AP TechnologyCodex · 实盘不做把握 7/10
北京时间·源无时间·以抓取为准·⟳ 抓取 13:00:30·⚡ 决策 07-27 13:01:56 +1m26s·92.2 天前
长鑫科技科创板首日上市大涨逾470%
长鑫科技(688825.SH)首日上市体现国内DRAM与AI存储自主化热度,但核心事实在上市前已由发行公告、媒体排期和申购信息充分披露。
📄 原文AP Technology↗ 原文
China memory chipmaker CXMT’s shares soar in a blockbuster share listing in Shanghai
Workers at the booth for Chinese DRAM producer ChangXin Memory Technologies, also known as CXMT, wait for visitors at t…
不做 长鑫科技(688825.SH)
上市、发行价、代码和上市日程已提前多日公开;AP到达时A股盘中已涨约462%-472%,追高变成新股首日波动博弈而非事件交易,不做。
不做 澜起科技(688008.SH)
仅存储/AI半导体主题联动,当前事件没有新增澜起科技订单、客户份额或利润传导,且CXMT大额IPO还可能分流科技股资金,不做。
不做 中微公司(688012.SH)
参与战略配售或国产设备叙事不足以构成中微公司短周期业绩催化,未披露新增设备订单或金额,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- 长鑫科技披露科创板IPO发行程序、证券代码688825和7月16日申购安排,说明上市交易前关键信息已开始公开传播。
- 发行公告确认发行价8.66元、证券代码688825和发行规模,IPO定价与募资规模已是明牌。
- 财新在周前瞻中明确7月27日长鑫科技科创板上市,上市日程在事件前已被主流财经媒体扩散。
- 报道长鑫科技开盘从8.66元涨至49.50元附近、涨幅约472%,市场已在首日盘中快速重定价。市场反应:长鑫科技(688825.SH)首日盘中约+472%。
- AP报道长鑫科技上市首日盘中大涨约462%并成为内地市值最高上市公司之一,属于对已发生盘中市场反应的扩散。市场反应:报道时长鑫科技(688825.SH)仍约+462%。
关键理由
- 长鑫科技(688825.SH)首日上市体现国内DRAM与AI存储自主化热度,但核心事实在上市前已由发行公告、媒体排期和申购信息充分披露。
- 截至AP报道时长鑫科技(688825.SH)已较8.66元发行价上涨约462%至约48元以上,短线交易从事件催化转为首日高波动博弈,缺少可回测的正期望买点。
- 该事件对其他A股半导体或存储链更多是情绪映射,未新增可量化订单、份额或利润传导,不能据此追二阶主题。
主要风险
- 科创板新股首日无涨跌幅限制且已大幅高开,容易高开低走或盘中剧烈回撤。
- 长鑫科技长期仍面临先进设备受限、HBM放量不确定和高估值消化压力。
反向证据
原文全文
展开原文 · 5,070 字
Workers at the booth for Chinese DRAM producer ChangXin Memory Technologies, also known as CXMT, wait for visitors at the 21st China International Semiconductor Expo in Beijing, Nov. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan, File)
By
CHAN HO-HIM
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HONG KONG (AP) — Shares of CXMT, China’s largest memory chipmaker, soared Monday after they began trading in Shanghai in mainland China’s biggest initial public stock offering in recent years.
CXMT’s shares surged 472% and were trading up 462% by early afternoon. It has become the most valuable company listed on a mainland Chinese exchange, with a market capitalization of about 3.3 trillion yuan (more than $487 billion). But its estimated market value is still smaller than those of South Korean and American memory chipmakers like
Samsung Electronics
,
SK Hynix
and
Micron Technology
.
CXMT, is among many chipmakers that have profited mightily from the boom in
artificial intelligence.
Its business is thriving as China pushes for greater self-sufficiency in leading edge technologies while contending with limited access to advanced chipmaking machines due to
American-led restrictions
The company raised at least $8.6 billion with the offering, priced at 8.66 yuan ($1.3) per share, in its listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Nasdaq-like STAR market, also known as the Science and Technology Innovation Board.
It was mainland China’s second largest IPO after the $22.1 billion share offering of Agricultural Bank of China in Shanghai and Hong Kong in 2010.
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Founded in 2016 in the eastern city of Hefei, CXMT is one of the world’s largest makers of DRAM, or “dynamic random access” memory chips, a kind of semiconductor used in everything from AI servers to autos and consumer electronics like smartphones and personal computers.
“CXMT plays a critical role in China’s AI push, particularly in the face of U.S. export controls,” said Kyle Chan, a fellow at the Brookings Institution and an expert in China’s technology policies. U.S. restrictions have also barred China from importing powerful HBM, or high-bandwidth memory chips – a type of DRAM chip.
Read More
The company’s revenue surged to 50.8 billion yuan ($7.5 billion) on jumping demand from the rapid rise of AI in the first three months of 2026, a more than 700% rise year-on-year.
Soaring use of AI has led to a global memory chip shortage,
driving up prices
for some computers and smartphones. One big question, Chan said, is whether CXMT could help with the broader shortage.
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CXMT is seen as
China’s
best shot at developing its own cutting-edge HBM chips to power Chinese AI models, Chan said. But it also faces many challenges, including supply chain bottlenecks in scaling up manufacturing capacity, since its access to the world’s most best chipmaking tools is highly restricted, forcing it to depend on Chinese equipment makers.
According to Counterpoint Research, a technology research firm, CXMT was the world’s fourth biggest DRAM memory chipmaker in 2025 by shipments, taking up roughly 8% of the global market. Samsung Electronics accounted for 36%, SK Hynix 29% and Micron about 24%.
In the first three months of this year CXMT accounted for approximately 9% of global shipments. By 2028, its market share is forecast by Counterpoint Research to reach about 11%. But the research firm estimated CXMT will likely need at least a 15% global market share to be competitive in the long term.
“Trade restrictions on tools are remaining as the key challenge for CXMT,” said MS Hwang, a research director at Counterpoint who specializes in memory semiconductors. Some U.S. lawmakers have also recently called for
President Donald Trump’s
administration to block American companies from buying CXMT’s memory chips over national and economic security concerns.
CXMT, among many other Chinese companies, has been designated by the Pentagon as having links to the Chinese military. Beijing has rejected such designations in most cases.
CXMT’s public share offering followed a $26.5 billion IPO by South Korea’s SK Hynix on the Nasdaq earlier this month.
___
AP journalist Didi Tang in Washington contributed to this report.
Chan writes about business and economy in China for The Associated Press, reporting on key sectors of the world’s second-largest economy from trade and technology to autos. He is based in Hong Kong.
mailto
By
CHAN HO-HIM
Add AP News on Google
Add AP News as your preferred source to see more of our stories on Google.
Share
Copy
Link copied
X
Bluesky
HONG KONG (AP) — Shares of CXMT, China’s largest memory chipmaker, soared Monday after they began trading in Shanghai in mainland China’s biggest initial public stock offering in recent years.
CXMT’s shares surged 472% and were trading up 462% by early afternoon. It has become the most valuable company listed on a mainland Chinese exchange, with a market capitalization of about 3.3 trillion yuan (more than $487 billion). But its estimated market value is still smaller than those of South Korean and American memory chipmakers like
Samsung Electronics
,
SK Hynix
and
Micron Technology
.
CXMT, is among many chipmakers that have profited mightily from the boom in
artificial intelligence.
Its business is thriving as China pushes for greater self-sufficiency in leading edge technologies while contending with limited access to advanced chipmaking machines due to
American-led restrictions
The company raised at least $8.6 billion with the offering, priced at 8.66 yuan ($1.3) per share, in its listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s Nasdaq-like STAR market, also known as the Science and Technology Innovation Board.
It was mainland China’s second largest IPO after the $22.1 billion share offering of Agricultural Bank of China in Shanghai and Hong Kong in 2010.
Related Stories
America In Focus: US inflation cooled in June, but AI build-out poses latest threat
4 MIN READ
29
Taiwan computer chipmaker TSMC pledges another $100 billion to expand US chipmaking capacity
2 MIN READ
Slumping AI stocks drag down markets around the world
3 MIN READ
33
Founded in 2016 in the eastern city of Hefei, CXMT is one of the world’s largest makers of DRAM, or “dynamic random access” memory chips, a kind of semiconductor used in everything from AI servers to autos and consumer electronics like smartphones and personal computers.
“CXMT plays a critical role in China’s AI push, particularly in the face of U.S. export controls,” said Kyle Chan, a fellow at the Brookings Institution and an expert in China’s technology policies. U.S. restrictions have also barred China from importing powerful HBM, or high-bandwidth memory chips – a type of DRAM chip.
Read More
The company’s revenue surged to 50.8 billion yuan ($7.5 billion) on jumping demand from the rapid rise of AI in the first three months of 2026, a more than 700% rise year-on-year.
Soaring use of AI has led to a global memory chip shortage,
driving up prices
for some computers and smartphones. One big question, Chan said, is whether CXMT could help with the broader shortage.
Sign up for Morning Wire:
Our flagship newsletter breaks down the biggest headlines of the day.
Email address
Sign up
By checking this box, you agree to AP's
Terms of Use
and acknowledge that AP may collect and use your data pursuant to our
Privacy Policy
CXMT is seen as
China’s
best shot at developing its own cutting-edge HBM chips to power Chinese AI models, Chan said. But it also faces many challenges, including supply chain bottlenecks in scaling up manufacturing capacity, since its access to the world’s most best chipmaking tools is highly restricted, forcing it to depend on Chinese equipment makers.
According to Counterpoint Research, a technology research firm, CXMT was the world’s fourth biggest DRAM memory chipmaker in 2025 by shipments, taking up roughly 8% of the global market. Samsung Electronics accounted for 36%, SK Hynix 29% and Micron about 24%.
In the first three months of this year CXMT accounted for approximately 9% of global shipments. By 2028, its market share is forecast by Counterpoint Research to reach about 11%. But the research firm estimated CXMT will likely need at least a 15% global market share to be competitive in the long term.
“Trade restrictions on tools are remaining as the key challenge for CXMT,” said MS Hwang, a research director at Counterpoint who specializes in memory semiconductors. Some U.S. lawmakers have also recently called for
President Donald Trump’s
administration to block American companies from buying CXMT’s memory chips over national and economic security concerns.
CXMT, among many other Chinese companies, has been designated by the Pentagon as having links to the Chinese military. Beijing has rejected such designations in most cases.
CXMT’s public share offering followed a $26.5 billion IPO by South Korea’s SK Hynix on the Nasdaq earlier this month.
___
AP journalist Didi Tang in Washington contributed to this report.
Chan writes about business and economy in China for The Associated Press, reporting on key sectors of the world’s second-largest economy from trade and technology to autos. He is based in Hong Kong.
mailto
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