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EIA Weekly Petroleum Status ReportDoubao · 实盘不做把握 7/10不做原因:无增量信息
北京时间·🕒 发布 10-21(美东日)仅日期·时区推断·⟳ 抓取 01:01:01·⚡ 决策 10-22 02:09:36 +1h08m·5.7 天前

EIA周报:美国上周商业原油库存降306万桶但降幅不及预期,库欣续增、馏分油累库,多空交织且已被期货秒级定价

本信号是EIA周报官网归档目录页(抓取17:01 UTC),同一报告批次的数据(原油-306.1万、库欣+98.7万、汽油-295.2万、馏分油+167.5万及一致预期对比)已在今日14:32与14:38 UTC两条信号中被处理,均判不做;本条不含任何新增数字或事实,且例行定时库存数据在WTI期货秒级兑现,分项多空交织、净方向不明,股票/ETF载体无正期望。

📄 原文EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report↗ 原文
Weekly Petroleum Status Report: October 21, 2026
| Highlights | | | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights | | | | | Tables | | | | 1 | U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet…
不做 美国原油基金(USO)(USO.US)
同一EIA周报批次已被14:32/14:38 UTC两条信号处理,本条官网目录页无新增事实;例行定时数据在WTI期货秒级定价,分项多空交织(原油去库不及预期、库欣与馏分油累库),信号到达已晚约2.5小时,无edge
不做 能源精选行业SPDR ETF(XLE)(XLE.US)
周度库存对上游股票传导弱且本次净方向不明,无公司层面预期差,不构成可交易催化
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

EIA 10月21日周报去库306万桶但小于约324–350万桶的预期,库欣和馏分油反而累库,数据本身多空交织;同一批次已被两条信号处理,本条仅为官网目录页无增量,期货已秒级定价,不出任何方向交易腿。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-21 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗

主要风险

  • 原油去库幅度不及预期且库欣/馏分油累库偏空,汽油去库偏多,单周分项相互抵消,方向依赖后续周度趋势而非本次数据
  • EIA官网归档页发布/抓取时间晚于行情终端快讯约1.5–2.5小时,据此下单存在明显滞后

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-21 · 影响 weakens
    已处理信号记录显示原油去库306万桶小于约324–350万桶预期、库欣+98.7万、馏分油+167.5万,偏空分项抵消汽油去库,不支持单边做多能源股
    检索:EIA weekly crude inventory October 21 2026 build draw distillate Cushing expectation

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:重复处理记录与既有模式共同支持AVOID,不再设止盈止损或新建仓位

方向:同一报告批次两条已处理信号均判定例行周度库存数据在期货秒级定价、股票/ETF载体无edge,无需再引入外部先例

涨幅量级:无高相似对齐先例用于校准股票标的幅度;本数据的直接价格反应发生在WTI期货而非个股

形态:本臂近期对API(10-20)、EIA库欣快讯(10-21 14:32)、EIA全项(10-21 14:38)连续三次周度库存信号均判不做,模式一致:高频定时宏观数据、分项多空交织、股票载体传导弱

工具执行结果 · 成功 1 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
  1. search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 2,317 ms
    {"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`eia weekly petroleum status report 2026-10-21 crude oil gasoline distillate inventories | 美国 eia 周度石油库存报告 2026年10月21日 原油 汽油 馏分油 库存`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 72.0/72 小时、26199 条本臂决策(完整),返回 4 条候选。\n• 10-21 14:32 UTC(北京 22:32) [bm25:59%] 不做 USO.US (twitte

原文全文

展开原文 · 3,536 字
| Highlights |

| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Highlights | | | |

| Tables | | |

| 1 | U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet | | CSV | PDF |

| 2 | U.S. Inputs and Production by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |

| 3 | Refiner and Blender Net Production | | CSV | PDF |

| 4 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District, and Stocks of Petroleum Products, U.S. Totals | | CSV | PDF |

| 5 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |

| 5A | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline and Fuel Ethanol by PAD District with Total Gasoline by Sub-PADD | | CSV | |

| 6 | Stocks of Distillate, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, Residual Fuel Oil, and Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |

| 7 | Imports of Crude Oil and Total Products by PAD District | | CSV | PDF |

| 8 | Preliminary Crude Imports by Country of Origin | | CSV | PDF |

| 9 | U.S. and PAD District Weekly Estimates | | CSV | PDF |

| 10 | U.S. World Crude Oil Prices - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |

| 11 | Spot Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and Heating Oil | | CSV | PDF |

| 12 | Spot Prices of Ultra-Low Sulfur Diesel Fuel, Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel, and Propane | | CSV | PDF |

| 13 | NYMEX Futures Prices of Crude Oil, Motor Gasoline, and No. 2 Heating Oil - Discontinued | | CSV | PDF |

| 14 | U.S. Retail Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | CSV | PDF |

| Figures | | |

| 1 | Stocks of Crude Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 2 | Stocks of Total Motor Gasoline by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 3 | Stocks of Distillate Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 4 | Stocks of Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 5 | Stocks of Residual Fuel Oil by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 6 | Stocks of Propane/Propylene by PAD District | | | PDF |

| 7 | Daily Crude Oil and Petroleum Product Spot Prices | | | PDF |

| 8 | Daily Trans-Atlantic Spot Product Price Differentials: New York Harbor less Rotterdam (ARA) - Discontinued | | | PDF |

| 9 | Daily Futures Price Differentials: First Delivery Month Less Second Delivery Month | | | PDF |

| 10 | U.S. Average Retail Regular Motor Gasoline and On-Highway Diesel Fuel Prices | | | PDF |

| Appendices |

| A | Petroleum Supply Summary | | | PDF |

| B | Explanatory Notes | | | PDF |

| C | Northeast Reserves | | | PDF |

| D | Statistical Methodology of Estimating Petroleum Exports Using Data from U.S. Customs and Border Protection | | | PDF |


| E | Errata as of December 22, 2023 | | XLS | PDF |

| Sources and Glossary |

| | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Sources | | | PDF |


| | EIA Glossary | | | |

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