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🇺🇸 SECIBMDoubao · 实盘不做把握 8/10不做原因:已被定价
北京时间·🕒 发布 04:19:17·⟳ 抓取 04:20:21 +1m04s·⚡ 决策 10-22 07:32:58 +3h12m·5.5 天前

IBM 提交8-K披露Q3财报:营收171亿美元、调整后EPS 2.95美元双超预期并上调全年自由现金流指引,但盘后冲高+8%后暴跌至-4%

重复事件(同一Q3财报数小时前已由快讯源处理,8-K无新增金额或指引修正)叠加盘后已完成极端的冲高回落:软beat+指引仅FCF小幅上调,而股价会前5日累涨10.4%、财报当日盘中抢涨3.94%,盘后冲高+7.9%后反转收低4.16%(低点237.58美元),市场已实时定价并转为派发,次日开盘追多无正期望;基本面为正向surprise,不构成做空催化。

📄 原文IBM↗ 原文
----- ibm-20261021.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT R…
不做 International Business Machines Corporation(IBM.US)
重复事件:同一Q3财报已在数小时前处理,8-K无法定备案外新增事实;且真beat为软催化(营收beat约1.5%、营收指引未上调),会前5日+10.4%、盘中抢跑+3.94%,盘后冲高+7.9%后崩至-4.16%,利好已被派发、次日追多无正期望(PRICE_IN);基本面正向surprise不构成做空理由,故多空皆不做
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

IBM Q3营收/EPS/FCF确实超预期且小幅上调全年FCF指引,但属对2370亿美元市值的软beat(营收仅beat约1.5%、营收增速指引维持不变),股价会前已连涨、当日盘中抢跑3.94%,盘后冲高+8%后反手跌至-4.2%,见光死形态明确,多空均无正edge,不做。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-21 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗

关键理由

  • 真实业绩beat:营收171亿超预期约1.5%、调整后EPS 2.95超预期约3%、Q3 FCF 30.3亿且全年FCF指引上调逾10亿美元
  • 催化已被充分交易:会前5日+10.4%、盘中+3.94%,盘后+7.9%冲高后崩至-4.16%,次日开盘追多承接的是派发盘

主要风险

  • 电话会(美东17:00)若释放更强2027年AI订单/FCF上修,盘后跌势可能逆转
  • 盘后价格波动大、最终收盘方向仍可能随电话会措辞反复

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-21 · 影响 weakens
    Consulting收入53.35亿略低于预期53.9亿、全年营收增速指引维持4%-5%未上调,beat主要由FCF与税率驱动;盘后实际下跌4.16%,反向证据成立并已被市场定价
    检索:IBM Q3 2026 consulting miss revenue guidance unchanged sell-off 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-21 · 影响 invalidates
    营收/EPS/FCF全面beat、Software +8%、经营税前利润率扩张70bp且上调FCF指引,属真实正面surprise,做空不满足强空催化红线
    检索:IBM Q3 2026 beat raised FCF guidance strong software growth 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:确认PRICE_IN并AVOID;不产生新交易腿

方向:同事件已处理记录援引IBM 2026年4月财报beat次日下跌7%-9%的见光死前科,叠加本次盘后+7.9%→-4.2%的实时反转,方向上明确提示追多风险

涨幅量级:未做独立event_study:本8-K为重复事件且盘后已给出最强的本地价格证据,历史先例不再改变不做结论

形态:本次盘后冲高回落本身即是最对齐的见光死观察,且会前5日连涨10.4%存在抢跑

工具执行结果 · 成功 2 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
  1. search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 3,410 ms
    {"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`ibm q3 2026 earnings results raised free cash flow outlook | ibm 第三季度 2026 财报 营收 自由现金流指引 | international business machines quarterly earnings october 21 2026`;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 72.0/72 小时、27603 条本臂决策(完整),返回 10 条候选。\n• 10-21 20:20 UTC(北京 10-22 0
  2. stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 848 ms
    {

原文全文

展开原文 · 40,748 字
----- ibm-20261021.htm -----
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d)
OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of
Report
:
October 21, 2026
(Date of earliest event reported)
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
New York
1-2360
13-0871985
(State of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS employer Identification No.)
One New Orchard Road
Armonk
,
New York
10504
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)
914
-
499-1900
(Registrant’s telephone number)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Capital stock, par value $.20 per share
IBM
New York Stock Exchange
NYSE Texas
0.300% Notes due 2026
IBM 26B
New York Stock Exchange
1.250% Notes due 2027
IBM 27B
New York Stock Exchange
3.375% Notes due 2027
IBM 27F
New York Stock Exchange
0.300% Notes due 2028
IBM 28B
New York Stock Exchange
1.750% Notes due 2028
IBM 28A
New York Stock Exchange
1.500% Notes due 2029
IBM 29
New York Stock Exchange
0.875% Notes due 2030
IBM 30A
New York Stock Exchange
2.900% Notes due 2030
IBM 30C
New York Stock Exchange
1.750% Notes due 2031
IBM 31
New York Stock Exchange
3.000% Notes due 2031
IBM 31A
New York Stock Exchange
3.625% Notes due 2031
IBM 31B
New York Stock Exchange
0.650% Notes due 2032
IBM 32A
New York Stock Exchange
3.150% Notes due 2033
IBM 33A
New York Stock Exchange
3.450% Notes due 2034
IBM 34A
New York Stock Exchange
1.250% Notes due 2034
IBM 34
New York Stock Exchange
3.750% Notes due 2035
IBM 35
New York Stock Exchange
3.450% Notes due 2037
IBM 37
New York Stock Exchange
3.850% Notes due 2038
IBM 38B
New York Stock Exchange
4.875% Notes due 2038
IBM 38
New York Stock Exchange
1.200% Notes due 2040
IBM 40
New York Stock Exchange
4.000% Notes due 2043
IBM 43
New York Stock Exchange
3.800% Notes due 2045
IBM 45A
New York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due 2028
IBM 28E
New York Stock Exchange
6.22% Debentures due 2027
IBM 27
New York Stock Exchange
6.50% Debentures due 2028
IBM 28
New York Stock Exchange
5.875% Debentures due 2032
IBM 32D
New York Stock Exchange
7.00% Debentures due 2045
IBM 45
New York Stock Exchange
7.125% Debentures due 2096
IBM 96
New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
The registrant’s press release dated October 21, 2026, regarding its financial results for the period ended September 30, 2026, including consolidated financial statements for the period ended September 30, 2026, is Exhibit 99.1 of this Form 8-K.
In an effort to provide investors with additional information regarding the company’s results as determined by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the company has disclosed in the attached press release certain non-GAAP information which management believes provides useful information to investors. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP are included in the press release, which is Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The rationale for management’s use of non-GAAP measures is included in Exhibit 99.2 to this Form 8-K.
The information in this Item 2.02, including the corresponding Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished with the Commission and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d)
Exhibits
The following exhibits are being furnished as part of this report:
Exhibit No.
Description of Exhibit
99.1
Earnings Release of the Registrant, dated October 21, 2026
99.2
Non-GAAP Metrics and Other Financial Information
The following exhibit is being filed as part of this report:
Exhibit No.
Description of Exhibit
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL Document)
IBM’s web site (www.ibm.com) contains a significant amount of information about IBM, including financial and other information for investors (www.ibm.com/investor/). IBM encourages investors to visit its various web sites from time to time, as information is updated and new information is posted.
2
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, hereunto duly authorized.
Date: October 21, 2026
By:
/s/ Nicolás A. Fehring
Nicolás A. Fehring
Vice President and Controller
3

----- ibm-20261021xex991.htm -----
EX-99.1
2
ibm-20261021xex991.htm
EX-99.1
Document
Exhibit 99.1
IBM RELEASES THIRD-QUARTER RESULTS
Exceeded expectations with accelerated revenue growth led by Software and Infrastructure; Raises outlook for full-year free cash flow
ARMONK, N.Y., October 21, 2026 . . . IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced third-quarter 2026 earnings results.
“Disciplined execution throughout the quarter drove accelerated revenue growth and strong free cash flow. Our clients are now deploying Super Intelligence in ways that transform entire operating models, instead of simply addressing narrow or novel problems. IBM's technology and expertise are helping organizations drive growth and serve customers with greater speed, precision and efficiency than ever before," said Arvind Krishna, IBM chairman, president and chief executive officer. "For the full year, we continue to expect constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent, and we now expect free cash flow to increase by more than $1 billion year-over-year.”
Third-Quarter Highlights
•
Revenue
–
Revenue of $17.1 billion, up 5 percent, up 6 percent at constant currency
–
Software revenue up 8 percent, up 9 percent at constant currency
–
Consulting revenue flat, up 2 percent at constant currency
–
Infrastructure revenue up 4 percent, up 5 percent at constant currency
•
Profit
–
Gross Profit Margin: GAAP: 56.8 percent, down 50 basis points; Operating (Non-GAAP): 58.5 percent, down 20 basis points
–
Pre-Tax Income Margin: GAAP: 14.6 percent, down 30 basis points; Operating (Non-GAAP): 19.3 percent, up 70 basis points
•
Cash Flow
–
Year to date, net cash from operating activities of $11.8 billion; free cash flow of $7.8 billion
THIRD
-
QUARTER 2026 INCOME STATEMENT SUMMARY
Revenue
Gross
Profit
Gross Profit Margin
Pre-tax
Income
Pre-tax
Income
Margin
Net
Income
Diluted
Earnings Per Share
GAAP from Continuing Operations
$
17.1B
$
9.7B
56.8
%
$
2.5B
14.6
%
$
2.2B
$
2.31
Year/Year
5
%
(1)
4
%
(0.5)
Pts
3
%
(0.3)
Pts
26
%
26
%
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
$
10.0B
58.5
%
$
3.3B
19.3
%
$
2.8B
$
2.95
Year/Year
4
%
(0.2)
Pts
9
%
0.7
Pts
12
%
11
%
(1) 6% at constant currency.
“Demand across our portfolio combined with strong operational execution led to accelerated growth and solid operating pre-tax margin expansion in the quarter," said James Kavanaugh, IBM senior vice president and chief financial officer. "Just as we are helping clients extract value from their operations with Super Intelligence, we are driving tangible returns through our productivity initiatives inside IBM. This approach fuels profit and free cash flow growth and enables us to continue to invest in our business while returning value to shareholders through our dividend.”
Segment Results for Third Quarter
•
Software —
revenues of $7.8 billion, up 8 percent, up 9 percent at constant currency
–
Hybrid Cloud (Red Hat) up 11 percent
–
Automation down 3 percent
–
Data up 19 percent, up 20 percent at constant currency
–
Transaction Processing up 9 percent, up 10 percent at constant currency
•
Consulting —
revenues of $5.3 billion, flat, up 2 percent at constant currency
–
Strategy and Technology up 2 percent, up 4 percent at constant currency
–
Intelligent Operations down 2 percent, flat at constant currency
•
Infrastructure —
revenues of $3.7 billion, up 4 percent, up 5 percent at constant currency
–
Hybrid Infrastructure up 8 percent, up 9 percent at constant currency
•
IBM Z down 20 percent, down 19 percent at constant currency
•
Distributed Infrastructure up 31 percent, up 32 percent at constant currency
–
Infrastructure Support down 3 percent, down 2 percent at constant currency
•
Financing —
revenues of $0.2 billion, down 4 percent, down 3 percent at constant currency
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
In the third quarter, the company generated net cash from operating activities of $4.0 billion, up $0.9 billion year to year. IBM’s free cash flow was $3.0 billion, up $0.7 billion year to year. The company returned $1.6 billion to shareholders in dividends in the third quarter.
For the first nine months of the year, the company generated net cash from operating activities of $11.8 billion, up $2.6 billion year to year. IBM's free cash flow was $7.8 billion, up $0.6 billion year to year.
IBM ended the third quarter with $11.1 billion of cash, restricted cash and marketable securities, down $3.4 billion from year-end 2025. The company invested $11.4 billion in acquisitions this year. Debt, including IBM Financing debt of $12.7 billion, totaled $63.8 billion, up $2.6 billion year to date.
Full-Year 2026 Expectations
•
Revenue: The company continues to expect full-year constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent. At current foreign exchange rates, currency is expected to be neutral to growth for the year
•
Free cash flow: The company now expects full-year free cash flow to increase by more than $1 billion year-over-year
Dividend Declaration
The IBM board of directors approved a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.69 per common share, to stockholders of record on November 10, 2026. With payment of the December 10, 2026 dividend, IBM will have paid consecutive quarterly dividends every year since 1916.
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
Except for the historical information and discussions contained herein, statements contained in this release may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on the company’s current assumptions regarding future business and financial performance. These statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, including, but not limited to, the following: a downturn in economic environment and client spending budgets; a failure of the company’s innovation initiatives; damage to the company’s reputation; risks from investing in growth opportunities; failure of the company’s intellectual property portfolio to prevent competitive offerings and the failure of the company to obtain necessary licenses; the company’s ability to successfully manage acquisitions, alliances and divestitures, including integration challenges, failure to achieve objectives, the assumption or retention of liabilities and higher debt levels; fluctuations in financial results; impact of local
legal, economic, political, health and other conditions; the company’s failure to meet growth and productivity objectives; ineffective internal controls; the company’s use of accounting estimates; impairment of the company’s goodwill or amortizable intangible assets; the company’s ability to attract and retain key employees and its reliance on critical skills; impacts of relationships with critical suppliers; product and service quality issues; the development and use of AI, including the company's increased AI solutions and use of AI technologies; impacts of business with government clients; reliance on third party distribution channels and ecosystems; cybersecurity and data protection considerations; adverse effects related to climate change and other environmental matters; tax matters; legal proceedings and investigatory risks; the company’s pension plans; currency fluctuations and customer financing risks; impact of changes in market liquidity conditions and customer credit risk on receivables; risk factors related to IBM securities; and other risks, uncertainties and factors discussed in the company’s Form 10-Qs, Form 10-K and in the company’s other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or in materials incorporated therein by reference.
Any forward-looking statement in this release speaks only as of the date on which it is made. Except as required by law, the company assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Presentation of Information in this Press Release
In an effort to provide investors with additional information regarding the company’s results as determined by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the company has also disclosed in this press release the following non-GAAP information, which management believes provides useful information to investors:
•
adjusting for currency (i.e., at constant currency);
•
presenting operating (non-GAAP) earnings per share amounts and related income statement items;
•
free cash flow;
•
net cash from operating activities excluding IBM Financing receivables;
•
adjusted EBITDA;
•
adjusted EBITDA margin.
The rationale for management’s use of these non-GAAP measures is included in Exhibit 99.2 in the Form 8-K that includes this press release and is being submitted today to the SEC.
Conference Call and Webcast
IBM’s regular quarterly earnings conference call is scheduled to begin at 5:00 p.m. ET, today. The Webcast may be accessed via a link at https://www.ibm.com/investor/events/earnings-3q26.
Presentation charts will be available shortly before the Webcast.
Financial Results Below
(certain amounts may not add due to use of rounded numbers; percentages presented are calculated from the underlying whole-dollar amounts).
Contact:
IBM
Tim Davidson, 914-844-7847
tfdavids@us.ibm.com
Erin McElwee, 347-920-6825
erin.mcelwee@ibm.com
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
COMPARATIVE FINANCIAL RESULTS
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
REVENUE BY SEGMENT
Software
$
7,804
$
7,209
$
22,617
$
20,932
Consulting
5,335
5,324
15,934
15,706
Infrastructure
3,707
3,559
10,868
10,586
Financing
192
200
598
557
Other
66
38
165
68
TOTAL REVENUE
17,103
16,331
50,182
47,849
GROSS PROFIT
9,714
9,360
28,571
27,369
GROSS PROFIT MARGIN
Software
82.5
%
83.1
%
82.6
%
83.5
%
Consulting
27.4
%
29.3
%
27.9
%
28.0
%
Infrastructure
56.7
%
57.2
%
57.4
%
57.7
%
Financing
40.7
%
45.6
%
42.2
%
45.7
%
TOTAL GROSS PROFIT MARGIN
56.8
%
57.3
%
56.9
%
57.2
%
EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME
SG&A
4,620
4,748
14,691
14,661
R&D
2,378
2,082
6,863
6,129
Intellectual property and custom development income
(164)
(219)
(501)
(687)
Other (income) and expense
(109)
(173)
(296)
(376)
Interest expense
491
492
1,451
1,457
TOTAL EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME
7,217
6,931
22,208
21,184
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS
BEFORE INCOME TAXES
2,497
2,430
6,363
6,185
Pre-tax income margin
14.6
%
14.9
%
12.7
%
12.9
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes
298
686
782
1,193
Effective tax rate
11.9
%
28.2
%
12.3
%
19.3
%
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS
$
2,199
$
1,744
$
5,581
$
4,992
DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS
Income from discontinued operations, net of taxes
(10)
0
(10)
1
NET INCOME
$
2,190
$
1,744
$
5,571
$
4,993
EARNINGS PER SHARE OF COMMON STOCK
Assuming dilution
Continuing operations
$
2.31
$
1.84
$
5.86
$
5.27
Discontinued operations
$
(0.01)
$
0.00
$
(0.01)
$
0.00
TOTAL
$
2.30
$
1.84
$
5.85
$
5.27
Basic
Continuing operations
$
2.33
$
1.87
$
5.93
$
5.36
Discontinued operations
$
(0.01)
$
0.00
$
(0.01)
$
0.00
TOTAL
$
2.32
$
1.87
$
5.92
$
5.36
WEIGHTED-AVERAGE NUMBER OF COMMON SHARES OUTSTANDING (M’s)
Assuming dilution
953.5
948.9
953.0
947.4
Basic
944.4
933.9
941.4
930.9
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(Unaudited)
($ in millions)
At September 30,
2026
At December 31,
2025
ASSETS:
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
9,233
$
13,587
Restricted cash
48
54
Marketable securities
1,825
830
Notes and accounts receivable - trade, net
5,794
8,112
Short-term financing receivables
Held for investment, net
5,638
7,344
Held for sale
774
1,131
Other accounts receivable, net
1,673
1,052
Inventories
1,945
1,220
Deferred costs
1,177
1,084
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
3,083
2,530
Total current assets
31,192
36,944
Property, plant and equipment, net
6,043
5,899
Operating right-of-use assets, net
3,114
3,129
Long-term financing receivables, net
6,844
7,708
Prepaid pension assets
7,715
7,544
Deferred costs
808
825
Deferred taxes
8,827
8,610
Goodwill
74,916
67,717
Intangibles, net
13,603
11,391
Investments and sundry assets
1,950
2,112
Total assets
$
155,011
$
151,880
LIABILITIES:
Current Liabilities:
Taxes
$
1,867
$
2,347
Short-term debt
7,013
6,424
Accounts payable
4,491
4,756
Compensation and benefits
3,668
4,114
Deferred income
15,164
16,101
Operating lease liabilities
749
800
Other liabilities
3,534
4,116
Total current liabilities
36,485
38,658
Long-term debt
56,804
54,836
Retirement-related obligations
8,452
9,018
Deferred income
4,318
4,271
Operating lease liabilities
2,574
2,547
Other liabilities
10,172
9,810
Total liabilities
118,805
119,139
EQUITY:
IBM stockholders’ equity:
Common stock
65,137
63,318
Retained earnings
156,576
155,648
Treasury stock - at cost
(171,191)
(170,605)
Accumulated other comprehensive income/(loss)
(14,985)
(15,713)
Total IBM stockholders’ equity
35,537
32,648
Noncontrolling interests
669
93
Total equity
36,206
32,740
Total liabilities and equity
$
155,011
$
151,880
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
($ in millions)
2026
2025
(1)
2026
2025
(1)
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income
$
2,190
$
1,744
$
5,571
$
4,993
Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation
(2)
550
583
1,638
1,698
Amortization of capitalized software and acquired intangible assets
828
699
2,363
2,027
Stock-based compensation
535
444
1,539
1,285
Net (gain)/loss on divestitures, asset sales and other
(47)
(6)
(124)
(46)
Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of acquisitions/divestitures
(31)
(383)
804
(804)
Net cash provided by operating activities
4,025
3,081
11,791
9,153
Cash flows from investing activities:
Payments for property, plant and equipment
(332)
(255)
(793)
(709)
Proceeds from disposition of property, plant and equipment/other
29
7
60
118
Investment in software
(154)
(162)
(467)
(476)
Purchases of marketable securities and other investments
(1,898)
(1,169)
(4,769)
(8,910)
Proceeds from disposition of marketable securities and other investments
640
1,199
3,763
6,162
Acquisition of businesses, net of cash acquired
(884)
(58)
(11,364)
(7,903)
Divestiture of businesses, net of cash transferred
28
-
30
(1)
Net cash provided by/(used in) investing activities
(2,570)
(437)
(13,539)
(11,719)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Proceeds from new debt
1,978
6
9,415
8,391
Payments to settle debt
(120)
(1,114)
(7,261)
(3,679)
Short-term borrowings/(repayments) less than 90 days - net
2
0
3
(29)
Common stock repurchases for tax withholdings
(352)
(414)
(817)
(851)
Proceeds from issuance of shares
143
134
562
535
Noncontrolling interest transactions
(3)
575
-
557
(15)
Financing - other
(3)
(24)
(54)
(98)
(93)
Cash dividends paid
(1,596)
(1,569)
(4,762)
(4,681)
Net cash provided by/(used in) financing activities
607
(3,012)
(2,402)
(423)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
3
(59)
(209)
429
Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
2,064
(426)
(4,359)
(2,561)
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at the beginning of the period
7,217
12,026
13,640
14,160
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at the end of the period
$
9,282
$
11,600
$
9,282
$
11,600
(1) Reclassified to align with the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows presentation.
(2) Includes operating lease right-of-use assets amortization.
(3) Prior-year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the change in 2026 presentation.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
($ in billions)
2026
2025
Yr/Yr
2026
2025
Yr/Yr
Net income as reported (GAAP)
$
2.2
$
1.7
$
0.4
$
5.6
$
5.0
$
0.6
Less: income from discontinued operations, net of tax
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Income from continuing operations
2.2
1.7
0.5
5.6
5.0
0.6
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes from continuing ops.
0.3
0.7
(0.4)
0.8
1.2
(0.4)
Pre-tax income from continuing operations (GAAP)
2.5
2.4
0.1
6.4
6.2
0.2
Non-operating adjustments (before tax)
Acquisition-related charges
(1)
0.7
0.6
0.1
2.1
1.7
0.3
Non-operating retirement-related costs/(income)
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
Operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing ops.
3.3
3.0
0.3
8.7
8.0
0.7
Net interest expense
0.4
0.3
0.1
1.1
0.9
0.2
Depreciation/amortization of non-acquired intangible assets
0.7
0.7
0.0
2.1
2.1
0.0
Stock-based compensation
0.5
0.4
0.1
1.5
1.3
0.3
Workforce rebalancing charges
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.4
0.0
Corporate (gains) and charges
(2)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(0.2)
0.0
(0.2)
Adjusted EBITDA
$
4.9
$
4.6
$
0.3
$
13.7
$
12.7
$
1.0
Revenue
$
17.1
$
16.3
5
%
$
50.2
$
47.8
5
%
GAAP net income margin
12.8
%
10.7
%
2.1pts
11.1
%
10.4
%
0.7pts
Adjusted EBITDA margin
28.7
%
28.0
%
0.6pts
27.2
%
26.5
%
0.8pts
(1) Primarily consists of amortization of acquired intangible assets.
(2) Primarily consists of unique corporate actions such as gains on divestitures and asset sales.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
SEGMENT DATA
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, 2026
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$
7,804
$
5,335
$
3,707
$
192
Segment profit
$
2,734
$
653
$
715
$
108
Segment profit margin
35.0
%
12.2
%
19.3
%
56.1
%
Change YTY revenue
8.2
%
0.2
%
4.2
%
(3.9)
%
Change YTY revenue - constant currency
8.7
%
1.8
%
4.9
%
(3.3)
%
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$
7,209
$
5,324
$
3,559
$
200
Segment profit
$
2,374
$
686
$
644
$
123
Segment profit margin
32.9
%
12.9
%
18.1
%
61.6
%
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$
22,617
$
15,934
$
10,868
$
598
Segment Profit
$
7,335
$
1,858
$
2,074
$
334
Segment Profit Margin
32.4
%
11.7
%
19.1
%
55.9
%
Change YTY Revenue
8.1
%
1.5
%
2.7
%
7.3
%
Change YTY Revenue - Constant Currency
7.0
%
1.2
%
1.9
%
5.7
%
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025
($ in millions)
Software
Consulting
Infrastructure
Financing
Revenue
$
20,932
$
15,706
$
10,586
$
557
Segment Profit
$
6,517
$
1,807
$
1,857
$
371
Segment Profit Margin
31.1
%
11.5
%
17.5
%
66.5
%
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
U.S. GAAP TO OPERATING (Non-GAAP) RESULTS RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Three Months Ended September 30, 2026
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments
(1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments
(2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
Gross profit
$
9,714
$
289
$
—
$
—
$
10,004
Gross profit margin
56.8
%
1.7
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.5
%
SG&A
$
4,620
$
(428)
$
—
$
—
$
4,193
Other (income) & expense
(109)
0
(91)
—
(200)
Total expense & other (income)
7,217
(418)
(91)
—
6,708
Pre-tax income from continuing operations
2,497
707
91
—
3,295
Pre-tax margin from continuing operations
14.6
%
4.1
pts
0.5
pts
—
pts
19.3
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes
(3)
$
298
$
166
$
20
—
$
483
Effective tax rate
11.9
%
2.5
pts
0.3
pts
—
pts
14.7
%
Income from continuing operations
$
2,199
$
542
$
71
$
—
$
2,812
Income margin from continuing operations
12.9
%
3.2
pts
0.4
pts
—
pts
16.4
%
Diluted earnings per share: continuing operations
$
2.31
$
0.57
$
0.07
$
—
$
2.95
Three Months Ended September 30, 2025
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments
(1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments
(2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
Gross profit
$
9,360
$
231
$
—
$
—
$
9,591
Gross profit margin
57.3
%
1.4
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.7
%
SG&A
$
4,748
$
(354)
$
—
$
—
$
4,394
Other (income) & expense
(173)
(6)
(13)
—
(191)
Total expense & other (income)
6,931
(359)
(13)
—
6,559
Pre-tax income from continuing operations
2,430
590
13
—
3,033
Pre-tax margin from continuing operations
14.9
%
3.6
pts
0.1
pts
—
pts
18.6
%
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes
(3)
$
686
$
136
$
3
$
(309)
$
516
Effective tax rate
28.2
%
(1.0)
pts
0.0
pts
(10.2)
pts
17.0
%
Income from continuing operations
$
1,744
$
454
$
10
$
309
$
2,517
Income margin from continuing operations
10.7
%
2.8
pts
0.1
pts
1.9
pts
15.4
%
Diluted earnings per share: continuing operations
$
1.84
$
0.48
$
0.01
$
0.33
$
2.65
(1)
Includes amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related charges such as in-process research and development, transaction costs, applicable retention, restructuring and related expenses, tax charges related to acquisition integration, and pre-closing charges, such as financing costs.
(2)
Includes amortization of prior service costs, interest cost, expected return on plan assets, amortized actuarial gains/losses, the impacts of any plan curtailments/settlements and pension insolvency costs and other costs.
(3)
The tax impact on operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing operations is calculated under the same accounting principles applied to the GAAP pre-tax income.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
U.S. GAAP TO OPERATING (Non-GAAP) RESULTS RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited; $ in millions except per share amounts)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments
(1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments
(2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
Gross Profit
$
28,571
$
813
$
—
$
—
$
29,384
Gross Profit Margin
56.9
%
1.6
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.6
%
SG&A
$
14,691
$
(1,257)
$
—
$
—
$
13,435
Other (Income) & Expense
(296)
1
(283)
—
(578)
Total Expense & Other (Income)
22,208
(1,256)
(283)
—
20,669
Pre-tax Income from Continuing Operations
6,363
2,069
283
—
8,715
Pre-tax Margin from Continuing Operations
12.7
%
4.1
pts
0.6
pts
—
pts
17.4
%
Provision for/(Benefit from) Income Taxes
(3)
$
782
$
470
$
43
$
(6)
$
1,290
Effective Tax Rate
12.3
%
2.5
pts
0.1
pts
(0.1)
pts
14.8
%
Income from Continuing Operations
$
5,581
$
1,598
$
240
$
6
$
7,425
Income Margin from Continuing Operations
11.1
%
3.2
pts
0.5
pts
0.0
pts
14.8
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Continuing Operations
$
5.86
$
1.68
$
0.25
$
0.01
$
7.79
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2025
Continuing Operations
GAAP
Acquisition-
Related
Adjustments
(1)
Retirement-
Related
Adjustments
(2)
Tax
Reform
Impacts
Operating
(Non-GAAP)
Gross Profit
$
27,369
$
657
$
—
$
—
$
28,025
Gross Profit Margin
57.2
%
1.4
pts
—
pts
—
pts
58.6
%
SG&A
$
14,661
$
(1,055)
$
—
$
—
$
13,606
Other (Income) & Expense
(376)
(7)
(61)
—
(444)
Total Expense & Other (Income)
21,184
(1,066)
(61)
—
20,058
Pre-tax Income from Continuing Operations
6,185
1,723
61
—
7,968
Pre-tax Margin from Continuing Operations
12.9
%
3.6
pts
0.1
pts
—
pts
16.7
%
Provision for/(Benefit from) Income Taxes
(3)
$
1,193
$
396
$
0
$
(307)
$
1,282
Effective Tax Rate
19.3
%
0.8
pts
(0.2)
pts
(3.9)
pts
16.1
%
Income from Continuing Operations
$
4,992
$
1,326
$
61
$
307
$
6,686
Income Margin from Continuing Operations
10.4
%
2.8
pts
0.1
pts
0.6
pts
14.0
%
Diluted Earnings Per Share: Continuing Operations
$
5.27
$
1.40
$
0.06
$
0.32
$
7.06
(1)
Includes amortization of acquired intangible assets, and acquisition-related charges such as in-process research and development, transaction costs, applicable retention, restructuring and related expenses, tax charges related to acquisition integration, and pre-closing charges, such as financing costs.
(2)
Includes amortization of prior service costs, interest cost, expected return on plan assets, amortized actuarial gains/losses, the impacts of any plan curtailments/settlements and pension insolvency costs and other costs.
(3)
The tax impact on operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income from continuing operations is calculated under the same accounting principles applied to the GAAP pre-tax income.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP OPERATING CASH FLOW TO FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
($ in millions)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net cash provided by operating activities per GAAP
$
4,025
$
3,081
$
11,791
$
9,153
Less: change in IBM Financing receivables
541
298
2,805
905
Net cash from operating activities excl. IBM Financing receivables
3,484
2,783
8,986
8,248
Capital expenditures, net
(457)
(410)
(1,200)
(1,067)
Free cash flow
$
3,027
$
2,373
$
7,787
$
7,181
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
GAAP OPERATING CASH FLOW TO ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
September 30,
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
($ in billions)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Net cash provided by operating activities
$
4.0
$
3.1
$
11.8
$
9.2
Add:
Net interest expense
0.4
0.3
1.1
0.9
Provision for/(benefit from) income taxes from continuing operations
0.3
0.7
0.8
1.2
Less change in:
Financing receivables
0.5
0.3
2.8
0.9
Net (gain)/loss on divestitures, assets sales and other
(1)
0.0
0.0
(0.1)
0.0
Other assets and liabilities/other, net
(1,2)
(0.7)
(0.8)
(2.6)
(2.2)
Adjusted EBITDA
$
4.9
$
4.6
$
13.7
$
12.7
Revenue
$
17.1
$
16.3
$
50.2
$
47.8
Net cash provided by operating activities margin
23.5
%
18.9
%
23.5
%
19.1
%
Adjusted EBITDA margin
28.7
%
28.0
%
27.2
%
26.5
%
(1)
Reclassified to align with the presentation of similar line items in the Statement of Cash Flows.
(2)
Mainly consists of Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of acquisitions/divestitures in the Statement of Cash Flows chart, workforce rebalancing charges, non-operating impacts, and corporate (gains) and charges, less the change in Financing receivables.

----- ibm-20261021xex992.htm -----
EX-99.2
3
ibm-20261021xex992.htm
EX-99.2
Document
Exhibit 99.2
Non-GAAP Metrics and Other Financial Information
Operating (non-GAAP) Earnings Per Share and Related Income Statement Items
In an effort to provide better transparency into the operational results of the business, supplementally, the company separates business results into operating and non-operating categories. Operating earnings from continuing operations is a non-GAAP measure that excludes the effects of certain acquisition-related charges and intangible asset amortization, expense resulting from basis differences on equity method investments, retirement-related costs and their related tax impacts. Due to the unique, non-recurring nature of the enactment of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA or U.S. tax reform), the company characterizes the one-time provisional charge recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017, and adjustments to that charge, as non-operating. Adjustments include the tax effect of true-ups, audit adjustments, accounting elections and new regulations, or laws (e.g., H.R. 1 in July of 2025) that impact the TCJA provisions which resulted in the one-time provisional charge. For acquisitions, operating (non-GAAP) earnings exclude the amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related charges such as in-process research and development, transaction costs, applicable retention, restructuring and related expenses, tax charges related to acquisition integration, and pre-closing charges, such as financing costs. These charges are excluded as they may be inconsistent in amount and timing from period to period and are significantly impacted by the size, type and frequency of the company’s acquisitions. All other spending for acquired companies is included in both earnings from continuing operations and in operating (non-GAAP) earnings. For retirement-related costs, the company characterizes certain items as operating and others as non-operating, consistent with GAAP. The company includes defined benefit plan and nonpension postretirement benefit plan service costs, multi-employer plan costs and the cost of defined contribution plans in operating earnings. Non-operating retirement-related costs include defined benefit plan and nonpension postretirement benefit plan amortization of prior service costs, interest cost, expected return on plan assets, amortized actuarial gains/losses, the impacts of any plan curtailments/settlements and pension insolvency costs and other costs. Non-operating retirement-related costs are primarily related to changes in pension plan assets and liabilities which are tied to financial market performance, and the company considers these costs to be outside of the operational performance of the business.
Overall, the company believes that supplementally providing investors with a view of operating earnings as described above provides increased transparency and clarity into both the operational results of the business and the performance of the company’s pension plans; improves visibility to management decisions and their impacts on operational performance; enables better comparison to peer companies; and allows the company to provide a long-term strategic view of the business going forward. In addition, these non-GAAP measures provide a perspective consistent with areas of interest the company routinely receives from investors and analysts.
Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) and adjusted EBITDA margin
Additionally, the company reports adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin which, in addition to the operating (non-GAAP) earnings adjustments described above, also excludes income/(loss) from discontinued operations, income tax expense, net interest expense, depreciation/amortization of non-acquired intangible assets including operating lease right-of-use assets, stock-based compensation, and certain other activity that is not reflective of the company’s ongoing operational results such as workforce rebalancing charges and corporate gains and charges. Adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing adjusted EBITDA by total revenue. The company uses adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin to measure its operating performance and believes that supplementally providing adjusted EBITDA will provide investors with additional transparency and clarity into
how the company’s operational profitability is driving its free cash flow results.
Free Cash Flow / Net Cash from Operating Activities Excluding IBM Financing Receivables
The company uses free cash flow as a measure to evaluate its operating results, strategic investments, plan shareholder return levels and assess its ability and need to incur and service debt. The entire free cash flow amount is not necessarily available for discretionary expenditures. The company defines free cash flow as net cash from operating activities less the change in Financing receivables and net capital expenditures, including the investment in software and other asset sales. A key objective of the Financing business is to generate strong returns on equity, and our Financing receivables are the basis for that growth. Accordingly, management considers Financing receivables as a profit-generating investment, not as working capital that should be minimized for efficiency. Therefore, management presents both free cash flow and net cash from operating activities that exclude the effect of Financing receivables. Free cash flow guidance is derived using an estimate of profit, working capital and operational cash flows. Since the company views Financing receivables as a profit-generating investment which it seeks to maximize, it is not considered when formulating guidance for free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA. As a result, the company does not estimate a GAAP net cash from operations expectation metric.
Constant Currency
When the company refers to growth rates at constant currency or adjusts such growth rates for currency, it is done so that certain financial results can be viewed without the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, thereby facilitating period-to-period comparisons of its business performance. Financial results adjusted for currency are calculated by translating current period activity in local currency using the comparable prior year period’s currency conversion rate. This approach is used for countries where the functional currency is the local currency. Generally, when the dollar either strengthens or weakens against other currencies, the growth at constant currency rates or adjusting for currency will be higher or lower than growth reported at actual exchange rates.
Key Performance Indicators
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR):
ARR is a key performance metric management uses to assess the health and growth trajectory of our Software segment and is calculated by using the current quarter’s recurring revenue and then multiplying that value by four. This value includes the following consumption models: (1) software subscription agreements, including committed term licenses, (2) as-a-service arrangements such as SaaS and PaaS, and (3) maintenance and support contracts. ARR should be viewed independently of software revenue as this performance metric and its inputs may not represent revenue that will be recognized in future periods.
Red Hat Annual Bookings:
Annual bookings (or Annual Contract Value (ACV)) is a key performance metric management uses in its assessment of a customer's commitment under Red Hat subscription and services contracts and provides an indication of forward-looking Red Hat revenue trajectory. It represents the value of a contract over a 12-month period, as of the date of contract signing. Annual bookings is calculated by taking the total subscription and service contract value divided by the number of days in the contract, multiplied by 365, plus the revenue recognized in the quarter for select cloud based offerings. Annual bookings should be viewed independently of revenue as this performance metric and its inputs may not represent the amount of revenue recognized in the period. For example, the conversion of annual bookings to revenue may vary based on types of services, customer decisions, start dates, and other factors. Therefore, annual bookings is not intended to represent current period revenue or revenue that will be recognized in future periods.
GenAI Book of Business:
Generative AI (GenAI) book of business is a key performance metric management uses to assess the progress and growth of the company's AI strategy and offerings. It is calculated as inception to date Software transactional revenue, plus new SaaS Annual Contract Value and Consulting signings related to specific offerings. Since second-quarter 2023, approximately one-fifth of this book of business comes from Software, and the remaining four-fifths is Consulting. Our book of business reflects the value we are delivering to clients in two ways. First, we are partnering with our clients to design and scale AI solutions, whether that be leveraging AI capabilities of IBM, our partners, or a combination of both. Second, we are utilizing generative AI solutions to improve delivery by developing new ways of working and driving productivity within our client contracts. GenAI book of business should be viewed independently of revenue as this performance metric is not intended to represent current period revenue or revenue that will be recognized in future periods.

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  1. de9126c31e · 2026-10-22 07:32 · doubao / doubao-seed-evolving-latest-version · 策略包 658c0c1e2ba5当前