Investing.comQwen · 实盘不做把握 3/10不做原因:已被定价
北京时间·🕒 发布 04:24:39·⟳ 抓取 04:25:46 +1m07s·⚡ 决策 09-02 04:27:51 +2m05s·55.6 天前
Credo Technology FY2027 Q1收入4.79亿美元、EPS 1.20美元，均小幅超预期，Q2指引高于一致预期
CRDO Q1财报超预期幅度温和（EPS超3.4%、收入超1.8%），且近90天已有14次正面EPS修正推高预期，股价12个月已涨66%；美股盘后无法交易；A股无直接供应链映射（AEC DSP不外卖、与瑞可达无合作）；整体AI capex验证为已知共识，无增量催化。自家案例库显示同日已从其他源处理该事件并判'不做'。
📄 原文Investing.com↗ 原文
Credo Technology Holding earnings beat by $0.04, revenue topped estimates
Wall Street slides to kick off historically worst month as oil prices, yields rise Investing.com - Credo Technology Hol…
不做 Credo Technology（CRDO.US）
超预期幅度温和（EPS超3.4%、收入超1.8%），14次正面修正已推高预期，股价12个月+66%已反映增长；美股盘后无法成交；非GAAP经营利润低于预期；A股无直接供应链映射可替代交易
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
CRDO FY2027 Q1收入$479M/EPS $1.20，分别超预期1.8%/3.4%，Q2指引$525-535M高于一致预期$516.5M。但超预期幅度温和，14次正面修正已充分推高预期；股价3个月横盘但12个月+66%说明估值已反映增长；AEC业务与光模块存在短距替代竞争而非互补，无法正向映射A股光模块；DSP芯片不对外销售，无A股供应链敞口。美股已收盘无法直接交易，综合判断无正期望交易机会。
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-01 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 high ↗
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-09-01 · 影响 weakens
自家案例库同日记录提到'非GAAP经营利润低于预期'，进一步削弱做多逻辑
检索:CRDO Q1 FY2027 非GAAP经营利润 低于预期
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:未改变结论；本案因超预期幅度温和+高预期已充分定价，无需先例即可判断edge不足
方向:无法建立有效先例面板
涨幅量级:先例不足，无法校准幅度
工具执行结果 · 成功 4 · 降级 1 · 失败 1 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 744 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`crdo revenue guidance beat | credo technology crdo earnings q1 fy2027 | credo technology 财报 业绩超预期`；结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时；旧记录兼容扫描近 70.9/72 小时、3735 条本臂决策(完整)，返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agent query 表达式没有召回候选，不能据此证明消息首发或不是重复；按当前事件继续正常研判。"} - stock_quote 降级 stock_tools HTTP · 1,616 ms
取价失败: Futu returned no quote - supply_chain_lookup 失败 stock_tools HTTP · 97 ms
FactSet Supply Chain 表结构缺失 - query_modeling_kb 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 160 ms
{"result": "modeling_kb 命中 10 条 (库快照 2026-07-27 · AI 算力链 19 页 · 本次命中证据最新 2024-09-04 · 其中 ⟨预测⟩ 9 条) —— 这是**定期重生成的快照**,不是活数据;比快照更晚的事实以你手上的信号/kb_search 为准。\n\n• [A] MRVL · Revenue - Data center - Optical · 表0B · SP/Visible Alpha 风格收入桥：2027-2030E 分业务收入池 · FY2030E = $9,849M (口径1) ⟨预测⟩[1]\n 依据: USD mm\ - kb_search 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 3,785 ms
{ - search_case_library 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 95 ms
{"result": "search_case_library「CRDO.US」—— 与这些标的相关的自家决策案例(本页 12 条,该标的全历史相关记录共 32 条；ENTER 只按该标的自己的腿统计):\n◆ CRDO.US：相关历史决策 32 条 · 其中该标的 ENTER 5 条(15.6%) · 已结算 5 笔 · 胜率 100% · 中位 +3.60% · 均值 +3.01% ⚠️只有 5 笔,样本太薄,只能当线索不能当规律\n↑ 胜率/收益口径:ENTER 当日之后 T+1 开盘入场、次日开盘出场,做空腿已按方向取反(所以正数=这个方向做对了)。统计的只有★那只票自己的腿。\n【对
原文全文
展开原文 · 1,060 字
Wall Street slides to kick off historically worst month as oil prices, yields rise
Investing.com - Credo Technology Holding (NASDAQ: CRDO) reported first quarter EPS of $1.20, $0.04 better than the analyst estimate of $1.16. Revenue for the quarter came in at $479M versus the consensus estimate of $470.38M.
Guidance
Credo Technology Holding sees Q2 2027 revenue of $525.00M-$535.00M versus the analyst consensus of $516.50M.
Credo Technology Holding’s stock price closed at $206.63. It is down -0.13% in the last 3 months and up 66.28% in the last 12 months.
Credo Technology Holding saw 14 positive EPS revisions and 1 negative EPS revisions in the last 90 days. See Credo Technology Holding’s stock price’s past reactions to earnings here.
According to InvestingPro, Credo Technology Holding’s Financial Health score is "great performance".
Check out Credo Technology Holding’s recent earnings performance, and Credo Technology Holding’s financials here.
Stay up-to-date on all of the upcoming earnings reports by visiting Investing.com’s earnings calendar
Investing.com - Credo Technology Holding (NASDAQ: CRDO) reported first quarter EPS of $1.20, $0.04 better than the analyst estimate of $1.16. Revenue for the quarter came in at $479M versus the consensus estimate of $470.38M.
Guidance
Credo Technology Holding sees Q2 2027 revenue of $525.00M-$535.00M versus the analyst consensus of $516.50M.
Credo Technology Holding’s stock price closed at $206.63. It is down -0.13% in the last 3 months and up 66.28% in the last 12 months.
Credo Technology Holding saw 14 positive EPS revisions and 1 negative EPS revisions in the last 90 days. See Credo Technology Holding’s stock price’s past reactions to earnings here.
According to InvestingPro, Credo Technology Holding’s Financial Health score is "great performance".
Check out Credo Technology Holding’s recent earnings performance, and Credo Technology Holding’s financials here.
Stay up-to-date on all of the upcoming earnings reports by visiting Investing.com’s earnings calendar
决策记录链 · 只追加
每次领取产生一条记录,重新决策追加一条并以 supersedes 指向被替代的记录(ADR 0014)。
这条决策早于决策账本(2026-10-08 起逐条追加),没有追加记录。