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北京时间·🕒 发布 20:27:49时区推断·⟳ 抓取 20:28:26·⚡ 决策 07-23 20:33:52 +5m26s·95.9 天前
意法半导体三季度收入指引略低于预期,股价盘中一度跌超14%
负面点在于三季度收入指引约37.0亿美元,低于市场约37.2亿至37.9亿美元预期,触发高预期AI芯片链去风险。
📄 原文Financial Times↗ 原文
STMicroelectronics hit by doubts over AI spending boom
STMicroelectronics’ shares fell as much as 16 per cent after its third-quarter sales forecast missed analysts’ expectat…
不做 意法半导体(STMPA.FR)
不做:三季度指引略低于预期已在盘中跌约14%至16%快速反映,且公司同步上调AI数据中心和四季度展望,空头edge不足。
不做 意法半导体ADR(STM.US)
不做:ADR只是同一事件的跨市场延迟反映,欧洲正股已先行重定价,且利空与AI收入上修相互抵消,不追盘前空头。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- 公司发布二季度业绩并给出三季度收入中值37.0亿美元、毛利率约37.0%的业务展望,同时上调AI数据中心收入目标。
- Reuters报道三季度收入指引略低于LSEG一致预期,STMicro早盘下跌约14%。市场反应:STMicro巴黎股价早盘跌约14%。
- FT将股价一度跌16%归因于三季度销售指引低于预期以及市场对AI支出热潮可持续性的疑虑。市场反应:STMicro盘中一度跌16%。
关键理由
- 负面点在于三季度收入指引约37.0亿美元,低于市场约37.2亿至37.9亿美元预期,触发高预期AI芯片链去风险。
- 正面点是公司仍上调数据中心收入目标,预计2026年超过10亿美元、2027年远高于20亿美元,且四季度收入预计超过40亿美元。
- 事件已在巴黎盘中迅速反映,股价已跌约14%至16%,指引差距本身不大,追空的新增edge不足。
主要风险
- 若AI芯片估值继续压缩,STMicro作为今年已大涨的欧洲半导体股仍可能继续承压。
- 但公司订单、AI数据中心和LEO卫星通信展望同步上修,利空不是单边基本面崩塌,空头容易被后续上修预期反抽。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-23 · 影响 weakens
公司同步上调AI数据中心收入目标,预计2026年超过10亿美元、2027年远高于20亿美元,并预计四季度收入超过40亿美元,削弱单边做空逻辑。
检索:STMicroelectronics Q2 2026 results data center revenue ambition 2027 Q4 revenue above 4 billion 原文 ↗
原文全文
展开原文 · 2,678 字
STMicroelectronics hit by doubts over AI spending boom
STMicroelectronics’ shares fell as much as 16 per cent after its third-quarter sales forecast missed analysts’ expectations, as investors became more cautious on chipmakers swept up in this year’s AI rally.
The Franco-Italian group, one of Europe’s largest chipmakers and a supplier to SpaceX, on Thursday said it expected third-quarter revenues of $3.7bn, up 16 per cent from a year ago but below consensus estimates of $3.76bn.
Shares in STMicro had doubled since the start of the year, as the company benefited from a boom in AI data centre construction and expanded beyond its traditional customers in consumer electronics, automotive and industrials.
Citigroup analysts said STMicro’s outlook showed “continued acceleration in AI/data centre growth, but expectations and shares have risen this year accordingly”. They added that “without estimate momentum today, shares may struggle in the near-term”.
The results come amid growing investor concern over the durability of the AI rally, which has triggered volatility across AI-related chip stocks in recent weeks.
The fall came after Google said on Wednesday it had burned through cash for the first time since it went public more than 20 years ago, reporting free cash flow of minus $5.9bn.
Google’s cash burn and its $15bn boost to capex added to investors’ anxiety about the scale of its bet on AI.
The AI boom has lifted the world’s chipmakers, whose products fill data centres and have helped make them some of the best-performing public companies over the past year.
STMicro on Thursday raised its forecasts for revenues for the second time this year, saying it expected revenues from data centres to exceed $1bn this year and to be well above $2bn in 2027, “driven by continued strong demand” from customers in the AI sector.
Hundreds of STMicro chips are used in the tens of thousands of Starlink terminals that SpaceX produces every day. Its other customers include consumer electronics groups such as Apple and carmakers in Europe, China and the US.
The company reported net revenues of $3.49bn in the three months to the end of June, slightly ahead of analyst estimates of $3.46bn and up 26 per cent on a year ago. Net income rose to $222mn, up from a loss of $97mn the previous year.
STMicro has sought to push further into data centres and in February signed a deal with Amazon Web Services to supply chips for “high-bandwidth connectivity” and power management.
Chief executive Jean-Marc Chery said the agreement “positions us ideally for further scale-up” and placed the company “at the centre of the AI revolution”.
Additional reporting by Tim Bradshaw
STMicroelectronics’ shares fell as much as 16 per cent after its third-quarter sales forecast missed analysts’ expectations, as investors became more cautious on chipmakers swept up in this year’s AI rally.
The Franco-Italian group, one of Europe’s largest chipmakers and a supplier to SpaceX, on Thursday said it expected third-quarter revenues of $3.7bn, up 16 per cent from a year ago but below consensus estimates of $3.76bn.
Shares in STMicro had doubled since the start of the year, as the company benefited from a boom in AI data centre construction and expanded beyond its traditional customers in consumer electronics, automotive and industrials.
Citigroup analysts said STMicro’s outlook showed “continued acceleration in AI/data centre growth, but expectations and shares have risen this year accordingly”. They added that “without estimate momentum today, shares may struggle in the near-term”.
The results come amid growing investor concern over the durability of the AI rally, which has triggered volatility across AI-related chip stocks in recent weeks.
The fall came after Google said on Wednesday it had burned through cash for the first time since it went public more than 20 years ago, reporting free cash flow of minus $5.9bn.
Google’s cash burn and its $15bn boost to capex added to investors’ anxiety about the scale of its bet on AI.
The AI boom has lifted the world’s chipmakers, whose products fill data centres and have helped make them some of the best-performing public companies over the past year.
STMicro on Thursday raised its forecasts for revenues for the second time this year, saying it expected revenues from data centres to exceed $1bn this year and to be well above $2bn in 2027, “driven by continued strong demand” from customers in the AI sector.
Hundreds of STMicro chips are used in the tens of thousands of Starlink terminals that SpaceX produces every day. Its other customers include consumer electronics groups such as Apple and carmakers in Europe, China and the US.
The company reported net revenues of $3.49bn in the three months to the end of June, slightly ahead of analyst estimates of $3.46bn and up 26 per cent on a year ago. Net income rose to $222mn, up from a loss of $97mn the previous year.
STMicro has sought to push further into data centres and in February signed a deal with Amazon Web Services to supply chips for “high-bandwidth connectivity” and power management.
Chief executive Jean-Marc Chery said the agreement “positions us ideally for further scale-up” and placed the company “at the centre of the AI revolution”.
Additional reporting by Tim Bradshaw
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