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北京时间·🕒 发布 03:30:01时区推断·⟳ 抓取 03:33:29·⚡ 决策 07-23 03:42:07 +8m38s·96.5 天前
Siemens Energy因GE Vernova指引不及预期下跌8.8%，JPM称读穿不合理
GE Vernova二季度核心利润和全年收入指引不及预期引发同业Siemens Energy下跌8.8%，这是同业读穿而非Siemens自身新增经营事实。
📄 原文Seeking Alpha↗ 原文
Siemens Energy's plunge after peer GE Vernova's weak outlook not justified, JPM analysts say
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) down 8.8% in Wednesday's trading following a similar decline in shares of peer GE Vernov…
不做 Siemens Energy（SMEGF.US）
同业读穿已造成8.8%下跌且被JPM反驳，方向混合；缺少Siemens自身新增订单或指引事实，不做。
不做 GE Vernova（GEV.US）
GE Vernova弱指引是财报后信息，需相对一致预期和可借券核查才可做空；当前批处理不满足做空红线，不做。
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研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-22 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 high ↗
关键理由
- GE Vernova二季度核心利润和全年收入指引不及预期引发同业Siemens Energy下跌8.8%，这是同业读穿而非Siemens自身新增经营事实。
- JPM认为Siemens Energy订单确认度更高，需求到2028年前仍超过供应，因此当前消息同时包含负面同业担忧和正面分析师反驳。
主要风险
- Siemens Energy将在8月5日报告Q3，真正交易边界应等待自身订单、利润和指引。
原文全文
展开原文 · 1,135 字
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) down 8.8% in Wednesday's trading following a similar decline in shares of peer GE Vernova (GEV) after the gas turbine maker reported Q2 core profit and issued full-year revenue guidance that missed market expectations.
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) investors are concerned about whether GE Vernova's (GEV) announced orders are binding following the results of its U.S. peer, but the corresponding sharp drop in Siemens Energy shares is not justified, J.P. Morgan analysts said.
The read-across to Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) is unwarranted as the German company is more focused on confirmed orders, and GE Vernova's (GEV) expanded capacity has raised concerns about oversupply, but the JPM analysts continue to see demand outstripping supply through 2028.
"Evidently, demand is still very strong and supply is still materially too low versus demand, for now at least," J.P. Morgan said in a note.
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) is scheduled to report Q3 results on August 5, with Vestas Wind Systems (VWDRY)—the world's largest wind turbine manufacturer—and Ørsted (DNNGY) set to report a week later.
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) investors are concerned about whether GE Vernova's (GEV) announced orders are binding following the results of its U.S. peer, but the corresponding sharp drop in Siemens Energy shares is not justified, J.P. Morgan analysts said.
The read-across to Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) is unwarranted as the German company is more focused on confirmed orders, and GE Vernova's (GEV) expanded capacity has raised concerns about oversupply, but the JPM analysts continue to see demand outstripping supply through 2028.
"Evidently, demand is still very strong and supply is still materially too low versus demand, for now at least," J.P. Morgan said in a note.
Siemens Energy (SMEGF) (SMERY) is scheduled to report Q3 results on August 5, with Vestas Wind Systems (VWDRY)—the world's largest wind turbine manufacturer—and Ørsted (DNNGY) set to report a week later.
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