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北京时间·🕒 发布 16:23:34时区推断·⟳ 抓取 16:27:04·⚡ 决策 07-23 18:27:14 +2h00m·96.1 天前
UniCredit二季度收入65.2亿欧元并上调2026年净利目标至约115亿欧元
UniCredit二季度收入65.2亿欧元,同比增长6.5%,净利润29亿欧元,剔除Commerzbank相关一次性影响为31亿欧元。
📄 原文Seeking Alpha↗ 原文
UniCredit S.p.A. reports Q2 results; updates FY2026 outlook
- UniCredit S.p.A. press release (UNCRY): Q2 Revenue of €6.52B (+6.5% Y/Y). - Net revenues were at €6.3B in 2Q26, down…
不做 UniCredit(UCG.IT)
财报和指引虽偏正面,但大型银行业绩追多需要明确超预期差;本条未给出足够短线重定价edge,且Commerzbank并表资本影响仍待消化。
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研究档案
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-07-23 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗
关键理由
- UniCredit二季度收入65.2亿欧元,同比增长6.5%,净利润29亿欧元,剔除Commerzbank相关一次性影响为31亿欧元。
- 公司将2026年净利润目标上调至约115亿欧元,并称整合Commerzbank前2028年和2030年净利润目标分别高于130亿和150亿欧元。
主要风险
- 银行财报和指引为日历型高预期事件,且Commerzbank并表将带来约200bp CET1初始资本影响。
原文全文
展开原文 · 1,709 字
- UniCredit S.p.A. press release (UNCRY): Q2 Revenue of €6.52B (+6.5% Y/Y).
- Net revenues were at €6.3B in 2Q26, down 5.4% Q/Q and up 5.4% Y/Y.
- 2Q26 net profit at €2.9 billion, or €3.1 billion ex Commerzbank related trading one-off , with 1H26 net profit at €6.3 7 billion, up 3%7 1H/1H or 24% adjusted1 and high RoTE at 23.7%.
- 2Q26 CET1 ratio of 14.3% up 0.1 p.p. Q/Q, or 15.0% pro forma for Danish compromise5 and such temporary impact4 reversal. FY26 CET1 ratio expected at circa 15%.
- Outlook: The strong performance in 1H26 leads us to improve our FY26 net profit ambition to well above €11 3 billion, or circa €11.5 billion when excluding integration costs. We now aim for a FY28 net profit well above €13 billion and FY30 well above €15 billion, both before the full consolidation of Commerzbank. The Group's FY26 CET1 ratio is expected to be at circa 15%, before full consolidation of Commerzbank. The initial capital impact from full consolidation, assuming the offer's completion by the end of the year and subject to all necessary authorizations, is expected at circa 200 basis points, before impacts from Purchase Price Allocation ("PPA"), and including the effect of the cancellation of the €4.75 billion FY25 share buy-back, reinvested at a higher RoAC. The CET1 ratio post line-by-line consolidation of Commerzbank is expected to be in the 13% area and to strengthen quickly over time. The transaction is expected to be accretive on an absolute and per share basis, leading to double digit net profit growth in 2026-2028 and adding to the already double-digit EPS and DPS growth of Unlimited for the period 2026 – 2028, while continuing on a superior trajectory beyond 2028, towards 2030.
- Net revenues were at €6.3B in 2Q26, down 5.4% Q/Q and up 5.4% Y/Y.
- 2Q26 net profit at €2.9 billion, or €3.1 billion ex Commerzbank related trading one-off , with 1H26 net profit at €6.3 7 billion, up 3%7 1H/1H or 24% adjusted1 and high RoTE at 23.7%.
- 2Q26 CET1 ratio of 14.3% up 0.1 p.p. Q/Q, or 15.0% pro forma for Danish compromise5 and such temporary impact4 reversal. FY26 CET1 ratio expected at circa 15%.
- Outlook: The strong performance in 1H26 leads us to improve our FY26 net profit ambition to well above €11 3 billion, or circa €11.5 billion when excluding integration costs. We now aim for a FY28 net profit well above €13 billion and FY30 well above €15 billion, both before the full consolidation of Commerzbank. The Group's FY26 CET1 ratio is expected to be at circa 15%, before full consolidation of Commerzbank. The initial capital impact from full consolidation, assuming the offer's completion by the end of the year and subject to all necessary authorizations, is expected at circa 200 basis points, before impacts from Purchase Price Allocation ("PPA"), and including the effect of the cancellation of the €4.75 billion FY25 share buy-back, reinvested at a higher RoAC. The CET1 ratio post line-by-line consolidation of Commerzbank is expected to be in the 13% area and to strengthen quickly over time. The transaction is expected to be accretive on an absolute and per share basis, leading to double digit net profit growth in 2026-2028 and adding to the already double-digit EPS and DPS growth of Unlimited for the period 2026 – 2028, while continuing on a superior trajectory beyond 2028, towards 2030.
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