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北京时间·🕒 发布 05:16:58时区推断·⟳ 抓取 05:20:24·⚡ 决策 07-23 06:11:49 +51m25s·96.6 天前

Waste Connections二季度利润超预期、盘后上涨但全年收入指引基本未上修

二季度调整后EPS为1.50美元,高于市场预期1.35美元,利润端确有正向惊喜。

📄 原文Seeking Alpha↗ 原文
Waste Connections tops Q2 estimates, raises outlook as margins expand
Waste Connections (WCN) topped Wall Street earnings expectations and modestly exceeded revenue estimates in the second…
不做 Waste Connections(WCN.US)
财报利好方向成立,但收入和全年指引增量有限,盘后已上涨约4.4%,对防御型大市值固废公司隔夜追多edge不足,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-22 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-07-22 17:16 ET财经媒体扩散Seeking Alpha非一手原文 ↗
    美股盘后报道WCN二季度EPS超预期、收入小幅超预期并更新全年展望。
    市场反应:报道提到WCN盘后上涨约4.4%。
  2. 2026-02-11官方确认/否认公司IR一手源原文 ↗
    公司此前给出的2026年收入指引为99.0亿至99.5亿美元、调整后EBITDA为33.00亿至33.25亿美元,构成对本次所谓上调幅度的基准。
  3. 2026-04-22官方确认/否认公司IR一手源原文 ↗
    一季度公司已披露超预期经营趋势和对全年上行潜力的表述,二季度利润率改善并非完全新叙事。

关键理由

  • 二季度调整后EPS为1.50美元,高于市场预期1.35美元,利润端确有正向惊喜。
  • 收入25.6亿美元仅比25.4亿美元一致预期高不到1%,全年收入指引10.02亿至10.05亿美元与正文所述前次区间基本相同,增量主要来自利润率和并购执行。
  • 股价已在盘后上涨约4.4%,对大市值防御型固废公司而言,利润小幅超预期后的隔夜追多空间不足。

主要风险

  • 若次日管理层电话会显著上修并购节奏或自由现金流预期,可能继续推高估值。
  • 公司具备稳定定价权和并购整合能力,基本面质量较好,因此不宜反手做空。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-22 · 影响 weakens
    反向约束是收入仅小幅超预期、全年收入区间并未明显相对正文所述前值上修,盘后已涨约4.4%。
    检索:Waste Connections 2026 Q2 earnings guidance revenue consensus after hours reaction 原文 ↗

原文全文

展开原文 · 2,590 字
Waste Connections (WCN) topped Wall Street earnings expectations and modestly exceeded revenue estimates in the second quarter, while raising its full-year outlook on continued pricing strength, margin expansion and contributions from acquisitions.
Shares of Waste Connections (WCN) rose 4.4% in extended trading Wednesday after the waste collection and disposal company reported results. Through Wednesday's regular-session close, the stock was down about 4.3% for the year.
The company reported second-quarter revenue of $2.56 billion, up 6.4% from $2.41 billion a year earlier. The result essentially matched analysts' consensus estimate of $2.54 billion, with the roughly $20 million difference amounting to less than 1% of revenue.
Adjusted earnings were $1.50 a share, topping the Wall Street consensus estimate of $1.35 a share.
Net income rose to $296.4 million, or $1.17 a share, from $290.3 million, or $1.12 a share, a year earlier.
President and Chief Executive Officer Ronald Mittelstaedt said the company delivered results "above expectations" thanks to "strong operational execution driving a top-to-bottom beat in the second quarter."
Second-quarter adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization reached $840.1 million, up from $786.4 million a year earlier. The adjusted ebitda margin expanded to 32.8% from 32.7%, as underlying margin gains more than offset higher fuel costs and weaker commodity prices.
The company said solid waste internal growth was 3.6% during the quarter, reflecting a 4.6% yield and 5.6% core pricing, partly offset by lower volumes and recycling revenue.
Waste Connections (WCN), whose operations include non-hazardous waste collection, recycling, renewable fuels generation and landfill services across the U.S. and Canada, serves roughly 9 million residential, commercial and industrial customers.
Waste Connections (WCN) raised its 2026 guidance after strong first-half execution.
The company now expects full-year revenue of $10.02 billion to $10.05 billion, compared with its previous forecast of $10.02 billion to $10.05 billion and slightly above the Wall Street consensus of about $10.0 billion.
It also projected adjusted ebitda of $3.33 billion to $3.34 billion, net income of $1.169 billion to $1.173 billion, capital expenditures of about $1.25 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $1.40 billion to $1.45 billion.
Mittelstaedt said the company has completed acquisitions representing more than $100 million in annualized revenue so far this year and remains positioned for another active year of dealmaking.

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