoid robot reference design which uses the humanoid chassis of China’s Unitree.
The Pentagon recently included Unitree and
several other major Chinese technology companies
on its list of firms that it said have ties to or aid the Chinese military. Beijing has rejected that claim.
Chan writes about business and economy in China for The Associated Press, reporting on key sectors of the world’s second-largest economy from trade and technology to autos. He is based in Hong Kong.
mailto
1 of 3
|
A worker reacts near a line of humanoid robots displayed at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Friday, July 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
Read More
2 of 3
A variety of robots are displayed at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Friday, July 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
3 of 3
A humanoid robot waves Chinese national flags at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, Saturday, July 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
By
CHAN HO-HIM
Leer en español
Add AP News on Google
Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google.
Share
Copy
Link copied
X
Bluesky
HONG KONG (AP) — The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters, citing national security risks, in a move that targets China.
The measures are likely to
test relations
with Beijing ahead of a planned
U.S. visit
by Chinese leader Xi Jinping to meet with U.S. President Donald Trump in September. China dominates the global market for
humanoid robots
with an estimated market share of roughly 85%.
The FCC’s ban also includes new imports of quadruped robots – often referred to as four-legged robot dogs. The agency said imports of advanced robots pose cybersecurity and other national security risks. Offshore production of such equipment also leaves U.S. supply chains vulnerable to disruptions.
The ban on power inverters, which are used to convert direct current (DC) electricity into alternating current (AC) electricity and are used in renewable energy systems, data centers and household appliances, could have sweeping ramifications.
FCC chairperson Brendan Carr said Tuesday that the move was to “secure America’s critical supply chains.” He said the bans apply to “new versions” of such imports.
The FCC’s bans follow a slew of U.S. restrictions on imports of Chinese products, including
drones
, and on exports of U.S. advanced technology to China.
Related Stories
New York school pauses plan to deploy humanlike AI robot teacher after backlash
4 MIN READ
82
A child humanoid leads Japanese director Hirokazu Kore-eda’s latest film
3 MIN READ
Earnings at Musk’s car company fall as research spending cuts into profit from selling cars
The U.S. is also weighing controls on use of Chinese open-source artificial intelligence models at a time when
Chinese AI is rapidly gaining ground
.
“It’s a steady drumbeat of potential flashpoints heading into (the) Trump-Xi summit planned for September,” said Samm Sacks, a senior fellow at the New America think tank focused on Chinese technology policies.
China has been rapidly expanding use of robots, with policies supporting its technology sector. Morgan Stanley analysts forecast its market for humanoids could reach $15 billion by 2030.
“Chinese manufacturers have been scaling production and reducing costs faster than most overseas competitors,” said analyst Kangyuxiao Li at Morningstar.
“Restricting their access to the U.S. removes an important future market and protects U.S. developers from potential price competition,” he said. “However, it will not materially slow China’s overall humanoid development, given the size of its domestic manufacturing base and opportunities in other export markets.”
Sign up for Morning Wire:
Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day.
Email address
Sign up
By checking this box, you agree to AP's
Terms of Use
and acknowledge that AP may collect and use your data pursuant to our
Privacy Policy
Of the around 15,000 humanoid robots shipped globally in 2025, Unitree and AGIBOT, two of China’s largest advanced robotics companies, each shipped more than 5,000. Their U.S. counterparts, like Tesla and Figure AI, each shipped a few hundred or less, according to the technology research and advisory group Omdia.
China’s Foreign Ministry hit back at the U.S. move, accusing Washington of overstretching the concept of national security to suppress Chinese companies.
China will take “all measures necessary” to defend the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese businesses, it said.
“Protectionism does not make the U.S. more competitive, and it will only hurt the interests of U.S. companies and consumers,” Mao Ning, a ministry spokesperson, told reporters at a regular press conference Wednesday in Beijing.
The new bans could also potentially interfere with collaborations between U.S. and Chinese technology companies, said Lian Jye Su, a chief analyst at Omdia.
Nvidia, for example, in June
revealed
a humanoid robot reference design which uses the humanoid chassis of China’s Unitree.
The Pentagon recently included Unitree and
several other major Chinese technology companies
on its list of firms that it said have ties to or aid the Chinese military. Beijing has rejected that claim.
Chan writes about business and economy in China for The Associated Press, reporting on key sectors of the world’s second-largest economy from trade and technology to autos. He is based in Hong Kong.
mailto
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