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北京时间·🕒 发布 00:36:32时区推断·⟳ 抓取 00:38:11·⚡ 决策 07-28 00:38:54 +43s·91.7 天前

贝克休斯提示油气客户今年资本开支小幅下降且三季度IET收入指引低于预期

贝克休斯(BKR.US)二季度利润超预期且IET订单同比翻倍至71亿美元,说明基本面并非单边利空。

📄 原文Reuters↗ 原文
Baker Hughes (BKR.O) said on Monday it expects annual global spending by oil and gas producers to decline modestly this…
不做 贝克休斯(BKR.US)
财报后信息正负混杂,且Reuters到达时股价已盘中上涨超过6%,没有清晰同向edge;三季度IET指引低于预期也不足以在订单和盈利超预期背景下构成强空。
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研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-27 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 high ↗

关键理由

  • 贝克休斯(BKR.US)二季度利润超预期且IET订单同比翻倍至71亿美元,说明基本面并非单边利空。
  • 公司同时提示全球油气生产商年度支出小幅下降,并给出三季度IET收入31.7亿至34.7亿美元、低于LSEG预期37.9亿美元,事件方向正负混杂。
  • 原文已说明股价盘中上涨超过6%,财报和电话会信息已被当日交易即时重定价,当前缺少可执行的新增同向edge。

主要风险

  • 三季度IET收入指引低于预期和中东冲突带来的1%至2%收入扰动可能压制后续盈利修模。
  • 但订单强劲、LNG与电网升级需求支撑抵消了油气开支下降的负面,净影响不足以形成可执行空头风险。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 provided_reuters · 日期 2026-07-27 · 影响 weakens
    三季度IET收入指引低于预期且中东冲突造成1%至2%收入扰动,削弱追多。
    检索:Baker Hughes Q3 IET revenue guidance LSEG expectation Middle East disruptions 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 provided_reuters · 日期 2026-07-27 · 影响 weakens
    利润超预期、IET订单同比翻倍至71亿美元且股价上涨,抵消油气开支放缓的空头逻辑。
    检索:Baker Hughes quarterly profit beat IET orders record 7.1 billion shares up 6% 原文 ↗

原文全文

展开原文 · 2,100 字
Baker Hughes (BKR.O) said on Monday it expects annual global spending by oil and gas producers to decline modestly this ​year, with growth in Latin America, offshore Africa, and North America ‌land offset by lower spending in Europe and the Middle East.

The Middle East conflict has dominated energy markets this year with repeated flare-ups in tensions between the U.S. and Iran ​forcing producers to take a more cautious stance instead of increasing ​drilling activity.

"Customers remain focused on maximizing production from existing assets ⁠while preserving flexibility to respond to evolving market conditions," CEO Lorenzo Simonelli said ​on a conference call with analysts after the company reported earnings on Sunday.

Shares ​of the oilfield services provider were up more than 6%, after it beat quarterly profit estimates, with industrial and energy technology orders doubling year-over-year to a record $7.1 billion. But Baker warned that the IET segment is expected to ​face a 1%-2% revenue hit from the disruptions caused by the conflict.

The company forecast ​third-quarter revenue from the IET segment between $3.17 billion and $3.47 billion, below analysts' expectations of $3.79 billion, according ‌to ⁠data compiled by LSEG.

"While the overall impact from Middle East disruptions should remain modest, we expect some increase in logistics and inflationary pressures at our regional facilities during the third quarter," CFO Ahmed Moghal said.

However, Moghal added the ​impact of the Iran ​war is ⁠expected to be offset by strength in regions outside the Middle East.

In North America, it expects further seasonal recovery ​in the third quarter, with Brazil and Mexico driving growth ​in Latin ⁠America.

Baker Hughes is also relying on resilient growth areas such as LNG infrastructure and power grid upgrades to cushion volatility in oil prices for oilfield contractors.

The company ⁠said ​it would further expand its gas turbines and ​generator capacity, which is expected to come online by 2029, supporting nearly $5 billion in annual power systems revenue ​opportunity.

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