BenzingaDoubao · 实盘不做把握 7/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 15:31:05·⟳ 抓取 15:31:26 +21s·⚡ 决策 10-26 15:34:51 +3m25s·1.1 天前
Benzinga 复盘称比特币与黄金为2026年YTD表现最差两大资产，分析师建议逢低积累BTC
该文是资产年度表现统计和多位市场人物观点汇编，包含YTD负收益事实与逢低买入观点，方向上既非明确新增利多也非新增利空；对可交易股票没有公司级增量，交易BTC或加密股票缺少明确正期望与执行边界。
📄 原文Benzinga↗ 原文
'Something We Haven't Seen Before': Bitcoin and Gold Are the Two Worst-Performing Assets of 2026
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and gold ranked as the two worst-performing major assets in 2026, a combination never seen in any…
不做 Galaxy Digital（GLXY.US）（GLXY.US）
公司仅作为CEO观点背景被提及，没有公司级新增利多；加密资产价格短线还受宏观风险偏好驱动，风险收益不清晰。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
文章只是复盘BTC和黄金2026年YTD均约下跌7%，并引用分析师的主观看多言论；没有新增基本面冲击或可核验的公司级催化，因此不做股票交易。
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-26 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗
关键理由
- 无足够明确的新增利多：BTC YTD下跌和分析师建议买入均为观点/统计，不构成需求、政策或盈利上修。
- GLXY.US仅因CEO观点被提及，没有公司层面新增事实，映射弹性和时间窗口均不可靠。
主要风险
- 若市场将分析师喊单解读为风险偏好改善，BTC及加密股票可能短线反弹，但该反应缺乏可量化基本面支撑。
- BTC若未能守住关键价位，加密概念股可能随风险资产同步回落。
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不足与事件无公司级增量共同支持AVOID，而非试探性买入GLXY.US或其他加密概念载体。
方向:无可直接迁移的同机制事件；媒体发布年度资产收益排名通常是历史表现复盘，不具备稳定的次日方向预测意义。
涨幅量级:缺少同市场、同相位、由资产排名报道驱动股票交易的高相似对齐先例，不能据此设定止盈止损。
形态:未见可核验的反复见光死或持续上涨模式；不应用泛化加密叙事替代事件研究。
原文全文
展开原文 · 2,061 字
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and gold ranked as the two worst-performing major assets in 2026, a combination never seen in any previous calendar year, Chief Market Strategist Charlie Bilello said on Sunday.
Sheen Off Gold and Digital Gold
Bilello posted a table on X that ranked the long-term returns of major assets since 2011.
As of Oct. 23, Bitcoin and gold ranked as the two worst-performing assets year-to-date in 2026, down 7.3% and 7.5%, respectively.
“This is something we haven’t seen before in any calendar year,” Bilello pointed out.
That said, Bitcoin has delivered the highest annualized return, at 120.6%, among tracked assets. The apex cryptocurrency outperformed those assets in 11 of the last 15 years.
Gold, meanwhile, has grown at an annualized rate of only 6% since 2011.
Analyst Says Time Right to Snap Some BTC
Bitcoin ending the year lower would mean two straight years of losses—something that has never happened before. Gold rose 63.7% last year but has fallen sharply since the Iran war began.
Widely followed cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe argued for accumulating Bitcoin aggressively right now when it looks “undervalued” relative to gold.
“That’s why now is the time to be accumulating more Bitcoin, and rotate that later towards Gold, in 1-2 years, when Gold is done with its correction,” Van De Poppe stated.
Will Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000 in 2026?
The data lands amid rising optimism over the outlook for the apex digital asset.
Bitcoin investor Mike Alfred said last week they’d bet up to $1 million that the cryptocurrency would reach $100,000 before it fell to $60,000.
Galaxy Digital (NASDAQ:GLXY) CEO Mike Novogratz echoed a similar bullish view, has a stronger chance of reaching $100,000 than falling to $50,000 by year-end.
Price Action: As of this writing, BTC is down 0.80% in the last 24 hours to $80,027, according to Benzinga Pro. Spot gold traded up 0.28% at $4,007 per ounce.
Photo Courtesy: New Africa on Shutterstock.com
© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Sheen Off Gold and Digital Gold
Bilello posted a table on X that ranked the long-term returns of major assets since 2011.
As of Oct. 23, Bitcoin and gold ranked as the two worst-performing assets year-to-date in 2026, down 7.3% and 7.5%, respectively.
“This is something we haven’t seen before in any calendar year,” Bilello pointed out.
That said, Bitcoin has delivered the highest annualized return, at 120.6%, among tracked assets. The apex cryptocurrency outperformed those assets in 11 of the last 15 years.
Gold, meanwhile, has grown at an annualized rate of only 6% since 2011.
Analyst Says Time Right to Snap Some BTC
Bitcoin ending the year lower would mean two straight years of losses—something that has never happened before. Gold rose 63.7% last year but has fallen sharply since the Iran war began.
Widely followed cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe argued for accumulating Bitcoin aggressively right now when it looks “undervalued” relative to gold.
“That’s why now is the time to be accumulating more Bitcoin, and rotate that later towards Gold, in 1-2 years, when Gold is done with its correction,” Van De Poppe stated.
Will Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000 in 2026?
The data lands amid rising optimism over the outlook for the apex digital asset.
Bitcoin investor Mike Alfred said last week they’d bet up to $1 million that the cryptocurrency would reach $100,000 before it fell to $60,000.
Galaxy Digital (NASDAQ:GLXY) CEO Mike Novogratz echoed a similar bullish view, has a stronger chance of reaching $100,000 than falling to $50,000 by year-end.
Price Action: As of this writing, BTC is down 0.80% in the last 24 hours to $80,027, according to Benzinga Pro. Spot gold traded up 0.28% at $4,007 per ounce.
Photo Courtesy: New Africa on Shutterstock.com
© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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