🇺🇸 SECALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.Doubao · 实盘不做把握 5/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 05:09:36·⟳ 抓取 05:09:58 +22s·⚡ 决策 10-21 05:13:06 +3m08s·6.5 天前
阿拉斯加航空Q3核心EPS $0.36高于区间中段,但因燃油超支将全年调整后EPS指引下调至亏损$5.50–$5.00
全年/Q4指引转亏且差于市场此前约-$2.20的全年预期,构成实质指引下修;但属外生燃油冲击、核心商业动能强劲(RASM +11.7%、9月收益率+17%)、股价20日已跌18%且盘后仅跌约1.8%显示市场已大幅消化,做空追空edge不足,做多又面临亏损指引与杠杆攀升,方向冲突下无正期望。
📄 原文ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.↗ 原文
----- alk-20261020.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REP…
不做 Alaska Air Group, Inc.(ALK.US)
指引大幅转亏(全年-$5.00至-$5.50、Q4-$2.00至-$2.50)构成实质利空,但属外生燃油、核心商业动能强劲,股价20日已跌18%、盘后仅-1.8%且冲高回落,做空追空edge不足;同时亏损指引与5.5倍杠杆使做多无依据,电话会(10月21日11:30 ET)前方向不明,不做。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
结论摘要
ALK Q3核心盈利$0.36符合指引、营收与单位收入强劲,但燃油成本迫使全年指引转为每股亏$5.00–$5.50、Q4亏$2.00–$2.50,杠杆升至5.5倍;股价此前已跌18%、盘后仅-1.8%,利空与强劲商业面互相抵消,多空均无清晰edge,回避。
🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-20 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 medium ↗
消息传播链
- 节点
关键理由
- 做空侧:全年EPS指引(-$5.00至-$5.50)显著差于财报前市场约-$2.20的建模,且为正式下修,净债务/EBITDAR升至5.5倍。
- 不做空的关键对冲:Q3核心EPS $0.36、RASM +11.7%、9月收益率+17%证明需求强劲,亏损几乎全部来自外生燃油,盘后仅-1.8%显示市场未把指引当新增重大利空。
主要风险
- 10月21日11:30 ET电话会若强调2027年盈利恢复或运力收缩,可能引发空头挤压式反弹;油价回落也会快速扭转亏损指引。
- 若电话会披露夏威夷整合不及预期或额外流动性压力,则盘后-1.8%的温和反应可能被证明为严重低估,下行风险延续。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-20 · 影响 weakens
Q3营收+14%、RASM +11.7%、9月收益率+约17%、高端收入+25%、忠诚现金对价+21%至7.21亿、商务收入+30%,需求与单位收入强劲,亏损由外生燃油主导。
检索:Alaska Air Q3 2026 RASM strength premium loyalty international growth analyst upside 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-10-20 · 影响 weakens
股价20个交易日累计-18%、距52周高点-43%,盘后财报后仅-1.8%且一度翻红,显示利空已大部分定价、追空赔率差。
检索:ALK stock price decline fuel costs pre-earnings September October 2026 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不足与温和盘后反应共同支持不追空、不抄底,直接以AVOID处理而非用猜测幅度开仓。
方向:本轮未取得可核验首发锚的航空业指引下修先例面板;自家案例库显示2026年7月Q2燃油亏损系列共7条相关决策全部为不做,提示燃油驱动的亏损消息在ALK上历史上缺乏可交易追空edge。
涨幅量级:缺乏高相似对齐先例,不用任何外部数字设定止盈止损;唯一实时校准是盘后仅约-1.8%的反应。
形态:盘后冲高(+1%)后回落至-1.8%,叠加财报前20日-18%,符合“利空已知、财报当日见光后承接有限但无恐慌”的形态。
工具执行结果 · 成功 4 · 降级 0 · 失败 0 · 取消 0
- search_processed_events 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 14 ms
{"result": "search_processed_events:agent query=`alaska air group alk q3 2026 earnings results third quarter | alaska air group full year adjusted loss per share guidance fuel headwind | alk q4 2026 guidance loss per share $4.65 `;结构化索引覆盖完整 72 小时;旧记录兼容扫描近 0.0/72 小时、0 条本臂决策(完整),返回 0 条候选。未命中只表示这些 agen - stock_quote 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 1,265 ms
{ - search_case_library 成功 stock_tools HTTP · 18 ms
{"result": "search_case_library「ALK.US」—— 与这些标的相关、事件类型=财报/业绩预告的自家决策案例(本页 7 条,该标的全历史相关记录共 31 条;ENTER 只按该标的自己的腿统计):\n◆ ALK.US:相关历史决策 31 条 · 其中该标的 ENTER 0 条(0.0%) · 我们从没在这只票上 ENTER 过\n【对所查标的真 ENTER 过的:0 条 —— 相关案例里没有该标的自己的 ENTER 腿】\n【最近 7 条其它决策(多为「不做」,用来看这票最近在被什么消息刷屏)】\n• 2026-07-23 UTC 不做 — Item 2.02 R - web_search 成功 doubao_search · 1,266 ms
豆包搜索结果(原始查询:Alaska Air Group ALK Q3 2026 earnings full year loss guidance analyst reaction;API SearchType:web)
原文全文
展开原文 · 33,164 字
----- alk-20261020.htm -----
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
October 20, 2026
(Date of earliest event reported)
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Delaware
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
1-8957
91-1292054
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
19300 International Boulevard
Seattle
Washington
98188
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
(Zip Code)
(
206
)
392-5040
(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (
see
General Instruction A.2. below):
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Ticker Symbol
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common stock, $0.01 par value
ALK
New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).
☐
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com
ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations And Financial Condition
On October 20, 2026, Alaska Air Group issued a press release reporting financial results for the third quarter of 2026. The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1.
ITEM 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure
Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), Air Group is submitting this press release. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item, including all Exhibits, shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.
ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Other Exhibits
Exhibit 99.1
Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Press Release dated October 20, 2026
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document
Signature
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
Registrant
Date: October 20, 2026
/s/ EMILY HALVERSON
Emily Halverson
Vice President Finance, Controller, and Treasurer
----- ex99110202026earningsrelea.htm -----
EX-99.1
2
ex99110202026earningsrelea.htm
THIRD QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE
Document
Exhibit 99.1
October 20, 2026
Media contact:
Investor/analyst contact:
Media Relations
Ryan St. John
newsroom@alaskaair.com
VP Finance, Planning and Investor Relations
ALKInvestorRelations@alaskaair.com
Alaska Air Group reports third quarter 2026 results
Reported loss per share of ($1.32), and adjusted earnings per share, excluding certain tax impacts, of $0.36
Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with
one
world and global partners
New service to Osaka and Papeete expands Seattle's nonstop international network to 9 of 15 planned routes by 2030
SEATTLE — Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK) today reported financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2026.
"At Investor Day, we laid out a clear strategy for building a stronger, more diversified business, and we're executing it: growing premium, international, cargo and Atmos Rewards, and investing in the guest experience,” said Alaska Air Group CEO Ben Minicucci. “Those are the things that earn guest loyalty, diversify our revenue and ultimately drive stronger earnings. While we’re not satisfied with this quarter’s result or the $1.8 billion fuel headwind this year, we are confident in our ability to execute on the things we can control, including increasing the spread between unit revenue and unit costs excluding fuel."
Quarter in Review:
Air Group reported third quarter Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) pretax margin of 0.4% and GAAP net loss of ($147) million, or ($1.32) per share. Air Group's third quarter adjusted pretax margin was 1.1% and adjusted net loss was ($35) million, or ($0.31) per share. Excluding certain tax impacts, Air Group's third quarter adjusted net income was $49 million, or $0.36 per share.
Q3 2026 Results
Prior Expectation
Actual Results
Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025
Up 2% to 3%
Up 2.4%
RASM % change versus 2025
Up low double digits
Up 11.7%
CASMex % change versus 2025
Up low to mid single digits
Up 4.4%
Economic fuel cost per gallon
$3.75
$3.94
Adjusted earnings per share, excluding certain tax impacts
(a)
$0.00 to $1.00
$0.36
(a) These results reflect a Q3 adjusted effective tax rate of 18.4%, or adjusted tax expense of $9 million, versus our original guidance assumption of approximately 35% due to the AETR revision discussed below.
Third quarter results were driven by strong underlying commercial momentum despite a significant fuel headwind. Revenue increased 14% year-over-year to $4.3 billion on 2.4% capacity growth, resulting in unit revenue growth of nearly 12%, despite Hawaiʻi headwinds, pressure from strategic growth markets investments, and rapid international expansion. Yield improved through the quarter, with September yield increasing approximately 17% year-over-year.
Air Group's diversified revenue, which represents operating revenue outside the main cabin, has grown to 54% of total revenue, reflecting progress against our strategic initiatives as we shift towards a more structurally resilient business. Premium revenue grew approximately 25% and represented more than 36% of total revenue, loyalty program cash remuneration grew 21% to $721
1
million, and managed corporate revenue increased 30%. Air Group continued to expand its international network, with the additions of Paris, Athens, Osaka, and Papeete, bringing our Seattle international network to nine routes.
During the third quarter, the Company reduced its estimated annual effective tax rate (AETR) following a change in its full-year outlook from pretax income to a pretax loss, driven primarily by elevated fuel prices. As a result, the Company recorded a cumulative catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses, which reduced third quarter adjusted earnings per share by ($0.67). Excluding this adjustment, third quarter adjusted earnings per share were $0.36.
Fourth Quarter Forecast Information:
Looking ahead, demand remains healthy, with commercial momentum continuing into the fourth quarter. Air Group expects capacity to grow approximately 1% to 1.5% year-over-year, with the increase concentrated in international flying. Unit revenue is expected to increase in the low double digits year-over-year and improve sequentially on a gross basis, supported by continued yield strength. Non-fuel unit costs are expected to increase in the mid-single digits, reflecting lower capacity growth.
Elevated fuel costs are expected to remain a significant headwind to near-term profitability, with our guidance assuming a fourth quarter economic fuel cost of $4.65 to $4.85 per gallon, or $650 million higher than our initial plan. For the full year, we now expect an adjusted loss per share between ($5.50) and ($5.00), inclusive of $1.8 billion in fuel expense above our plan.
Q4 2026 Expectation
Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025
Up 1% to 1.5%
RASM % change versus 2025
Up low double-digits
CASMex % change versus 2025
Up mid single-digits
Economic fuel cost per gallon
$4.65 to $4.85
Adjusted loss per share
(a)
($2.50) to ($2.00)
(a) Q4 loss per share guidance assumes non-operating expense of approximately $70 million, a tax rate of approximately 20%, and shares outstanding of approximately 112.5 million.
Commercial Updates:
•
Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with
one
world and global partners, broadening international connectivity for guests and increasing access to premium worldwide travel opportunities.
•
Unveiled Aurora and Leihōkū by Alaska and Hawaiian, new premium guest experiences designed to elevate travel, featuring spacious lie flat suites, access to exclusive check-in and concierge services, and elevated dining options. Aurora will be featured on Alaska's Boeing 787 fleet and select transcontinental routes operated by new 737-10 MAX aircraft, while Leihōkū will be featured on Hawaiian's A330 fleet.
•
Introduced Premium Reserve, a new premium economy product set to debut in 2028 on Alaska's 787-9, 787-10 and select 737-10 MAX aircraft and on Hawaiian's A330 fleet, offering guests enhanced comfort, space, and choice on longer flights.
Loyalty Updates:
•
Loyalty program cash remuneration grew 21% to $721 million in the third quarter.
•
Beginning in October, Atmos Rewards members can choose how they earn points and status points - by distance traveled, price paid, or segments flown - on flights departing on or after January 1, 2027.
•
Announced enhancements to Atmos Rewards, including expanded card offerings with the launch of an Atmos debit card in early 2027, four new Atmos communities, and additional program partnerships.
2
•
Launched new and improved benefits for Huakaʻi by Hawaiian members, including two free checked bags for Neighbor Island travel and additional ways to earn Atmos Rewards points.
Network Updates:
•
Announced new nonstop service from Seattle to Athens, Paris, Osaka, and Papeete beginning in spring 2027, further strengthening our position as Seattle’s largest international carrier.
•
Announced domestic route expansions, including new routes from Portland to Steamboat Springs, San Diego to Loreto, Mexico and Paine Field to San Jose, alongside increased service from Paine Field to Portland, San Diego and Los Angeles.
Liquidity Updates:
•
Generated $755 million of operating cash flow during the first nine months of 2026.
•
Held $3.3 billion in available liquidity, including unrestricted cash, marketable securities, and undrawn credit facilities.
•
Had approximately $20 billion of unencumbered assets at September 30, 2026, including 134 aircraft and the unencumbered portion of our loyalty program assets.
Other Highlights:
•
Amaresh Siva named Alaska's Chief Information Technology Officer, joining the company from CVS Health. Siva will serve on the company's Executive Committee.
•
Alaska Airlines and Hawaiian Airlines were recognized with the 2026 APEX Five Star Major Airline Award.
•
Alaska Airlines recognized by the Skytrax World Airline Awards as the #1 Cleanest Airline in North America and the #2 Best Regional Airline in North America.
•
SVP of Merchandising and Innovation Charu Jain was recognized as one of Time's 2026 Tech and Data Executives of the Year.
A conference call regarding the third quarter results will be streamed online at 11:30 a.m. EDT/ 8:30 a.m. PDT on October 21, 2026. It can be accessed at www.alaskaair.com/investors. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the conclusion of the call.
References in this update to “Air Group,” “Company,” “we,” “us,” and “our” refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.
This news release may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a discussion of risks and uncertainties that may cause our forward-looking statements to differ materially, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions, increases in operating costs including fuel, uncertainties regarding the ability to successfully integrate operations following the acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. and the ability to realize anticipated cost savings, synergies, or growth from the acquisition, inability to meet cost reduction and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, cybersecurity risks, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.
Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group, and McGee Air Services is a subsidiary of Alaska Airlines. We are a global airline with hubs in Seattle, Honolulu, Portland, Anchorage, Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco. We deliver remarkable care as we fly our guests to more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, the Pacific and Europe. Guests can book travel at alaskaair.com and hawaiianairlines.com. Alaska and Hawaiian are members of the oneworld alliance. Members of our Atmos Rewards loyalty program
3
can earn and redeem points with oneworld airlines and our additional global partners that serve over 1,100 worldwide destinations. Learn more about what’s happening at Alaska and Hawaiian at news.alaskaair.com. Alaska Air Group is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) as “ALK.”
4
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except per share amounts)
2026
2025
Change
2026
2025
Change
Operating Revenue
Passenger revenue
$
3,885
$
3,424
13
%
$
10,449
$
9,587
9
%
Loyalty program other revenue
263
200
32
%
748
617
21
%
Cargo and other revenue
160
142
13
%
476
403
18
%
Total Operating Revenue
4,308
3,766
14
%
11,673
10,607
10
%
Operating Expenses
Wages and benefits
1,287
1,226
5
%
3,768
3,518
7
%
Variable incentive pay
68
71
(4
%)
163
194
(16
%)
Aircraft fuel
1,214
761
60
%
3,315
2,142
55
%
Aircraft maintenance
257
238
8
%
729
698
4
%
Aircraft rent
66
64
3
%
191
190
1
%
Landing fees and other rentals
333
305
9
%
929
825
13
%
Contracted services
163
151
8
%
472
442
7
%
Selling expenses
118
107
10
%
332
312
6
%
Depreciation and amortization
216
203
6
%
627
596
5
%
Food and beverage service
110
100
10
%
312
282
11
%
Third-party regional carrier expense
71
72
(1
%)
195
205
(5
%)
Other
298
256
16
%
903
764
18
%
Special items - operating
25
64
(61
%)
102
211
(52
%)
Total Operating Expenses
4,226
3,618
17
%
12,038
10,379
16
%
Operating Income (Loss)
82
148
(45
%)
(365)
228
NM
Non-operating Income (Expense)
Interest income
22
23
(4
%)
62
71
(13
%)
Interest expense
(97)
(70)
39
%
(259)
(202)
28
%
Interest capitalized
14
8
75
%
37
29
28
%
Other - net
(3)
2
NM
12
(10)
NM
Total Non-operating Expense
(64)
(37)
73
%
(148)
(112)
32
%
Income (Loss) Before Income Tax
18
111
(513)
116
Income tax expense (benefit)
165
38
(97)
37
Net Income (Loss)
$
(147)
$
73
$
(416)
$
79
Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$
(1.32)
$
0.63
$
(3.70)
$
0.66
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$
(1.32)
$
0.62
$
(3.70)
$
0.65
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding used for computation:
Basic
111.611
115.287
112.334
119.061
Diluted
111.611
117.500
112.334
121.193
5
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(in millions, except share amounts)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents
$
835
$
627
Restricted cash
34
28
Marketable securities
1,396
1,496
Receivables - net
656
565
Inventories and supplies - net
249
203
Prepaid expenses
234
278
Other current assets
37
69
Total Current Assets
3,441
3,266
Property and equipment - net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of $5,377 and $4,945
12,280
11,857
Operating lease assets
1,325
1,268
Goodwill
2,723
2,723
Intangible assets - net of accumulated amortization of $116 and $74
773
815
Other noncurrent assets
487
432
Total Noncurrent Assets
17,588
17,095
Total Assets
$
21,029
$
20,361
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Accounts payable
$
443
$
324
Accrued wages, vacation and payroll taxes
853
881
Air traffic liability
2,129
1,689
Other accrued liabilities
1,154
1,055
Deferred revenue
1,854
1,722
Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases
890
721
Current portion of operating lease liabilities
222
197
Total Current Liabilities
7,545
6,589
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion
5,269
4,834
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion
1,138
1,141
Deferred income taxes
909
1,004
Deferred revenue
1,690
1,711
Obligation for pension and post-retirement medical benefits
324
369
Other liabilities
624
595
Total Noncurrent Liabilities
9,954
9,654
Shareholders' Equity
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 5,000,000 shares, none issued or outstanding
—
—
Common stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 400,000,000 shares, Issued: 2026 - 147,152,378 shares; 2025 - 145,115,659 shares, Outstanding: 2026 - 111,631,476 shares; 2025 - 115,530,889 shares
1
1
Capital in excess of par value
1,053
961
Treasury stock (common), at cost: 2026 - 35,520,902 shares; 2025 - 29,584,770 shares
(1,951)
(1,701)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(187)
(173)
Retained earnings
4,614
5,030
Total Shareholders' Equity
3,530
4,118
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
$
21,029
$
20,361
6
SUMMARY CASH FLOW (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(in millions)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026
(a)
Three Months Ended September 30, 2026
(b)
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
Net Loss
$
(416)
$
(269)
$
(147)
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities
691
453
238
Changes in working capital
480
422
58
Net cash provided by operating activities
755
606
149
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
Property and equipment additions
(965)
(523)
(442)
Other investing activities
73
(112)
185
Net cash used in investing activities
(892)
(635)
(257)
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
367
472
(105)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
230
443
(213)
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at beginning of period
684
684
1,127
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the period
$
914
$
1,127
$
914
Reconciliation of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
835
$
1,064
Restricted cash
34
33
Restricted cash included in Other noncurrent assets
45
30
Total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the period
$
914
$
1,127
(a) As reported in Form 10-Q for the second quarter of 2026.
(b) Cash flows for the three months ended September 30, 2026 can be calculated by subtracting cash flows from the six months ended June 30, 2026 from the nine months ended September 30, 2026.
7
OPERATING STATISTICS (unaudited)
A manual recalculation of certain figures using rounded amounts may not agree directly to the actual figures presented in the table below.
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
Change
2026
2025
Change
Consolidated Operating Statistics:
(a)
Revenue passengers (000)
15,706
15,879
(1.1)%
44,095
44,272
(0.4)%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"
20,733
20,739
—%
58,045
58,174
(0.2)%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
25,031
24,447
2.4%
70,907
69,724
1.7%
Load factor
82.8%
84.8%
(2.0) pts
81.9%
83.4%
(1.5) pts
Yield
18.73¢
16.51¢
13.4%
18.00¢
16.48¢
9.2%
PRASM
15.52¢
14.00¢
10.9%
14.74¢
13.75¢
7.2%
RASM
17.21¢
15.41¢
11.7%
16.46¢
15.21¢
8.2%
CASMex
(b)
11.46¢
10.98¢
4.4%
11.71¢
11.08¢
5.7%
Fuel cost per gallon
(c)
$3.94
$2.51
57.0%
$3.81
$2.50
52.4%
Fuel gallons (000,000)
(c)
308
303
1.7%
870
859
1.3%
ASMs per gallon
81.3
80.6
0.9%
81.5
81.1
0.5%
Departures (000)
146.0
144.0
1.4%
410.6
407.4
0.8%
Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs)
32,171
32,590
(1.3)%
31,787
31,221
1.8%
Operating fleet
(d)
424
406
18 a/c
424
406
18 a/c
(a)
Except for FTEs, data includes activity under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier.
(b)
See a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure and Note A for a discussion of the importance of this measure to investors in the accompanying pages.
(c)
Excludes operations under the Air Transportation Services Agreement (ATSA) with Amazon.
(d)
Includes owned and leased aircraft as well as aircraft operated under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier.
8
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
We are providing reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. Amounts in the tables below are rounded to the nearest million. As a result, a manual recalculation of certain figures using these rounded amounts may not agree directly to the amounts presented. These reconciliations include adjustments intended to improve comparability and provide a clearer view of the Company’s core operating performance.
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
primarily reflect unrealized and realized gains or losses resulting from changes in foreign currency exchange rates on certain debt. In 2025, these expenses also included mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments.
Special items - operating
primarily relate to costs associated with the integration of Hawaiian Airlines, including employee-related costs, technology costs, and other merger-related expenses. It also includes certain litigation costs. In 2025, these expenses also included costs related to changes in Alaska flight attendants' sick leave benefits pursuant to a collective bargaining agreement ratified in the first quarter of 2025.
During the third quarter of 2026, the Company revised its full-year outlook from a pretax income to a pretax loss primarily due to elevated fuel prices. This reduced the Company's estimated AETR. Because the Company incurred pretax losses in the first half of 2026, the lower tax rate reduced the expected tax benefit associated with those losses by $75 million. As required under the AETR methodology, this adjustment was recorded in the third quarter and is included in adjusted income tax expense of $84 million. Excluding this adjustment, adjusted income tax expense would have been $9 million and adjusted earnings per share would have been $0.36 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
The $75 million adjustment remains reflected in year-to-date adjusted earnings and will be included in the Company's full-year 2026 adjusted earnings results. Because the adjustment relates entirely to the remeasurement of tax benefits associated with first-half losses, management believes excluding it from third-quarter adjusted earnings improves comparability of current-quarter operating performance.
9
Pretax Income (Loss), Net Income (Loss), and Earnings (Loss) per Share, adjusted
Three Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income (Loss)
Per Share
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income
Per Share
GAAP
$
18
$
165
$
(147)
$
(1.32)
$
111
$
38
$
73
$
0.62
Adjusted for:
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
6
(2)
Special items - operating
25
64
Total adjustments
31
(81)
112
1.01
62
12
50
0.43
Adjusted
$
49
$
84
$
(35)
$
(0.31)
$
173
$
50
$
123
$
1.05
Impact of cumulative catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses
—
75
(75)
(0.67)
Adjusted, excluding certain tax impacts
$
49
$
9
$
40
$
0.36
GAAP pretax margin
0.4
%
2.9
%
Adjusted pretax margin
1.1
%
4.6
%
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Loss Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Loss
Per Share
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income
Per Share
GAAP
$
(513)
$
(97)
$
(416)
$
(3.70)
$
116
$
37
$
79
$
0.65
Adjusted for:
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
(1)
1
Special items - operating
102
211
Total adjustments
101
14
87
0.77
212
48
164
1.36
Adjusted
$
(412)
$
(83)
$
(329)
$
(2.93)
$
328
$
85
$
243
$
2.01
GAAP pretax margin
(4.4)
%
1.1
%
Adjusted pretax margin
(3.5)
%
3.1
%
10
CASMex Reconciliation
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except unit metrics)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Total operating expenses
$
4,226
$
3,618
$
12,038
$
10,379
Less the following components:
Aircraft fuel
1,214
761
3,315
2,142
Freighter costs
53
47
157
136
Performance-based pay
66
62
158
163
Special items - operating
25
64
102
211
Adjusted operating expenses
$
2,868
$
2,684
$
8,306
$
7,727
ASMs
25,031
24,447
70,907
69,724
CASMex
11.46
¢
10.98
¢
11.71
¢
11.08
¢
Adjusted Capital Expenditures Reconciliation
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions)
2026
2025
Aircraft, aircraft purchase deposits, and other flight equipment
$
790
$
744
Other property and equipment
175
219
Capital expenditures
965
963
Adjusted for:
Property and equipment acquired through the issuance of debt
72
69
Proceeds from sales of aircraft and other equipment
(10)
(162)
Adjusted capital expenditures
$
1,027
$
870
Debt-to-capitalization, including leases
(in millions)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion
$
5,269
$
4,834
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion
1,138
1,141
Short-term EETC debt maturing in 2027
512
—
Adjusted debt, net of current portion
(a)
6,919
5,975
Shareholders' equity
3,530
4,118
Total Invested Capital
$
10,449
$
10,093
Debt-to-capitalization ratio, including leases
66
%
59
%
(a) For September 30, 2026, the Company is presenting its short-term EETC debt, maturing in the third quarter of 2027, within its debt-to-capitalization ratio. At December 31, 2025, this debt was included within Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion.
11
Adjusted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating lease expense, and special items
(in millions)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
Long-term debt and finance leases
$
6,159
$
5,555
Operating lease liabilities
1,360
1,338
Adjusted debt
7,519
6,893
Less: Total unrestricted cash and marketable securities
2,231
2,123
Adjusted net debt
$
5,288
$
4,770
(in millions)
Twelve Months Ended September 30, 2026
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2025
Operating Income (Loss)
(a)
$
(290)
$
303
Adjusted for:
Special items - operating
141
250
Gains on foreign debt and other
(5)
(3)
Depreciation and amortization
826
795
Fixed portion of operating lease expense
283
279
EBITDAR
$
955
$
1,624
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR
5.5x
2.9x
(a)
Operating income (loss) can be reconciled using the trailing twelve month operating income as filed quarterly with the SEC.
12
Note A:
Pursuant to Regulation G, we provide reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide meaningful supplemental information to investors for the following reasons:
•
Pretax income (loss), net income (loss), and earnings (loss) per share are presented on an adjusted basis. Adjustments are made for special charges that are unusual or nonrecurring in nature, as well as for gains and losses on foreign debt, as these adjustments enhance comparability of our core operations to prior periods and to the rest of the airline industry.
•
CASMex is a key measure used by management and the Air Group Board of Directors to evaluate cost performance. It is also commonly used by industry analysts to compare airlines. Because U.S. carriers are generally similarly affected by changes in jet fuel prices over the long run, aircraft fuel costs are excluded to focus on more controllable, company-specific cost drivers. Costs related to freighter aircraft operations, including those incurred under the ATSA with Amazon, are excluded to enhance comparability with carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft. Performance‑Based Pay (PBP) expense is excluded as it is dependent on the Company's achievement of annually established financial and operational goals. Certain special charges are excluded as they are unusual or nonrecurring in nature.
•
Adjusted capital expenditures includes certain amounts that are not classified as investing cash outflows within our consolidated statements of cash flows, but are viewed by management and other stakeholders as significant long-term investments in the business. Management believes these adjustments provide a more complete view of capital expenditures during the year.
•
Liquidity and leverage measures, including debt-to-capitalization and adjusted net debt to EBITDAR, are presented to provide insight into the Company's financial position and flexibility. In 2026, we made adjustments to the calculation of these metrics to enhance comparability with our peers. The debt-to-capitalization ratio now excludes the current portion of operating and finance lease liabilities, with prior periods recast for consistency. Additionally, EBITDAR was adjusted to reflect the fixed portion of operating leases rather than total aircraft rent to better reflect performance, with prior periods recast accordingly.
13
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Adjusted debt
- long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities
Adjusted net debt -
long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities, less unrestricted cash and marketable securities
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR
- represents adjusted net debt divided by EBITDAR (trailing twelve months earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating leases, and special items)
ASMs
- available seat miles, or “capacity”; represents total seats available across the fleet multiplied by the number of miles flown
CASMex
- operating costs excluding fuel, freighter costs, Performance-Based Pay (PBP), and special items per ASM, or "unit cost"
Debt-to-capitalization ratio
- represents adjusted debt, net of current portion, divided by total equity plus adjusted debt, net of current portion
Diluted Earnings per Share
- represents earnings per share (EPS) using fully diluted shares outstanding
Diluted Shares
- represents the total number of shares that would be outstanding if all possible sources of conversion, such as stock options, were exercised
Freighter Costs -
operating expenses directly attributable to the operation of B737 freighter aircraft and A330-300 freighter aircraft exclusively performing cargo missions
Load Factor
- RPMs as a percentage of ASMs; represents the number of available seats that were filled with revenue passengers
PRASM
- passenger revenue per ASM, or "passenger unit revenue"
RASM
- operating revenue per ASMs, or "unit revenue"; operating revenue includes all passenger revenue, freight & mail, loyalty program revenue, and other ancillary revenue; represents the average total revenue for flying one seat one mile
RPMs
- revenue passenger miles, or "traffic"; represents the number of seats that were filled with revenue passengers; one passenger traveling one mile is one RPM
Yield
- passenger revenue per RPM; represents the average passenger revenue for flying one passenger one mile
14
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
October 20, 2026
(Date of earliest event reported)
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Delaware
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
1-8957
91-1292054
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
19300 International Boulevard
Seattle
Washington
98188
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
(Zip Code)
(
206
)
392-5040
(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (
see
General Instruction A.2. below):
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Ticker Symbol
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common stock, $0.01 par value
ALK
New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).
☐
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com
ITEM 2.02. Results of Operations And Financial Condition
On October 20, 2026, Alaska Air Group issued a press release reporting financial results for the third quarter of 2026. The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1.
ITEM 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure
Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), Air Group is submitting this press release. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item, including all Exhibits, shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.
ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Other Exhibits
Exhibit 99.1
Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Press Release dated October 20, 2026
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document
Signature
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
Registrant
Date: October 20, 2026
/s/ EMILY HALVERSON
Emily Halverson
Vice President Finance, Controller, and Treasurer
----- ex99110202026earningsrelea.htm -----
EX-99.1
2
ex99110202026earningsrelea.htm
THIRD QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE
Document
Exhibit 99.1
October 20, 2026
Media contact:
Investor/analyst contact:
Media Relations
Ryan St. John
newsroom@alaskaair.com
VP Finance, Planning and Investor Relations
ALKInvestorRelations@alaskaair.com
Alaska Air Group reports third quarter 2026 results
Reported loss per share of ($1.32), and adjusted earnings per share, excluding certain tax impacts, of $0.36
Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with
one
world and global partners
New service to Osaka and Papeete expands Seattle's nonstop international network to 9 of 15 planned routes by 2030
SEATTLE — Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK) today reported financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2026.
"At Investor Day, we laid out a clear strategy for building a stronger, more diversified business, and we're executing it: growing premium, international, cargo and Atmos Rewards, and investing in the guest experience,” said Alaska Air Group CEO Ben Minicucci. “Those are the things that earn guest loyalty, diversify our revenue and ultimately drive stronger earnings. While we’re not satisfied with this quarter’s result or the $1.8 billion fuel headwind this year, we are confident in our ability to execute on the things we can control, including increasing the spread between unit revenue and unit costs excluding fuel."
Quarter in Review:
Air Group reported third quarter Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) pretax margin of 0.4% and GAAP net loss of ($147) million, or ($1.32) per share. Air Group's third quarter adjusted pretax margin was 1.1% and adjusted net loss was ($35) million, or ($0.31) per share. Excluding certain tax impacts, Air Group's third quarter adjusted net income was $49 million, or $0.36 per share.
Q3 2026 Results
Prior Expectation
Actual Results
Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025
Up 2% to 3%
Up 2.4%
RASM % change versus 2025
Up low double digits
Up 11.7%
CASMex % change versus 2025
Up low to mid single digits
Up 4.4%
Economic fuel cost per gallon
$3.75
$3.94
Adjusted earnings per share, excluding certain tax impacts
(a)
$0.00 to $1.00
$0.36
(a) These results reflect a Q3 adjusted effective tax rate of 18.4%, or adjusted tax expense of $9 million, versus our original guidance assumption of approximately 35% due to the AETR revision discussed below.
Third quarter results were driven by strong underlying commercial momentum despite a significant fuel headwind. Revenue increased 14% year-over-year to $4.3 billion on 2.4% capacity growth, resulting in unit revenue growth of nearly 12%, despite Hawaiʻi headwinds, pressure from strategic growth markets investments, and rapid international expansion. Yield improved through the quarter, with September yield increasing approximately 17% year-over-year.
Air Group's diversified revenue, which represents operating revenue outside the main cabin, has grown to 54% of total revenue, reflecting progress against our strategic initiatives as we shift towards a more structurally resilient business. Premium revenue grew approximately 25% and represented more than 36% of total revenue, loyalty program cash remuneration grew 21% to $721
1
million, and managed corporate revenue increased 30%. Air Group continued to expand its international network, with the additions of Paris, Athens, Osaka, and Papeete, bringing our Seattle international network to nine routes.
During the third quarter, the Company reduced its estimated annual effective tax rate (AETR) following a change in its full-year outlook from pretax income to a pretax loss, driven primarily by elevated fuel prices. As a result, the Company recorded a cumulative catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses, which reduced third quarter adjusted earnings per share by ($0.67). Excluding this adjustment, third quarter adjusted earnings per share were $0.36.
Fourth Quarter Forecast Information:
Looking ahead, demand remains healthy, with commercial momentum continuing into the fourth quarter. Air Group expects capacity to grow approximately 1% to 1.5% year-over-year, with the increase concentrated in international flying. Unit revenue is expected to increase in the low double digits year-over-year and improve sequentially on a gross basis, supported by continued yield strength. Non-fuel unit costs are expected to increase in the mid-single digits, reflecting lower capacity growth.
Elevated fuel costs are expected to remain a significant headwind to near-term profitability, with our guidance assuming a fourth quarter economic fuel cost of $4.65 to $4.85 per gallon, or $650 million higher than our initial plan. For the full year, we now expect an adjusted loss per share between ($5.50) and ($5.00), inclusive of $1.8 billion in fuel expense above our plan.
Q4 2026 Expectation
Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025
Up 1% to 1.5%
RASM % change versus 2025
Up low double-digits
CASMex % change versus 2025
Up mid single-digits
Economic fuel cost per gallon
$4.65 to $4.85
Adjusted loss per share
(a)
($2.50) to ($2.00)
(a) Q4 loss per share guidance assumes non-operating expense of approximately $70 million, a tax rate of approximately 20%, and shares outstanding of approximately 112.5 million.
Commercial Updates:
•
Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with
one
world and global partners, broadening international connectivity for guests and increasing access to premium worldwide travel opportunities.
•
Unveiled Aurora and Leihōkū by Alaska and Hawaiian, new premium guest experiences designed to elevate travel, featuring spacious lie flat suites, access to exclusive check-in and concierge services, and elevated dining options. Aurora will be featured on Alaska's Boeing 787 fleet and select transcontinental routes operated by new 737-10 MAX aircraft, while Leihōkū will be featured on Hawaiian's A330 fleet.
•
Introduced Premium Reserve, a new premium economy product set to debut in 2028 on Alaska's 787-9, 787-10 and select 737-10 MAX aircraft and on Hawaiian's A330 fleet, offering guests enhanced comfort, space, and choice on longer flights.
Loyalty Updates:
•
Loyalty program cash remuneration grew 21% to $721 million in the third quarter.
•
Beginning in October, Atmos Rewards members can choose how they earn points and status points - by distance traveled, price paid, or segments flown - on flights departing on or after January 1, 2027.
•
Announced enhancements to Atmos Rewards, including expanded card offerings with the launch of an Atmos debit card in early 2027, four new Atmos communities, and additional program partnerships.
2
•
Launched new and improved benefits for Huakaʻi by Hawaiian members, including two free checked bags for Neighbor Island travel and additional ways to earn Atmos Rewards points.
Network Updates:
•
Announced new nonstop service from Seattle to Athens, Paris, Osaka, and Papeete beginning in spring 2027, further strengthening our position as Seattle’s largest international carrier.
•
Announced domestic route expansions, including new routes from Portland to Steamboat Springs, San Diego to Loreto, Mexico and Paine Field to San Jose, alongside increased service from Paine Field to Portland, San Diego and Los Angeles.
Liquidity Updates:
•
Generated $755 million of operating cash flow during the first nine months of 2026.
•
Held $3.3 billion in available liquidity, including unrestricted cash, marketable securities, and undrawn credit facilities.
•
Had approximately $20 billion of unencumbered assets at September 30, 2026, including 134 aircraft and the unencumbered portion of our loyalty program assets.
Other Highlights:
•
Amaresh Siva named Alaska's Chief Information Technology Officer, joining the company from CVS Health. Siva will serve on the company's Executive Committee.
•
Alaska Airlines and Hawaiian Airlines were recognized with the 2026 APEX Five Star Major Airline Award.
•
Alaska Airlines recognized by the Skytrax World Airline Awards as the #1 Cleanest Airline in North America and the #2 Best Regional Airline in North America.
•
SVP of Merchandising and Innovation Charu Jain was recognized as one of Time's 2026 Tech and Data Executives of the Year.
A conference call regarding the third quarter results will be streamed online at 11:30 a.m. EDT/ 8:30 a.m. PDT on October 21, 2026. It can be accessed at www.alaskaair.com/investors. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the conclusion of the call.
References in this update to “Air Group,” “Company,” “we,” “us,” and “our” refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.
This news release may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a discussion of risks and uncertainties that may cause our forward-looking statements to differ materially, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions, increases in operating costs including fuel, uncertainties regarding the ability to successfully integrate operations following the acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. and the ability to realize anticipated cost savings, synergies, or growth from the acquisition, inability to meet cost reduction and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, cybersecurity risks, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.
Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group, and McGee Air Services is a subsidiary of Alaska Airlines. We are a global airline with hubs in Seattle, Honolulu, Portland, Anchorage, Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco. We deliver remarkable care as we fly our guests to more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, the Pacific and Europe. Guests can book travel at alaskaair.com and hawaiianairlines.com. Alaska and Hawaiian are members of the oneworld alliance. Members of our Atmos Rewards loyalty program
3
can earn and redeem points with oneworld airlines and our additional global partners that serve over 1,100 worldwide destinations. Learn more about what’s happening at Alaska and Hawaiian at news.alaskaair.com. Alaska Air Group is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) as “ALK.”
4
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except per share amounts)
2026
2025
Change
2026
2025
Change
Operating Revenue
Passenger revenue
$
3,885
$
3,424
13
%
$
10,449
$
9,587
9
%
Loyalty program other revenue
263
200
32
%
748
617
21
%
Cargo and other revenue
160
142
13
%
476
403
18
%
Total Operating Revenue
4,308
3,766
14
%
11,673
10,607
10
%
Operating Expenses
Wages and benefits
1,287
1,226
5
%
3,768
3,518
7
%
Variable incentive pay
68
71
(4
%)
163
194
(16
%)
Aircraft fuel
1,214
761
60
%
3,315
2,142
55
%
Aircraft maintenance
257
238
8
%
729
698
4
%
Aircraft rent
66
64
3
%
191
190
1
%
Landing fees and other rentals
333
305
9
%
929
825
13
%
Contracted services
163
151
8
%
472
442
7
%
Selling expenses
118
107
10
%
332
312
6
%
Depreciation and amortization
216
203
6
%
627
596
5
%
Food and beverage service
110
100
10
%
312
282
11
%
Third-party regional carrier expense
71
72
(1
%)
195
205
(5
%)
Other
298
256
16
%
903
764
18
%
Special items - operating
25
64
(61
%)
102
211
(52
%)
Total Operating Expenses
4,226
3,618
17
%
12,038
10,379
16
%
Operating Income (Loss)
82
148
(45
%)
(365)
228
NM
Non-operating Income (Expense)
Interest income
22
23
(4
%)
62
71
(13
%)
Interest expense
(97)
(70)
39
%
(259)
(202)
28
%
Interest capitalized
14
8
75
%
37
29
28
%
Other - net
(3)
2
NM
12
(10)
NM
Total Non-operating Expense
(64)
(37)
73
%
(148)
(112)
32
%
Income (Loss) Before Income Tax
18
111
(513)
116
Income tax expense (benefit)
165
38
(97)
37
Net Income (Loss)
$
(147)
$
73
$
(416)
$
79
Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$
(1.32)
$
0.63
$
(3.70)
$
0.66
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$
(1.32)
$
0.62
$
(3.70)
$
0.65
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding used for computation:
Basic
111.611
115.287
112.334
119.061
Diluted
111.611
117.500
112.334
121.193
5
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(in millions, except share amounts)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents
$
835
$
627
Restricted cash
34
28
Marketable securities
1,396
1,496
Receivables - net
656
565
Inventories and supplies - net
249
203
Prepaid expenses
234
278
Other current assets
37
69
Total Current Assets
3,441
3,266
Property and equipment - net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of $5,377 and $4,945
12,280
11,857
Operating lease assets
1,325
1,268
Goodwill
2,723
2,723
Intangible assets - net of accumulated amortization of $116 and $74
773
815
Other noncurrent assets
487
432
Total Noncurrent Assets
17,588
17,095
Total Assets
$
21,029
$
20,361
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Accounts payable
$
443
$
324
Accrued wages, vacation and payroll taxes
853
881
Air traffic liability
2,129
1,689
Other accrued liabilities
1,154
1,055
Deferred revenue
1,854
1,722
Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases
890
721
Current portion of operating lease liabilities
222
197
Total Current Liabilities
7,545
6,589
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion
5,269
4,834
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion
1,138
1,141
Deferred income taxes
909
1,004
Deferred revenue
1,690
1,711
Obligation for pension and post-retirement medical benefits
324
369
Other liabilities
624
595
Total Noncurrent Liabilities
9,954
9,654
Shareholders' Equity
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 5,000,000 shares, none issued or outstanding
—
—
Common stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 400,000,000 shares, Issued: 2026 - 147,152,378 shares; 2025 - 145,115,659 shares, Outstanding: 2026 - 111,631,476 shares; 2025 - 115,530,889 shares
1
1
Capital in excess of par value
1,053
961
Treasury stock (common), at cost: 2026 - 35,520,902 shares; 2025 - 29,584,770 shares
(1,951)
(1,701)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(187)
(173)
Retained earnings
4,614
5,030
Total Shareholders' Equity
3,530
4,118
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
$
21,029
$
20,361
6
SUMMARY CASH FLOW (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(in millions)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026
(a)
Three Months Ended September 30, 2026
(b)
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
Net Loss
$
(416)
$
(269)
$
(147)
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities
691
453
238
Changes in working capital
480
422
58
Net cash provided by operating activities
755
606
149
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
Property and equipment additions
(965)
(523)
(442)
Other investing activities
73
(112)
185
Net cash used in investing activities
(892)
(635)
(257)
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
367
472
(105)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
230
443
(213)
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at beginning of period
684
684
1,127
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the period
$
914
$
1,127
$
914
Reconciliation of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
835
$
1,064
Restricted cash
34
33
Restricted cash included in Other noncurrent assets
45
30
Total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the period
$
914
$
1,127
(a) As reported in Form 10-Q for the second quarter of 2026.
(b) Cash flows for the three months ended September 30, 2026 can be calculated by subtracting cash flows from the six months ended June 30, 2026 from the nine months ended September 30, 2026.
7
OPERATING STATISTICS (unaudited)
A manual recalculation of certain figures using rounded amounts may not agree directly to the actual figures presented in the table below.
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
Change
2026
2025
Change
Consolidated Operating Statistics:
(a)
Revenue passengers (000)
15,706
15,879
(1.1)%
44,095
44,272
(0.4)%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"
20,733
20,739
—%
58,045
58,174
(0.2)%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"
25,031
24,447
2.4%
70,907
69,724
1.7%
Load factor
82.8%
84.8%
(2.0) pts
81.9%
83.4%
(1.5) pts
Yield
18.73¢
16.51¢
13.4%
18.00¢
16.48¢
9.2%
PRASM
15.52¢
14.00¢
10.9%
14.74¢
13.75¢
7.2%
RASM
17.21¢
15.41¢
11.7%
16.46¢
15.21¢
8.2%
CASMex
(b)
11.46¢
10.98¢
4.4%
11.71¢
11.08¢
5.7%
Fuel cost per gallon
(c)
$3.94
$2.51
57.0%
$3.81
$2.50
52.4%
Fuel gallons (000,000)
(c)
308
303
1.7%
870
859
1.3%
ASMs per gallon
81.3
80.6
0.9%
81.5
81.1
0.5%
Departures (000)
146.0
144.0
1.4%
410.6
407.4
0.8%
Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs)
32,171
32,590
(1.3)%
31,787
31,221
1.8%
Operating fleet
(d)
424
406
18 a/c
424
406
18 a/c
(a)
Except for FTEs, data includes activity under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier.
(b)
See a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure and Note A for a discussion of the importance of this measure to investors in the accompanying pages.
(c)
Excludes operations under the Air Transportation Services Agreement (ATSA) with Amazon.
(d)
Includes owned and leased aircraft as well as aircraft operated under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier.
8
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
We are providing reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. Amounts in the tables below are rounded to the nearest million. As a result, a manual recalculation of certain figures using these rounded amounts may not agree directly to the amounts presented. These reconciliations include adjustments intended to improve comparability and provide a clearer view of the Company’s core operating performance.
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
primarily reflect unrealized and realized gains or losses resulting from changes in foreign currency exchange rates on certain debt. In 2025, these expenses also included mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments.
Special items - operating
primarily relate to costs associated with the integration of Hawaiian Airlines, including employee-related costs, technology costs, and other merger-related expenses. It also includes certain litigation costs. In 2025, these expenses also included costs related to changes in Alaska flight attendants' sick leave benefits pursuant to a collective bargaining agreement ratified in the first quarter of 2025.
During the third quarter of 2026, the Company revised its full-year outlook from a pretax income to a pretax loss primarily due to elevated fuel prices. This reduced the Company's estimated AETR. Because the Company incurred pretax losses in the first half of 2026, the lower tax rate reduced the expected tax benefit associated with those losses by $75 million. As required under the AETR methodology, this adjustment was recorded in the third quarter and is included in adjusted income tax expense of $84 million. Excluding this adjustment, adjusted income tax expense would have been $9 million and adjusted earnings per share would have been $0.36 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
The $75 million adjustment remains reflected in year-to-date adjusted earnings and will be included in the Company's full-year 2026 adjusted earnings results. Because the adjustment relates entirely to the remeasurement of tax benefits associated with first-half losses, management believes excluding it from third-quarter adjusted earnings improves comparability of current-quarter operating performance.
9
Pretax Income (Loss), Net Income (Loss), and Earnings (Loss) per Share, adjusted
Three Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income (Loss)
Per Share
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income
Per Share
GAAP
$
18
$
165
$
(147)
$
(1.32)
$
111
$
38
$
73
$
0.62
Adjusted for:
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
6
(2)
Special items - operating
25
64
Total adjustments
31
(81)
112
1.01
62
12
50
0.43
Adjusted
$
49
$
84
$
(35)
$
(0.31)
$
173
$
50
$
123
$
1.05
Impact of cumulative catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses
—
75
(75)
(0.67)
Adjusted, excluding certain tax impacts
$
49
$
9
$
40
$
0.36
GAAP pretax margin
0.4
%
2.9
%
Adjusted pretax margin
1.1
%
4.6
%
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
(in millions, except per share amounts)
Loss Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Loss
Per Share
Income Before Income Tax
Income Tax
Net Income
Per Share
GAAP
$
(513)
$
(97)
$
(416)
$
(3.70)
$
116
$
37
$
79
$
0.65
Adjusted for:
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other
(1)
1
Special items - operating
102
211
Total adjustments
101
14
87
0.77
212
48
164
1.36
Adjusted
$
(412)
$
(83)
$
(329)
$
(2.93)
$
328
$
85
$
243
$
2.01
GAAP pretax margin
(4.4)
%
1.1
%
Adjusted pretax margin
(3.5)
%
3.1
%
10
CASMex Reconciliation
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions, except unit metrics)
2026
2025
2026
2025
Total operating expenses
$
4,226
$
3,618
$
12,038
$
10,379
Less the following components:
Aircraft fuel
1,214
761
3,315
2,142
Freighter costs
53
47
157
136
Performance-based pay
66
62
158
163
Special items - operating
25
64
102
211
Adjusted operating expenses
$
2,868
$
2,684
$
8,306
$
7,727
ASMs
25,031
24,447
70,907
69,724
CASMex
11.46
¢
10.98
¢
11.71
¢
11.08
¢
Adjusted Capital Expenditures Reconciliation
Nine Months Ended September 30,
(in millions)
2026
2025
Aircraft, aircraft purchase deposits, and other flight equipment
$
790
$
744
Other property and equipment
175
219
Capital expenditures
965
963
Adjusted for:
Property and equipment acquired through the issuance of debt
72
69
Proceeds from sales of aircraft and other equipment
(10)
(162)
Adjusted capital expenditures
$
1,027
$
870
Debt-to-capitalization, including leases
(in millions)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion
$
5,269
$
4,834
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion
1,138
1,141
Short-term EETC debt maturing in 2027
512
—
Adjusted debt, net of current portion
(a)
6,919
5,975
Shareholders' equity
3,530
4,118
Total Invested Capital
$
10,449
$
10,093
Debt-to-capitalization ratio, including leases
66
%
59
%
(a) For September 30, 2026, the Company is presenting its short-term EETC debt, maturing in the third quarter of 2027, within its debt-to-capitalization ratio. At December 31, 2025, this debt was included within Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion.
11
Adjusted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating lease expense, and special items
(in millions)
September 30, 2026
December 31, 2025
Long-term debt and finance leases
$
6,159
$
5,555
Operating lease liabilities
1,360
1,338
Adjusted debt
7,519
6,893
Less: Total unrestricted cash and marketable securities
2,231
2,123
Adjusted net debt
$
5,288
$
4,770
(in millions)
Twelve Months Ended September 30, 2026
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2025
Operating Income (Loss)
(a)
$
(290)
$
303
Adjusted for:
Special items - operating
141
250
Gains on foreign debt and other
(5)
(3)
Depreciation and amortization
826
795
Fixed portion of operating lease expense
283
279
EBITDAR
$
955
$
1,624
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR
5.5x
2.9x
(a)
Operating income (loss) can be reconciled using the trailing twelve month operating income as filed quarterly with the SEC.
12
Note A:
Pursuant to Regulation G, we provide reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide meaningful supplemental information to investors for the following reasons:
•
Pretax income (loss), net income (loss), and earnings (loss) per share are presented on an adjusted basis. Adjustments are made for special charges that are unusual or nonrecurring in nature, as well as for gains and losses on foreign debt, as these adjustments enhance comparability of our core operations to prior periods and to the rest of the airline industry.
•
CASMex is a key measure used by management and the Air Group Board of Directors to evaluate cost performance. It is also commonly used by industry analysts to compare airlines. Because U.S. carriers are generally similarly affected by changes in jet fuel prices over the long run, aircraft fuel costs are excluded to focus on more controllable, company-specific cost drivers. Costs related to freighter aircraft operations, including those incurred under the ATSA with Amazon, are excluded to enhance comparability with carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft. Performance‑Based Pay (PBP) expense is excluded as it is dependent on the Company's achievement of annually established financial and operational goals. Certain special charges are excluded as they are unusual or nonrecurring in nature.
•
Adjusted capital expenditures includes certain amounts that are not classified as investing cash outflows within our consolidated statements of cash flows, but are viewed by management and other stakeholders as significant long-term investments in the business. Management believes these adjustments provide a more complete view of capital expenditures during the year.
•
Liquidity and leverage measures, including debt-to-capitalization and adjusted net debt to EBITDAR, are presented to provide insight into the Company's financial position and flexibility. In 2026, we made adjustments to the calculation of these metrics to enhance comparability with our peers. The debt-to-capitalization ratio now excludes the current portion of operating and finance lease liabilities, with prior periods recast for consistency. Additionally, EBITDAR was adjusted to reflect the fixed portion of operating leases rather than total aircraft rent to better reflect performance, with prior periods recast accordingly.
13
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Adjusted debt
- long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities
Adjusted net debt -
long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities, less unrestricted cash and marketable securities
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR
- represents adjusted net debt divided by EBITDAR (trailing twelve months earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating leases, and special items)
ASMs
- available seat miles, or “capacity”; represents total seats available across the fleet multiplied by the number of miles flown
CASMex
- operating costs excluding fuel, freighter costs, Performance-Based Pay (PBP), and special items per ASM, or "unit cost"
Debt-to-capitalization ratio
- represents adjusted debt, net of current portion, divided by total equity plus adjusted debt, net of current portion
Diluted Earnings per Share
- represents earnings per share (EPS) using fully diluted shares outstanding
Diluted Shares
- represents the total number of shares that would be outstanding if all possible sources of conversion, such as stock options, were exercised
Freighter Costs -
operating expenses directly attributable to the operation of B737 freighter aircraft and A330-300 freighter aircraft exclusively performing cargo missions
Load Factor
- RPMs as a percentage of ASMs; represents the number of available seats that were filled with revenue passengers
PRASM
- passenger revenue per ASM, or "passenger unit revenue"
RASM
- operating revenue per ASMs, or "unit revenue"; operating revenue includes all passenger revenue, freight & mail, loyalty program revenue, and other ancillary revenue; represents the average total revenue for flying one seat one mile
RPMs
- revenue passenger miles, or "traffic"; represents the number of seats that were filled with revenue passengers; one passenger traveling one mile is one RPM
Yield
- passenger revenue per RPM; represents the average passenger revenue for flying one passenger one mile
14
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