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The Elec EnglishCodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 07-08 07:33:48时区推断·⟳ 抓取 07-08 07:36:01·⚡ 决策 07-09 00:39:18 +17h03m·110.6 天前

LG新能源二季度预告恢复盈利但经营利润低于市场预期

事件核心不是超预期利好:二季度营收7.5602万亿韩元、经营利润1133亿韩元,虽环比扭亏,但经营利润低于约1800亿至2500亿韩元的市场预期。

📄 原文The Elec English↗ 原文
이전 기사보기 다음 기사보기 LG Energy Solution Returns to Profit in Q2 with 113.3 Billion Won Operating Income Character Size Setti…
不做 LG新能源(373220.KS)
不做:业绩预告方向混合偏负面,经营利润低于预期且剔除AMPC仍亏损;利空已广泛传播并触发股价下跌,追空不满足可借券与新边际要求,做多也缺少正向surprise。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-07 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-07-07首发LG Energy Solution/公司预告非一手原文 ↗
    韩联社报道公司7月7日预告二季度经营利润1133亿韩元,同比降77%,且低于Yonhap Infomax平均预期37%。
  2. 2026-07-07 10:11 KST市场反应Maeil Business Newspaper非一手原文 ↗
    韩国媒体在7月7日上午报道LG新能源因二季度经营利润低于预期而早盘下跌,9:59 KST跌约6.21%。
    市场反应:报道时股价约332500韩元,盘中一度跌至325500韩元。
  3. 2026-07-08 08:33 KST行业媒体转载The Elec English非一手原文 ↗
    The Elec强调公司三季度亏损后扭亏、ESS和圆柱电池支撑,但同时写明经营利润略低于约1800亿韩元市场预期。
  4. 2026-07-08财经媒体扩散TradingView/GuruFocus非一手原文 ↗
    财经聚合报道将事件定性为盈利低于预期,并称早盘最多跌约8.2%、随后收窄至约4%。
    市场反应:行情工具显示截至2026-07-08 16:37 UTC,373220.KS最新315500韩元,较前收332000韩元跌4.97%。

关键理由

  • 事件核心不是超预期利好:二季度营收7.5602万亿韩元、经营利润1133亿韩元,虽环比扭亏,但经营利润低于约1800亿至2500亿韩元的市场预期。
  • 剔除美国IRA AMPC税收抵免后公司仍亏损约1277亿韩元,说明主业盈利质量仍弱,难以支撑事件驱动做多。
  • 消息在韩国7月7日盘前已发布并触发当日股价下跌,当前已过一个完整韩股交易日,短线可交易边际不足。

主要风险

  • ESS与北美储能订单叙事可能改善下半年预期,若后续正式业绩会给出订单或产能利用率上修,可能重新形成利好。
  • 韩股做空可得性未确认,且当前利空已部分反映,不满足默认开空红线。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-07 · 影响 invalidates
    多家来源显示经营利润低于共识,且剔除AMPC仍亏损,削弱做多结论。
    检索:LG Energy Solution Q2 2026 preliminary results 113.3 billion won operating profit expectations 180 billion won 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-07 · 影响 weakens
    利空已在韩国市场交易时段充分扩散并引发当日大跌,且ESS下半年改善叙事仍存在,削弱继续追空的边际。
    检索:LG Energy Solution shares July 8 2026 113.3 billion operating profit below expectations 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 stock_quote · 日期 2026-07-08 · 影响 weakens
    行情显示373220.KS最新315500韩元、当日跌4.97%、20日跌16.27%,但工具未给出可借券信息,不满足开空红线。
    检索:LG Energy Solution
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
    内部KB检索实际调用超时,未能补充付费研报层面的反向证据。
    检索:LG Energy Solution Q2 2026 preliminary results operating profit 113.3 billion won expectations 180 billion
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(2 种)
  • stock_quote · 结果未知
  • kb_search · 结果未知

原文全文

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LG Energy Solution Returns to Profit in Q2 with 113.3 Billion Won Operating Income
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Defense·Energy
Returns to the black after three quarters, driven by strong EV and ESS sales.
Stan Lee
Published 2026.07.08 08:33
Reply 0
이 기사를 공유합니다
LG Energy Solution returned to profitability in the second quarter, posting an operating profit of 113.3 billion won after three consecutive quarters of losses. Despite sluggish electric vehicle (EV) demand, growing energy storage system (ESS) demand and strong cylindrical battery sales supported earnings.
The company announced on July 7 preliminary second-quarter results of 7.5602 trillion won in revenue and 113.3 billion won in operating profit. Compared with the same period last year, revenue increased 24.8%, while operating profit declined 77%. Compared with the previous quarter, revenue rose 15.3%, and the company returned to profitability. Operating profit came in slightly below market expectations of around 180 billion won.
Advanced Manufacturing Production Credit (AMPC) benefits under the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) totaled 241 billion won during the quarter. Excluding the tax credit, revenue would have been 7.3193 trillion won, while the company would have posted an operating loss of 127.7 billion won.
The outlook remains positive. ESS sales, particularly in North America, continue to strengthen, while EV sales by Tesla, LG Energy Solution's largest customer, remain solid. According to market research firm SNE Research, Tesla sold a cumulative 601,000 EVs through May this year, up 9.9% from a year earlier. Its global market share also increased to 7.7% from 7.3% over the same period.
A key objective for this year is to restore annual revenue above 30 trillion won. On a basis excluding AMPC benefits, quarterly revenue exceeded 7 trillion won for the first time in 10 quarters since the fourth quarter of 2023, signaling improving business fundamentals. If the company achieves annual revenue of more than 30 trillion won, it would mark the first time in three years since 2023.
shulee@thelec.kr
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